The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – Illinois: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap ActiVote 10/4-10/28; 400 LV 42 58 +16 ActiVote 9/3-10/5; 400 LV 41 59 +18 ActiVote 8/6-8/29;400 LV 42 58 +16 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21 643 LV 40.2 52.9 +12.7 Emerson 10/14/23 34 43 +9 Cor Strategies 8/27/23 35 55 +20

Presidential Polls – South Carolina: AVERAGE 56.0 42.0 14.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap The Citadel 10/17-10/25; 1,136 LV 54 42 +12 Claflin University 10/5-10/10; 1,005 LV 50 43 +7 ActiVote 10/5-10/29; 400LV 59 42 +17 East Carolina University 10/18-10/22; 950LV 55 42 1 +13 ActiVote 9/9-10/17; 400 LV 58 42 +16 Winthrop…

Presidential Polls – Montana: AVERAGE 57.2 39.4 1.0 17.8 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap AtlasIntel 11/1-11/4; 752 LV 57.3 37.1 5.0 +20.2 Emerson College 10/23-10/25; 1,000 LV 59 40 +19 Montana State University Billings 9/30-10/16; 760 A 52 34 6 +18 The New York Times/Siena College 10/5-10/8; 656 LV 56 39 0 +17…

Presidential Polls – New York: AVERAGE 40.0 57.2 17.2 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 41 57 +16 Cygnal 10/26-10/27; 600 LV 39 57 +18 ActiVote 10/7-10/27; 400 LV 41 59 +18 Siena College 10/13-10/17; 872 LV 39 58 +19 YouGov/Claremont McKenna College 10/7-10/17; 1,089LV 38 58 +20 Emerson…

According to High Point University, who didn’t actually use the candidate’s names in this part of their poll: NORTH CAROLINA – High Point University Trump* 47 Biden* 41 2/16 – 2/23; 753 LV. *Poll used “Democratic Party’s candidate or the Republican Party’s candidate.”

Presidential Polls – California: AVERAGE X 33.8 59.8 4.0 26.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 32 64 +32 Cygnal 10/27-10/30; 611 LV 31 55 9 +24 University of California Berkeley 10/22-10/29;4,341 LV 35 57 2 +22 ActiVote 10/7-10/27; 400 LV 37 63 +26 YouGov/Claremont McKenna College 10/7-10/17;1,139 LV…

I am debating whether or not to include these polls in the Aggregator simply because these polls are online only, and there are no undecideds or third-party selections among the likely voter samples. NEVADA – FocalData Trump 51 Biden 49 January 17-23; Likely Voters ARIZONA – FocalData Trump 50 Biden 50 January 17-23; Likely Voters…

VIRGINIA – Roanoke College Biden 47 Trump 43 2/11-2/19; 703 RV

Yes, if you believe the University of Texas at Tyler: TEXAS – University of Texas at Tyler Trump 46 Biden 42 US Senate Cruz 41 Allred 41 February 18-26; 1,167 RV

According to Emerson College: CALIFORNIA – Emerson College/The Hill Biden 57 Trump 35 Feb. 24-27; 1,000 LV

According to Morning Consult/Bloomberg: Morning Consult/Bloomberg ARIZONA Trump 49 Biden 43 2/12 – 2/20; 798 RV Morning Consult/Bloomberg GEORGIA Trump 49 Biden 43 2/12 – 2/20; 800 RV Morning Consult/Bloomberg MICHIGAN Trump 46 Biden 44 2/12 – 2/20; 702 RV Morning Consult/Bloomberg NEVADA Trump 48 Biden 42 2/12 – 2/20; 445 RV Morning Consult/Bloomberg NORTH…

According to Rasmussen: Rasmussen Reports – ARIZONA Trump 47 Biden 40 Feb. 21-26; 1,001 LV

According to Rasmussen: Rasmussen – ARIZONA Senate Lake (R) 37 Lake (R) 45 Gallego (D) 33 Gallego (D) 42 Sinema (I-Inc) 21 Feb. 21-26; 1,001 LV

Trump with leads and a tie: Kaplan Strategies – MICHIGAN Kaplan Strategies – WISCONSIN Trump 46 Trump 41 Biden 36 Biden 39 February 22-23; 1,019 RV in MI, 941 RV in WI. North Star Opinion Research – MICHIGAN Trump 43 Biden 43 February 22-25; 600 LV

According to Emerson: Emerson – WISCONSIN Trump 45 Trump 41 Biden 42 Biden 37 Kennedy 7 West 1 Stein 1 2/20-2/24/2024; 1000 RV

According to a new poll by Pan Atlantic Research: Pan-Atlantic Research – MAINE CD_01 CD_02 Trump 38 Trump 31 Trump 45 Biden 32 Biden 39 Biden 25 2/6-2/14/24; 691 LV

According to a new Emerson Poll: Emerson – MICHIGAN Trump 46 Trump 42 Biden 44 Biden 39 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 2/20-2/24/2024; 1000 RV Emerson’s November poll of Michigan was Biden 44/Trump 43.

Thread rule. Any reference to Deep State means I disregard your post. It will still appear but it has no credibility with me.

According to new polls from Emerson: Emerson – NEVADA Trump 46 Trump 44 Biden 40 Biden 34 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 2/16-2/19/2024 1,000 RV Emerson – ARIZONA Trump 46 Trump 43 Biden 43 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 West 1 Stein 1 2/16-2/19/2024 1,000 RV

According to Emerson and EPIC/MRA: Emerson – GEORGIA Trump 48 Trump 45 Biden 42 Biden 36 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 2/14-2/16/2024; 1000 RV Emerson – NORTH CAROLINA Trump 47 Trump 46 Biden 44 Biden 37 Kennedy 5 West 1 Stein 1 2/14-2/16/2024; 1000 RV EPIC-MRA – MICHIGAN Trump 45 Biden 41 2/13-2/18/2024; 600…

According to new poll by Emerson/The Hill: Emerson – PENNSYLVANIA Trump 45 Trump 42 Biden 43 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 West 2 Stein 1 2/14-2/16/24; 1000 RV Emerson also has new polls of CALIFORNIA and SOUTH CAROLINA: Emerson – CALIFORNIA Biden 55 Biden 49 Trump 33 Trump 31 Kennedy 8 West 1 Stein 1 2/16-2/18/24;…

According to Cygnal: Trump 49 Biden 40 600 LV Feb 12-13

If you believe the new East Carolina University poll: East Carolina University – NORTH CAROLINA Trump 47 Biden 44 Kennedy 2 West 1 Stein or other 1 Undecided 6 February 9-12, 2024; 1,207 RV

According to new Fox News Poll: Fox News/Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) – NORTH CAROLINA Trump 50 Trump 46 Biden 45 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 Stein 2 West 1 Feb. 8-12; 1,099 RV Fox News/Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) – Michigan Trump 47 Trump 42 Biden 45 Biden 37 Kennedy 11…