The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

NEVADA – Rasmussen Trump 43 Biden 43 Kennedy 9 April 2-12; 869 LV

PENNSYLVANIA – YouGov Trump 50 Biden 49 April 19-25; 1,288 LV WISCONSIN – YouGov Trump 50 Biden 49 April 19-25; 1,226 LV MICHIGAN – YouGov Trump 49 Biden 51 April 19-25; 1,262 LV These are races that will never happen because Kennedy, Stein and West will likely be on the ballot in these states.

This week a number of new job approval polls came out (Gallup, Quinnipiac, and others), and the average gap in job approval just stubbornly does not get better for Biden, regardless the cheering of the media, pundits wish-casting a “Biden Surge” and talking up the “recovered economy” and so on. It’s not working. Below is…

This according to Kaplan Strategies: ARIZONA – Kaplan Trump 47 Biden 43 April 20-21; 874 RV PENNSYLVANIA – Kaplan Trump 46 Biden 41 April 20-21; 802 RV WISCONSIN – Kaplan Trump 48 Biden 38 April 20-21; 802 RV MICHIGAN – Kaplan Trump 51 Biden 36 April 20-21; 804 RV

According to Suffolk MASSACHUSETTS – Suffolk Biden 52 Trump 22 Kennedy 8 West 1 4/16-4/20; 500 LV

According to new Morning Consult/Bloomberg polls: ARIZONA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 49 Biden 42 Five Candidates Trump 46 Biden 40 Kennedy 7 West 2 Stein 0 4/8 – 4/13; 801 RV GEORGIA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 49 Biden 43 Five Candidates Trump 47 Biden 39 Kennedy 5 West 1 Stein 1 4/8 – 4/13; 802 RV MICHIGAN…

I voted for Nikki Haley for President because Trump is a moron on Ukraine. I also voted for our old HHR friend, Michael, for delegate to the GOP convention.

According to new poll from Meredith College: NORTH CAROLINA – Meredith College Trump 41 Biden 39 Kennedy 9 Someone else 4 Don’t know 7 Governor: Stein 45 Robinson 36 Someone else 5 Don’t know 15 4/11-4/17; 801 RV

According to Siena College: NEW YORK – Siena College Trump 37 Biden 47 4/15-4/17; 806 RV

According to the Bullfinch Group–the same pollster who found Biden ahead 3 in Pennsylvania the week before this new poll. PENNSYLVANIA – Bullfinch Group Trump 44 Biden 38 Other 12 3/29-4/3; 600 RV

According to Fox News polls: GEORGIA – Fox News Trump 51 Biden 45 Five Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 39 Kennedy 7 Stein 1 West 2 April 11-16; 1,128 RV MICHIGAN – Fox News Trump 49 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump 42 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 Stein 2 West 2 April 11-16; 1,126 RV PENNSYLVANIA –…

This time Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research: FLORIDA – FAU/Mainstreet Research Trump 51 Biden 43 Three Candidates: Trump 49 Biden 40 Kennedy 6 April 15-17; 815 LV Bonus content: I was intrigued by 538’s data, comparing Biden’s job approval against past presidents running for re-election as the incumbent. I re-arranged the data into a clearer table…

Perhaps according to new Marquette Law poll: WISCONSIN – Marquette Trump 51 Biden 49 Five Candidates: Trump 42 Biden 41 Kennedy 12 Stein 3 West 1 US Senate: Hovde 37 Baldwin 44 Registered voters, leaners: Hovde 47 Baldwin 52 Likely voters, leaners: Hovde 50 Baldwin 50 814 RV | 736 LV; 4/3-4/10

According to new poll from MRG: MICHIGAN – MRG Trump 42 Biden 36 Five Candidates: Trump 37 Biden 34 Kennedy 13 Stein 2 West 1 4/8-4/11; 600 LV

According to North Star Opinion Research: WISCONSIN – North Star Opinion Research Trump 45 Biden 45 Five Candidates: Trump 37 Biden 36 Kennedy 13 Stein 4 West 2 4/6-4/9; 600 LV

According to the Tyson Group: ARIZONA – Tyson Group Trump 39 Biden 33 Kennedy 12 Stein 2 West 2 Mapstead 1 US Senate Gallego 39 Lake 34 Williams 10 Undecided 17 April 10-11, 600 LV

According to a new poll from the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation: TEXAS – THPF Trump 46 Biden 34 Kennedy 9 Stein 2 Oliver 1 US Senate Cruz 46 Allred 41 Brown 4 April 5-10; 1,600 LV

According to new Fox45/Baltimore Sun poll: MARYLAND – US Senate – Baltimore Sun Hogan 53 Trone 40 Hogan 54 Alsobrooks 36 Democratic Primary Trone 50 Alsobrooks 38 April 7-10; 1,292 LV

According to new poll from Fabrizio, Lee & Associates: ARIZONA – Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Trump 48 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 42 Biden 37 Kennedy 10 Stein 2 Mapstead 1 4/7-4/11; 400 LV

According to new poll from IPSOS: FLORIDA – IPSOS Trump 39 Biden 31 Kennedy 7 US Senate Scott 36 Mucarsel-Powell 26 4/5-4/7; 1,014 A

According to a new poll from The Bullfinch Group: ARIZONA – Bullfinch Group Trump 44 Biden 38 Other 13 US Senate: Lake 41 Gallego 41 3/29-4/3; 600 RV

According to Cygnal: TEXAS – Cygnal Trump 51 Biden 42 Five candidates Trump 46 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 Stein 2 Weat 1 April 4-6; 1000 LV

According to High Point University: NORTH CAROLINA – Cygnal Trump 43 Biden 39 Kennedy 7 Governor: Robinson 40 Stein 38 Ross 3 Turner 1 April 7-8; 600 LV

According to a new poll from High Point University. Only yesterday Quinnipiac told us the Governor’s race was all but over. High Point says not so fast. NORTH CAROLINA – High Point University Survey Research Center Trump 45 Biden 42 Governor: Stein 37 Robinson 34 March 22-30; 829 RV

According to new polls from Emerson and PPIC: FLORIDA – Emerson Trump 51 Biden 38 Five Candidates: Trump 49 Biden 35 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 4/9 – 4/10; 1,000 RV CALIFORNIA – PPIC Trump 31 Biden 54 3/19 – 3/25; 1,089 LV

According to Quinnipiac: NORTH CAROLINA – Quinnipiac University Trump 48 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump 41 Biden 38 Kennedy 12 Stein 3 West 3 Governor: Robinson 44 Stein 52 Four Candidates: Robinson 41 Stein 48 Ross 4 Turner 2 April 4-8; 1,401 RV

No surprises from Targoz Market Research & MassINC Polling Group: TENNESSEE – Targoz Market Research Trump 55 Biden 31 Three Candidates: Trump 47 Biden 28 Kennedy 15 March 15-April 2; 955 LV MASSACHUSETTS – MassINC Polling Group Trump 28 Biden 46 Kennedy 9 West 1 March 21-29; 1,002 RV

According to SurveyUSA: MINNESOTA – SurveyUSA Trump 42 Biden 44 April 4-7; 608 LV

According to new polls from The Bullfinch Group: MICHIGAN – The Bullfinch Group Trump 39 Biden 42 3/29-4/3; 600 RV PENNSYLVANIA – The Bullfinch Group Trump 41 Biden 44 Kennedy 7 US Senate: McCormick 30 Casey 47 March 22-26; 800 RV