Thursday with no polls

Checked five different places with no general election polls to report, so all you have is Homer Hedgehog:

43 responses to “Thursday with no polls”

  1. First.

    Like

  2. There is a pole:

    The Democrat Party was just found to have a STUNNINGLY low approval rating among men of -62 points, 16%-78% — Quinnipiac

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  3. Just in:

    Iran supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei ORDERS near weapons grade uranium to be kept in Iran – Reuters

    So, Donnie, what’s left to talk about?

    Clearly, Iranians have concluded Trump’s threats are nothing but bluster. And why wouldn’t they? One line crossed after another. They know they have us right where they want us.

    If Trump escalates so will the oil prices. Iranian leaders know that and so does Trump.

    The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed guaranteeing high oil prices. Don’t kid yourselves. If we had the military means to open the strait it would already have happened. We obviously don’t.

    Economic pressure? Only works if the leadership of Iran was concerned about economic pain on their population. They clearly don’t give a rip.

    What a mess.

    Like

  4. Every two years when elections come around again, we get introduced to a flurry of new pollsters we never heard of before, and then after the elections, they are gone never to be heard from again. Not sure exactly why that is. This year: StimSight Research, Tavern Research, Grayhouse, Neighborhood research, Honan Strategy Group, and on and on.

    Like

  5. DeItaone

    ·

    24m

    *IRAN OFFICIAL DENIES SUPREME LEADER URANIUM DIRECTIVE

    lol lol lol

    Like

  6. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed guaranteeing high oil prices. Don’t kid yourselves. If we had the military means to open the strait it would already have happened. We obviously don’t”

    Not so sure about that.

    At the moment, it is in OUR interest to keep Iran from selling oil.

    Like

  7. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    There is a rumor in the market than IncaPolls was bought out and will now be called ApolloPolls.

    Stay tuned.

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  8. Keep the blockade of Iranian ports AND open the strait. If we have the means to do it militarily, why aren’t we? There are hundreds of tankers stranded in the Persian Gulf. What’s the problem?

    Like

  9. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    It’t probably more of an insurance issue. A supertanker costs like $130 million so the insurers are probably balking.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. Phil,

    All we have to destroy in Iran is the 10 million radical Muslim. so the other 70 million peaceful Muslims can then resume control.

    Then there will be peace….until the next wave of radicals get control

    Like

  11. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    A group of mostly Democratic strategists and power players are rebuilding a political action committee meant to fortify election-defense infrastructure ahead of 2028 by focusing on often overlooked state offices that control election administration, litigation and certification.

    The group, Democracy Defenders, which previously worked to support legal efforts and help with post-election planning in partnership with the Harris presidential campaign, tells ABC News exclusively that they’re re-launching their political arm. It plans to spend upwards of $10 to 15 million by “protecting democracy and rule of law” in races for Attorneys General, Secretaries of State and state Supreme Court in presidential battleground states– places they see critical to safeguarding against escalating threats from Trump and his allies to subvert the 2028 election.

    “The goal right now is to sabotage-proof the electoral system for 2028,” former Wisconsin Democratic Party Chair and Democracy Defenders operative Ben Wikler told ABC News.”

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  12. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Hello Elon Musk. Make an investment to thwart this.

    Like

  13. Phil,

    All we have to do is to eliminate 10 million radical muzzy Iranians. The other 70 million will then control the government and there will be peace.

    Until the next wave of radicals take control on Iran…

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  14. Solution to Iran. Talk to Russia. In exchange for Russia pulling out of Ukraine, give them 1/2 of Iran.

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  15. small test…testicle…

    My posts are not getting posted…

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  16. Jason, you are probably right about the tanker insurance issues. I hadn’t thought about that one.

    In that case, Iran holds the cards. Closing the strait gives them all kinds of leverage. Trump is screwed.

    Liked by 1 person

  17. I don’t know if the poll below has been posted or not:

    Post

    See new postsConversation

    Samuel Benson

    @sambbenson

    TX-SEN poll (pre-Trump endorsement) Paxton: 52% Cornyn: 40% Global Strategy Group, May 6-11, n=600 likely Texas GOP runoff voters https://static.politico.com/9d/7d/5af9cafb4574b6367751e243e0c1/giffords-gsg-tx-gop-runoff-survey-memo.pdf

    Also, a plan B is going on with the UAE building a pipeline to bypass the Strait of Hormuz — 50% completed.

    ·

    418.2K Views

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  18. I’m having trouble posting things that need to be pasted – the latest a poll showing Paxton with a 12 pt. lead over Cornyn.

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  19. Sorry, see the poll was posted.

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  20. Paxton will win. It’s just a matter of how much. I’d be surprised if it was 12 points. I’m thinking it could be as high as 7 or 8 though.

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  21. Phil, so with you now thinking Paxton will win does that do anything to change your earlier Cornyn vote?

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  22. DW – Walt is having posts blocked. Can you check the filter?

    Like

  23. FBI Director Kash Patel

    @FBIDirectorKash

    After

    @FBI

    investigation – the mastermind behind the Feeding our Future scandal in Minnesota defrauding public COVID funds of over $250 million was just sentenced to 41.5 years in prison

    Like

  24. OpenSourceZone

    ·

    Ken Paxton says he is pulling negative ads against John Cornyn, and he will focus on the general election.

