The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

“And that’s the way it is, October 17, 2025, the 16th day of captivity for the American government, hostage of Chuck Schumer.” Day 16 with no signs that the Democrats will come to the table and start behaving like they lost the 2024 election instead of demanding the GOP behave like they lost it.

New Trafalgar/Insider Advantage poll: 10/13/25 – 10/15/25, 1039 LVs VIRGINIA GOVERNOR Spanberger 47.5 Earle-Sears 45.3 VIRGINIA AG Miyares 49.5 Jones 44.6 VIRGINIA LG Hasmi 46.2 Reid 46.1

Over the last weekend the final grades for 2024 were updated on our polling grade page linked above. The last section that was missing were pollsters who polled more than one state, but not necessarily just the 7 battleground states. I include the letter grade for each, and the average skew toward Trump or Harris.…

According to Quinnipiac NEW JERSEY – GOVERNOR Mikie Sherrill 50% [+1] Jack Ciattarelli 44% [+3]

Be the first to name the state or country shown below. No using Google lens or similar tools. One guess per person.

Overall, there have been far fewer polls in 2025, and this explains the gaps you see in the lines of Sears and Spanberger. But more recently, polls are showing up in greater number and Sears is exactly where Youngkin was at this stage.

Happy Columbus Day!

Hope your baseball team is doing better than ours.

Wikipedia begins by calling him a “politician.” But he was a Cambodian mad-man who ruled Cambodia with an iron fist from 1975 to 1979. He brutally tortured and murdered 25% of his nation’s population (up to 2 million people). Most of these were ethnic groups living within his borders, but anyone could be arrested and…

Cygnal, 10/6-7 – 600LV VIRGINIA GOVERNOR Spanberger  49 Earle-Sears 45

According to a PPP poll done for the Democrat Governor Association taken Oct 7-8 against 558 “Virginia Voters” which could mean anything. VIRGINIA GOVERNOR Spanberger  52 Earle-Sears 43 Maybe black women in Virginia are just not ready for the first black female governor.

A Registered voter poll done by PPP-D for the DGA Oct. 2-3; 703 RV Essentially a Democrat Internal poll NEW JERSEY Sherrill 49 Ciattarelli 43

Grayhouse (R) – 1,250 LV NY – GOVERNOR Kathy Hochul 48 Elise Stefanik 43 Same poll gave Stefanik a 0.5 lead when voters were pushed with the knowledge that Hochul endorsed Zohran Mamdani for NYC mayor.

Be the first to name the state or country shown below. No using Google lens or similar tools. One guess per person. Map data ©2020 Google

Here is my take on the Jones texts and what it means. I am not sure you will like this, and I hope I am wrong. I remember well when Bill Clinton was caught committing adultery with a woman young enough to be his daughter, in the oval office. I remember leftist journalist Sam Donaldson…

Democratic Party 2025 Two bullets in the head and your two children dead.

Yes, pun intended. Hale-Bopp vs 3I/ATLAS. Left image: E. Kolmhofer, H. Raab; Johannes-Kepler-Observatory, Linz, Austria (https://sternwarte.at) – Own workRight image: International Gemini Observatory/NOIRLab/NSF/AURA/Shadow the Scientist The night skies in 1997 sparkled with the most brilliant comet in a life-time. Hale-Bopp, named for its two discoverers, was simply spectacular. But some saw something different. 37 members…

But its Trafalgar, 9/29 – 10/1 1034 LV VIRGINIA GOVERNOR Spanberger 47 Earle-Sears 42

According to Emerson/The Hill VIRGINIA GOVERNOR Spanberger 52 Earle-Sears 42 9/28 – 9/29, 725 LV

According to Quantus Insights. NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR Sherrill 48.1 Ciattarelli 45.8 Sept 29–30, 2025 A lot of good crosstab data in the link.

Be the first to name the state or country shown below. No using Google lens or similar tools. One guess per person. Map data ©2025 Google

Monday. Enough Said

Weekend Thread

VIRGINIA GOVERNOR Spanberger 49 Earle-Sears 43 Co-Efficient – 9/22 – 9/23 1024 LV

Tied in New Jersey i am being told that there is a new poll from The Hill/Emerson showing a tie.

National Research (R) 600 Likely Voters NEW JERSEY – GOVERNOR Ciattarelli 46 Sherrill  45

Survey USA GOVERNOR – 2026 Walz 46 Jensen 41

CNU Virginia poll

Thursday is here

Quinnipiac out with a 9 point lead for the Democrat New Jersey Sherrill 51 Ciattarelli 42

Wednesday–half way to Friday

Be the first to name the state or country shown below. No using Google lens or similar tools. One guess per person.

Monday almost here

Saturday night

Friday is here

Wednesday New poll by VCU has Winsome Earle-Sears down 9

Monday Night Thread