The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

United States Senate

ALASKA

	ALASKA
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Sullivan	Peltola	Gap
Alaska Research Survey	1/8-1/11; RV		46.4	48	+1.6

GEORGIA

	GEORGIA		41.3	42.7	+1.4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Collins	Ossoff	Gap
Quantus Insights	9/9 – 9/12 624 RV	4.0	38	38	0
TIPP	7/28 – 8/1 2956 RV	1.8	44	45	+1
Cygnal	5/15 – 5/17 800 LV	3.4	43	46	+3
Trafalgar	4/24 – 4/27 1426 LV	2.9	43	48	+5

IOWA

	IOWA
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	(TBD)	(TBD)	Gap

KENTUCKY

	KENTUCKY
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Barr	Booker	Gap
PPP	12/18-12/19		49	38	+11

MAINE

	MAINE		42.4	42.0	+0.4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Collins	Mills	Gap
UNH	2/12-16; 1,120 LV		40	41	+1
Pan Atlantic Research	11/29-12/7; 820 LV		43	43	0
MPRC	10/26-29; 783		46	42	+4

	MAINE		40.2	45.8	+5.6
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Collins	Platner	Gap
UNH	2/12-16; 1,120 LV		38	49	+11
Pan Atlantic Research	11/29-12/7; 820 LV		42	43	+1
MPRC	10/26-29; 783		40.9	44.8	+3.9
Impact Research (D)	11/25, 700 LV		51	42	+9

MICHIGAN

	MICHIGAN		42.6	44.4	+1.8
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Rogers	Stevens	Gap
Emerson	1/24-1/25; 1000 RV	3.0	42	47	+5
Detroit News/WDIV-TV	1/2-1/6; 600 LV	4.0	44	44	0
MIRS/Mitchell Research	11/18-21; 616 LV	3.7	42	40	+2
Sentinal Action Fund (R)	11/14				+9
EPIC-MRA	11/6-11; 600 RV	4.0	42	44	+2
Rosetta Stone	10/23-25; 637 LV	3.9	47	40	+7
Detroit Chamber/Glengariff	5/5-5/8 600 RV	4.0	44	45	+1
MIRS/Target Insyght	3/3-3/6 600 RV	4.0	41	35	+6

MINNESOTA

	MINNESOTA
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tafoya	Craig	Gap
Emerson	2/6–2/8; 1000 RV	3.0	40	47	+7

	MINNESOTA
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tafoya	Flanagan	Gap
Emerson	2/6–2/8; 1000 RV	3.0	41	47	+6

NEW HAMPSHIRE

	NEW HAMPSHIRE		41.6	46.1	+4.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Sununu	Pappas	Gap
UNH	1/15-1/19; 2053 LV	2.2	45	50	+5
NH Journal	12/26-12/28 RV		36	42	+6
Guidant	12/9-12/11 LV		44	47	+3
St. Anselm	11/18-11/19; 2112 RV	2.1	41	44	+3
co/efficient	10/9 – 10/13 1034 LV	3.1	42	45	+3
University of NH	9/17 – 9/23 1235 LV	2.8	43	49	+6

NORTH CAROLINA

	NORTH CAROLINA		41.0	48.5	+7.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Whatley	Cooper	Gap
Change Research	1/31-2/4 LV		40	50	+10
TIPP	1/12-1/15; RV		24	48	+24
Change Research	1/5-1/7; LV		42	47	+5
Carolina Journal Harper	11/9-11/10 600; LV	4.0	39	47	+8
Carolina Journal Harper	9/14-9/15 600; RV		42	46	+4
Emerson	7/28-7/30 1000; RV	3.0	41	47	+6
Victory Insights	7/28-7/30 600; LV		44	44	0

OHIO

	OHIO		48.6	47.2	+1.4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Husted	Brown	Gap
Emerson	12/6–12/8; 850 RV	3.3	49	46	+3
Bowling Green/YouGov	10/2-10/14; 800 RV	4.5	48	49	+1
Emerson	8/18-8/19; 1000 RV	3.0	50	44	+9

TEXAS

	TEXAS		45.5	43.5	+2.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Cornyn?	Talarico?	Gap
University of Houston	1/20-1/31; 1502 LV	2.5	44	43	+1
Emerson	1/10 – 1/12; 1165 LV	2.8	47	44	+3
Ragnar Research	11/12-11/17 LV		46	40	+6
U. of Houston/TSU	9/19-10/1; 1650 RV	2.4	48	45	+3

	TEXAS		46.0	45.0	+1.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Paxton?	Talarico?	Gap
University of Houston	1/20-1/31; 1502 LV	2.5	46	44	+2
Emerson	1/10 – 1/12; 1165 LV	2.8	46	46	0
Ragnar Research	11/12-11/17 LV		44	44	0
U. of Houston/TSU	9/19-10/1; 1650 RV	2.4	49	46	+3

	TEXAS		46.5	43.0	+3.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Cornyn?	Crockett?	Gap
University of Houston	1/20-1/31; 1502 LV	2.5	45	43	+2
Emerson	1/10 – 1/12; 1165 LV	2.8	48	43	+5
Change Research	11/21-26; 1189 V		49	41	+8
U. of Houston/TSU	9/19-10/1; 1650 RV	2.4	50	44	+6

	TEXAS		45.5	44.5	+1.2
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Paxton?	Crockett?	Gap
University of Houston	1/20-1/31; 1502 LV	2.5	45	43
Emerson	1/10 – 1/12; 1165 LV	2.8	46	46	0
Change Research	11/21-26; 1189 V		50	42	+8
U. of Houston/TSU	9/19-10/1; 1650 RV	2.4	49	47	+2

United States House of Representatives

	NH-02		40.0	54.0	+14
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tang Williams	Goodlander	Gap
UNH	1/15-1/19; 1093 LV	3.0	40	54	+14
UNH	9/17-9/23; 508 LV	4.3	39	51	+12

	NY-01		41.0	38.0	+3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Nick LaLota	Chris Gallant	Gap
PPP	12/10-12/11		41	38	+3

	ME-02		46.0	45.0	+1
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	LePage	Baldacci	Gap
UNH	2/12-2/16; 522 LV	4.3	48	47	+1
Pan Atlantic	11/29-12/7; 145 LV	5.1	44	43	+1

	MI-04		44.0	42.0	+2
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Bill Huizenga	Sean McCann	Gap
PPP	11/20-21; 599 RV	4.1	44	42	+2

	PA-10		44.0	48.0	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Scott Perry	Janelle Stelson	Gap
PPP-D	11/18-19; 549 RV	4.4	44	48	+4