New Book:

2026 House Forecast

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Democrat +13211224

2026 Senate Forecast

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***There are no “freepassers” here***

Trump up 1 in Michigan

According to a new poll from Insider Advantage taken 9/11-9/12 against 800 LVs:

MICHIGAN
Trump49
Harris48
Other1

134 responses to “Trump up 1 in Michigan”

  1. Frist!!!! welcome back DW. whew!!!!

    Like

  2. BTW your poll posts look way better than mine. Glad you’re back!!!!

    Like

  3. DW are those polls taken post Debate?

    Like

  4. “The survey was conducted September 11th through midday September 12th.”

    Yes, after Debate.

    Like

  5. Good news!!!

    Like

  6. Two VERY iimportant points from the poll…btw IA was the best state by state pollster last cycle (is that correct DW)

    Trump enjoyed a five point advantage among independent voters. The poll also showed a slightly higher amount of support for Trump among African-Americans (around twenty-percent), which may be an aberration, or a reflection of higher African-American numbers seen in recent national surveys such as The New York Times survey.

    It appears that the debate had little or no impact on the contest, particularly among independent voters, in this particular state. A poll of battleground states we conducted with Trafalgar Group the night of the debate showed that while respondent’s thought Harris won the debate 55%-43%, undecideds did not move and overall support for the candidates was tied 48%-48%. The race remains extremely competitive both in Michigan and likely all of the battleground states.

    Like

  7. new Rasmussen national:

    Trump 49

    Harris 47

    Like

  8. Rearding Michigan, didn’t Major Garrett do a report showing how strong trumps strength in Michigan is over quemala?

    Like

  9. I was tryin to find it. I believe it was a recent segment.

    Like

  10. I just saw again her response to the are you better off ? What a disaster. Looks like she is interviewing for prom Queen.

    Like

  11. There were more than 40 posts from Bunu with the same anti-Semitic trash videos that had to be removed. That was just one thread.”

    ZZZZZ…..

    They were probably the same post over and over.

    SInce you removed it, he put it back.

    You should have just ignored it. That is what Dave did for 20 years and we survived Bunu and Accroso and President Paul perfectly.

    Like

  12. DW, I apologize for there being no welcoming banners and decorative garlands on the site for your return. Bitter was too cheap to hire someone to do it.

    Like

  13. Schumer just spent a half hour attacking Project 2025. This afternoon he is going to have a presser with Jeffries to attack Project 2025.

    They are investing heavily in running against Project 2025 since running against Trump is not doing that well.

    Like

  14. Tapper must be off his meds….

    CNN’s Jake Tapper, in a shocking moment of journalism, SLAMS Kamala for dodging multiple debate questions: “Vice President Harris began the debate by punting the first question on the economy…” “On the border, another vulnerable issue for Harris, she also dodged…” “When asked how she would break through the Israel-Hamas war stalemate…okay, but again, how?”

    Like

  15. I let him make one post on the condition that it would remain as long as it was not posted multiple times. He refused the offer.

    Jason is upset we don’t have more Bunu posts. Again, I look forward to reading Jason’s blog.

    As far as the posting on this site as opposed to Dave’s, we release posts when advised they are caught in the filter. Dave kept comments “in moderation” for years and never released them.

    Like

  16. Bitter – you are doing a great job and did the right thing with Bunu. I don’t think people realize the volume and amount of attacks that had been launched on the site. It was no longer just Bunu, he recruited his fellow basement dwellers. Their goal was to take the site down. A registration system was needed. As things have now matured and he’s been away for awhile, we might consider going back BUT please remember, for all the talk of Dave’s site, he required an email address as well, to be able to post.

    Like

  17. Tina, I did not see this “I just saw again her response to the are you better off ?” What did she say?

    Like

  18. I had to cut it off after she started attacking Trump. You are correct. She never ever talked about “are you better off than you were four years ago”…instead talked about giving away government money.

    BTW start ups don’t need a $50K tax deduction. Most operate with an NOL for a couple of years, and in the case of tech businesses, for quite some time, so the deduction does absolutely nothing but sound like a giveaway to California SF bay area tech companies that don’t need it.

    Like

  19. ABC gave Kamala the easiest night she’s had…

    Since Willie Brown ran out of Viagra 🙂

    -Greg Gutfeld

    Like

  20. Vic – If people want Bunu and his band of anti-American anti-Semites back, change the system. You have access to do it.

    Like

  21. Jason is not upset about Bunu being banned. He just looks for anything to argue and criticize others, especially you, Bitter. It is what you guys do.

    Bunu being banned for his nonsense was the right call and I am the last person who believes in banning. But some people post to vent, opine or discuss, others do it to disrupt. Bunu was the last type of poster.

