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The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.


  • Pick your Generic Ballot
  • Close Senate Race in Kansas?
  • Friday is Here
  • Dems to Primary the RI Governor
  • Wednesday is here
  • 2024 Election Polling Grades
  • 2024 Polling Aggregator
  • Walt’s List of Trump’s Achievements
  • Walt’s List of Scams

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Republican +1218217

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+4.3+3.3+2.2+1.5+1.6+2.0+6.0+6.2+6.3+7.0
Count48495051494847464544
  • Pick your Generic Ballot

    CNN says its a close race, Dem 45, GOP 42. Atlas Intel says its a Dem blowout Dem 55, GOP 40. There are clues that Atlas Intel is out to lunch. Their Dem primary ballot from the same collection: Harris 13, Newsom 21, Buttigieg 22, Ocasio-Cortez 26, Shapiro 2, Kelly , Pritzker , Beshear ,…

    May 12, 2026
  • Close Senate Race in Kansas?

    Yes, according to a Democrat internal, GQR (D), by one of the challengers. Patrick Schmidt (D) 45% Sen. Roger Marshall (R) 49%

    May 11, 2026
  • Friday is Here

    May 8, 2026
  • Dems to Primary the RI Governor

    According to a new poll by UNH. Democrat challenger Helena Foulkes leads the poll over the incumbent governor 45-11, raising questions as to what happened to the other 44% of the vote. But the larger question is how badly a Dem in a deep blue state could get so messed up as to lose the…

    May 7, 2026
  • Wednesday is here

    and a new Homer Hedgehog

    May 6, 2026
  • New House Polls

    Ragnar Research (R) AZ-6Juan Ciscomani (R-Inc) 44Joanna Mendoza (D) 47 CO-3 Jeff Hurd (R-Inc) 46%Alex Kelloff (D) 41%. IA-3 Zach Nunn (R-Inc) 48%Sarah Garriott (D) 42%. MI-4Bill Huizenga (R-Inc) 48%Sean McCann (D) 42%. MN-1Brad Finstad (R-Inc) 52%Jake Johnson (D) 42%. NC-10 Pat Harrigan (R-Inc) 53%Ashley Bell (D) 37%. NC-14Tim Moore (R-Inc) leads 48%LaKesha Womack 40%.…

    May 5, 2026
  • New Week, No Polls

    May 4, 2026
  • Finally Friday

    May 1, 2026
  • Redistricting War Ongoing

    April 30, 2026
  • Trouble in Alaska

    According to the Alaska Research Survey poll Round 2: Mary Peltola (D) 50.2%Dan Sullivan (R) 43.6%James Ryan (R) 6.2%

    April 29, 2026
  • Where is This?

    Be the first to name the state or country shown below. No using Google lens or similar tools. One guess per person.

    April 28, 2026
  • Tuesday without Polls

    April 28, 2026
  • Monday Morning-Trump Lives

    Despite the efforts of the left to foment hatred resulting in attempts on his life

    April 27, 2026
  • Pappas over Sununu by 7

    According to UNH Pappas 49 Sununu 42 Prior poll from them had Pappas at 50.

    April 24, 2026
  • Thursday Thread

    April 23, 2026
  • Walt’s List of Scams

    ●●Green energy initiatives – scam that cost U.S. taxpayers hundred of millions ●●Black Lives Matter – scam that cost donors tens of millions ●●MN medicaid, learing [sic] centers, Day care centers, etc – scam that cost taxpayers billions ●●Southern Poverty Law Center – scam that costs donors millions ●●CA fake hospice businesses – scam that…

    April 22, 2026
  • Collins gaining some in Maine

    Platner (D) 50%, Collins (R) 45% This according to Echelon Insights/NetChoice Polls

    April 22, 2026
  • Husted up 3 in Ohio

    According to Bowling Green State University poll SenateJon Husted (inc): 50%Sherrod Brown: 47%Other: 3%——GovernorVivek Ramaswamy: 48%Amy Acton: 47%Other: 5%——Generic BallotGOP: 48%DEM: 43%——BGSU/YouGov | 4/7-14 | 1,000 RV

    April 21, 2026
  • Still Close in California

    After Swalwell forced out, GOP still in contention for primary sweep. Democrats may have to “help” another of their candidates drop out. Gudelunas Strategies poll | 4/14-4/18 LV California Governor jungle primary 2026 (Top two vote getters advance) 🟥Steve Hilton 20%🟦Xavier Becerra 15%🟦Tom Steyer 15%🟥Chad Bianco 14%🟦Katie Porter 13%🟦Matt Mahan 6%🟦Antonio Villaraigosa 3%🟦Tony Thurmond 2%🟦Betty…

