The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – Florida: AVERAGE X 53.3 44.2 1.5 9.2 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 51 44 +7 Victory Insights 11/1-11/2; 400 LV 51 47 +4 Stetson University 10/25-11/1; 452 LV 53 46 +7 Morning Consult 10/23-11/1; 2,022LV 51 46 +5 Cygnal 10/26-10/28; 600 LV 48 43 +5…

Presidential Polls – Iowa: AVERAGE 53.0 44.5 8.5 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap InsiderAdvantage 11/2-11/3; 800 LV 52 46 +6 SoCal Strategies 11/2-11/3; 435 LV 52 44 +8 Emerson College 11/1-11/2; 800 LV 54 45 +9 Selzer & Co. 10/28-10/31; 808 LV 44 47 3 +3 Cygnal 9/27-9/28; 600 LV 51.3 44.6 +6.7…

Presidential Polls – Ohio: AVERAGE X 52.0 44.7 2.6 7.3 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Trafalgar Group 11/2-11/4; 1,095LV 52.1 45.2 1.6 +6.9 AtlasIntel 11/ 1-11/4; 1,022 LV 4.0 53.5 44.6 1.3 +8.9 Emerson College 10/30-11/2; 900 LV 55 44 +11 Morning Consult 10/23-11/1; 1,254 LV 53 44 +9 Miami University 10/28-10/30; 859RV 49…

According to a new poll by Meredith College: Meredith College – North Carolina Trump 44 Biden 39 Jan. 26-31; 760 RV Their prior poll in November was Biden 40 / Trump 39.

According to a new poll from J.L. Partners J.L. Partners – ARIZONA Trump 45 Biden 41 Jan. 29-Feb. 1; 500 registered voters.

I am not riding the train today. I am going to the Tenement Museum in New York to learn about the legal immigration experience.

According to new Fox News poll Fox News – GEORGIA Trump 51 Biden 43 Fox News – WISCONSIN Trump 47 Biden 47 Trump 42 Biden 39 Kennedy 7 Stein 2 West 1 Other polls: Emerson – COLORADO Trump 35 Biden 41 Emerson – MISSOURI Trump 49 Biden 32 Emerson – SOUTH DAKOTA Trump 55 Biden…

According to new Franklin and Marshall College poll Franklin and Marshall College – PENNSYLVANIA Biden 43 Trump 42 Biden 42 Trump 37 Kennedy 8 Stein 2

Emerson – Ohio Trump 47 Biden 36 Survey USA – Minnesota Trump 39 Biden 42

The 2024 Presential polling average chart is up and running. The gap shown is the average gap of the last seven polls (a few states are not to seven yet). Unlike RCP where they just average all recent polls including stale ones, the HHR aggregator formula weights the polls based on age, with the newest…

According to Quinnipiac: Trump 44, Biden 50. Conversely, they have Haley 47, Biden 42.

According to Morning Consult/Bloomberg Arizona Trump 47, Biden 44 Georgia Trump 49, Biden 41 Michigan Trump 47, Biden 42 Nevada Trump 48, Biden 40 North Carolina Trump 49, Biden 39 Pennsylvania Trump 48, Biden 45 Wisconsin Trump 49, Biden 44

YouGov/University of Houston Jan. 11-24, 1,145 LV Trump 49 Biden 40