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The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.


  • Good Friday for those who Observe it
  • No Trouble for GOP in Florida
  • Breaking: Oak Island Treasure Found!
  • Hochul up 13 in New York
  • Monday Morning
  • 2024 Election Polling Grades
  • 2024 Polling Aggregator
  • Walt’s List of Trump’s Achievements

Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:41.6 / 55.6-14.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.5 / 52.1-6.6

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +21207228

2026 Senate Forecast

OHTXMIGANHMEMNNC
Gap+1.4+1.2+1.8+1.4+4.5+5.6+7.0+7.5
Count5051494847464544
  • Night shift

    September 16, 2024
  • Harris up 10 in New Mexico, Trump up only 4 in Iowa

    According to a poll by Research and Polling for @ABQJournal taken Sept. 6-13 against 532 LVs. In Iowa, the Des Moines Register was taken 9/8-11 against 656 LVs NEW MEXICO Trump 39 Harris 49 IOWA Trump 47 Harris 44 RFK 6 Oliver 1 Also Trafalgar out with a poll showing Harris up 2 in Nevada:…

    September 16, 2024
  • Sunday Night

    September 15, 2024
  • Trump with edge in Arizona, Harris with edge in Wisconsin

    According to new polls by Trafalgar Group (Arizona: Sept. 11-12; 1,088 LV) and Insider Advantage (Wisconsin: Sept. 11-12; 800 LV) WISCONSIN Trump 47 Harris 49 ARIZONA Trump 47.1 Harris 45.5 U.S. Senate: Lake 43 Gallego 47.2

    September 14, 2024
  • Saturday Night.

    September 14, 2024
  • Two NC polls give Trump an edge

    Trafalgar Group ( Sept. 11-12; 1,094 LV) and AmGreatness/TIPP (9/11 – 9/13; 973 LV) NORTH CAROLINA Trafalgar: Trump 48 Harris 46 TIPP: Trump 49 Harris 46

    September 14, 2024
  • Any chance weekend polls?

    September 14, 2024
  • Trump up only 5 in Alaska and Harris up 8 in New Hampshire

    According to new polling from the Alaska Survey Research and Saint Anselm College Survey Center. Keep in mind that Alaska Survey Research’s final 2020 poll was Trump 50, Biden 46. This new poll was taken Sept. 11-12 against 1,254 LVs. The New Hampshire poll was taken Sept. 11-12 against 2,241 LVs. This pollster was spot…

    September 13, 2024
  • Tie in Michigan

    According to a new poll by Mitchell Research taken after the debate, 9/10, 600 LV. This same pollster’s final survey in 2020 had Trump 45, Biden 52, off 4 points in favor of Biden. MICHIGAN Trump 48 Harris 48 Also Quantus is out with a new poll of North Carolina taken Sept. 11-12 against 815…

    September 13, 2024
  • Harris with narrow lead in Minnesota

    According to a new poll by Embold Research, taken Sept. 4-8 against a large sample of 1,616 LVs: MINNESOTA Trump 45 Harris 49

    September 13, 2024
  • Just have to get through Friday to the weekend.

    September 13, 2024
  • In honor of Scooterboy’s return, GFY.

    Because I am indifferent towards living since I failed my niece, please note that in any future elections, I would never vote for a Democrat over the Republican nominee.

    September 12, 2024
  • Trump up 1 in Michigan

    According to a new poll from Insider Advantage taken 9/11-9/12 against 800 LVs: MICHIGAN Trump 49 Harris 48 Other 1

    September 12, 2024
  • DW?

    September 12, 2024
  • The return of DW Eve?

    September 11, 2024
  • Remember 9/11/01. Keep killing terrorists.

    September 11, 2024
  • Post-Debate Thread.

    I don’t believe what Harris said but she did not crumble. Too much time talking about plans without actual plans. I believe most of what Trump said but he was goaded into being angry. Too much time talking about cats.

    September 10, 2024
  • Ready. Set. Debate!

    September 10, 2024
  • Debate Day!

