The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to Emerson and EPIC/MRA: Emerson – GEORGIA Trump 48 Trump 45 Biden 42 Biden 36 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 2/14-2/16/2024; 1000 RV Emerson – NORTH CAROLINA Trump 47 Trump 46 Biden 44 Biden 37 Kennedy 5 West 1 Stein 1 2/14-2/16/2024; 1000 RV EPIC-MRA – MICHIGAN Trump 45 Biden 41 2/13-2/18/2024; 600…

According to new poll by Emerson/The Hill: Emerson – PENNSYLVANIA Trump 45 Trump 42 Biden 43 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 West 2 Stein 1 2/14-2/16/24; 1000 RV Emerson also has new polls of CALIFORNIA and SOUTH CAROLINA: Emerson – CALIFORNIA Biden 55 Biden 49 Trump 33 Trump 31 Kennedy 8 West 1 Stein 1 2/16-2/18/24;…

According to Cygnal: Trump 49 Biden 40 600 LV Feb 12-13

If you believe the new East Carolina University poll: East Carolina University – NORTH CAROLINA Trump 47 Biden 44 Kennedy 2 West 1 Stein or other 1 Undecided 6 February 9-12, 2024; 1,207 RV

According to new Fox News Poll: Fox News/Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) – NORTH CAROLINA Trump 50 Trump 46 Biden 45 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 Stein 2 West 1 Feb. 8-12; 1,099 RV Fox News/Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) – Michigan Trump 47 Trump 42 Biden 45 Biden 37 Kennedy 11…

If you believe the new poll by Chism Strategies: Chism Strategies – PENNSYLVANIA Trump 40 Biden 32 Someone else 11 Feb. 6-8; 500 RV

According to North Star Opinion Research: North Star Opinion Research – North Carolina Trump 39 Biden 32 Kennedy 16 Jan. 30-Feb. 4; 600 LV

According to new Marquette poll Trump 50 Trump 41 Biden 49 Biden 39 Kennedy 13 Stein 4 West 2 Jan. 24-31; 808 LV

According to new poll from Redfield and Wilton Strategies: Redfield & Wilton Strategies – Texas Trump 44 Biden 35 Kennedy 5 Stein 1 West 1 February 1-3, 814 RVs

The Hedgehog Report Polling Aggregator includes the most recent polls of each state with weighting applied in four ways: Age. The newest poll receives the highest share of the average. Then as time passes, the same poll keeps being reduced until its advanced age drops it out completely. Outliers. When a new poll is received…

Presidential Polls – Michigan: AVERAGE X 43.4 42.7 1.9 0.8 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/3-11/4; 1,113 LV 49.6 47.8 2.4 +1.8 Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 47 49 +2 Trafalgar Group 11/1-11/3; 1,079 LV 47.8 47.4 +0.4 Patriot Polling 11/1-11/3; 858 RV 48.5 49.2 +0.7 AtlasIntel 11/1-11/2; 1,198 LV 49.3 47.8…

Presidential Polls – Nevada: AVERAGE X 49.3 46.2 1.2 3.1 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/3-11/4; 707 LV 4.0 50.2 47.1 +3.1 Patriot Polling 11/1-11/3; 792 RV 49.5 49.4 +0.1 AtlasIntel 11/1-11/2; 782 LV 51.4 45.9 +5.5 Emerson College 10/30-11/2; 840 LV 48.4 48.1 +0.3 The New York Times/Siena College 10/24-11/2;1,010 LV…

Presidential Polls – Wisconsin: AVERAGE 49.0 48.0 1.5 1.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/3-11/4; 869 LV 3.0 49.1 47.9 1.5 +1.2 Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 46 49 +3 Patriot Polling 11/1-11/3; 835 RV 49.0 48.7 +0.3 Trafalgar Group 11/1-11/3; 1,086 LV 47 48.2 2.6 +1.2 InsiderAdvantage 11/1-11/2; 800 LV 49…

Presidential Polls – Pennsylvania: AVERAGE X 49.8 47.0 1.5 2.8 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/3-11/4; 1,840 LV 49.1 48.4 0.8 +0.7 Survation 11/1-11/4; 915 LV 48 51 2 +3 Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 47 48 +1 Patriot Polling 11/1-11/3; 903 RV 49.6 48.7 +0.9 Trafalgar Group 11/1-11/3; 1,089 LV 48.4…

