The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +7214221

2026 Senate Forecast

KSIAMEAKMIMNTXOHNHNCGA
Gap+3.9+2.5+2+2+0.5+0.8+1+1.5+4+4.5+5
Count4748495051494847464544

***There are no “freepassers” here***

Monday polling

DW

Today’s Talking Point: Voters are angry about high gas prices. But voters forget that Democrats want to ban gas altogether.

New Hampshire Senate:

Pappas 46
Sununu 42

Trafalgar Group

Texas:

Talarico 47
Paxton 45

Hinojosa 44
Abbott 49

Big Data Poll

Talarico 48
Paxton 48

Hinojosa 45
Abbott 50

Stratus Intelligence

Maine:

Jackson 46
Collins 46

Insider Advantage

Iowa:

Turek 47
Hinson 46

South Carolina:

Andrews 42
Graham Nordone 43

North Carolina:

Cooper 53
Whatley 42

AARP

Michigan

El-Sayed 48
Rogers 44

GBAO-Dem PAC

6 responses to “Monday polling”

  1. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    First

    Like

  2. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    DW – You are giving voters too much credit. It is like Tina thinking voters will analyze complicated economic data rather than just saying, “What am I paying for gas and diesel? WTF”

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  3. DW Avatar
    DW

    That’s my point Bitter. They will turn to Democrats for lower gas prices even though Democrats want $10 a gallon on the way to banning gasoline for good.

    Like

  4. DW Avatar
    DW

    Curious that the Dem in NY-23, a safe R seat chose to reveal an internal poll showing him down 17 points to the Republican, 52/35. This poll suggests a gap similar to the gap Trump took in that seat in 2024. Hochul is hated across much of New York state, so I think the GOP might do okay in some of those competitive house seats.

    Like

  5. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    EricLDaugh

    ·

    🚨 NOW: Another TEXAS US SENATE poll finds Ken Paxton on the verge of TAKING THE LEAD over James Talarico 🔵 James Talarico: 48% (=) 🔴 Ken Paxton: 48% GOVERNOR 🔴 Greg Abbott: 50% (+5) 🔵 Gina Hinojosa: 45% Stratus (R-aligned) | 9/22-24 | N=965LV

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  6. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    is stratus??? -Boris big data? I really hate seeing all these partisan affiliated poles

    Like

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