The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – Kentucky: Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 248 LV 59.6 34.9 +24.7 Emerson 10/2/23 55 26 +29

Presidential Polls – Kansas: Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Docking Institute 9/26-10/16; RVs 48 43 +5 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 410 LV 48.9 43.9 +5 Emerson 10/4/23 47 31 +16

Presidential Polls – Indiana: AVERAGE 57.0 40.7 16.3 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap ActiVote 10/3-10/28; 400 LV 58 42 +16 ARW Strategies 9/23-9/25; 600 LV 55 39 +16 ActiVote 8/28-9/30; 400 LV 57 43 +14 Emerson 9/12-9/13; LV 58 41 +17 Lake Research Partners 8/26-9/2; 600 LV 52 42 +10 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap…

Presidential Polls – Idaho: Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21: 309 LV 59.8 30.5 +29.3 Emerson 10/4/23 55 26 +29

Presidential Polls – Arkansas: Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Hendrix College 9/5-9/6; 696 LV 55 40 +15 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 385 LV 48.3 41.7 +6.6 Emerson 10/14/23 57 24 +33

Presidential Polls – Alabama: AVERAGE 58.8 33.5 25.3 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 513 LV 59.8 32.3 +27.5 Florida Atlantic University 2/29-3/3; 179 LV 57 38 +19 WPA Intelligence 8/23-8/26/23; 500 RV 57 32 +25

Presidential Polls – Alaska: AVERAGE X 54 44 2.0 10.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Alaska Survey Research 10/20-10/22; 1,703 LV 55 45 +10 Alaska Survey Research 10/8-10/9; 1,254 LV 54 46 +8 Alaska Survey Research 9/27-9/29; 1,182 LV 2.9 52 43 6 +9 Alaska Survey Research 9/11-9/12; 1,254 LV 47 42 4…

Presidential Polls – Massachusetts: AVERAGE X 33.0 61.5 3.1 28.5 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap University of New Hampshire 10/29-11/2; 744 LV 34 60 4 +26 MassINC Polling Group 10/29-11/1; 582LV 31 61 3 +30 Emerson 10/24-10/26; 1,000 LV 36 59 +23 ActiVote 10/2-10/30; 400LV 34 66 +33 ActiVote 9/6-10/16; 400 LV 33…

Presidential Polls – Missouri: AVERAGE 55.7 43.3 12.4 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 54 39 +15 Remington Research Group 10/28-10/29; 721 LV 54 40 2 +14 ActiVote 10/6-10/27; 400 LV 58 42 +16 ActiVote 9/8-10/10; 400 LV 57 43 +14 Emerson 9/12-9/13; 850 LV 3.0 55 43 +12…

Presidential Polls – Maryland: AVERAGE X 33.6 61.8 2.9 28.2 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Morning Consult 10/23-11/1;472 LV 31 64 +33 Chism Strategies 10/28-10/30;510 LV 33 56 1 +23 University of Maryland 10/23-10/27; 500 LV 34 61 2 +27 ActiVote 10/6-10/30; 400 LV 37 64 +28 The Washington Post/University of Maryland 10/17-10/22;…

Presidential Polls – Illinois: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap ActiVote 10/4-10/28; 400 LV 42 58 +16 ActiVote 9/3-10/5; 400 LV 41 59 +18 ActiVote 8/6-8/29;400 LV 42 58 +16 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21 643 LV 40.2 52.9 +12.7 Emerson 10/14/23 34 43 +9 Cor Strategies 8/27/23 35 55 +20

Presidential Polls – South Carolina: AVERAGE 56.0 42.0 14.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap The Citadel 10/17-10/25; 1,136 LV 54 42 +12 Claflin University 10/5-10/10; 1,005 LV 50 43 +7 ActiVote 10/5-10/29; 400LV 59 42 +17 East Carolina University 10/18-10/22; 950LV 55 42 1 +13 ActiVote 9/9-10/17; 400 LV 58 42 +16 Winthrop…

Presidential Polls – Montana: AVERAGE 57.2 39.4 1.0 17.8 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap AtlasIntel 11/1-11/4; 752 LV 57.3 37.1 5.0 +20.2 Emerson College 10/23-10/25; 1,000 LV 59 40 +19 Montana State University Billings 9/30-10/16; 760 A 52 34 6 +18 The New York Times/Siena College 10/5-10/8; 656 LV 56 39 0 +17…

