According to Bowling Green State University poll
Senate
Jon Husted (inc): 50%
Sherrod Brown: 47%
Other: 3%
——
Governor
Vivek Ramaswamy: 48%
Amy Acton: 47%
Other: 5%
——
Generic Ballot
GOP: 48%
DEM: 43%
——
BGSU/YouGov | 4/7-14 | 1,000 RV
- Husted up 3 in Ohio
- Still Close in California
- Sunday Open Thread
- Finally Friday
- Michigan Senate Dem Primary
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
Husted up 3 in Ohio
36 responses to “Husted up 3 in Ohio”
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Polymarket has the Yes vote at 86%.
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The 86% at Polymarket is about what I would expect given all we have are a couple of polls showing Yes up a few points. But how many in those polls fully understood the implications of Yes/No given the Democrats wrote the question? I think its going to be close, and the Span-burglar job approval is probably a better gauge of the referendum. Its going to come down to turnout. Independents should be on the GOP side regardless the party they vote for in November, because they will want choices in November.
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Betty Yee has suspended her campaign for CA governor, not wanting to run the risk of being Swalwelled.
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This podcast is long, but I encourage everyone to watch it. A professor from Dallas interviews three co-authors of a new book dealing with logic and sound reasoning. They are coming from a Christian world-view perspective, but what they say is applicable to the logic used in everyday life, and they even get a little into politics. The logical fallacies they speak to illustrate part of why our society is in such a mess.
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Last minute talks to begin with Iran. Expect Iranians to offer promise of an agreement in order to extend the ceasefire….and as usual it’s the same old empty promise. Delay, Delay, Delay. String us along to avoid getting hit. It’s the same old BS. Same playbook as always. It never changes. Extend the ceasefire for an empty promise of progress. Rinse and repeat.
If Trump extends the ceasefire he’s playing right into their hands. Unfortunately, that’s exactly what I expect to happen. I hope I’m wrong, but I’ve just seen this movie too many times before.
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Reuters/IPSOS has never been friendly to Republicans as far back as I can recall. But here is their new generic ballot:
Reuters/Ipsos
Democrats 41
Republicans 38
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If we had a real Senate Leader, Tillis would be kicked off the committee. But, as you know, Thune works against Trump a lot
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Dickliss is being an a hole about the confirmation hearings for the new fed chairperson nomination. All because dickliss wants no investigation of the current fed chairperson
swamp protects swamp.
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SPAM-BURGLAR!!!!
LOL!
VA Dems “big rig job” will be decided today.
And then redecided by the VA supreme court, and then the SCOTUS.
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Tillis has been useless his entire second term in the Senate. It’s his kind of Republican that makes the party rank in file distrust the party. Romney is gone so I guess Tillis felt it left an opening to be the new MSM’s favorite Republican. He stepped right in. He and Murkowski competing to be the left’s favorite useful idiot. I still give the edge to Murkowski who only stays in office because of ranked choice voting in Alaska. Collins I give some slack to since she is from a blue state and voted to confirm Kavanaugh who made it by one vote (Murkowski voted no of course). McConnell? He is just a useless dick – a no on the Save America Act BTW. No voter ID necessary, right Mitch?
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One Virginia Beach precinct had very light voting over the early lunch hour. It is a district that is 60/40 Dem.
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If forced to make a prediction, I would expect that No will be ahead for much of the evening, and then with 99% of the vote already in across northern Virginia, suddenly 9000 Yes votes will drop out of nowhere, and put yes over the top 50.2 to 49.8.
I have seen this movie before and it always ends the same way. I am still shocked that didn’t happen in 2021 when Youngkin came out on top. The only thing I can figure is that the guy with a car trunk stuffed with McAwful ballots either drove the wrong car to the precinct counting place or had a flat tire on the way.
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Most at HHR would love a system where 435 Republicans would be elected to the House. They are just angry Dems are working hard on electing 435 Dems to the House.
Discuss
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DW, make of it what you will;
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GF, was just posting the same thing. Hard to say, because the polls are still open another six hours and 18 minutes. Lots of time for them to catch up.
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Besides, if those people don’t show up, whose to say that their ballots still won’t be cast?
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Regrettably, I think Yes pulls it out, but it’s MUCH closer than people expect. Doesn’t help the GOP, it’s the same whether it passes by fifteen points or just fifteen votes, but perhaps a good indicator that Dems can still cook themselves with their extreme overreach.
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GF, early on the ads and messaging was overwhelmingly on the YES side of the vote. Then about three weeks ago, it evened out, and then the last week, it was entirely the NO side. So the GOP, at least in my part of the state, kept the powder dry until the last week before the voting.
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Barring a massive last minute shift this afternoon, NO will win the ED vote handily. It’s just that the EV will be so lopsidedly YES that it’s hard for me to see that being overcome. As far as I’m concerned, the only thing that will matter is that the EV is something like only 4% from what I saw (maybe that was the strictly mail vote, not early in person). If that’s correct, NO has an outside shot.
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https://www.vpap.org/visuals/visual/early-voting-by-locality/
Here is the page if you want to see the early voting. The way it looks to me is NO has a shot, but only if there is overwhelming election day turnout in all the rural parts of the state. I doubt that will happen.
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The YES vote certainly has an 8 to 1 cash advantage over the more rural NO grass roots. However, in the past money has not always won out over an opponent backed by an energized coalition of volunteers. I hope VA is able to overcome this unfair proposition that will disenfranchise such a large swarth of conservative voters.
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Virginia is gone and will never recover. Its the next NY/CA. Once they get absolute power, they lock it in.
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Thune works against Trump a lot”
Zzzzzz…..
He doesn’t work “against” Trump.
He is not a rubber stamp for Trump, which is different. The Senate and House are a separate branch of government, and their role is not to act as doormats for the President.
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Polymarket still at 85%, but that is down from 93% a week ago.
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jason I have anecdotal evidence that young people in Virginia are overwhelmingly voting YES. Even many who voted for the GOP ticket in 2025.
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Skeptical about that. Young voter turnout on special elections is dismally low.
I find it hard to believe they would be that motivated for a gerrymander effort.
I think the problem is the female boomer vote, they will be out in droves.
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Two different teachers in Fairfax County Public Schools urged students to go home and persuade their parents to vote yes on the measure to make Virginia’s maps “as fair as they can be,” to “stop Donald Trump at all costs.”
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10-1 is “fair” I guess.
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Joy Reid: “Democrats do not play politics the way Republicans do.
They try to play by the rules.”
Maury Povich: LOL”
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“Five months after he was fired as a U.S. immigration judge, Jeremiah Johnson found himself rumbling into the highlands of Guatemala on a crowded bus, a bouquet of flowers in hand. His unusual, if poetic, mission: to visit relatives of an indigenous family who fled their village for the United States and won asylum in his courtroom. Johnson, 52, served nearly a decade as an immigration judge in San Francisco, in a famously liberal circuit, hearing hundreds of asylum cases. Day in, day out, he heard stories of political and religious persecution, torture, violence, rape. He granted asylum 89% of the time”
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Maury Povich is still alive? What does he do these days?
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I guess he interviews Marxist hacks like Joy Reid…
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The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
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