Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

2026 Election Polling

United States Senate

GEORGIA

GEORGIA41.342.7+1.4
PollsterDates/SampleMoECollinsOssoffGap
Quantus Insights9/9 – 9/12 624 RV4.038380
TIPP7/28 – 8/1 2956 RV1.84445+1
Cygnal5/15 – 5/17 800 LV3.44346+3
Trafalgar4/24 – 4/27 1426 LV2.94348+5

IOWA

IOWA
PollsterDates/SampleMoE(TBD)(TBD)Gap

MAINE

MAINE44.542.5+2
PollsterDates/SampleMoECollinsMillsGap
Pan Atlantic Research11/29-12/7; 820 LV43430
MPRC10/26-29; 7834642+4
MAINE42.643.5+0.9
PollsterDates/SampleMoECollinsPlatnerGap
Pan Atlantic Research11/29-12/7; 820 LV4243+1
MPRC10/26-29; 78340.944.8+3.9
Impact Research (D)11/25, 700 LV5142+9

MICHIGAN

MICHIGAN43.041.6+1.4
PollsterDates/SampleMoERogersStevensGap
MIRS/Mitchell Research11/18-21; 616 LV3.74240+2
Sentinal Action Fund (R)11/14+9
EPIC-MRA11/6-11; 600 RV4.04244+2
Rosetta Stone10/23-25; 637 LV3.94740+7
Detroit Chamber/Glengariff5/5-5/8 600 RV4.04445+1
MIRS/Target Insyght3/3-3/6 600 RV4.04135+6

MINNESOTA

MINNESOTA
PollsterDates/SampleMoE(TBD)(TBD)Gap

NEW HAMPSHIRE

NEW HAMPSHIRE41.745.3+3.6
PollsterDates/SampleMoESununuPappasGap
St. Anselm11/18-11/19; 2112 RV2.14144+3
co/efficient10/9 – 10/13 1034 LV3.14245+3
University of NH9/17 – 9/23 1235 LV2.84349+6

NORTH CAROLINA

NORTH CAROLINA40.346.5+6.2
PollsterDates/SampleMoEWhatleyCooperGap
Carolina Journal/Harper11/9-11/10 600 LV4.0397+9
Carolina Journal/Harper9/14-9/15 600 RV4246+4
Emerson7/28-7/30 1000 RV3.04147+6
Victory Insights7/28-7/30 600 LV44440

OHIO

OHIO48.647.2+1.4
PollsterDates/SampleMoEHustedBrownGap
Emerson12/6–12/8; 850 RV3.34946+3
Bowling Green/YouGov10/2-10/14;
800 RV
4.54849+1
Emerson8/18-8/19;
1000 RV
3.05044+9

TEXAS

TEXAS4742.5+4.5
PollsterDates/SampleMoECornyn?Talarico?Gap
Ragnar Research11/12-11/17 LV4640+6
U. of Houston/TSU9/19-10/1; 1650 RV2.44845+3
TEXAS46.545.0+1.5
PollsterDates/SampleMoEPaxton?Talarico?Gap
Ragnar Research11/12-11/17 LV44440
U. of Houston/TSU9/19-10/1; 1650 RV2.44946+3
TEXAS49.542.5+7.0
PollsterDates/SampleMoECornyn?Crockett?Gap
Change Research11/21-26; 1189 V4941+8
U. of Houston/TSU9/19-10/1; 1650 RV2.45044+6
TEXAS49.544.5+5.0
PollsterDates/SampleMoEPaxton?Crockett?Gap
Change Research11/21-26; 1189 V5042+8
U. of Houston/TSU9/19-10/1; 1650 RV2.44947+2

United States House of Representatives

NH-0239.051.0+12
PollsterDates/SampleMoETang WilliamsGoodlanderGap
University of NH9/17-9/23; 508 LV4.33951+12
ME-0244.043.0+1
PollsterDates/SampleMoELePageBaldacciGap
Pan Atlantic11/29-12/7; 145 LV5.14443+1
MI-0444.042.0+2
PollsterDates/SampleMoEBill HuizengaSean McCannGap
PPP11/20-21; 599 RV4.14442+2
PA-1044.048.0+4
PollsterDates/SampleMoEScott PerryJanelle StelsonGap
PPP-D11/18-19; 549 RV4.44448+4