Surprising Lead in TX-28 for the GOP

This district is rated as Lean D by all the prognosticators. But a new poll, admittedly an internal one from the Tijerina campaign, done by Pulse Decision Science (400 LV; 6/21-6/23) found this result:

Tijerina (R) 46%
Cuellar (D) 38%

Other polls today:

Michigan: Quantus Insights
El-Sayed 45, Rogers 44

Iowa: FOX News

Turek 50, Hinson 46

Georgia: FOX News

Ossoff 56, Collins 43

62 responses to “Surprising Lead in TX-28 for the GOP”

  1. So this summer, with no baseball to follow, I decided to give World Cup soccer a try, and I was starting to re-think my historic disdain for the sport because the action was decent and exceptional talent was on display. But last night it all came back why I hate the sport.

    In the first game Argentina played, Lionel Messi absolutely demolished an opposing player. Horrible foul. But no red card, no yellow card, no foul called at all, not even a stern look from the referee, because Messi is SUPPOSED to be there, and so he has right of way.

    But last night, an inadvertent foul, clearly not malicious, but this time a foul by an American star player, that should have been called a foul, and maybe even a yellow card, but nope, red card, and he’s out for the Belgium game, which is again a situation where the punishment nowhere near fits the crime. If the NBA followed that standard, all players of both teams would be red-carded with nobody left to play the next game.

    Soccer is a stupid sport where nobody knows how much time is left in the game, where the refs wield too much power including who will play in the next game and who will not.

    The USA will NEVER win the world cup because if they get too close, the commie countries referees will simply red card enough players to prevent it.

    Like

  2. In my daily World Cup predictions I did get all three winners picked correctly, but missed a bit on the final scores.

    Today’s predictions:

    Spain over Austria 2-0

    Portugal over Croatia 1-0

    Switzerland over Algeria 2-1

    Like

  3. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I am putting big bucks on DW’s predictions.

    I am sure he guarantees them 100%, so I am not worried about any losses.

    Like

  4. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Soccer is a stupid sport where nobody knows how much time is left in the game, where the refs wield too much power”

    Zzzzzz…..

    Can you tell me how long a baseball game will last?

    Is that the game where the umpire decides what is a ball or a strike, basically deciding EVERY game?

    Like

  5. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The USA will NEVER win the world cup because if they get too close, the commie countries referees will simply red card enough players to prevent it.”

    I won’t argue that point, or the Messi-Balogun analogy.

    But bias against the US is present in every sport the US plays internationally, just look at some of the Olympics decisions.

    Liked by 1 person

  6. “Can you tell me how long a baseball game will last?”

    Nine innings unless the game ends tied. Then they play extra innings until there is a winner. My point is that other games based on a clock, there is a big scoreboard with minutes and seconds so fans know exactly how much time is left in the game. Imagine Al Michaels call of the Miracle on Ice where only the referee knew how much time was left. Instead of “the countdown going on right now! Marrow up to Silk, five seconds left…do you believe in miracles? YES!” Instead it would have been, “The USA trying to survive the extra time given by the referee…the puck is still loose, now Marrow has it…up to Silk, we have no idea how much time is left…and oh there it is, the game is over.”

    “Is that the game where the umpire decides what is a ball or a strike, basically deciding EVERY game?”

    Actually that has been given to computer technology now as pitchers can challenge ball strike calls by the umpires. Nearly everything is review now. Had they reviewed that stupid red card call last night, they would have seen it was not a malicious foul.

    Like

  7. “just look at some of the Olympics decisions.”

    I think it was the 1988 games in South Korea where an American boxer beat the pulp out of a South Korean, not even close, but shockingly, they gave it to the South Korean because the host country wasn’t winning enough in that honor/shame society.

    Like

  8. I will not watch Trump’s 2 hour speech/rally on July 4th. Sorry.

    Like

  9. lol was told,the opposite by the intelligencia.

    @business

    A hoard of Iranian oil is building up at sea, as the Islamic Republic struggles to find buyers before the expiry of a 60-day window granted by Washington. (Bloomberg)

    Like

  10. Jan, if only that were true, but the referee was staring right at it, with full 20/20 vision and didn’t even flinch. Messi gets a free pass. The USA player who did far less did NOT, and Soccer is a stupid sport.

    Like

  11. I was just about to start getting into Soccer for going forward but Raphael Claus brought me back to my senses.

    Like

  12. Bitter, if I ever weaken again, please correct me and remind me why soccer is a stupid sport.

    Liked by 1 person

  13. DW, I think the real message behind that cartoon is how “blind,” whether deliberately or otherwise, the referee was. It reminds me of the double standard applied when looking at the malfeasance of Dems vs republicans.