    September 10, 2024
  • Quinn. says Harris running away with North Carolina

    Georgia: Quinnipiac Trump 49%, Harris 46 North Carolina: Quinnipiac Harris 50%, Trump 47% North Carolina Gov.- Quinnipiac Stein 54%, Robinson 42% Pennsylvania Senate – CBS News Casey 48%, McCormick 41% Michigan Senate – CBS News Slotkin 48%, Rogers 41% Wisconsin Senate – CBS News Baldwin 51%, Hovde 43%

    September 9, 2024
  • Happy Debate Eve!

    September 9, 2024
  • 1 more week until DW returns?

    September 8, 2024
  • Saturday!

    September 7, 2024
  • Trump Leads in TX/FL, Moreno gaining in Ohio

    Florida: Hill/Emerson Trump 50%, Harris 45% Texas: Hill/Emerson Trump 50%, Harris 46% Ohio: Hill/Emerson Trump 53%, Harris 43% California: Hill/Emerson Harris 60%, Trump 36% Texas: Univ of Texas Trump 49%, Harris 44 Texas: Univ of Texas Trump 49%, Harris 44%, Stein 2% Ohio Senate Hill/Emerson Brown 46%, Moreno 44% Florida Senate Hill/Emerson Scott 46%, Mucarsel-Powell 45% California Senate Hill/Emerson Schiff 55%, Garvey 33% Texas Senate Hill/Emerson Cruz 48%, Allred 44% (Cruz +4%) Texas Senate U Texas Cruz 44%, Allred 36% (Cruz +8%)

    September 6, 2024
  • It’s Friday!

    September 6, 2024
  • Coming up on 24 hours for last thread. Time for a new one.

    September 5, 2024
  • CNN tells us Trump up big in AZ, tied in PA…but losing everywhere else

    Arizona: CNN* Trump 49  Harris 44 Nevada: CNN* Harris 48  Trump 47 Pennsylvania: CNN* Trump 47  Harris 47 Michigan: Multi CNN Harris 48  Trump 43,  Kennedy 4 Wisconsin: Multi CNN Harris 50  Trump 44,  Kennedy 1 , Oliver 2 Georgia: Multi CNN Harris 48  Trump 47,  Kennedy 1 Arizona Senate CNN Gallego 47  Lake 44 Nevada Senate CNN Rosen 50  Brown 40 Pennsylvania Senate CNN Casey 46  McCormick 46 Wisconsin Senate CNN Baldwin 51 Hovde 45

    September 4, 2024
  • New thread. Find some polls, Vic.

    September 4, 2024
  • I guess DW meant it when he said he was off for 2 weeks. But Vic found polls.

    September 3, 2024
  • Travel messes with me. I think it is Tuesday.

    September 3, 2024
  • It’s Labor Day. Let the campaigns kick into high gear!

    September 2, 2024
  • New thread. Nothing new.

    September 1, 2024
  • Good morning, slackers.

    September 1, 2024
  • Saturday without DW. Stay strong.

    August 31, 2024
  • The Hill has all swing states within a point, Except AZ and MI…leaving the race at 269-269 Senate races tight in PA, MI and WI

    Arizona: Trump 50, Harris 47 Georgia: Harris 49, Trump 48 Michigan: Harris 50, Trump 47 Nevada: Harris 49, Trump 48 North Carolina: Trump 49, Harris 48 Pennsylvania: Trump 48, Harris 48 TIE Wisconsin: Trump 49, Harris 48 Michigan Senate Slotkin 47, Rogers 41 Nevada Senate Rosen 50, Brown 40 Pennsylvania Senate Casey 48, McCormick 44 Wisconsin Senate Baldwin 49, Hovde 48 Arizona Senate Gallego 49, Lake 42

    August 30, 2024
  • Any polls, Vic?

    August 30, 2024
  • Night Shift.

    August 29, 2024
  • Life without DW’s polls – Day 1

    August 29, 2024
  • Wednesday late shift. Is that the weekend off in the distance?

    August 28, 2024
  • New Thread. Own it.

    August 28, 2024
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The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

 

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