The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

United States Senate

ALASKA

	ALASKA		47.0	45.0	+2.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Sullivan	Peltola	Gap
Siena College	6/15-29; 593 LV		47	45	+2
Alaska Research Survey	1/8-1/11; RV		46.4	48	+1.6
Data for Progress	10/17-11/23; 823 LV	3.0	45	46	+1

GEORGIA

	GEORGIA		43.0	51.5	+8.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Collins	Ossoff	Gap
Wick	6/27-30; 1,175 LV	2.9	42.9	46.7	+3.8
FOX News	6/23-27; 1002 RV	3.0	43	56	+13
Echelon Insights	4/3-4/9		44	51	+7
Emerson	2/28-3/2;	3.0	43	48	+5
Quantus Insights	9/9 – 9/12 624 RV	4.0	38	38	0
TIPP	7/28 – 8/1 2956 RV	1.8	44	45	+1
Cygnal	5/15 – 5/17 800 LV	3.4	43	46	+3
Trafalgar	4/24 – 4/27 1426 LV	2.9	43	48	+5

IOWA

	IOWA		46.0	45.0	+1.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Hinson	Turek	Gap
FOX News	6/23-27; 1003 RV	3.0	46	50	+4
NY Times/Siena	6/15-27; 600 LV	4.7	48	46	+2
Cygnal	6/16-19; 600 V	4.0	46	44	+2
Echelon Insights	4/3-4/9		45	46	+1
GBAO-D	3/10-3/16; 1,200 LV	2.8	47	43	+4

KANSAS

	KANSAS		49	45	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Marshall	Schmidt	Gap
GQR-D	4/23-27; 400 LV		49	45	+4

KENTUCKY

	KENTUCKY
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Barr	Booker	Gap
PPP	12/18-12/19		49	38	+11

MAINE

	MAINE		50.0	46.5	+3.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Collins	Platner	Gap
Wedgewood	7/4-7/6; 405 LV		50	46	+4
FOX News	6/23–27; 1003 RV	3.0	50	47	+3
Siena College	6/19-26; 608 LV		47	49	+2
Next Up/Wick**	6/14-15; 1008 LV		45	48	+3
Quantus Insights	6/9-11; 870 LV	3.4	45	46	+1
Tavern Research	6/5-8; 704 LV	2.8	49	51	+2
UNH	5/21-25; 1280 LV	2.7	42	51	+9
UMass Lowell	5/13-26; 605 LV	4.9	43	48	+5
Pan Atlantic	5/8-18; 827 LV	3.7	41	48	+7
Echelon Insights	4/3-4/9		45	50	+5
MPRC	3/20 – 3/31; 1167 LV	2.9	39	48	+9
Emerson	3/21-3/23; 1,075 LV	3.1	41	48	+7
OnMessage	3/3-3/8 600 LV		42	44	+2
Quantus Insights	3/3-3/5; 800 LV	3.5	42	49	+7
Pan Atlantic	2/20-3/2; 810 LV	3.7	40	44	+4
UNH	2/12-16; 1,120 LV		38	49	+11
Pan Atlantic Research	11/29-12/7; 820 LV		42	43	+1
MPRC	10/26-29; 783		40.9	44.8	+3.9
Impact Research (D)	11/25, 700 LV		51	42	+9

MICHIGAN

	MICHIGAN		43.0	42.0	+1.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Rogers	El-Sayed	Gap
Quantus Insights	6/29-30; 947 LV	3.3	44	45	+1
Data for Progress-D	6/15-22; LV		46	47	+1
Zenith Research – D	6/11-14; 602 LV	4.0	42	45	+3
MIRS/Mitchell Research	5/1-7; 400 LV	6.0	42	41	+1
Detroit Chamber/Glengariff	4/28 – 5/1; 600 LV	4.0	45	40	+5
Emerson	1/24-1/25; 1000 RV	3.0	42	43	0
Detroit News/WDIV-TV	1/2-1/6; 600 LV	4.0	48	42	+6
MIRS/Mitchell Research	11/18-21; 616 LV	3.7	41	38	+3

MINNESOTA

	MINNESOTA
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tafoya	Craig	Gap
Emerson	2/6–2/8; 1000 RV	3.0	40	47	+7

	MINNESOTA
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tafoya	Flanagan	Gap
Emerson	2/6–2/8; 1000 RV	3.0	41	47	+6

NEW HAMPSHIRE

	NEW HAMPSHIRE		42.3	45.6	+3.3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Sununu	Pappas	Gap
Peak Insights	6/24-27; 500 V	4.0	42	43	+1
St. Anselm	6/24-25; 1614 RV	2.4	41	47	+6
UNH	6/18-23; 2232 LV	2.1	44	47	+3
Emerson	3/21 – 3/23; 1100 LV	2.9	45	46	+1
St. Anselm	3/16 – 3/18; 1491 RV	2.5	43	46	+3
UNH	1/15-1/19; 2053 LV	2.2	45	50	+5
NH Journal	12/26-12/28 RV		36	42	+6
Guidant	12/9-12/11 LV		44	47	+3
St. Anselm	11/18-11/19; 2112 RV	2.1	41	44	+3
co/efficient	10/9 – 10/13 1034 LV	3.1	42	45	+3
University of NH	9/17 – 9/23 1235 LV	2.8	43	49	+6