    Like

  14. DW – It is not a sport. It is an athletic competition.

    Liked by 1 person

  15. I haven’t watched any of the games, as soccer has never seemed a riveting sport to me. However, what I have liked is how the FIFA games has seemingly brought the world a bit closer for a moment. It will undoubtedly dissipate, but is fleetingly nice to experience.

    Like

  16. Raphael Claus didn’t bring the world a bit closer . He said to Americans, “your country can shove it…you might have slipped through the round of 32, but I am not going to let you get past the final 16.”

    USA might have been able to defeat Belgium, but they couldn’t defeat Raphael Claus.

    Like

  17. Back at MSP Airport. An hour layover in Chicago and home by 7 p.m. God willing.

    Have seen some sketchy non English speaking Somalias in Minneapolis St Paul area.

    Like

  18. There will always be Raphael Claus’s to disparage the U.S. in fact, with the latest birthright ruling we are opening the doors wider for people like that to become citizens, not because they want to integrate here, but want to destroy our culture and freedoms because they hate us. Three of the most conservative jurists were able to interpret the “jurisdiction” part of the 14th amendment to mean having an allegiance to this country, rather than exploiting the vagaries of a sentence written for slave’s children, but now expanded for current day political advantage for the leftists. We are the only country with such loose citizenship standards, the only western country dealing with widespread VBM to determine our elections….and, we will also be a major power going down because of holding on to these moronic policies during active assaults from the left. Morons will call others morons who disagree with such sanctimonious, unsound mindsets.

    Like

  19. Who will be crowned queen at the soccer ball?

    Like

  20. Yesterday I predicted this:

    “USA 2-1 over Bosnia and Herzegovina Tougher game for the USA given they have to play two countries at once.”

    Turned out to be truer than I knew then. They had to play against Bosnia/Herzegovina and against Brazilian Raphael Claus.

    Like

  21. Unlike his cousin from the north poll, Raphael Claus gives out no Christmas presents.

    Like

  22. plus Raphael Claus does unspeakable things to reindeer.

    Like

  23. This is what we are not only permitting but also encouraging……

    Eric Daugherty

    @EricLDaugh

    JUST IN: Americans nationwide are livid after MULTIPLE CITIES are flying the SOMALI FLAG during America’s 250th birthday Buffalo, Boston and Minneapolis just went full SOMALI 3RD WORLD SAVAGE MODE over America. Utterly DISGRACEFUL. Columbus, Ohio was forced into RETREATING from flying the Somali flag, after a “firestorm” erupted against them

    Like

  24. Jan – I agree that American citizenship is a privilege and the 14th Amendment no longer applies. Therefore, everybody born in the U.S. should immediately be stripped of their citizenship and forced to reapply. Currently, that only leaves Jason and naturalized citizens with any rights.

    Like

  25. Bitter, maybe it’s the lawyer in you, so you just can’t help yourself in arguing a point, taken seriously by others, in such a supercilious, off-the-cuff way.

    Like

  26. Like

  27. No. It’s the arrogance in you that you think you earned your citizenship so you can look down on everybody else. Like I said, only naturalized citizens earned it. The rest of us were lucky enough to come out of the right women in the right location to be a citizen.

    Like

  28. Regarding the Supreme Court birthright vote I’ll defer to Secretary of State and multiple job title holder Marco Rubio. He was born in Miami to parents that weren’t citizens at the time.

    You’ll be surprised by what he has said in the past and now about the issue.

    Like

  29. Like

  30. Vance slams Beitchy

    Like

  31. And no more “conservative law purfessor”. She ain’t conservative and she is the R version of Kenjah.

    Like

  32. Spain just had to score a late third goal to mess up my 2-0 prediction

    Like

  33. You are embarrassing yourself, Tina. Barrett is a conservative.

    Like

  34. Tina supports amending the Constitution by Executive Order. Future President AOC will thank Tina for her support when she guts the Second Amendment by EO.

    Like

  35. Two adjustments to the HHR House forecast today. Both in the direction of the GOP.

    One is TX-28 based on the poll showing the Republican ahead 8 points in a race that I used to have barely a Dem Hold. Now I have it barely a GOP flip.

    The other is CO-08 which I used to have a barely flip to the Dems. But in their primary, the Dems voted for a far left kook, enough left that independents should move to the Republican in this very tightly contested district. Dems used to be smart enough to know the district and only go as far left as they should without risking the seat. That caution has been thrown to the wind, and they think every district wants AOC/Mamdani candidates.

