The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

CNU Virginia poll

Thursday is here

Quinnipiac out with a 9 point lead for the Democrat New Jersey Sherrill 51 Ciattarelli 42

Wednesday–half way to Friday

Be the first to name the state or country shown below. No using Google lens or similar tools. One guess per person.

Monday almost here

Saturday night

Friday is here

Wednesday New poll by VCU has Winsome Earle-Sears down 9

Monday Night Thread

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Finally Friday!

Be the first to name the state or country shown below. No using Google lens or similar tools. One guess per person. Map data ©2025 Google

New Thread

The HHR Polling Aggregator left the others far behind: U.S. President – Battleground States AZ NC NV PA GA MI WI NH VA MN NM Res. 5.5 3.3 3.1 1.8 2.2 1.5 0.8 2.8 5.2 4.2 5.7 Gap 4.7 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 -2.3 -2.3 -4.2 -4.6 EVs 230 246 252 271 287…

Single State Pollsters: These pollsters surveyed only one state in the 2024 Presidential election. Pollster State Grade Points Off Alaska Survey Research AK C 5.0 Arc Insights WI A 0.2 ARW Strategies IN B- 3.1 BK Strategies WI C+ 3.8 Bowling Green State University OH C 4.3 Capitol Weekly CA C 4.8 Cherry Communications FL…

Instructions: Place your predictions in the MOST CURRENT THREAD COMMENT BOX and they will be added to the grid shown here. For each race listed, simply supply the margin of victory, indicating the winner with NO DECIMALS. For example, Virginia Senate: Cao +3. The number will be transferred by a site administrator to the grid…

Presidential Polls – Rhode Island: AVERAGE 40.0 54.2 3.0 14.2 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap University of New Hampshire 10/29-11/2;708 LV 40 54 5 +14 Embold Research 9/16-9/20; 876 LV 3.5 38 52 +14 MassINC Polling Group 9/12-9/18; 800 LV 43 56 +13 UNH 9/12-9/16 38 58 3 +20 University of Rhode Island…

Presidential Polls – Oregon: AVERAGE 40.8 51.4 5.0 10.6 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap Public Policy Polling 10/16-10/17; 716 LV 41 53 +12 Hoffman Research 7/24-7/26; 700 V 40 45 8 +5 Pollster Dates/Sample Gap Trump Biden Ken. Gap Final Average 7.5 42 49.5 Final Average (Inc. RFK) 29 40 19 11 The…

Presidential Polls – Mississippi: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 423 LV 50.5 41.6 +8.9

Presidential Polls – Hawaii: AVERAGE 20.5 35.5 56 Pollster Dates/Sample Gap Trump Biden Ken. Gap The Bullfinch Group 4/16-4/23; 250 RV +19 38 57 34 42 8 +8 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 301 LV +21.7 33.4 55.1

Presidential Polls – Delaware: AVERAGE 36.5 55 18.5 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap University of Delaware 9/11-9/19; 400 RV 36 56 +20 Slingshot Strategies 9/19-9/21; 500 RV 37 54 +17 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 311 LV 39.6 50.5 +10.9

Presidential Polls – Connecticut: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap MassINC Polling Group 9/12-9/18; 800 LV 37 53 +16 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 411 LV 37.8 54.7 +16.9

Presidential Polls – Louisiana: Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 501 LV 53.9 39.4 +14.5

Presidential Polls – New Jersey: AVERAGE 42.0 53.7 11.7 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 40 57 +17 ActiVote 10/2-10/28; 400 LV 43 57 +14 Cygnal 10/23-10/24; 600LV 3.0 40 52 +12 Rutgers-Eagleton 10/15-10/22; 929 RV 4.2 35 55 +20 ActiVote 9/4-10/2; 400 LV 44 56 +12 Rasmussen Reports…

Presidential Polls – Vermont: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap University of New Hampshire 10/29-11/2; 1,167 LV 31 63 +32 University of New Hampshire 8/15-8/19; 924 LV 29 70 +41 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Final Average 33.6 56.6 +23 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 272 LV 35.1 56.1 +21 Florida Atlantic University 2/29-3/3; 111 LV 28 59…