    Liked by 1 person

  22. White suburban wine sipping liberals crushed….

    Among Hispanic/Latinos – “

    Do you think Latinx should be used?”

    No: 75%

    Yes: 23%

    Pew Research

    Like

  23. Jason is not upset about Bunu being banned.”

    Sometimes morons like Albert Hodges get a lucky break and say something that is not stupid (rarely)

    This is correct.

    I just oppose a registration system.

    Like

  24. Bunu being banned for his nonsense was the right call and I am the last person who believes in banning.”

    Translation: The last person who believes in banning believes in banning.

    Like

  25. You didn’t even use a real e-mail to register and we let you in. Suck it.

    Like

  26. for all the talk of Dave’s site, he required an email address as well, to be able to post”

    Nah, you could use anything.

    I think I use Aholesrule@Phillyaholes.com

    But Bitter has a point, it is his blog, he is entitled to have a registration system.

    I only suggested it today so Scooter could come back.

    Like

  27. And I don’t always oppose banning if is absolutely necessary, Pete Wilson as an example. But in my view banning Bunu because he is a Hitler loving Holocaust denying American hating Nazi scumbag discriminates against Hitler loving Holocauts denying American hating Nazi scumbags. I guess it is just a question of what you can tolerate, and since Bunu has been here 20 years. I viewed him as a permanent fixture. Plus I enjoy insulting Hitler loving Holocaust denying America hating Nazi scumbags

    Like

  28. No third debate.

    Like

  29. Let’s see if it really happens. Always suspicious of “will release later” claims.

    Black Insurrectionist:

    “I will be releasing an affidavit from an ABC whistleblower regarding the debate. I have just signed a non-disclosure agreement with the attorney of the whistleblower. The affidavit states how the Harris campaign was given sample question which were essentially the same questions that were given during the debate and separate assurances of fact checking Donald Trump and that she would NOT be fact checked. Accordingly, the affidavit states several other factors that were built into the debate to give Kamala a significant advantage. I have seen and read the affidavit and after the attorney blacks out the name of the whistleblower and other information that could dox the whistleblower, I will release the full affidavit. I will be releasing the affidavit before the weekend is out.

    Like

  30. if true, is no surprise. And a reason why there can be no turd debate

    Like

  31. I forgot that quemala refused the faux news debate and the “last debate”

    https://static-assets-1.truthsocial.com/tmtg:prime-ts-assets/accounts/avatars/107/780/257/626/128/497/original/454286ac07a6f6e6.jpeg

    Donald J. Trump

    @realDonaldTrump

    When a prizefighter loses a fight, the first words out of his mouth are, “I WANT A REMATCH.” Polls clearly show that I won the Debate against Comrade Kamala Harris, the Democrats’ Radical Left Candidate, on Tuesday night, and she immediately called for a Second Debate. She and Crooked Joe have destroyed our Country, with millions of criminals and mentally deranged people pouring into the USA, totally unchecked and unvetted, and with Inflation bankrupting our Middle Class. Everyone knows this, and all of the other problems caused by Kamala and Joe – It was discussed in great detail during the First Debate with Joe, and the Second Debate with Comrade Harris. She was a no-show at the Fox Debate, and refused to do NBC & CBS. KAMALA SHOULD FOCUS ON WHAT SHE SHOULD HAVE DONE DURING THE LAST ALMOST FOUR YEAR PERIOD. THERE WILL BE NO THIRD DEBATE!

    1.82k

    ReTruths

    6.13k

    Likes

    Sep 12, 2024 at 12:08 PM

    Like

  32. As an attorney with 31 years in practice, I love when the other side produces Affidavits without sworn testimony to back it up. Easy to dismiss.

    Like

  33. Can the soy boy reporter even ask a proper question? How can quemala and trump be elected four years ago?

    Like

  34. MD just unfriended me on FB and blocked me because I asked if he was voting for Harris because he hated Trump, did he have any conservative principles left or was he just a long term troll? Oh well.

    Like

  35. That’s a shame, BL; Maxwell Day will never be the same without him.

    Like

  36. So he. is voting for Kamala?

    Sad.

    Like

  37. This is a guy who once berated me for not being more supportive of Sharron Angle, a certified deadender, against Harry Reid.

    Liked by 1 person

  38. As an attorney with 31 years in practice, I love when the other side produces Affidavits without sworn testimony to back it up.”

    Well, I think a signed affidavit will be fine for the purposes of unmasking ABC news in the court of public opinion, we are not in court yet. .

    Like

  39. No Thanksgiving invitation for him…

    A billionaire relative of California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s wife is hosting a major fundraiser for former President Trump in California on Friday, according to reports.

    Tom and Stacey Siebel are hosting a fundraiser in the Bay Area community of Woodside for Trump on Friday afternoon. Tom Siebel, a billionaire software developer and CEO of his own enterprise AI software company, C3.ai, is a second cousin once removed of Jennifer Siebel Newsom, the wife of Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom, the Los Angeles Times reported. 

