The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Republican +5220215

2026 Senate Forecast

METXAKIAMIOHNHNCMNGA
Gap+3.5+2.0+2.0+1.0+1.0+1.0+3.3+5.5+7.0+8.5
Count48495051525347464544

Monday Thread

DW

Cash on Hand
🟥 RNC: $128M (zero debt)
🟦 DNC: $16M ($18M debt)

Of course its the limitless outside money that Democrats will depend on.

4 responses to “Monday Thread”

  1. DW Avatar
    DW

    news from MI-07:

    DropSiteNews: Internal poll by groups OPPOSING William Lawrence shows him up 25 points last week in Michigan’s 7th District Democratic primary

    ——

    @Polymarket – MI-07 Dem Primary (chance of winning)

    🟦 William Lawrence: 71% (new high)

    🟦 Bridget Brink: 17%

    🟦 Matt Maasdam: 10%

    PPP-D had done a general election poll with only Brink and Maasdam against the GOP incumbent. But that poll is irrelevant now with far left Democratic-Socialist commie Lawrence poised to win the primary and chase moderates to the GOP incumbent. This seat is rated Tossup by all the forecast modelers, but this development should make it lean R.

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  2. DW Avatar
    DW

    Democrats continue to nominate far left commies wherever they can and have no concern over whether its a deep blue district or a tossup purple district.

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  3. DW Avatar
    DW

    James Talarico comes out in favor of reparations to black Americans for slavery:
    https://texasscorecard.com/decisiontexas/black-democrats-press-talarico-on-outreach-as-candidate-defends-repairing-past-harms/

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  4. DW Avatar
    DW

    Okay, here is a weird one. A seat nearly everyone has down as Lean D. So the Dem releases an internal poll showing only a very narrow lead, suggesting the more accurate rating to be Tossup.

    CA-48 POLL – von Wilpert (Dem) Internal

    🟦 Marni von Wilpert: 48%

    🟥 Jim Desmond: 46%

    Lake Research | 500 LV | 7/9-14

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