The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

A potential pickup opportunity in New Hampshire according to St. Anselm, a B rated pollster, 11/18 – 11/19 2112 RV 2.1 NEW HAMPSHIRE Sununu 41 Pappas 44

Saturday night thread

According to new polling from Ragnar Research, 11/12-11/17 LV. TEXAS Cornyn 47 Allred 40 Cornyn 46 Talarico 40 Cornyn’s primary challenger Paxton tied with Talarico and trails Allred by one in same poll.

Here is the full statement: “Cherfilus-McCormick, 46, and her brother Edwin Cherfilus, 51, both of Miramar, worked through their family health-care company on a FEMA-funded COVID-19 vaccination staffing contract in 2021. In July 2021, the company received an overpayment of $5 million in FEMA funds. The indictment alleges that the defendants conspired to steal that…

Cygnal, 11/12 – 11/13; 605 LV, 4.0 MoE ALABAMA Tuberville 53 Jones 34

According to Siena College, 11/10 – 11/12 802 RV 4.0, this compared to the most recent poll from the Manhattan Institute, 10/22 – 10/26 900 LV 3.3 who had Stefanik ahead 1. NEW YORK Stefanik 32 Hochul 52 The poll does represent a 5 point improvement for Stefanik compared to Siena’s prior poll.

According to EPIC-MRA 11/6 – 11/11; 600 RV; MoE 4.0 MICHIGAN Rogers 42 Stevens 44

According to Emerson – 11/8-11/10 850 RV ARIZONA Biggs 43 Hobbs 44 Same poll has Biggs running away with the GOP primary: Biggs 50, Taylor Robson 17, Schweikert 8

The 2026 race for control of the US House of Representatives currently gives the Democrats a slight edge. FL-9 >9.9 Flip GOP LA-6 >9.9 Flip GOP MO-5 >9.9 Flip GOP TN-9 >9.9 Flip GOP TX-9 >9.9 Flip GOP TX-32 >9.9 Flip GOP AK-1 >9.9 FL-28 >9.9 NC-14 >9.9 196 Safe GOP Margin Flip 197 WI-1…

It’s early, but looks like Dems well on the way to flip Tillis’ seat. NORTH CAROLINA Whatley 38 Cooper 47 Carolina Journal/Harper 11/9 – 11/10 600 LV 4.0

MAINE Collins 45.8 Mills 41.7 Collins 40.9 Platner 44.8 Poll by Maine’s People Resource Center, Oct 26-29, 2025 — N=783 Same poll has Platner up two in Democrat Primary.

United States Senate ALASKA ALASKA 45.6 47.2 +1.6 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Sullivan Peltola Gap Alaska Research Survey 1/8-1/11; RV 46.4 48 +1.6 Data for Progress 10/17-11/23; 823 LV 3.0 45 46 +1 GEORGIA GEORGIA 43.6 49.8 +6.2 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Collins Ossoff Gap Echelon Insights 4/3-4/9 44 51 +7 Emerson 2/28-3/2; 3.0 43 48 +5…

Schumer shutdown Over. All Government hostages Released. Ayatollah Democrats Furious over Trump Victory.

“And that’s the way it is, November 9, 2025, the 39th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, November 8, 2025, the 38th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, November 7, 2025, the 37th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, November 6, 2025, the 36th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, November 5, 2025, the 35th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, November 4, 2025, the 33rd day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, November 3, 2025, the 32rd day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, November 2, 2025, the 32nd day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, November 1, 2025, the 31st day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 31, 2025, the 30th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 30, 2025, the 29th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 29, 2025, the 28th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 28, 2025, the 27th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 27, 2025, the 26th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 26, 2025, the 25th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 25, 2025, the 24th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 24, 2025, the 23rd day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 23, 2025, the 22nd day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 22, 2025, the 21st day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 21, 2025, the 20th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 20, 2025, the 19th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 19, 2025, the 18th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”

“And that’s the way it is, October 18, 2025, the 17th day of captivity for the American government by Chuck Schumer.”