The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +7214221

2026 Senate Forecast

KSIAMEAKMITXMNOHNHNCGA
Gap+3.9+2.5+2+2+0.5+0.5+0.8+1.5+4+4.5+5
Count4748495051524847464544

***There are no “freepassers” here***

Close in Minnesota

DW

According to Insider Advantage:

MINNESOTA

SENATE
🟥 Tafoya: 45%
🟦 Flanagan: 46%

Insider Advantage – 9/28-29; 1200 LV

This poll is not an outlier. SUSA has the race tied. co/efficient is D+1, and TIPP is D+2.

OHIO

GOVERNOR
🟦 Acton: 47%
🟥 Ramaswamy: 48%
—
SENATE
🟥 Husted (i): 43%
🟦 Brown: 46%

BIG DATA POLL – 9/26-27; 680 LV

SENATE
🟥 Husted (i): 44%
🟦 Brown: 47%

Suffolk – 9/23-27; 500 LV

TEXAS

SENATE
🟥 Paxton: 48%
🟦 Talarico: 45%

Pulse Decision Science – 9/24-27; 800 LV

MICHIGAN

SENATE
🟥 Rogers: 44%
🟦 El-Sayed: 51%

Marist – 9/24-27; 1235 RV

12 responses to “Close in Minnesota”

  1. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Marxist and boris poles are tossed.

    Like

  2. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Close it is…

    Like

  3. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Tina

    September 30, 2026 at 8:28 am

    both free passers hate the idea. No surprise”

    Tina the fake “conservative” wants to send everyone a $5000 check with no means to pay for it without raising taxes or increasing the debt.

    No suprise.

    Like

  4. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    pce came in below expectations. Inflation slowed last month per cnbc and fox biz. Yet, why did the fed stupidly raise rates? They have been political. In 2024, they cut when cpi and pce were much higher.

    Like

  5. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Is this “DW close” or “Jason close”?

    Like

  6. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Tina wants Trump to send $5,000 checks to Dems. Well, he used to donate to their candidates with his own money. Now he wants to use ours.

    Like

  7. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    I rather give the $5000 to an illegal, after we grant them amnesty.

    -freepasser

    Bitterlaw’s Note – Another lie by Tina

    Like

  8. DW Avatar
    DW

    Wall Street Journal poll found GOP favorability -18, but DEM favorability at -20.

    Like

  9. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Who is paying for this, Tina?

    Like

  10. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    So Tina, what is “conservative” about giving $5000 to everyone when the only way to pay for it is to raise taxes or increase the deficit?

    Asking for a friend.

    Like

  11. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    They are political and that’s a problem.

    @sethjlevy

    ·

    July PCE, which was used to justify the FED rate increase, was actually 2.98 not the 3.4 that was originally announced. This morning August PCE came in better than expected at 3%, beating expectations by 3/10ths. Inflation will continue to beat expectations in 2026.

    Like

  12. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Is this “DW close” or “Jason close”?”

    My definition of close is like 4 points or less.

    Everyone can have their own definition.

    Like

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