    Liked by 1 person

  25. Walt’s posts were getting put into the spam folder

    Liked by 1 person

  26. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    We have a spam folder?

    Classy.

    Liked by 1 person

  27. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Harris campaign criticized for taking too much for granted: over-focus on suburbs/college-educated voters, neglecting rural areas, and relying on “not Trump” rather than affirmative messaging or clear self-definition.”

    Dem autopsy…

    I could have told them that for less than they paid for the autopsy.

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  28. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    But let’s face it, there were other problems.

    1. The “Nothing comes to mind” when asked what she would do different.
    2. Constant word salads
    3. Trying to bully Joe Rogan on where and when of an interview
    4. Too much spending on abortion and other preaching to the choir ads
    5. Tim Walz

    There is more but you get the picture.

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  29. Janzam, I don’t think I’ll vote in the primary run-off now. The other races don’t interest me. I will vote for Paxton in November of course.

    Liked by 1 person

  30. I have learned where to see all the spam or pending folders. Word press has some built in constraints and we have setup a spam filter protection against someone who posts dozens of links in one post. That is why some of Walt’s have been previously stopped. I will do a better job of managing what’s in there and release/remove as appropriate.

    Liked by 1 person

  31. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    neglecting rural areas”

    It really wasn’t neglect.

    Her campaign made the assumption she could win with an overwhelming vote by suburban liberal women plus blacks, Hispanics, and LBTQ+.

    In the end, she overestimated her appeal to all those groups, especially Hispanic and black men.

    It was a conscious choice. “Neglect” implies that it was an oversight.

    The one group that the Dems made gains with were seniors, because scare tactics like “Trump is doing away with SS and Medicare” work.

    The GOP needs an effective counter to this both in 2026 and 2028 because this is a negative attack that wors.

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  32. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I will do a better job of managing”

    This is important because your mid year review is coming up and the committee will be meeting to review salary and benefits.

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  33. Buffune lets the senators go on vacation until June. Rolling my eyes.

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  34. IOW, Tina, Thune is making sure nothing gets done for Trump.

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  35. I think it’s wise for Paxton to concentrate on the GE, instead of sparing with Cornyn through negative ads. For one thing he can save some needed resources, as I doubt he will be getting much financial help from the senate establishment.

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  36. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    There is still time for the baggage handler to self destruct before the primary.

    One can always hope.

    I think there are Cornyn voters who won’t vote for Paxton in the GE.

    But I am sure Janzam is fine with that since she said the “base” wouldn’t voter for Cornyn.

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  37. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    IOW, Tina, Thune is making sure nothing gets done for Trump.”

    Zzzzzz…

    Even if that was true, the Senate is an independent branch of government, and it is not there “for Trump”.

    It is there for their constituents and the USA.

    Like

  38. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    “15 individuals have been indicted for over $90 million in an alleged massive healthcare fraud scheme in Minnesota, after a sweeping FBI investigation with

    @TheJusticeDept and our Interagency Partners. These charges involve the two LARGEST Medicaid fraud cases ever charged in this district and first-of-their kind charges involving 7 additional Medicaid programs. As alleged, the defendants defrauded Minnesota public healthcare resources for tens of millions, targeting programs such as Housing Stabilization Services, Child Care, Medicaid programs, Individualized Home Supports (IHS), and more. In one case, defendants even developed a scheme worth over $40 million to target the Early Intensive Developmental and Behavioral Intervention (EIDBI) – an autism healthcare program – paying kickbacks to parents who fraudulently used autism centers to diagnose children with autism regardless of medical necessity, and billing for services not actually provided. This not only defrauded taxpayers, but robbed valuable resources from families truly in need.”

    I have not seen the names, interesting to see if they are Somalis.

    Liked by 1 person

  39. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    If they are Somalis, let the MSM cries of “racism” start in 3, 2, 1…

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  40. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Let the racism cries begin..

    • Usman Kamara: Charged with wire fraud, bribery, and money laundering for allegedly claiming over $1 million by filing bogus claims to be feeding children in North Minneapolis. [1]
    • Muhammad Omar: Charged with health care fraud and conspiracy; he is currently a fugitive after authorities allege he leaped from a balcony to evade arrest. [1]
    • Ibrahim Bashir Abdi: Charged alongside Muhammad Omar for allegedly creating sham companies to collect millions from the state’s Housing Stabilization program. [, 2]
    • Asha Farhan Hassan & Abdinajib Hassan Yussuf: Implicated in earlier phases of the autism therapy scheme, alongside recently unsealed charges against operators including Shamso Ahmed Hassan and Hanaan Mursal Yusuf.
    • Ahmed O. Kadar: Charged with health care fraud and money laundering for billing taxpayers $1.4 million while failing to provide heat or power to Medicaid tenants.
    • Jillaine Mertens: A Rochester daycare owner charged with defrauding a state childcare program by inflating staff hours and falsifying employee records.

    Liked by 1 person

  41. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Jillaine must be a woman.

    Racist and sexist prosecutions….

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