Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump Leads in TX/FL, Moreno gaining in Ohio

Florida: Hill/EmersonTrump 50%, Harris 45%
Texas: Hill/EmersonTrump 50%, Harris 46%
Ohio: Hill/EmersonTrump 53%, Harris 43%
California: Hill/EmersonHarris 60%Trump 36%
Texas: Univ of TexasTrump 49%, Harris 44
Texas: Univ of TexasTrump 49%, Harris 44%Stein 2%
Ohio Senate Hill/EmersonBrown 46%, Moreno 44%
Florida Senate Hill/EmersonScott 46%, Mucarsel-Powell 45%
California Senate Hill/EmersonSchiff 55%, Garvey 33%
Texas Senate Hill/EmersonCruz 48%, Allred 44% (Cruz +4%)
Texas Senate U TexasCruz 44%, Allred 36% (Cruz +8%)

34 responses to “Trump Leads in TX/FL, Moreno gaining in Ohio”

  1. So the Hill would have you believe that both Florida and Texas are in play for Harris, as well as stating that Cruz and Scott are in trouble in their Senate races. To demonstrate how crazy their polls are, the Univ of Texas, not a bastion of Conservative thought, has Cruz ahead by 8% (which means he’s up by 12%+) whereas the Hill has it at 4%…and Scott only up 1% in Florida!!!

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  2. Even that CA number is not stellar considering it is her home state. Biden did 5 points better in 2020.

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  3. More new polls (Patriot Polling/September 1-3/most states with over 800 rvs)

    National

    Harris 48.8

    Trump 47.3

    Pennslyvania

    Trump 49

    Harris 47.3

    Michigan

    Harris 48.4

    Trump 47.6

    Wisconsin

    Harris 47.9

    Trump 47.7

    NC

    Trump 50

    Harris 47.5

    Georgia

    Trump 48.9

    Harris 48.3

    AZ.

    Trump 48.5

    Harris 46.9

    Nevada

    Trump 47

    Harris 46.8

    https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-harris-in-dead-heat

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  4. Those look about right, though GA seems a bit tighter than it may actually be. Thanks John for posting those!!

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  5. BTW with those polling numbers from Patriot, Trump wins the election comfortably in the electoral College

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  6. Hey John, welcome to HHR.

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  7. ok where did everyone go

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  8. Still here.

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  9. After we got rid of Dumbchuck Bitter has cut my hours in half. It is unfair because a troll could emerge at any time and we have to be prepared.

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  10. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    If this is the Republican for Harris’s administration, we can expect more than of the same demonization in a Harris administration as we got in the Biden administration.

    “Since Liz Cheney endorsed Harris, there has been speculation she would join a future Harris administration.

    ““I am not focussed on that,” she said, “I am very much focussed on we have to make sure that we defeat Donald Trump in November.” “

    https://www.texastribune.org/2024/09/06/dick-cheney-kamala-harris-liz-cheney-colin-allred/

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  11. Could Trump create strong enough coattails to drag across Moreno and McCormick? A CNN sponsored poll two days ago had McCormick and Casey tied 46-46.

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  12. I wonder how Dumbchuck is doing in remedial troll school. Poor bastard went from “disaffected Republican voter” to Canadian communist calling people “Rethugs” and “magats” in about 3 days.

    Bitter, have been served with papers yet regarding his lawsuit for doxing him as a Canadian?

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  13. I don’t see how Moreno loses if Trump wins by 10 in OH, a distinct possibility.

    In PA the same thing could happen that happened in 2016 when both Trump and “All Gun Owners are Criminals” Toomey won, albeit with slightly different voters.

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  14. Wow

    “Trump’s lead widens in Nate Silver’s model.

    Trump – 62%

    Harris – 38%

    Trump is now a bigger favorite to win the electoral college, than Harris is to win the popular vote.”

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  15. Eric Daugherty
    @EricLDaugh

    JUST IN: President Trump to participate in a PENNSYLVANIA campaign event centered around the threat of the CCP to American agriculture – with @LeeZeldin and
    @RichardGrenell

    “The discussion will focus on the Chinese Communist Party’s growing threat to America’s food supply and how to help our agriculture community combat this threat.”

    The event is on Sept. 23 in Smithton, PA

    Cont

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  16. So Silverhack says that if the Electorate is D+2 or less Trump wins, D+2-3 its a statistical tie, and D+3 Harris destroys America.

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  17. Lee Zeldin and Rick Grenell are two heavy weighs for Trump to confer with. Both men, especially Grenell, are people I would hope would be in his next administration.

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  18. I think Zeldin needs to stay in NY. Hochul may be vulnerable next cycle, and he did fairly well against her last time, If I remember correctly.

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  19. Zeldin received the highest percentage of the vote for a Republican gubernatorial nominee since 2002 and the highest raw vote total for a Republican gubernatorial nominee since 1970.

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  20. Yeah, I can see your point about a potential role for Zeldin in NY, Vic. I just immensely respect both men’s ability to be critical, honest thinkers.

    Below is a piece remembering 911:

    https://www.thethinkingconservative.com/opinion-biden-has-no-business-setting-foot-at-ground-zero-on-the-anniversary-of-9-11/

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  21. Well Friday night might be alright for fighting, but its dead for posting on our wonderful blog….

    Where is everyone. MG. Chicon. those who have gone…come on back!

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  22. Phillies, Braves and Mets all win. Phillies still hold 8 game lead.

    Eagles trail in 3rd quarter 26-24. Field in Brazil is awful for both teams.

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  23. Like

  24. Alan Dershowitz quits the Dem Party.

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  25. Question for the Dems.

    Now that Dick Cheney endorsed Kamala Harris is he still a war criminal?

    A friend wants to know.

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  26. REPORTER: Some are skeptical of your economic plan. They say it would result in higher taxes for the middle class. How would you address those fears?

    COMRADE KAMALA: Well, I grew up in the middle class!

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  27. LOL

    Cenk Uygur

    @cenkuygur

    Here’s what’s not helpful: News that Dick Cheney is planning to vote for Kamala Harris.

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  28. Bwahahaha the young Turk pissed Cheney is voting for Komrade Kamala.

    Wow. I never realized how much the Bush and Cheney families hate Trump. I mean, with an absolute passion. I am not sure if its because he took down Jeb so viciously, or that as a President he was better than Bush in a lot of areas.

    Crazy. The ultimate “right winger” and punching bag of the Dems, Cheney, voting for Communism, and if not that, at least a very large dose of America crushing Socialism.

    Ironically, pointing to Komrade Kamala’s post about being “middle class”…socialism hurts the Middle Class the most, by nearly eliminating it.

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  29. Vomit inducing WAPO headline

    “Hunter Biden’s tragedy and turmoil shadowed the Biden presidency”

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  30. And Zeldin still lost. Maybe NYC should run.

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