The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to St. Pete Polls (6) and Big Data Poll (13): FLORIDA – St. Pete Polls Trump 48 Biden 42 March 11-13; 1,963 LV FLORIDA – Big Data Poll Trump 50 Biden 37 March 8-11; 1,378 RV

But only if Dolan wins GOP Primary, this according to East Carolina University: OHIO – East Carolina University Trump 48 Biden 38 Kennedy 5 Stein 1 West 1 US Senate – GOP Primary Dolan 33 Moreno 31 LaRose 23 US Senate – General Election: Dolan 43 Brown (D) 41 Moreno 41 Brown (D) 45 LaRose…

According to Quinnipiac: MICHIGAN – Quinnipiac Trump 48 Biden 45 Five candidates: Trump 41 Biden 36 Kennedy 10 Stein 4 West 3 3/8 – 3/12, 1,487 RV

According to SurveyUSA / Ohio Northern University SurveyUSA/Ohio Northern University Trump 50 Biden 38 Three candidates: Trump 44 Biden 32 Kennedy 13 US Senate: Brown 42 Dolan 39 3/6 – 3/11; 1,241 LV

According to Fox News, Emerson, and Noble Predictive Insights ARIZONA – FoxNews Trump 49 Biden 45 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 39 Kennedy 10 West 2 Stein 1 3/7 – 3/11; 1,121 RV PENNSYLVANIA – FoxNews Trump 49 Biden 47 Five Candidates: Trump 42 Biden 42 Kennedy 9 West 2 Stein 2 3/7 – 3/11;…

According to Emerson and YouGov/CBS News: OHIO – Emerson Trump 55 Biden 45 Five candidates: Trump 47 Biden 38 Kennedy 6 Stein 1 West 1 3/7 – 3/10; 1,300 RV GEORGIA – CBS News/YouGov Trump 51 Biden 48 3/4 – 3/11; 1,126 LV

This one from Cygnal: NORTH CAROLINA – Cygnal Trump 45 Biden 40 North Carolina Governor: Robinson 44 Stein 39 March 6-7; 600 LV

According to SurveyUSA and Emerson NORTH CAROLINA – SurveyUSA Trump 50 Biden 45 North Carolina Governor: Robinson 42 Stein 44 3/3 – 3/9; 598 LV GEORGIA – Emerson/The Hill Trump 52 Biden 48 Five Candidates: Trump 44 Biden 37 Kennedy 5 West 2 Stein 1 3/5 – 3/7; 1,000 RV

According to Remington Research Group: MISSOURI – US Senate – Remington Hawley 53 Kunce 39 March 6-8; 713 LV

According to a new poll from SurveyUSA: MINNESOTA – US Senate – SurveyUSA Klobuchar 49 Fraser 33 2/23 – 2/28; 1,603 LV

ALASKA – Data for Progress Trump 53 Biden 41 Feb. 23-March 2; 1,120 LV

Presidential Polls – Vermont: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap University of New Hampshire 10/29-11/2; 1,167 LV 31 63 +32 University of New Hampshire 8/15-8/19; 924 LV 29 70 +41 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Final Average 33.6 56.6 +23 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 272 LV 35.1 56.1 +21 Florida Atlantic University 2/29-3/3; 111 LV 28 59…

But beware the tiny sample sizes: VIRGINIA – Florida Atlantic University Trump 42 Biden 49 Feb. 29-March 3; 368 LV VERMONT – Florida Atlantic University Trump 28 Biden 59 Feb. 29-March 3; 111 LV UTAH – Florida Atlantic University Trump 46 Biden 38 Feb. 29-March 3; 166 LV TEXAS – Florida Atlantic University Trump 51…

According to Emerson, and SurveyUSA: INDIANA – Emerson/The Hill Trump 55 Biden 34 3/2 – 3/5; 1,000 RV MINNESOTA – SurveyUSA Trump 38 Biden 42 2/23-3/28; 1,603 LV

According to Emerson: MONTANA – Emerson/The Hill Trump 56 Biden 35 Five candidates: Trump 49 Biden 28 Kennedy 8 Stein 1 West 1 US Senate: Tester 44 Sheehy 42 2/26 – 3/2; 1,000 RV