    Like

  36. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Barrett is certainly a lot more conservative than either Tina or Janzam.

    She is a principled conservative, she doesn’t sell out conservative principles for political expediency.

    Can anyone here think of ANY conservative principle Tina or Janzam would not sell out in a nanosecond if it was the political flavor of the day or something advocated by Trump?

    No?

    Me neither.

    Like

  37. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    latest birthright ruling we are opening the doors wider for people like that to become citizens,”

    Damm, janzam will always surprise, just when I think she can’t say anything more moronic she comes up with something like this.

    The ruling CHANGED NOTHING. This has been the understanding for the last 150 years. This has been the policy of the last 150 years, and it is according to the wording in the Constitution.

    NOTHING CHANGED.

    Like

  38. people like that to become citizens

    You mean….babies?!? Nooooooooo

    Like

  39. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    but now expanded for current day political advantage for the leftists”

    NOTHING WAS EXPANDED. NADA. ZILCH. ZERO.

    We are the only country with such loose citizenship standards,”

    BS.

    Just in the Western Hemisphere all these countries grant birthright citizenship including Canada. Mexico and Brazil

    North & Central America: Canada, Mexico, Barbados, Belize, Costa Rica, Cuba, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Jamaica, Nicaragua, Panama
    South America: Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Chile (with conditional residency), Ecuador, Guyana, Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela
    Caribbean: Antigua and Barbuda, Dominica, Grenada, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago

    Like

  40. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    hree of the most conservative jurists were able to interpret the “jurisdiction” part of the 14th amendment to mean having an allegiance to this country,”

    Zzzz….

    Unfortunately for them, the word “allegiance” appears nowhere in the text.

    Like

  41. https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/03/31/us-style-birthright-citizenship-is-uncommon-around-the-world/

    Yeah, people are just flying over the borders of Barbados, Belize, Costa Rica, Cuba, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Jamaica, Nicaragua, Panama
    Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, Ecuador, Guyana, Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela,
    Antigua and Barbuda, Dominica, Grenada, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago to have babies who can become instant citizens. I wonder about the benefits each of the above countries provide for these transient citizens too. Furthermore, do the above countries use birthright citizenship as a way to leverage votes for one political party, or subordinate their own citizen’s well being by making them more vulnerable to job deterioration, crime, crowding in schools, health care access, a two-tier justice system?

    Alito, Thomas, Gorsch, and even Kavanaugh delivered the correct rulings. The 3 liberal jurists, Roberts, and squishy Barrett were wrong. Those who rationalize the lib’s reasoning are fools and think very little about the integrity or future of this country.

