Rasmussen:
North Carolina
Cooper 48
Whatley 41
Michigan
El-Sayed 47
Rogers 44
NY Times/Siena:
Michigan
El-Sayed 49
Rogers 44
New Hampshire
Pappas 50
Sununu 45
Maine
Collins 49
Jackson 46
Quantus:
Ohio
Brown 47
Husted 47
Stetson University
Florida
Moody 51
Nixon 40
61 responses to “Friday polling”
I hope Souter 2.0 and beotchy the law purfessor don’t wobble.
LikeLike
Blow to the freepassers and their open border agenda
Zzzzzzzzz. Nobody at HHR supports open borders. Tina must have dementia. Not surprised at her age.
LikeLike
I am starting to think that its not just the MI senate race or some of these other races, but maybe just the whole country is no longer pollable. Here is but another example in the Florida race for Governor. Should be a pretty easy race to poll. But here we go, two polls of the same race taken at basically the same time:
Stetson University, 9/14-21:
Donalds 51 (+12)
Jolly 39
St. Pete Polls, 9/15-17:
Donalds 44 (+1)
Jolly 43
In the old days Dave Wissing would comment that after 9/17 some major shift happened in favor of Donalds, as though both polls were correct.
But all of this is absurd. There are pollster gaslighting, pollsters under-sampling, or using RVs, or doing month-long polls, or only polling via texts to cell phones, or totally online and no live interviews, its literally all over the place.
And now we have AI, which might be getting in the mix, and we have Dems openly running as communists or anti-semitic terrorists, and the works. This is what an un-pollable electorate looks like.
LikeLike
Slingshot Strategies (D), with a very bad track record for accuracy, out with a new TX poll showing Paxton one point better than their prior poll:
Talarico 49%
Paxton 44%
Abbott 50%
Hinojosa 46%
LikeLike
Has Tina told us yet the answer to two simple questions?
The suspense is killing me, I need to know whether to feel inferior.
LikeLike
Janzam assured us that after Labor Day people in TX would start paying attention to the senate race and Paxton would look better in the polls.
So far have not seen ONE poll where he is leading.
What gives?
LikeLike
I love the slingshot polll
-freepasser
LikeLike
LikeLike
The Slingshot poll seems to be in good company.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2026/texas/paxton-vs-talarico
LikeLike
I doubt this decision will have much impact on the midterms, but it might serve as a deterrent for illegals to try to register in future elections.
LikeLike
not really jason, sure there is the gaslighting Marist, but TSU/You Gov, Trafalgar and Emerson all have it a 1 point race. Two university pollsters and Trafalgar. That’s a diverse group saying its a 1 point game.
Slingshot (D) is a joke.
LikeLike
not really jason, sure there is the gaslighting Marist, but TSU/You Gov, Trafalgar and Emerson all have it a 1 point race. Two university pollsters and Trafalgar. That’s a diverse group saying its a 1 point game.”
I wasn’t defending the Slingshot poll, what I said was it was in good company meaning it showed what the other polls show. Talarico ahead.
My point was ALL polls have Talarico ahead not ONE has Paxton winning.
LikeLike
I think Paxton will eke out a narrow win because I just can’t imagine Texas voting for the commie weirdo.
That being said, “a 1 point game” as the best scenario is pretty scary.
Paxton is an underwhelming candidate and that is why he is trouble.
LikeLike
Evidently PACs have already spent $51 million on Paxton.
If R lose narrowly any races like IA, OH, ME, AK, etc. you can make a good case Paxton will be to blame because of the resources that have to be made to prop him up.
Cornyn would have required ZERO outside money to wipe the floor with this cross between Alfred E. Newman and Howdy Doody.
https://www.vcstar.com/picture-gallery/news/local/2019/07/12/images-mad-magazine/1710750001/
LikeLike
Tina forgot to say she was devastated by Barrett and Robert’s joining with the other conservatives in this SCOTUS Decision.
LikeLike
Never too old to shoot your roommate over an electrical outlet.
“An elderly man in Maryland has been arrested after he allegedly confessed to his pastor that he killed his roommate following an argument over an electrical outlet.
Irwin Joseph Dickstein was taken into custody on Sunday, September 20, and was charged with one count of first-degree murder and one count of second-degree murder in the death of his roommate, Michael Roy Bushnell.”
Dickstein is 87.
LikeLike
Sounds like getting involved….
“President Emmanuel Macron said on Thursday that France plans to send troops to Saudi Arabia to help protect a refinery and crude oil pipeline in the Red Sea port of Yanbu, ramping up France’s military efforts to contain the impact of the Iran war.
“We are going to send military assets, that is, soldiers, radar systems, and defense systems to protect this site,” Macron said in a TV interview on Thursday. However, he stressed that France was “not getting involved in any conflict,”
LikeLike
he killed his roommate following an argument over an electrical outlet.
I will take “Crimes the Amish don’t commit” for $1,000, Ken.
