According to Bowling Green State University poll
Senate
Jon Husted (inc): 50%
Sherrod Brown: 47%
Other: 3%
——
Governor
Vivek Ramaswamy: 48%
Amy Acton: 47%
Other: 5%
——
Generic Ballot
GOP: 48%
DEM: 43%
——
BGSU/YouGov | 4/7-14 | 1,000 RV


Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
![]() | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
According to Bowling Green State University poll
Senate
Jon Husted (inc): 50%
Sherrod Brown: 47%
Other: 3%
——
Governor
Vivek Ramaswamy: 48%
Amy Acton: 47%
Other: 5%
——
Generic Ballot
GOP: 48%
DEM: 43%
——
BGSU/YouGov | 4/7-14 | 1,000 RV

Polymarket has the Yes vote at 86%.
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The 86% at Polymarket is about what I would expect given all we have are a couple of polls showing Yes up a few points. But how many in those polls fully understood the implications of Yes/No given the Democrats wrote the question? I think its going to be close, and the Span-burglar job approval is probably a better gauge of the referendum. Its going to come down to turnout. Independents should be on the GOP side regardless the party they vote for in November, because they will want choices in November.
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Betty Yee has suspended her campaign for CA governor, not wanting to run the risk of being Swalwelled.
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This podcast is long, but I encourage everyone to watch it. A professor from Dallas interviews three co-authors of a new book dealing with logic and sound reasoning. They are coming from a Christian world-view perspective, but what they say is applicable to the logic used in everyday life, and they even get a little into politics. The logical fallacies they speak to illustrate part of why our society is in such a mess.
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Last minute talks to begin with Iran. Expect Iranians to offer promise of an agreement in order to extend the ceasefire….and as usual it’s the same old empty promise. Delay, Delay, Delay. String us along to avoid getting hit. It’s the same old BS. Same playbook as always. It never changes. Extend the ceasefire for an empty promise of progress. Rinse and repeat.
If Trump extends the ceasefire he’s playing right into their hands. Unfortunately, that’s exactly what I expect to happen. I hope I’m wrong, but I’ve just seen this movie too many times before.
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