    Like

  42. From Ken Blackwell:

    ”BREAKING: Justice Brett Kavanaugh just handed Congress a clear legal path to end automatic birthright citizenship for the children of illegal aliens. No constitutional amendment required. Here is what happened. On Tuesday, the Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship in a case called Trump v. Barbara. Kavanaugh voted against the administration and agreed the order could not stand. But his separate opinion may prove more valuable to this cause than a courtroom win would have been. Kavanaugh wrote that the order did not violate the Fourteenth Amendment at all. In his view, the order failed for one reason only. It conflicted with a federal statute, Section 1401 of the immigration code, that Congress passed and Congress can change. Then he spelled out the path. Kavanaugh wrote that Congress could amend that statute or pass new legislation. Lawmakers could create exceptions to automatic citizenship for children born to parents who are in this country unlawfully or only temporarily. A sitting justice of the Supreme Court put the roadmap in a published opinion for the whole world to read. Understand why the statute matters here. Congress wrote the Fourteenth Amendment’s citizenship language into federal law in 1940 and carried it into the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1952. The rule politicians call untouchable has been sitting in an ordinary statute for more than eighty years. Ordinary statutes can be rewritten by ordinary majorities. For thirty years, the political class fed Americans a different story. They claimed birthright citizenship was locked into the Constitution and nothing short of an amendment could touch it. Amendments require two thirds of Congress and three quarters of the states, so the excuse worked. Politicians could wring their hands, mail their fundraising letters, and never cast a hard vote. Kavanaugh demolished that excuse. He even pointed out that Congress has considered bills to change birthright citizenship for three decades and passed none of them. The barrier was never the Constitution. Congress chose the excuse over the work, year after year, while the abuse got worse. And the abuse is real. Foreign nationals fly here on tourist visas for the sole purpose of giving birth. They collect an American passport for the child and fly home with a golden ticket. An entire birth tourism industry advertises this scheme openly, and smugglers sell illegal border crossings with citizenship for a future child as part of the pitch. Almost no other developed nation on earth hands out citizenship this way. The Fourteenth Amendment served a specific purpose. Congress wrote it in 1868 to overturn Dred Scott and guarantee that no American could be denied citizenship because of his race. That purpose stands, and closing a modern loophole does nothing to disturb it. The men who wrote the amendment never imagined visa overstays, birth tourism packages, or an open border used as a citizenship machine. Kavanaugh made this exact point. He argued that large scale illegal immigration and modern travel created conditions the Reconstruction Congress never envisioned, and that new exceptions can fit alongside the historical ones for diplomats and occupying enemy forces. Now look at the math on the Court, because the press buried it. The headlines called this a 6 to 3 ruling. On the constitutional question, it was really 5 to 4. Justices Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch dissented outright, and Kavanaugh joined them in rejecting the majority’s constitutional reasoning even though he voted to strike the order on statutory grounds. That means four sitting justices have now signaled that automatic citizenship for the children of illegal aliens is a policy choice, and policy choices belong to Congress. When Congress passes a statute and that statute reaches the Court, the ground has already shifted. This is the strongest legal position the reform side has held in a century. Washington got the message within hours. President Trump declared that “No long and unwieldy Constitutional Amendment is necessary!” and called on Congress to get to work. Senator Tom Cotton already has a bill, and Senators Cornyn and Scott have proposals targeting birth tourism. The Justice Department announced a crackdown on birth tourism visa fraud the same week. Some Republicans, including Speaker Johnson and Senators Paul and Lee, still want a constitutional amendment. An amendment takes years while a statute takes months, and the Court’s own deciding vote just said a statute can do the job. Pass the bill now and let those who want an amendment pursue one on a parallel track. So here is my message to every member of the House and Senate. The excuse is gone. Stop hiding behind a constitutional barrier that a Supreme Court justice just told you does not exist. Draft the bill, amend Section 1401 with clear exceptions, hold the hearings, and put every member on record before the American people. Some members will vote no, and the voters deserve to see exactly who they are. Every politician who spent decades promising to fix this now has to show us whether the promise was real. There is nowhere left to hide. American citizenship is the most valuable thing this nation confers. It should never be handed out automatically to reward lawbreaking or sold through birth tourism packages. The people’s elected representatives should set the rules, and the people should hold them accountable. Justice Kavanaugh ruled against the White House on Tuesday and still handed Congress the pen. Our job as citizens is to make sure they pick it up.”

    Like

  43. portugal 2-1 over Croatia, meaning so far I have predicted the correct winner of each round 32 game

    Like

  44. there is a trans Dem campaigner out there urging his followers to kill Republicans

    Like

  45. The Decision was 6-3. Stop your game

    Like

  46. If Jan tells me why she deserves to be a citizen, I might read her overly-long cut and paste posts.

    Like

  47. Home,but not smooth sailing,

    Plane we were to fly on from MSP was late arrival to MSP, thus late leaving MSP to get to O’Hare. Originally only had 30 minutes to change planes in Chicago , but due to late leaving at MSP that shrunk to 3 minute. We raced an made it.

    Both planes hit significant turbulence. Then trouble finding our car in parking lot near Green lot stop 10 at Dulles airport…we got on a green lot bus. the green shuttle bus stops at green lot stops 1 through 8, then at stops 13 through 20 whatever. At stop 13 we talk with our green bus driver about stop 10. He says green lot stops 9 through 12 are stops made by the blue lot busses, not any green lot busses. We got off at 13 and had to search and walk 1/3 of a mile to discover green lot stop 10. Then search more to find out car. .

    Like

  48. Walt used to describe his travels in Ancient Greek. It was more exotic.

    Like

  49. Bitter, I don’t care if you read anything I post or not. If I post a commentary written by someone else it will logically be cut and pasted. Also, the birthright decision was 5-4 when based on constitutional matters. “On the constitutional question, it was really 5 to 4. Justices Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch dissented outright, and Kavanaugh joined them in rejecting the majority’s constitutional reasoning even though he voted to strike the order on statutory grounds.”

    Like

  50. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    even though he voted to strike the order on statutory grounds.”

    That is why the vote was 6-3.

    janzam is a lying moron who has already said the vote was 5-1-3 (no) and now says it was 5-4 (no).