Presidential Polls – Minnesota: AVERAGE X 45.4 49.3 3.2 4.4 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/1-11/4; 2,065 LV 46.8 48.9 3.5 +2.1 Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 44 51 +7 Chism Strategies 10/28-10/30; 534 LV 43 48 2 +5 KSTP/SurveyUSA 10/24-10/28;728 LV 4.0 42 53 2 +8 Rasmussen Reports 10/24-10/26;959 LV 47…

Presidential Polls – Maine: AVERAGE: XX 41.7 51.0 3.0 9.4X Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap University of New Hampshire 10/29-11/2; 1,485 LV 41 52 3 +11 SurveyUSA 10/24-10/29; 1,079 LV 43 51 3 +8 Digital Research 9/10-10/7; 604 RV 41 48 5 +7 Pan Atlantic Research 9/5-9/15; 812 LV 3.5 41 50 +9…

Presidential Polls – Virginia: AVERAGE X 48.1 49.9 2.1 1.9 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/1-11/4;2,202 LV 2.0 45.1 50.5 3 +5.4 Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 45 51 +6 Chism Strategies 10/28-10/30; 520 LV 44.5 45.2 +0.7 Cygnal 10/27-10/29; 600LV 43 50 2 +7 Roanoke College 10/25-10/29; 851LV 41 51 5…

Presidential Polls – Colorado: AVERAGE XX 42.7 54.0 11.3 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Keating Research 10/28-10/30; 600 LV 41 53 +12 YouGovUniversity of Colorado 10/18-10/30; 570 LV 44 52 +8 ActiVote 10/1-10/30; 400LV 43 57 +14 ActiVote 9/15-10/19; 400LV 41 59 +18 Morning Consult 9/9-9/18; 512 LV 42 53 +11 Keating Research…

Presidential Polls – New Hampshire: AVERAGE X 47.5 49.8 2.0 2.3 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap The Dartmouth Poll 11/1-11/3; 587 LV 34 62 +28 University of New Hampshire 10/29-11/2;2,814 LV 46 51 1 +5 Saint Anselm College 10/28-10/29; 2,791 LV 46 51 1 +5 Rasmussen Reports 10/24-10/28901 LV 3.0 47 48 +1…

Presidential Polls – Arizona: AVERAGE 49.9 45.5 1.9 4.4 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/3-11/4; 875 LV 3.0 51 45.9 1.5 +5.1 Victory Insights 11/2-11/3; 750 LV 49 48 +1 Trafalgar Group 11/1-11/3; 1,090 LV 49.2 47.1 1.6 +2.1 Patriot Polling 11/1-11/3; 801 RV 51 48 +3 AtlasIntel 11/1-11/2; 967 LV 51.9…

Presidential Polls – New Mexico: AVERAGE XX 44.8 49.3 2.4 4.5 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Victory Insights 11/1-11/3; 600 LV 45 50 +5 SurveyUSA 10/28-10/31; 632 LV 44 50 +6 Rasmussen Reports 10/24-10/26; 749 LV 3.0 44 49 +5 KA Consulting 10/16-10/18; 612 LV 46 49 1 +3 Research & Polling 10/10-10/18;…

Presidential Polls – North Carolina: AVERAGE X 50.4 46.9 1.7 3.5 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/3-11/4; 1,219 LV 3.0 49.8 47.6 1.3 +2.2 Patriot Polling 11/1-11/3; 799 RV 50.5 48.9 +1.6 AtlasIntel 11/1-11/2; 1,310 LV 50.4 46.8 +3.2 InsiderAdvantage 11/1-11/2; 800 LV 49 47 +2 Emerson College 10/30-11/2;860 LV 49.3 48.3…

Presidential Polls – Georgia: AVERAGE X 50.0 48.0 1.6 2.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/3-11/4; 1,112 LV 48.2 48.2 1.5 0 InsiderAdvantage 11/2-11/3; 800 LV 49 48 +1 Patriot Polling 11/1-11/3; 818 RV 50.4 48.6 +1.8 AtlasIntel 11/1-11/2; 1,174 LV 48.6 46.8 +1.8 Emerson College 10/30-11/2; 800 LV 49.8 49.3 +0.5…

Presidential Polls – Texas: AVERAGE X 51.8 43.0 2.0 8.8 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap AtlasIntel 11/1-11/4; 2,434 LV 54 44 1 +10 Cygnal 10/26-10/28; 600 LV 51 43 +8 Morning Consult 10/22-10/31;2,120 LV 52 45 +7 The New York Times/Siena College 10/23-10/26; 1,180 LV 51 40 2 +11 Rasmussen Reports 10/24-10/25; 1,002…