    April 20, 2026
  • Sunday Open Thread

    Be glad if you don’t root for the Phillies or Mets

    April 19, 2026
  • Finally Friday

    April 17, 2026
  • Michigan Senate Dem Primary

    too close to call according to Data for Progress Stevens 23McMorrow 22El-Sayed 22

    April 16, 2026
  • Cornyn over Paxton by 1

    44 to 43 according to co/efficient

    April 15, 2026
  • Steyer to be next CA Governor

    According to SurveyUSA San Diego Tribune/Survey USA poll | 4/8-4/10 LV California Governor jungle primary 2026 (Top two candidates advance) 🟦Tom Steyer 21%🟥Steve Hilton 18%🟦Eric Swalwell 9% (dropped out)🟥Chad Bianco 8%🟦Katie Porter 8%🟦Antonio Villaraigosa 5%🟦Xavier Becerra 4%🟦Matt Mahan 4%🟦Betty Yee 4%🟦Tony Thurmond 1%Undecided 18%

    April 14, 2026
  • Democrats just won the California Governor Race

    Eric Swallwell dropped out.

    April 13, 2026
  • Friday with new polling

    This from UMass / YouGov, probably the most under-pushed poll I have ever seen with an absurd number of undecided among a poll of 1000 adults. US President 2028🟥JD Vance 36%🟦Gavin Newsom 33%—🟥JD Vance 36%🟦AOC 33%——🟦Gavin Newsom 33%🟥Tucker Carlson 25%—🟦AOC 32%🟥Tucker Carlson 25%——Generic congressional ballot 2026🟦Democratic 38%🟥Republican 35%

    April 10, 2026
  • GOP maybe rid of Massie?

    Big Data Poll says its close: GOP primary: Massie 52, Gallrein 48

    April 9, 2026
  • Wednesday without Polls

    April 8, 2026
  • Collins in Deep Trouble in Maine

    According to MPRC Platner 48 Collins 39

    April 7, 2026
  • Monday Morning After Incredible Rescue

    In the America I grew up with, the story of the rescue of the downed U.S. aviator would be made into a stars and stripes movie. Today’s Hollywood not so much.

    April 6, 2026
  • Good Friday for those who Observe it

    Average Friday for those who don’t. For those who might be interested, there are two options for the year of Christ’s crucifixion, either A.D. 30 or A.D. 33. Most experts lean toward A.D. 33. Interestingly, this year falls on the same calendar as A.D. 33, which means the crucifixion was Friday, April 3, 33.

    April 3, 2026
  • No Trouble for GOP in Florida

    According to new polling from Emerson: Florida Governor:Donalds 44, Jolly 39Donalds 45, Demings 36 Florida Senate:Moody 46, Vindman 38Moody 45, Mujica 38Moody 47, Nixon 36

    April 2, 2026
  • Breaking: Oak Island Treasure Found!

    According to news leaked from the show’s production team, the April 7 broadcast will reveal the treasure has been found, and it exceeds all expectations.

    April 1, 2026
  • Hochul up 13 in New York

    According to Siena 3/23 – 3/26; 804 RV; 4.2 MoE Hochul 47Blakeman 34

    March 31, 2026
  • Monday Morning

    March 30, 2026
  • GOP with Work to do in NC

    According to Carolina Journal/Harper 3/22 – 3/23; 600 LV; 4.0 MoE Cooper 49 Whatley 41

    March 27, 2026
  • Tossup in NH Senate Race

    According to Emerson 3/21 – 3/23; 1100 LV; 2.9 MoE US Senate New Hampshire 2026🟦Pappas 45%🟥Sununu 44% Same poll has Collins in trouble in Maine: US Senate Maine 2026🟦Graham Platner 48%🟥Susan Collins 41%

    March 26, 2026
  • No Polls Tuesday

    March 25, 2026
  • Close Senate race in NH

    According to St. Anselm poll taken 3/16 – 3/18; 1491 RV; 2.5 MoE. In 2024 they had a B grade with a 2.2 slant to the blue. Sununu (R) 43 Pappas (D) 46 Same poll has significant advantage for Ayotte in Gov race: Ayotte 45, Kiper 31

    March 24, 2026
  • Monday Morning Again

    March 23, 2026
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The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

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