    The vote on whether Trump’s order was constitutional was 6-3 no matter how many times janzam lies about it.

    The janzam lied saying other countries do not have birthright citizenship, when dozens do just in this hemisphere.

    As for congressional action, the odds congress will void birthright citizenship are nil. A constitutional amendment has even lower odds.

    Dems universally support it and many conservatives do too.

    I would support some narrow measures to prevent so called birthright tourism. Perhaps a pregnancy question when issuing the visa, so it would be easier to deport the parents if they violate the visa.

    But in my view, children are not responsible for where they are born. I think if they are born in the US, the legal status of their parents should not matter.

    We should WANT them to grow up to be patriotic American citizens, serve in the military, become US soccer stars like Folarin Balogun.

    Like

  51. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    hen trouble finding our car in parking lot near Green lot stop 10 at Dulles airport…we got on a green lot bus. the green shuttle bus stops at green lot stops 1 through 8, then at stops 13 through 20 whatever. At stop 13 we talk with our green bus driver about stop 10. He says green lot stops 9 through 12 are stops made by the blue lot busses, not any green lot busses. “

    Funny, the exact same thing happened to me at the exact same stop 3 weeks ago. I was sure I was in the Green lot at stop 10, but I did notice it was the blue bus that took me to the terminal. I thought it was just that they had rerouted a blue bus through the Green Lot, so I took the green bus. The only difference was that the green bus driver was nice enough to drop me off at Stop 10 because I was the only passenger.

    Liked by 1 person

  52. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Switzerland is beating Algeria 2-0.

    Like

  53. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

     it was really 5 to 4.

    LOL, it was REALLY 6-3.

    Like

  54. Jan – Let me explain. It was 6-3. A concurring opinion means the Justice agreed with the result. What you are trying to do is pretend they did not. It would be like reporting a 3-1 baseball score as 2-1-1 because the winning team had an unearned run because of a wild pitch.

    Like

  55. Here is my plan:

    1. Seal the border. Pretty good job so far.

    2. Deport illegals. Not going to get all of them so start with the violent/dangerous ones.

    3. Try to shut down birth tourism. Won’t fully succeed but try.

    4. Born here? Citizen.

    5. Work permits but actually enforce time limit.

    Like

  56. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    She knows it was 6-3. She thinks pretending it was “5-1-3” or 5-4 makes her (loser) views more “acceptable”.

    6 justices voted to uphold the Constitution as written. 3 justices voted to “modernize” the Constitution based on current political considerations. No “living document” BS, which bodes well for the 2nd Amendment that the leftists want to torpedo using the EXACT same arguments Janzam and Tina are making.

    The “well the framers could not have predicted birth tourism” is exactly the same theory as “the framers could not have predicted assault rifles or high capacity magazines”.

    Like

  57. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Pretty good plan Bitter.

    But the deadenders want all or nothing.

    The reality is maybe 10% of illegals have been deported or self deported.

    And even most of those will be allowed back in if the Dems regain power.

    Direct Deportations: ICE alone has directly deported roughly 400,000 to 600,000 individuals, with interior arrests (arrests made within the U.S.) having already surpassed the deportation totals from previous multi-year periods.
    Self-Deportations: The overwhelming majority of departures—estimated at over 1.6 million—have been voluntary.

    But before you celebrate the self deportations, a lot of those people would have left anyway. For example sometimes people overstay their visas but eventually leave.

    Like

  58. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The reality is that “birth tourism” and “anchor babies” are extreme cases and a small percentage of the total births, just like the vast majority of gun deaths are not from “assault rifles”. These arguments are used to rally the faithful.

    The vast majority of the births are to parents who are permanently living here, not tourists.

    And let’s face it, THEY are the real targets pf thje xenophobes.

    Like

  59. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    There was a lot of hype by the woke sports press about the “incredible success” of African teams in the World Cup. Announcers could not stop cheering for them and made a huge deal about “10 of 11′ teams qualifying for the round of 32, forgetting that the new format qualified 2/3 of the teams instead of the usual 1/2.

    Well, then reality set in.

    South Africa – out

    Senegal – out

    Algeria – out

    Ivory Coast – out

    Congo – out

    Cape Verde – will be out later today against Argentina

    Morocco is still in but they are no Cinderella team, they are ranked 6th in the world.

    Egypt and Ghana play later today.

    Like

  60. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The woke talking heads want to play up the Cape Verdes, Curacaos, Haitis, Iraqs, etc. so they can justify how these teams are in the World Cup while 4 time champion Italy is not.

    Like

Leave a comment