The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

The 2026 race for control of the US House of Representatives currently gives the Democrats a slight edge.

190	FL-9	12.0	Flip GOP
191	MO-5	12.0	Flip GOP
192	TX-9	12.0	Flip GOP
193	TX-32	12.0	Flip GOP
194	LA-6	12.0	Flip GOP
195	TN-9	12.0	Flip GOP
196	NC-14	7.9
196	Safe GOP	Margin	Flip
197	WI-1	8.9
198	FL-14	7.8	Flip GOP
199	FL-27	7.8
200	NC-11	7.7
201	FL-22	7.7	Flip GOP
202	CO-5	7.6
203	AZ-2	7.5
204	TX-35	7.2	Flip GOP
205	IA-3	6.1
206	ME-2	5.3	Flip GOP
207	OH-9	5.0	Flip GOP
208	CO-3	4.9
209	MI-4	4.9
210	WA-3	4.8	Flip GOP
211	IA-1	4.7
212	PA-8	4.7
213	PA-1	4.1
214	VA-1	3.5
215	WI-3	3.6
216	FL-25	2.9	Flip GOP
217	NC-1	1.5	Flip GOP
218	TX-34	1.1	Flip GOP
	Control:	GOP
217	MI-10	-0.5	Flip DEM
216	PA-10	-1.3	Flip DEM
215	CA-22	-1.3	Flip DEM
214	CA-48	-1.6	Flip DEM
213	NY-17	-1.7	Flip DEM
212	VA-2	-1.7	Flip DEM
211	TX-28	-1.8
210	PA-7	-1.9	Flip DEM
209	AZ-1	-2.0	Flip DEM
208	MI-8	-2.1	Flip DEM
207	OH-1	-2.1
206	CO-8	-2.4	Flip DEM
205	MI-7	-2.5	Flip DEM
204	NY-4	-2.5
203	NJ-7	-2.6	Flip DEM
202	AZ-6	-3.1	Flip DEM
201	NY-3	-3.5
200	NM-2	-3.9
199	IN-1	-4.2
198	NV-3	-4.5
197	CA-13	-4.8
196	NJ-9	-4.8
195	NY-19	-5.6
194	NH-1	-5.8
193	OH-13	-6.1
192	CA-45	-6.3
191	VA-7	-6.7
190	NE-2	-7.4	Flip DEM
189	CA-21	-7.8
188	NV-1	-8.3
187	NV-4	-8.3
186	Safe DEM	Margin	Flip
186	CA-1	-12	Flip DEM
185	CA-3	-12	Flip DEM
184	CA-41	-12	Flip DEM
183	UT-1	-12	Flip DEM