LikeLiked by 1 person
But Hormuzzle is closed.
LikeLike
But Hormuzzle is closed.
Who the F are you posting this for? Nobody at HHR said that. WTF happened to you?
LikeLike
Somewhere Wes is smiling….
“Dale Caldwell, the lieutenant governor of New Jersey, resigned from his position on Friday, after the release of a report accusing him of sexually harassing a female staffer, among other ethics violations.
New Jersey’s governor, Mikie Sherrill, announced on Friday afternoon that Caldwell had submitted his resignation to her earlier in the day.
The decision by Caldwell, 66, came one day after Sherrill called on him to step down after an investigation determined he violated state ethics rules and engaged in behavior that constituted sexual harassment.”
LikeLike
US getting their asses kicked so far today in the President’s Cup.
Still time to recover by the front 9 has been brutal.
LikeLike
Who the F are you posting this for? Nobody at HHR said that. WTF happened to you?”
She is trying to distract from answering the questions.
Has Tina told us yet the answer to two simple questions?
The suspense is killing me, I need to know whether to feel inferior.”
Still waiting….
LikeLike
LikeLike
Rino has thoughts. He will vote for freako.
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2103532101299806634
LikeLike
There is more inflation now than under Biden
-freepasser
LikeLike
“This is the way majority parties become minority parties — by nominating candidates that are less than appealing to a general election electorate.”
Hard to argue with this considering the polls…..
LikeLike
So Tina why is your candidate still losing or at best tied with “freako”?
Meanwhile the “RINO” would have been winning at least by 10.
LikeLike
Free passer believes in garbage poles. Wake me up when it’s late October.
LikeLike
“This is the way majority parties become minority parties — by nominating candidates that are less than appealing to a general election electorate.”
Yep.
Rs by nominating Paxton forgot the lessons of COD, Angle, Buck, Akin, Mourdock, Miller, etc.
Even in red states, you need a candidate that appeals to enough Indies to get over the top.
LikeLike
Wake me up when it’s late October.”
LOL
Last week it was mid-October.
Last month it was Labor Day.
Meanwhile these are the polls that are driving huge expenditures to prop up a baggage ridden turkey like Paxton when the money could be spent on other races.
LikeLike
I fall for fake tx polls and t fell for the Russia hoax. I also misplaced my fauci doll and next week it’s Covid vax #54.
-freepasser
LikeLike
That poll with Rogers up 1 is Torchlight Strategies. Not much on them, so I had to dig in the archives, and found they had one poll in 2024, of the POTUS race in Nebraska. They predicted 57/37 for Trump and the final results was 59/39, so that’s pretty accurate. But its just one poll.
Speaking of archives, here is one from many years ago:
Top ten excuses Republicans give for voting for BlueFrauds:
10. My grandpa used to vote for my BlueFraud’s grandpa.
9. My BlueFraud and ONLY my BlueFraud is capable of saving our air base!
8. My BlueFraud has nice eyes.
7. I got a really nice letter once from my BlueFraud.
6. My BlueFraud has been in office for 28 years, so he must be good!
5. My BlueFraud is a fiscal hawk! So never mind that our country is being destroyed by Dem leadership, my BlueFraud will try to stop it.
4. My BlueFraud used to go to my church.
3. My BlueFraud has excellent constituent services.
2. I have never heard of my BlueFraud’s challenger.
1. What was the question?
LikeLike
Tina thinks she can distract from not answering the questions by posting lies.
Won’t work.
LikeLike
Not too worried about Texas Rs voting for the commie.
The problem are the ones that will leave the senate choice blank and the fact Paxton has no appeal to Indies.
LikeLike
it depends on what indies in Texas want. If they want a candidate who would chop the privates off a boy because he looked at a Barbie doll, then Talarico is their guy. If they want someone who protects boys from this horrific child abuse, then its Paxton.
My fear is that most “independents” are really commies.
LikeLike
7.0 earthquake 100 miles off the coast of New Caledonia
LikeLiked by 1 person
There is more inflation now than under Biden
Said by nobody at HHR.
LikeLike
Jason – Tina is answering your questions by not answering them.
Face it. She views you as an inferior citizen. After all, she went through the vigorous citizenship process of traveling down the correct vagina.
LikeLike
Stupid decision here. They didn’t block the primary using the new maps and got involved in the election after ballots have already gone out.
https://x.com/OpenSourceZone/status/2103605945838567873
LikeLike
I wonder if the freepassers shop this one to a Marxist judge
LikeLike
If they want someone who protects boys from this horrific child abuse, then its Paxton.”
I don’t think even 2% of Indies will be voting on that issue.
LikeLike
Face it. She views you as an inferior citizen”
Maybe not even a citizen.
LikeLike
What the HHR Putinistas want for all of Ukraine.
“The southern Ukrainian city of Oleshky — under Russian occupation since 2022 — has become “hell on earth,” local officials and humanitarian workers told ABC News, as thousands of remaining residents face starvation and hundreds flee through a war zone littered with mines and bodies.
