The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Taken by Public Opinion Strategies 🟥Kurt Alme 44%🟦Alani Bankhead 25%⬜️Seth Bodnar 20%🟨Kyle Austin 4%

But there is always Homer Hedgehog:

Suffolk University Markey * 55%Deaton 30% Moulton 54%Deaton 26%

According to new Star Tribune poll: MN-Gov: 🟦Amy Klobuchar 48%🟥Lisa Demuth 40%—🟦Amy Klobuchar 53%🟥Mike Lindell 36%—🟦Amy Klobuchar 48%🟥Kendall Qualls 37%

According to Quantus Insights 6/9 – 6/11; 870 LV; 3.4 MoE Collins 45 Platner 46

Texas A&M/Siena 6/1 – 6/4; 807 LV with a 4.0 MoE. Paxton (R) 46% Talarico (D) 46% It’s worth noting that Talarico has not led a poll of this race since April 20, though Paxton isn’t running away with it either. But it is hard to imagine Talarico rising in the polls when more Texans…

A personal account of the suffering under the communist oppression in the Soviet Union experienced by three generations of a family. The Iron Broom <<Link to Amazon This book is extremely well-written and hard to put down. It reads much like those Reader’s Digest “Drama in Real Life” stories. Every young person in America who…

And Paxton in the lead according to Quantus Insights Talarico 43 Paxton 45

Thursday night thread

Democrats 49, Republicans 48

TIPP** polled for the “League of American Workers” and found Stevens edging out El-Sayed in the Dem primary: El-Sayed 31, Stevens 35, McMorrow 13 And Stevens winning somewhat easily in the general election: Stevens 48, Rogers 41 McMorrow 45, Rogers 42, El-Sayed 43, Rogers 42

Alaska Survey Research primary poll for AK-1 Begich * 47% Schultz 28% Williams 5% Hill 5% This is one that most of the forecasters have as “Likely R” but if Baris is right that the electorate is D+13 nationally, then we would expect this one to be a bit closer.

Memorial day

Checked five different places with no general election polls to report, so all you have is Homer Hedgehog:

Easy to see who was polling and who was cheerleading:

According to TSU poll US Senate🟥John Cornyn 45% (incumbent)🟦James Talarico 44%🟨Ted Brown 3%—🟥Ken Paxton 45%🟦James Talarico 45%🟨Ted Brown 2%——Governor🟥Greg Abbott 49%🟦Gina Hinojosa 43%🟨Pat Dixon 3%——Lt. Governor🟥Dan Patrick 47% (incumbent)🟦Vikki Goodwin 40%🟨Anthony Cristo 3%

Yes, if Carolina Journal/Harper is correct. Cooper 50, Whatley 39

MIRS/Mitchell Research agrees with Glengariff that Rogers leads, but disagrees on which Democrat is weakest. Rogers 42, El-Sayed 41 Rogers 42, Stevens 39 Rogers 43, McMorrow 41

As reported yesterday, the GOP now has the edge in the MI race for US Senate, according to two pollsters: MIRS/Mitchell Research says El-Sayed will win the Dem primary: El-Sayed 28, Stevens 18, McMorrow 17 And Detroit Chamber/Glengariff says Rogers wins over El-Sayed: Rogers 45, El-Sayed 40

CNN says its a close race, Dem 45, GOP 42. Atlas Intel says its a Dem blowout Dem 55, GOP 40. There are clues that Atlas Intel is out to lunch. Their Dem primary ballot from the same collection: Harris 13, Newsom 21, Buttigieg 22, Ocasio-Cortez 26, Shapiro 2, Kelly , Pritzker , Beshear ,…

Yes, according to a Democrat internal, GQR (D), by one of the challengers. Patrick Schmidt (D) 45% Sen. Roger Marshall (R) 49%

According to a new poll by UNH. Democrat challenger Helena Foulkes leads the poll over the incumbent governor 45-11, raising questions as to what happened to the other 44% of the vote. But the larger question is how badly a Dem in a deep blue state could get so messed up as to lose the…

and a new Homer Hedgehog

Ragnar Research (R) AZ-6Juan Ciscomani (R-Inc) 44Joanna Mendoza (D) 47 CO-3 Jeff Hurd (R-Inc) 46%Alex Kelloff (D) 41%. IA-3 Zach Nunn (R-Inc) 48%Sarah Garriott (D) 42%. MI-4Bill Huizenga (R-Inc) 48%Sean McCann (D) 42%. MN-1Brad Finstad (R-Inc) 52%Jake Johnson (D) 42%. NC-10 Pat Harrigan (R-Inc) 53%Ashley Bell (D) 37%. NC-14Tim Moore (R-Inc) leads 48%LaKesha Womack 40%.…

According to the Alaska Research Survey poll Round 2: Mary Peltola (D) 50.2%Dan Sullivan (R) 43.6%James Ryan (R) 6.2%

Be the first to name the state or country shown below. No using Google lens or similar tools. One guess per person.