The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Paxton seems to have the edge to upset the incumbent Cornyn, while Talarico has the edge over Crockett on the Democrat side.

WAR in IRAN Day 3

According to PPIC CALIFORNIA POLL – Governor (top two advance) 🟥 Steve Hilton: 14%🟦 Katie Porter: 13%🟥 Chad Bianco: 12%🟦 Eric Swalwell: 11%🟦 Tom Steyer: 10%🟦 Xavier Becerra: 5%🟦 A. Villaraigosa: 5%🟦 Betty Yee: 5%🟦 Matt Mahan: 3%🟦 T. Thurmond: 1%🟩 Butch Ware: 2% PPIC (A) | 2/3-11 | 1,049 LV

According to UNH poll: 2/12-2/16; LV US Senate Maine 2026🟦Graham Platner 49%🟥Susan Collins 38%

40% of the country already think the speech was terrible, and 40% already think the speech was tremendous. The key is what the other 20% will think after the speech.

Insider Advantage Trump Job Approval: Approve 50 Disapprove 46

Hart Research (D) did a poll on behalf of Jasmine Crockett and found that she lead Ken Paxton by two: 🟦Jasmine Crockett 48%🟥Ken Paxton 46%

This morning I&I/TIPP has the generic congressional ballot at Dem +3 And then in the battle of experts in word salads and corruption, the same pollster has the 2028 DEM primary currently showing Harris 38, Newsom 13, Buttigieg 5, Ocasio-Cortez 2, Shapiro 4, Kelly 3, Pritzker 3, Booker 0, Beshear 2, Whitmer 2

Saturday night

Change Research (D) gives their opinion of the Iowa Senate race, and it doesn’t matter which of the three Democrats wins the primary, they found identical results: IOWA Hinson 44 Any Dem 41

Emerson has provided the first look at the Minnesota Senate race, 2/6 – 2/8; 1000 RV; 3.0 MoE MINNESOTA Tafoya 41 Flanagan 47 Tafoya 40 Craig 47

University of Houston 1/20 – 1/31; 1502 LV; 2.5 MoE TEXAS Paxton 45 Crockett 43 Same poll has Crockett and Paxton leading their party primaries. (Paxton 38, Cornyn 31, Hunt 17) and (Crockett 47, Talarico 39, Hassan 2)

Weekend Thread

Poll by KSTP/SurveyUSA, 1/27-1/30; 575 RV; 4.6 MoE MINNESOTA Jensen 35 Klobuchar 49

ICE Appreciation Week – Snowy weekend thread

Senate poll by Emerson, 1/24 – 1/25; 1000 RV 3.0 MoE: MICHIGAN Rogers 42 Stevens 47

ICE Appreciation Week! Thank you ICE for keeping us safe from career criminals, murderers and child sodomizers. Keep up the good work and don’t let deranged leftists stop you.

UNH poll taken 1/15 – 1/19 against 2053 LV with a 2.2 MoE: NEW HAMPSHIRE Senate: Sununu 45 Pappas 50 Governor: Ayotte 50 Kiper 39 NH-02 Tang Williams 40 Goodlander 54

5 point edge for Cooper, according to Democrat polling firm Change Research: NORTH CAROLINA Whatley 42 Cooper 47 Also, a news update from Homer Hedgehog:

New thread

With your host, Homer Hedgehog.

By Emerson 1/10 – 1/12; 1165 LV 2.8 MoE TEXAS GOP Primary Paxton 27 Cornyn 26 Hunt 16 DEM Primary Talarico 47 Crockett 38 Gen. Election Paxton 46 Talarico 46 Paxton 46 Talarico 46 Cornyn 47 Talarico 44 Cornyn 48 Crockett 43

According to Alaska Research Survey poll taken 1/8-1/11 among registered voters ALASKA – US SENATE Dan Sullivan 46.4 Mary Peltola 48 Gonzales has a new poll of MD Governor, 12/21-1/6 RV: MARYLAND – GOV. Republican 28 Wes Moore 50 Detroit News/WDIV-TV out with a MI Gov Poll, 1/2-1/6 600 LV 4.0 MoE: MICHIGAN – GOV.…

Sriudorn Phaivan, a Laotian illegal alien convicted of strong-arm sodomy of a boy & strong-arm sodomy of a girl with a deportation order since 2018. Tou Vang, a Laotian illegal alien convicted of sexual assault and sodomy of a girl under age 13 and procuring a child for prostitution with a deportation order since 2006.…

A new pinned page on the HHR is Walt’s List of Trump’s Achievements. It is by no means an exhaustive list, and it will hopefully grow with time. But Walt made a good point that somewhere we need such a list because things are happening fast and its hard to quickly recall all that is…

WHAT TRUMP ADMIN HAS DONE THAT THE DEMOCRATS OPPOSE: Foreign Policy Success: –Precision strike to take out Iran nuclear capabilities that led to the middle East being safer and set in motion events that may end the rule of the Ayatollah. –Helped Israel bring an end to the Hamas crisis resulting in living hostages returned.…

According to PPP-D internal poll done for the Democrat (Gallant), taken 12/10-12/11: NY-01 Nick LaLota 41 Chris Gallant 38

Trump is pushing again to acquire Greenland from Denmark.

Close race, but its a GOP pollster, Guidant Polling, 12/9-12/11 against likely voters: NEW HAMPSHIRE Sununu 44 Pappas 47