The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +17209226

2026 Senate Forecast

SCMEAKKSIAMITXMNOHNH
Gap+2+2+2+1+1+0.5+0.5+0.8+2+5
Count46474849505152484746

***There are no “freepassers” here***

Is New York this Close?

DW

NEW YORK

Governor

🟥 Blakeman: 41%
🟦 Hochul: 48%

co/efficient (A) – 9/23-25; 1046 LV

MAINE POLL – Senate

🟥 Susan Collins (inc): 47%
🟦 Troy Jackson: 51%

Marist (C-) | 10/1-4 | 1505 RV

7 responses to “Is New York this Close?”

  1. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Next senator of mn?

    Like

  2. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    whoops, next mn senator?

    Like

  3. DW Avatar
    DW

    I fixed it for you

    Liked by 1 person

  4. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Fort Hood killer to be executed by firing squad.

    Good riddance.

    I remember when Knova quit HHR because we didn’t agree this guy was just having a “bad work day”, and we were all Islamophobic for calling him a terrorist.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. DW Avatar
    DW

    If knova was still around he might agree with PBS that in fact there is no proof the co-pilot in the flydubai plane was a radical islamic terrorist. Despite the fact that he was previously grounded for radical islamic views, he was up there flying with his friend and buddy from India, then just suddenly had a bad day, pulled out the knife and started killing the pilot, put the plane in a nose dive, and it just happened to be a plane full of JEWS.

    yeah, just a victim of circumstance there.

    Like

  6. DW Avatar
    DW

    Our future if the DSA led dems take over our country:

    🚨 JUST IN: VIOLENCE IS BREAKING OUT as riots in France CONTINUE, pushed by radical leftists and migrants participating France is in desperate need of a right-wing leader and severe tough-on-crime crackdown! Marine Le Pen is France’s last hope. Elect her in huge numbers 🇺🇸🇫🇷 Over 5,000 arrests have already been made.— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 6, 2026

    Like

  7. DW Avatar
    DW

    here is how the psy-ops game works:

    Alaska Senate

    Trafalgar, co/efficient, and Quantus, all B or A rated pollsters say Sullivan leads. All three polled more than 750 likely voters.

    B rated Rasmussen shows a tie.

    Alaska Research Survey shows a close race with a narrow 3.8 lead for the Dem, but they got a C grade in 2024 for being off in the direction of Harris by 5 points.

    So by all reasonable metrics, this is a tossup race.

    But then NY Times/Siena (C grade in 2024) comes along, drops a poll with only 504 LV and a huge 5.1 MoE, showing Peltola up 7.

    This immediately triggers Sabato to move it from Tossup to Lean D.

    The left cheers and says this race is over, on to Kansas and Kentucky.

    Like

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