Presidential Polls – New York: AVERAGE 40.0 57.2 17.2 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 41 57 +16 Cygnal 10/26-10/27; 600 LV 39 57 +18 ActiVote 10/7-10/27; 400 LV 41 59 +18 Siena College 10/13-10/17; 872 LV 39 58 +19 YouGov/Claremont McKenna College 10/7-10/17; 1,089LV 38 58 +20 Emerson…

According to High Point University, who didn’t actually use the candidate’s names in this part of their poll: NORTH CAROLINA – High Point University Trump* 47 Biden* 41 2/16 – 2/23; 753 LV. *Poll used “Democratic Party’s candidate or the Republican Party’s candidate.”

Presidential Polls – California: AVERAGE X 33.8 59.8 4.0 26.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 32 64 +32 Cygnal 10/27-10/30; 611 LV 31 55 9 +24 University of California Berkeley 10/22-10/29;4,341 LV 35 57 2 +22 ActiVote 10/7-10/27; 400 LV 37 63 +26 YouGov/Claremont McKenna College 10/7-10/17;1,139 LV…

I am debating whether or not to include these polls in the Aggregator simply because these polls are online only, and there are no undecideds or third-party selections among the likely voter samples. NEVADA – FocalData Trump 51 Biden 49 January 17-23; Likely Voters ARIZONA – FocalData Trump 50 Biden 50 January 17-23; Likely Voters…

VIRGINIA – Roanoke College Biden 47 Trump 43 2/11-2/19; 703 RV

Yes, if you believe the University of Texas at Tyler: TEXAS – University of Texas at Tyler Trump 46 Biden 42 US Senate Cruz 41 Allred 41 February 18-26; 1,167 RV

According to Emerson College: CALIFORNIA – Emerson College/The Hill Biden 57 Trump 35 Feb. 24-27; 1,000 LV

According to Morning Consult/Bloomberg: Morning Consult/Bloomberg ARIZONA Trump 49 Biden 43 2/12 – 2/20; 798 RV Morning Consult/Bloomberg GEORGIA Trump 49 Biden 43 2/12 – 2/20; 800 RV Morning Consult/Bloomberg MICHIGAN Trump 46 Biden 44 2/12 – 2/20; 702 RV Morning Consult/Bloomberg NEVADA Trump 48 Biden 42 2/12 – 2/20; 445 RV Morning Consult/Bloomberg NORTH…

According to Rasmussen: Rasmussen Reports – ARIZONA Trump 47 Biden 40 Feb. 21-26; 1,001 LV

According to Rasmussen: Rasmussen – ARIZONA Senate Lake (R) 37 Lake (R) 45 Gallego (D) 33 Gallego (D) 42 Sinema (I-Inc) 21 Feb. 21-26; 1,001 LV

Trump with leads and a tie: Kaplan Strategies – MICHIGAN Kaplan Strategies – WISCONSIN Trump 46 Trump 41 Biden 36 Biden 39 February 22-23; 1,019 RV in MI, 941 RV in WI. North Star Opinion Research – MICHIGAN Trump 43 Biden 43 February 22-25; 600 LV

According to Emerson: Emerson – WISCONSIN Trump 45 Trump 41 Biden 42 Biden 37 Kennedy 7 West 1 Stein 1 2/20-2/24/2024; 1000 RV

According to a new poll by Pan Atlantic Research: Pan-Atlantic Research – MAINE CD_01 CD_02 Trump 38 Trump 31 Trump 45 Biden 32 Biden 39 Biden 25 2/6-2/14/24; 691 LV

According to a new Emerson Poll: Emerson – MICHIGAN Trump 46 Trump 42 Biden 44 Biden 39 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 2/20-2/24/2024; 1000 RV Emerson’s November poll of Michigan was Biden 44/Trump 43.

Thread rule. Any reference to Deep State means I disregard your post. It will still appear but it has no credibility with me.

According to new polls from Emerson: Emerson – NEVADA Trump 46 Trump 44 Biden 40 Biden 34 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 2/16-2/19/2024 1,000 RV Emerson – ARIZONA Trump 46 Trump 43 Biden 43 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 West 1 Stein 1 2/16-2/19/2024 1,000 RV