    Tom Siebel has donated hundreds of thousands of dollars to Trump’s 2024 campaign and PACs supporting the Republican nominee, according to the Times and the San Francisco Gate. 

    Liked by 1 person

  40. Co/efficient polls, pre-debate, had 47-47 ties in WI and MI and Trump ahead 48-46 in PA.

    https://x.com/coefficientpoll/status/1833584018081685999?t=3J895AXdcEAnrG9NgsierA&s=19

    Like

  41. McCabe calls Trump a “Russian asset” but then says not as usually defined. Then he gives another explanation but then says that has not been proven. You can’t make this sh’t up.

    “When Sir Richard Dearlove, a former head of MI6, the British intelligence service, and co-host of the “One Decision” podcast, asked him if he thought Trump was a Russian asset, McCabe responded, I do, I do.”.

    McCabe continued, “I don’t know that I would characterize it as [an] active, recruited, knowing asset in the way that people in the intelligence community think of that term. But I do think that Donald Trump has given us many reasons to question his approach to the Russia problem in the United States..”

    “It may just be from a fundamental misunderstanding of this problem set that’s always a problem,” McCabe said, suggesting that another possibility was “there is some kind of relationship or a desire for a relationship of some sort, be it economic or business oriented,” while adding none of those possibilities “have been proven.”

    Like

  42. So life comes full circle. We are back to Russia, Russia, Russia because they have nothing else.

    BTW is there a VP debate. Im embarrassed to say, but I don’t know.

    Like

  43. those coefficient polls were released two days ago. Eventually they will get added to the polling page. So far I am caught up in GA, NV, AZ and NC.

    Liked by 1 person

  44. Thanks DW

    Like

  45. Did he express an opinion on whether Tina and Jam are Russian assets?

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  46. “MD just unfriended me on FB and blocked me because I asked if he was voting for Harris because he hated Trump, did he have any conservative principles left or was he just a long term troll? Oh well.”

    -That’s about what I would expect from that sawed-off-midget.

    Like

  47. Trump can only count on the vote of 1 A-hole in PA. Not sure if this will move the polling.

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  48. When I see anything in regard to CIA/MI6, I think to a couple of Jordan Peterson podcasts interviewing Tommy Robinson that I just listened to – strange how his recollection of the history of his activism is at odds with what the media/government/security agencies originally told us, and how they portrayed him, and the more information that comes out, his recollection seems to be more TRUTH of what actually went down compared to the media narrative.

    Like

  49. All we need are the Clinton groupie and the Russian hoaxer to come back here. They fell hard for the Russian hoaxes (including the Russian bounty story pimped by loon Cheney and thr McCain’s.

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  50. Cook moves MT senate to the Rs.

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  51. I hope there is a VP debate. JD would have the opportunity to renounce Ron Paul’s foreign policy. Not optimistic.

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  52. VP debate is scheduled for October 1st

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  53. Frankly this is no improvement over Biden…..or maybe a drink too many?

    https://x.com/dom_lucre/status/1834325716936089638

    Like

  54. Remeber quemala turned down 2 debates, fauc and CNN and n.

    Like

  55. She is drunk.

    Like

  56. Trump just introduced a new policy – no tax on overtime over 40 hours/week.

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  57. “Trump just introduced a new policy – no tax on overtime over 40 hours/week.”

    -Wow!

    That would really benefit the people who work with me. I know several guys who refuse the OT because they say too much in taxes gets taken out (I think they use that as an excuse to not work more…).

    That said, how would that be handled when doing taxes? I guess there would have to be a breakout of regular hours and OT hours….easy enough I guess.

    Like

  58. If that OT thing goes through, may have to change myself to hourly as opposed to salaried…..something to think about……

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  59. I thought the Biden Troll had followed us here but could have been another troll.

    Amoral Scumbag will be here election night if Kamala wins, bet on it.

    Like

  60. It is ironic that for all their fights, Wes and MD were so united in their hatred of Trump that they would trash their alleged conservative principles to vote for hard core leftists.

    Like

  61. Hopefully, trump,can get energy and food and rent costs down. Horrible increases the last 4 years. Food inflation is quite high (up over 20%).

    I notified that ca gas prices have climbed to over $5 again. This during the fall season.

    Liked by 1 person

  62. wes would never vote for Kamala, bet on it.

    Bitter keeps insisting on this nonsense but whatever wes said about voting for Biden, he died long before Kamala became the nominee. He never told Bitter he would vote for Kamala because that wasn’t even remotely in the cards when he passed.

    You have to remember that wes didn’t think that Clinton or Biden were far leftists. He was wrong but that was a fact.