Presidential Polls – Wyoming: Polling AVERAGE 66 27.5 38.5 FINAL RESULTS: 71.6 25.8 45.8 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Cygnal 10/26-10/28; 600 LV 69 27 +42 University of Wyoming 9/24-10/27; 662 LV 63 28 +35 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 249 LV 66.9 25.9 +41 Emerson 10/4/23 68 15 +53

Presidential Polls – West Virginia: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Research America 8/21-8/27; 400 RV 61 34 +27 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Kaplan 6/4; 464 LV 55 28 +27 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 383 LV 62.7 31.3 +31.4 Emerson 10/4/23 59 23 +36

Presidential Polls – Washington: AVERAGE 37.7 57.0 3.0 19.3 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 39 54 +15 ActiVote 10/3-10/29; 400 LV 41 59 +18 Public Policy Polling 10/16-10/17; 571 LV 40 55 +15 Elway Research 10/8-10/12; 401 LV 32 57 +25 SurveyUSA 10/9-10/14; 703 LV 35 57 +22…

Presidential Polls – Utah: AVERAGE 57.0 37.0 20.0 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap ActiVote 10/7-10/30; 400LV 60 40 +20 Noble Predictive Insights 10/25-10/28; 695LV 54 34 3 +20 HarrisX 10/15-10/19;813 RV 63 31 6 +32 Noble Predictive Insights 10/2-10/7; 539 LV 54 36 +18 Public Policy Polling 9/27-9/28; 612 LV 54 39 +15…

Presidential Polls – Tennessee: AVERAGE X 59.0 36.5 22.5 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap ActiVote 10/5-10/28; 400 LV 62 38 +24 ActiVote 9/24-10/16; 400 LV 62 38 +24 Targoz Market Research 9/27-10/8; 1,200 LV 56 35 +21 ActiVote 7/25-9/2; 400 LV 63 37 +26 Pollster Dates/Sample Gap Trump Biden Ken. Gap Final Average…

Presidential Polls – South Dakota: AVERAGE 60.5 34 26.5 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap The Hill/Emerson 10/19-10/22; 825 LV 3.3 62 35 +27 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 10/12-10/16;500 RV 59 33 +26 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Ken. Gap Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 5/10-5/13; 500 RV 50 31 11 +19 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 303 LV…

Presidential Polls – Oklahoma: AVERAGE 64.8 34.4 30.4 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap ActiVote 10/3-10/29; 400 LV 67 33 +34 WPA Intelligence 10/16-10/18; 502 LV 65 29 +36 ActiVote 9/13-10/19; 400 LV 66 34 +32 SoonerPoll 8/24-8/31; 323 LV 56 40 +16 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 391 LV 52.9 39.8 +13.1 Emerson…

Presidential Polls – Nebraska: AVERAGE 55.5 38.8 16.8 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Change Research 10/30-10/31; 600 LV 57 39 +18 Economist/YouGov 10/21-10/28; 1220 LV 55 40 +15 The New York Times/Siena College 10/23-10/26; 1,194 LV 53 39 +14 Change Research 10/18-10/21; 815 LV 55 41 +14 Torchlight Strategies 10/5-10/8; 600 LV 57 37 +20…

Presidential Polls – North Dakota: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap WPA Intelligence 9/28-9/30; 500 LV 59 32 +27 Lake Research Partners 9/23-9/26; 500 LV 50 40 +10 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Public Opinion Strategies 6/15-6/19; 500 LV 62 28 +34 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 300 LV 55.4 36.6 +18.8 Emerson 10/14/23 54 17 +37

Presidential Polls – Kentucky: Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 248 LV 59.6 34.9 +24.7 Emerson 10/2/23 55 26 +29

Presidential Polls – Kansas: Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap Docking Institute 9/26-10/16; RVs 48 43 +5 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 410 LV 48.9 43.9 +5 Emerson 10/4/23 47 31 +16

Presidential Polls – Indiana: AVERAGE 57.0 40.7 16.3 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap ActiVote 10/3-10/28; 400 LV 58 42 +16 ARW Strategies 9/23-9/25; 600 LV 55 39 +16 ActiVote 8/28-9/30; 400 LV 57 43 +14 Emerson 9/12-9/13; LV 58 41 +17 Lake Research Partners 8/26-9/2; 600 LV 52 42 +10 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap…