The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to J.L. Partners: MONTANA – J.L. Partners Sheehy 48 Tester 45 March 26-29; 503 LV

According to a new Big Data Poll: MICHIGAN – Big Data Poll Trump 45.8 (51.5 with leaners) Biden 41.2 (48.5 with leaners) Four Candidates: Trump 43.2 (43.9 with leaners) Biden 40 (42.2 with leaners) Kennedy 9.6 (11.3 with leaners) Stein 1.4 (2.6 with leaners) 3/26-3/30; 1,218 RV

Franklin & Marshall shows movement toward Trump in PA in 3-way race. Biden ahead 11 in Washington State, a place where he won by 19 in 2020. PENNSYLVANIA – Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research Trump 38 Biden 48 Four Candidates: Trump 40 (prior poll 37) Biden 42 Kennedy 9 (prior poll 7)…

According to Spry Strategies: MICHIGAN – Spry Strategies Trump 48 Biden 44 Three Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 March 25-28; 709 LV

According to the Colorado Polling Institute: COLORADO – New Bridge Strategy/Aspect Strategic Trump 39 Biden 49 3/15-3/19; 632 LV

Presidential Polls – New Jersey: AVERAGE 42.0 53.7 11.7 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 40 57 +17 ActiVote 10/2-10/28; 400 LV 43 57 +14 Cygnal 10/23-10/24; 600LV 3.0 40 52 +12 Rutgers-Eagleton 10/15-10/22; 929 RV 4.2 35 55 +20 ActiVote 9/4-10/2; 400 LV 44 56 +12 Rasmussen Reports…

According to the Big Data Poll: PENNSYLVANIA – Big Data Poll Trump 45.7 Biden 40.3 Three candidates: Trump 44.5 Biden 38.8 Kennedy 7.1 3/26-3/30; 1,305 RV

According to the Wall Street Journal polling: ARIZONA – The Wall Street Journal Trump 47 Biden 42 Five Candidates: Trump 39 Biden 34 Kennedy 11 West 2 Stein 1 March 17-24; 600 RV GEORGIA – The Wall Street Journal Trump 44 Biden 43 Five Candidates: Trump 38 Biden 35 Kennedy 8 West 2 Stein 1…

According to Emerson College: NEW JERSEY – Emerson Trump 39 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump 36 Biden 41 Kennedy 8 West 1 Stein 1 3/26 – 3/29; 1,000 RV

According to RABA Research, but notice the huge number of undecided/other. ARIZONA – RABA Research Trump 39 Biden 36 March 28-31; 503 RV

MARYLAND – Goucher College Hogan 43 Trone 42     Hogan 44 Alsobrooks 40   Democratic Primary: Trone 42 Alsobrooks 33 3/19 – 3/24; 800 RV

According to Paladin Polling: NEW YORK Trump 45 Biden 45 Paladin Polling, March 29-30, 1000 LV

According to new polls by Morning Consult & Marist: ARIZONA – Morning Consult Trump 48 Biden 43 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 37 Kennedy 12 West 2 Stein 1 3/8 – 3/14; 796 RV GEORGIA – Morning Consult Trump 48 Biden 43 Five Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 38 Kennedy 7 West 2 Stein 0 3/8…

According to new polling from Redfield & Wilton: ARIZONA – Redfield & Wilton Trump 44 Biden 41 Kennedy 7 Stein 0 Other 2 3/14-3/17; 600 RV FLORIDA – Redfield & Wilton Trump 46 Biden 39 Kennedy 7 Stein 0 Other 2 3/14-3/17; 1,055 RV GEORGIA – Redfield & Wilton Trump 44 Biden 41 Kennedy 6…

According to MIRS/Mitchell Research: MICHIGAN – MIRS/Mitchell Research Trump 47 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 44 Biden 42 Kennedy 6 Stein 1 West 1 3/15-3/16, 627 LV

In physics, the difference between redshift and blueshift is a measurement of the increase or decrease of light. The chart below includes states with sufficient 2024 polling data to get an average polling result. This average is then compared against the actual 2020 results to measure how many states have shifted to the red (toward…

This according to SSRS/CNN: MICHIGAN – SSRS/CNN Trump 50 Biden 42 Four candidates: Trump 40 Biden 34 Kennedy 18 West 4 3/13-3/18; 1,097 RV PENNSYLVANIA – SSRS/CNN Trump 46 Biden 46 Four candidates: Trump 40 Biden 38 Kennedy 16 West 4 3/13-3/18; 1,132 RV

According to Emerson: MICHIGAN – Emerson Trump 50 Biden 50 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 41 Kennedy 5 Stein 1 West 1 US Senate: Slotkin 41 Rogers 39 3/14 – 3/18; 1,000 RV WISCONSIN – Emerson Trump 52 Biden 48 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 40 Kennedy 6 Stein 1 West 1 US Senate: Baldwin…

According to the University of Maryland/Washington Post: MARYLAND – Univ. of Maryland/Wash. Post Hogan 49 Trone 37 Hogan 50 Alsobrooks 36 Democratic Party Primary: Trone 34 Alsobrooks 27 3/5 – 3/12; 1,004 RV

According to Emerson/The Hill: ARIZONA – Emerson Trump 48 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 38 Kennedy 7 Stein 7 West 1 3/12-3/15; 1,000 RV NEVADA – Emerson Trump 51 Biden 49 Five Candidates: Trump 41 Biden 36 Kennedy 9 West 2 Stein 1 3/12-3/15; 1,000 RV

Even according to Marist: GEORGIA – Marist Trump 51 Biden 47 Three Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 40 Kennedy 14 3/11 – 3/14; 1,171 RV NORTH CAROLINA – Marist Trump 51 Biden 48 Three Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 43 Kennedy 11 3/11 – 3/14; 1,197 RV

According to North Star Opinion Research: ARIZONA – North Star Opinion Research Trump 46 Biden 42 Four Candidates: Trump 37 Biden 33 Kennedy 18 West 2 March 14-17; 600 LV

According to Noble Predictive Insights NEVADA – US Senate – Noble Predictive Insights GOP Primary: Brown 39 Marchant 26 General Election: Rosen 41 Brown 35 Rosen 43 Marchant 34 2/27 – 3/5; 829 RV

According to Emerson OHIO – US Senate – Emerson Moreno 44 Dolan 40 LaRose 16 March 17-18; 450 LV

This one from Florida Atlantic University: OHIO – Florida Atlantic University Trump 51 Biden 40 US Senate: GOP Primary Dolan 31 Moreno 29 LaRose 19 US Senate: General Election Brown 48 LaRose 37 Brown 47 Moreno 36 Brown 45 Dolan 42 March 13, 705 LV