New Book:
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrat +17 | 209 | 226 |
***There are no “freepassers” here***
According to Fox News
MICHIGAN
🟥 Rogers: 49%
🟦 El-Sayed: 50%
Fox News – 9/24-9/28; 1028 LV
TEXAS
🟦 James Talarico: 46%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 45%
🟨 Ted Brown: 4%
Rasmussen | 9/28-29 | 1,028 LV
Today’s Talking Point: Freedom dies when free people use their freedom to remain ignorant and thereby follow fools or phonies who will enslave them.
First
LikeLike
Homer on fire today.
LikeLike
Good poll for Rogers.
LikeLike
It would be nice to have ONE poll showing Paxton ahead…… sigh…..
LikeLike
Some really sick people on X
“Isn’t it funny how they made the guy wear the bloody shirt so Bibi could get his photo op to scream victimhood”
LikeLike
The Cult was silent on Paxton saying his poll numbers went down after Trump’s convention. Hmmmm?
LikeLike
This is the month where people start paying attention. -Tina
What happened to “Paxton will rebound after Labor Day when voters pay attention”?
Something better happen soon. Really soon.
LikeLike
Hopefully, the 2 big gubment cons -be itchy and Souter 2.0 rule correctly on this. Beotchy =kenjuh light in the brain capacity.
The Supreme Court has agreed to hear a case this fall on the question of whether ICE can detain illegal aliens detained in the interior of the country — more than 100 miles from the border — if those aliens snuck across the border and were never subject to “inspection” by border officials. Persons “seeking admission” must be detained pending resolution of their case status. The issue is whether someone who has entered and remained, and take not steps to begin the process of obtain lawful status is to be considered under a statute as still “seeking admission” by virtue of his/her remaining in the U.S. — sometimes for years or decades — and building a life here. Is an illegal alien present in the U.S. “seeking admission” merely by refusing to ever leave on his own?
·
LikeLike
LikeLike
“Democrat Gov. Abigail Spanberger’s Virginia JUST RELEASED a CHILD PREDATOR illegal alien from custody — so ICE IMMEDIATELY arrested him”
LikeLike
AARP has Jackson over Collins in Maine 50/47. But the poll is a bit stale, two others that released earlier have fresher dates.
LikeLike
also from the AARP poll”
All (50+)
🟥 Collins: 55%
🟦 Jackson: 43%
——
Swing voters 50+:
🔴 SEN: Collins +53
🔵 GOV: Pingree +28
Mainers 50+ are about 62% of the likely midterm electorate. 87% say they’ll definitely vote in November, vs. 72% of younger voters
LikeLike
Barrett, who was nominated by Trump, is more conservative and more of an expert on law and the Constitution than Tina.
LikeLike
Sometimes a good way to test the generic ballot accuracy is to look at a few races that are NOT in play but where there is some polling, either a couple of independent pollsters or dueling internal poll releases. We have the latter with NY-23, the Buffalo suburbs and southern tier of NY. Trump won this district +21 two years ago. PPP-D released an internal poll showing the Democrat behind by 17, and Cygnal did the internal for the Republican and they claim his lead is +21. So even if you average the two, +19 isn’t far off from the Trump margin of +21 two years ago.
LikeLike
Here in VA-2 it seems that the Democrat, Luria, must be winning in a landslide over the Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. I have seen all of one Luria yard signs, but Kiggans signs are all over the place. Listened to a radio station and only heard Kiggans ads.
So I guess Luria figures she will win because everyone ranks this as LIkely-D and she doesn’t have to spend any money.
Kiggans is pounding away on Luria who was in congress before when she said she would stop insider trading, but instead did it herself and made millions. But I guess Luria doesn’t have to respond to the very effective ad.
LikeLike
From Matt Towery: “What we are starting to see in our surveys…R candidates are closing the gap…we find independents leaning heavily Democrat BUT in most states there is a 20 point or so “enthusiastic to vote gap” with independents not motivated to vote. Same with the youngest of voters, while 65 and over are the most enthusiastic. Most of these races are not nearly the blow outs many of the polls suggest. And we have not adjusted our turnout weighting to reflect this as it is too soon and early voting may contradict these numbers.” Stay tuned. More polls coming today.
·
LikeLike
Thanks, I thought today’s cartoon was one of my better efforts.”
Typical, DW tries to hog in on Homer’s kudos.
LikeLike
I wonder if towery will opine on black vote. Seems like an issue in Ohio and Texas for the Ds
LikeLike
So here is the sc case that is being taken up. They admit it’s the law but nobody noticed it. Clinton signed a lot of illegal immigration bills in the 1990s.
https://x.com/ReichlinMelnick/status/2105654950386930106
LikeLike
Slow news day?
‘Happy Days’ star shares ‘disgusting story’ behind the show’s set having only 1 bathroom”
LikeLike
LikeLike
last insider advantage poll of OHIO was brown +5. They just dropped a +1
LikeLike
So, the Supreme Court of the United States will be answering a burning question in regard to illegal Immigration. 1. Should someone who broke into the Country illegally and NEVER applied for Asylum stayed, be required (if captured) to stay in custody w/o bail until their immigration case is completed. Keep in mind, it is already accepted by the courts that if an alien enters the Country ILLEGALLY and files for asylum, they are allowed to be held in detention indefinitely until their case is adjudicated.
·
LikeLike
gas here down another 2 cents to 3.97
LikeLike
POLITICO: More oil is flowing out of the Middle East than at any point during the war with Iran
·
LikeLike
AlphaROC — The Independent Center out with a generic ballot poll:
Dem 43
GOP 37
The axe they grind is pushing the electorate to look for independent candidates…the height of stupidity as independents are lemmings who one day are angry about crime and border crossings, and the next day want to become a communist country.
LikeLike
OHIO polls…which one is not like the others?
TIED Quantus
Brown +1 Insider Advantage
Brown +3 Big Data
Brown +3 Suffolk
Brown +3 Rasmussen
Brown +3 Trafalgar
Brown +3 Bowling Green State
Brown +8 Marist
LikeLike
And sniffy will blow it in many ways.
@TheInsiderPaper
·
2h
JUST IN – Russia is ready to change its position and accept US proposals on Ukraine settlement, Putin says
LikeLike
Marist is working on a rescue poll for Maine
LikeLike
Fox News also to drop a new poll at 6
LikeLike
lol
Halperin: I am a lot more bullish on Republican chances of keeping the senate today than I was 2 weeks ago.
LikeLike
Putina actually trusts Putin. Sad.
LikeLike
Fox News has GOP down two in TX and IA
LikeLike
both new Fox News polls show movement to the GOP compared to their prior polls
LikeLike
oof Phillies off to a bad start…
LikeLike
LikeLike
JUST IN – Russia is ready to change its position and accept US proposals on Ukraine settlement, Putin says”
Zzzzzz….
LikeLike
Our future….
MAMDANI: “Socialism, to me, means that you will have WHATEVER YOU NEED to live a dignified life, and that it is the GOVERNMENT’S JOB to deliver on that.”
LikeLike
“Socialism, to me, means that you will have WHATEVER YOU NEED to live a dignified life, and that it is the GOVERNMENT’S JOB to deliver on that.”
And just read the Iron Broom to see how it turns out.
LikeLike
New Thread
LikeLike
Leave a comment