NORTH CAROLINA

	NORTH CAROLINA		43.5	49.0	+5.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Whatley	Cooper	Gap
PPP-D	7/10-11; 759V	3.6	44	48	+4
NY Times/Siena	6/15-29; 601 LV		43	50	+7
Change Research	5/4-8; 957 LV	3.3	42	49	+7
Carolina Journal/Harper	5/10-11; 600 LV	4.0	39	50	+11
High Point/YouGov	3/26 – 4/6; 703 LV	4.3	42	50	+8
Quantus Insights	3/31 – 4/1; 987 LV	3.5	44	49	+5
Carolina Journal/Harper	3/22 – 3/23; 600 LV	4.0	41	49	+8
PPP	3/13 – 3/14; 556 RV	4.2	43	47	+3
Change Research	1/31-2/4 LV		40	50	+10
TIPP	1/12-1/15; RV		24	48	+24
Change Research	1/5-1/7; LV		42	47	+5
Carolina Journal Harper	11/9-11/10 600; LV	4.0	39	47	+8
Carolina Journal Harper	9/14-9/15 600; RV		42	46	+4
Emerson	7/28-7/30 1000; RV	3.0	41	47	+6
Victory Insights	7/28-7/30 600; LV		44	44	0

OHIO

	OHIO		48.0	47.0	+1.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Husted	Brown	Gap
NY Times/Siena	6/15-28; 601 LV	4.7	50	47	+3
Fabrizio/Anzalone	6/14-16; 800 LV	3.5	45	48	+3
FOX News	5/28-6/1;1105 RV	3.0	45	53	+8
Bowling Green/YouGov	4/7-14; 1000 RV		50	47	+3
Echelon Insights	4/3-4/9 413 LV	3.9	51	45	+6
Quantus Insights	3/13-3/14; 784 LV	3.8	46	44	+2
OnMessage	3/3-3/8; 600 LV		45	47	+2
EMC Research	2/10-2/22		47	51	+4
Emerson	12/6–12/8; 850 RV	3.3	49	46	+3
Bowling Green/YouGov	10/2-14; 800 RV	4.5	48	49	+1
Emerson	8/18-8/19; 1000 RV	3.0	50	44	+9

TEXAS

	TEXAS		47.0	45.0	+2.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Paxton	Talarico	Gap
SoCal Strategies	6/21; 800 LV		49	47	+2
A2 Insights	6/23-28; 618 LV	5.3	46	48	+2
Quantus Insights	6/3-4; 800 LV	3.5	45	43	+2
Texas A&M/Siena	6/1-4; 807 LV	4.0	46	46	0
TSU/YouGov	4/22 – 5/6; 1223 RV	2.8	45	45	0
University of Texas	4/10-20; 1200 RV	2.8	34	42	+8
University of Houston	1/20-31; 1502 LV	2.5	46	44	+2
Emerson	1/10 – 1/12; 1165 LV	2.8	46	46	0
Ragnar Research	11/12-11/17 LV		44	44	0
U. of Houston/TSU	9/19-10/1; 1650 RV	2.4	49	46	+3

United States House of Representatives

	AL-02		45	44	+1
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Rhett Marques	Shomari Figures	Gap
Impact Research-D	6/22-25; 400 LV		45	44	+1

	AK-01		53.0	42.0	+11
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Begich	Schultz	Gap
Siena College	6/15-29; 593 LV		51	39	+12
Tavern Research	5/18-27; 452 LV	7.2	55	45	+10
Alaska Research Survey	4/16-19; 1,923 LV	2.5	46	29	+17

	AZ-02		44	41	+3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Eli Crane	Jonathan Nez	Gap
GBAO-D	6/11-15; 500 LV	4.4	44	41	+3

	AZ-06		44	47	+3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Juan Ciscomani	Joanna Mendoza	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid Mar.; 400 LV		44	47	+3

	CA-22		44	48	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	David Valadao	Randy Villegas	Gap
Tulchin Research	6/15-21; 800 LV		44	48	+4

	CA-48		46	48	+2
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Jim Desmond	Marni von Wilpert	Gap
Lake Research-D	7/9-14; 500 LV		46	48	+2

	CO-03		46	41	+5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Jeff Hurd	Alex Kelloff	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid Mar.; 400 LV		46	41	+5

	FL-14		38	46	+8
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Mike Beltran	Kathy Castor	Gap
St. Pete Polls	7/14-15; 469 LV	4.5	38	46	+8

	FL-22		46	45	+1
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Belinda Kaiser	Pia Dandiya	Gap
GQR Research-D	6/18-25; 400 LV		46	45	+1

	FL-27		46	43	+3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Maria Salazar	Eliott Rodriguez	Gap
Blueprint Polling-D	3/6-8; 451 V		46	43	+3

	FL-28		46	40	+6
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Carlos Gimenez	Hector Mujica	Gap
Edge Communications-D	514 LV		46	40	+6

	IA-03		48	42	+6
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Zach Nunn	Sarah Garriott	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid Mar.; 400 LV		48	42	+6

	ID-01		45	35	+10
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Russ Fulcher	Kaylee Peterson	Gap
SurveyUSA	7/7-14; 480 LV		45	35	+10

	KY-06		42	39	+3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Ralph Alvarado	Zach Dembo	Gap
GQR-D	6/24-6/28		42	39	+3

	ME-02		49.0	44.5	+4.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	LePage	Dunlap	Gap
Tulchin Research-D Internal	6/11-16; 600 LV		48	49	+1
Co-Efficient	4/26-4/28		50	40	+10
UNH	2/12-2/16; 522 LV	4.3	47	46	+1

	MI-04		46.0	42.0	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Bill Huizenga	Sean McCann	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid Mar.; 400 LV		48	42	+6
PPP	11/20-21; 599 RV	4.1	44	42	+2

	MI-07		45.0	46.0	+1
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tom Barrett	Bridget Brink	Gap
PPP (D)	4/24-25; 519 RV	4.3	45	46	+1

	MN-01		52	42	+10
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Brad Finstad	Jake Johnson	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid Mar.; 400 LV	4.1	52	42	+10

	MN-02		42	43	+1
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Eric Pratt	Matt Klein	Gap
Harper	6/18-21; 415 LV	4.81	42	43	+1

	NC-01		41	41	+0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Laurie Buckhout	Don Davis	Gap
Co-Efficient	4/26-4/28		41	41	+0

	NC-10		53	37	+16
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Pat Harrigan	Ashley Bell	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid Mar.; 400 LV		53	37	+16

	NC-14		48	40	+8
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tim Moore	LaKesha Womack	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid Mar.; 400 LV		48	40	+8

	NE-01		43	35.5	+7.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Mike Flood	Chris Backemeyer	Gap
Tavern Research	5/16-19; 1079 LV	3.9	41	33	+8
Zenith Research (D)	5/8-11;		45	38	+7

	NH-02		31.0	50.0	+19
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tang Williams	Goodlander	Gap
Saint Anselm	6/24-25		31	50	+19
St. Anselm	3/16 – 3/18; 1491 RV	2.5	36	48	+12
UNH	1/15-1/19; 1093 LV	3.0	40	54	+14
UNH	9/17-9/23; 508 LV	4.3	39	51	+12

	NM-02		41	43	+2
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Greg Cunningham	Gabe Vasquez	Gap
Co-Efficient	4/26-4/28		41	43	+2

	NY-01		41.0	38.0	+3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Nick LaLota	Chris Gallant	Gap
PPP	12/10-12/11		41	38	+3

	NY-17		48.0	47.0	+1
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Mike Lawler	Cait Conley	Gap
Co-Efficient	7/20-22; 1,292 LV		50	45	+5
FM3 Research-D	6/27-7/1; 509 LV		45	51	+6

	OH-09		47.0	43.0	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Derek Merrin	Marcy Kaptur	Gap
McLaughlin	4/18-20; 400 LV	4.9	47	43	+4

	OH-10		48.0	41.0	+7
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Mike Turner	Kristina Knickerbocker	Gap
FM3 Research-D	7/6-12; 536 LV		48	41	+7

	PA-01		48.0	42.0	+6
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Brian Fitzpatrick	Bob Harvie	Gap
Global Strategy Group-D	3/19-22; 400 LV		48	42	+6

	PA-07		43.0	47.0	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Ryan McKenzie	Bob Brooks	Gap
GBAO-D	6/29-7/2; 550 LV		43	47	+4

	PA-10		44.0	48.0	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Scott Perry	Janelle Stelson	Gap
PPP-D	11/18-19; 549 RV	4.4	44	48	+4

	TX-28		46	38	+8
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Tijerina	Cuellar	Gap
Pulse Decision Science	6/21-23; 400 LV		46	38	+8

	TX-34		41	40	+1
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Eric Flores	Vicente Gonzales	Gap
Co-Efficient	4/26-4/28		41	40	+1

	VA-01		46	42	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Rob Wittman	Shannon Taylor	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid March		46	42	+4

	VA-02		47	47	0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Jen Kiggans	Elaine Luria	Gap
Tulchin Research-D	7/9-13; 700 LV		47	47	0

	WA-03		43	39	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	John Braun	Marie G. Perez	Gap
Emerson	7/8-10; 500 LV	4.4	45	44	+1
Co-Efficient	4/26-4/28		41	34	+7

	WA-05		53	47	+6
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Michael Baumgartner	Carmela Conroy	Gap
Tavern Research	5/18-25; 578 LV		53	47	+6

	WI-01		50	41	+9
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Bryan Steil	Mitchell Berman	Gap
Ragnar Research	Mid Mar.; 400 LV		50	41	+9

	WI-03		46	50	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Derrick Van Orden	Rebecca Cooke	Gap
FM3 Research-D	6/20-25; 535 LV		46	50	+4