Oleshky is located close to the eastern bank of the Dnipro River, which since Ukraine’s liberation of the city of Kherson in the fall of 2022 has formed the frontline between Ukrainian and Russian forces in the southern theater.
Recent weeks have seen voices from the city and its surrounding rural communities emerge anew as Ukrainian officials and humanitarian organizations seek to bring attention to the deteriorating situation on the Dnipro’s left bank, in view of the Ukrainian forces holding their positions only a few miles away along the right bank.
Tetiana Hasanenko, a Ukrainian official serving from the western side of the Dnipro as the head of the Oleshky Military Administration, told ABC News that the area’s prewar population of around 40,000 people has fallen to as low as 6,000, with only around 2,000 in Oleshky city.
Those who remain, she said, face rapidly deteriorating living conditions and a Russian occupation authority with little apparent interest in alleviating them. “We are not talking about them surviving the winter,” Hasanenko said.
Messages sent by residents in Oleshky and shared with ABC News tell of careful rationing of remaining food supplies, a chronic shortage of medication and having to move from one abandoned house to the next to escape drone attacks and marauding Russian troops.
“The blockade is complete,” said one message. “Endless drones, fires. Like a horror movie.”
LikeLike
US got skunked 5-0 today at the President’s Cup.
So Trump just cancelled the tournament, because it could give the President a bad name.
LikeLike
On CSpan-2, you can watch a speech by Paxton. I gave 5 minutes. Zzzzzzz He was talking about the importance of the family. Not his, obviously.
LikeLike
Damm, Bitter has a cast iron stomach for speeches.
If he could only last 5 minutes I probably would have lasted 15 seconds.
LikeLike
You won’t hear much about this on CNN.
https://thepostmillennial.com/pittsburgh-childrens-hospital-director-stabbed-to-death-while-sleeping-in-his-bed-suspect-has-lengthy-criminal-record#google_vignette
LikeLike
Instead, their “breaking news” is about themselves.
“As we come on the air tonight, we do have breaking news that once again involves this network,” a somber Sciutto announced. “CNN has been told that the White House is, once again, moving to bar our journalists from covering the president as part of the White House television press pool.”
The chyron below screamed in all caps, “WHITE HOUSE BARS CNN FROM COVERING TRUMP’S TRAVEL TOMORROW.”
LikeLike
Boston Globe not far left enough for Western MA Communists and called “MAGA” and an “ally for corporate lobbies” for covering lesbian bar story.
Some of the comments are funny.
“Could you PLEASE use a more accessible FONT? This is SO hurtful to SO many!”
https://twitchy.com/gordon-k/2026/09/25/crazy-commies-continue-clown-car-cavalcade-in-last-ditch-bar-debacle-n2432686
LikeLike
But muh inflation
LikeLike
Fir October. We will get Eppkestein and muh tariffs. Just wait.
LikeLike
If he could only last 5 minutes I probably would have lasted 15 seconds.
That’s what Mrs. Jason said.
Zing!
LikeLike
Mrs. Jason said she only lasted 15 seconds? Kudos to Mr. Jason.
LikeLike
Somrone else said yhis on Facebook. Not me.
“Just did research on refining costs. 14 gal of diesel from 44 gal barrel of crude. Rest is sold as bunker fuel, vasoline, grease/lubricants, and bituminous (asphalt). Huge profits from by-products. The cost to refine diesel is 44 cents per gallon. Transportation costs and state and local taxes add another layer of expense. Assuming reasonable profit margin of 20% for refiner and gas station, a gallon of diesel can be sold profitably for well under $3.00/gallon. Big oil is raping the motoring public.”
*******
Another person showed a many decade chart of crude oil prices and deisel fuel prices. Today’s numbers showed a HUGE gap, biggest gap ever between the two numbers.
LikeLike
The drop in home prices is not particularly good news because it is probably due to higher mortgage rates.
“Lower prices to clear inventory” is not a great thing for businesses.
LikeLike
Assuming reasonable profit margin of 20% for refiner and gas station”
Zzzzz….
Who decides what “reasonable margin” is? “Someone else” on Facebook”?
LikeLike
The “oil companies are gouging consumers” has been a popular meme among people who don’t understand the laws of supply and demand since oil was discovered in Titusville, PA in 1859.
LikeLike
Today’s numbers showed a HUGE gap, biggest gap ever between the two numbers.”
More zzzzzzzz…
The gap is called the “crack spread” or refining margin. The cost of crude oil is only one factor. There is a severe global shortage of diesel refining capacity coupled with a shortage of the heavy crude that diesel is made of and is what the ME produces, increasing the conversion cost. Finally the demand for diesel is more inelastic than gasoline, because the industries that use it (trucking, shipping, agriculture, etc.) cannot substitute or slow down operations.
LikeLike
New Thread
LikeLike
That post from “someone on Facebook” is proof you cannot believe things you see on the Internet.
LikeLike