CALIFORNIA – LA Times/U of C-Berkeley Trump 34 Biden 52 Five Candidates: Trump 28 Biden 40 Kennedy 11 West 3 Stein 2 Feb. 22-26; 6,536 RV IOWA – Selzer/Des Moines Register Trump 48 Biden 33 Feb. 25-28; 640 LV PENNSYLVANIA – Axis Research Biden 40 Trump 39 Kennedy 8 Stein 2 West 1 Feb. 25-27;…

Presidential Polls – Wyoming: Polling AVERAGE 66 27.5 38.5 FINAL RESULTS: 71.6 25.8 45.8 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Cygnal 10/26-10/28; 600 LV 69 27 +42 University of Wyoming 9/24-10/27; 662 LV 63 28 +35 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 249 LV 66.9 25.9 +41 Emerson 10/4/23 68 15 +53

Presidential Polls – West Virginia: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Research America 8/21-8/27; 400 RV 61 34 +27 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Kaplan 6/4; 464 LV 55 28 +27 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 383 LV 62.7 31.3 +31.4 Emerson 10/4/23 59 23 +36

Presidential Polls – Washington: AVERAGE 37.7 57.0 3.0 19.3 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 39 54 +15 ActiVote 10/3-10/29; 400 LV 41 59 +18 Public Policy Polling 10/16-10/17; 571 LV 40 55 +15 Elway Research 10/8-10/12; 401 LV 32 57 +25 SurveyUSA 10/9-10/14; 703 LV 35 57 +22…

Presidential Polls – Utah: AVERAGE 57.0 37.0 20.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap ActiVote 10/7-10/30; 400LV 60 40 +20 Noble Predictive Insights 10/25-10/28; 695LV 54 34 3 +20 HarrisX 10/15-10/19;813 RV 63 31 6 +32 Noble Predictive Insights 10/2-10/7; 539 LV 54 36 +18 Public Policy Polling 9/27-9/28; 612 LV 54 39 +15…

Presidential Polls – Tennessee: AVERAGE X 59.0 36.5 22.5 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap ActiVote 10/5-10/28; 400 LV 62 38 +24 ActiVote 9/24-10/16; 400 LV 62 38 +24 Targoz Market Research 9/27-10/8; 1,200 LV 56 35 +21 ActiVote 7/25-9/2; 400 LV 63 37 +26 Pollster Dates/Sample Gap Trump Biden Ken. Gap Final Average…

Presidential Polls – South Dakota: AVERAGE 60.5 34 26.5 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap The Hill/Emerson 10/19-10/22; 825 LV 3.3 62 35 +27 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 10/12-10/16;500 RV 59 33 +26 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Ken. Gap Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 5/10-5/13; 500 RV 50 31 11 +19 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 303 LV…

Presidential Polls – Oklahoma: AVERAGE 64.8 34.4 30.4 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap ActiVote 10/3-10/29; 400 LV 67 33 +34 WPA Intelligence 10/16-10/18; 502 LV 65 29 +36 ActiVote 9/13-10/19; 400 LV 66 34 +32 SoonerPoll 8/24-8/31; 323 LV 56 40 +16 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 391 LV 52.9 39.8 +13.1 Emerson…

Presidential Polls – Nebraska: AVERAGE 55.5 38.8 16.8 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Change Research 10/30-10/31; 600 LV 57 39 +18 Economist/YouGov 10/21-10/28; 1220 LV 55 40 +15 The New York Times/Siena College 10/23-10/26; 1,194 LV 53 39 +14 Change Research 10/18-10/21; 815 LV 55 41 +14 Torchlight Strategies 10/5-10/8; 600 LV 57 37 +20…

Presidential Polls – North Dakota: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap WPA Intelligence 9/28-9/30; 500 LV 59 32 +27 Lake Research Partners 9/23-9/26; 500 LV 50 40 +10 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Public Opinion Strategies 6/15-6/19; 500 LV 62 28 +34 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 300 LV 55.4 36.6 +18.8 Emerson 10/14/23 54 17 +37