    Kamala, on the other hand, would have pushed a lot of wes’ buttons, she was typically the kind of politician wes hated.

    Saying he would vote for Kamala is tainting his reputation, that is why I wish Bitter would stop saying something that is so obviously a lie.

    Like

  63. I am not saying wes would vote for Trump against Kamala, but he wouldn’t vote for her. Like in 2016, he would have passed.

    Remember, despite wes’s “hatred” of Trump, he voted for him in 2020.

    Like

  64. Wes would vote for Kamala because he was for a strong US and would want a president to stand up to Ukraine.

    Like

  65. Harris plan would lower taxes. Trump’s Tariff’s will raise taxes by over $6000 per year. I would assume big bonuses would be considered “over-time” in Trump’s fucking scheme. FUCK HIM>.

    Like

  66. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    I’m Baaaaaaaaaaaack !!!!!

    Scooterboy

    Liked by 2 people

  67. wes, if you are looking down, you can thank me for protection your reputation.

    I know you would never vote for a rabid Marxist. Not in a million years.

    Like

  68. Welcome back, A-hole.

    I know you can’t hear this post, but I hope you can see it.

    Like

  69. Wes would vote for Kamala because he was for a strong US and would want a president to stand up to Ukraine.”

    Are you kidding?

    wes was a non-interventionist.

    Like

  70. Zzzzzzzzz Pure speculation by somebody Wes routinely trashed to me. Wes would vote for Biden so he would vote for Harris.

    Like

  71. A shift in the A-hole fight for power. Welcome back. Go park some cars.

    Like

  72. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Thanks Jason !!!! I’m now sporting two new cochlear implants. Hearing much better.

    Like

  73. I don’t think Wes viewed Ukraine as a threat to the U.S. You probably meant for Ukraine.

    Like

  74. Zzzzzzzzz Wes’ goal was to defeat Trump. I have no doubt based upon my interaction with him that he would vote for Harris. Voting for Biden or Harris the same thing. She is just more honest than Biden about her goals.

    Like

  75. Breaking

    Mark Penn calls for an investigation into the abc debate.

    “I actually think they should do a full internal investigation, hire an outside law firm. I don’t know how much of this was planned in advance,” Mark Penn told the “John Solomon Reports” podcast.

    “I don’t know what they told the Harris campaign. I think the day after, suspicion here is really quite high, and I think a review of all their internal texts and emails really should be done by an independent party to find out to what extent they were planning on, in effect, you know, fact-checking just one candidate and in effect, rigging the outcome of this debate. I think the situation demands nothing less than that,” he added.

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/former-clinton-advisor-calls-internal-investigation-abc-rigging/

    Like

  76. There seems to be a lot of questions about the debate. All the lies from quemala and the fake fact checkers.

    Reports of people getting the debate questions.

    We will see what happens.

    Like

  77. Remember that Wes completely bought all of the Trump is a fascist and wannabe dictator nonsense after J6. I have no doubt he would vote for Harris.

    Like

  78. wes called me a “jingoist” for supporting the Iraq war.

    Like

  79. Great. Now he can hear us, too.

    Like

  80. What about the gallows to hang the veep?

    Like

  81. Remember that Wes completely bought all of the Trump is a fascist and wannabe dictator nonsense after J6. I have no doubt he would vote for Harris.”

    Zzzz… horrible non-sequitur.

    wes had strong opinions. About Trump. GWB, Lincoln, etc.. He would have had the same strong views about Kamala, because she represents just about everything he hated in a politician.

    Like

  82. Wes would vote for Biden so he would vote for Harris.”

    Wouldn’t happen in a million years.

    You really haven’t paid much attention to what wes has been saying here for the last 15 years.

    wes hated Kamala. He would have hated her as a candidate too.

    Like

  83. have no doubt based upon my interaction with him”

    Zzzzz.. I interacted here with the guy for 15+ years. Probably more than most.

    Bitter thinks a few FB post exchanges makes him an “expert” on wes is a load of horsecrap.

    Like

  84. Zzzzzzzzz Pure speculation by somebody Wes routinely trashed to me.”

    LOL

    Like your silly theory that wes would vote for Kamala is not speculation?

    Gimme a break.

    Like

  85. He thought you were an idiot who vomited all over HHR.

    Liked by 1 person

  86. Bitterlaw, please delete my moronic inappropriate post.

    Liked by 1 person

  87. Wes told me that if it was allowed by the Constitution he would vote for GWB against Trump. Given Wes’ hatred of GWB, let that sink in.

    Like

  88. Dusty Springfield, Ohio–Hey Look What’s That Sound

    **************************************************

    Something happening here,

    What it is, is not exactly clear.

    There’s a Haitian with a dog over there

    Putting spices on the dog’s rear.

    I tell you

    Hey look, what’s that sound

    Sounds like a barbeque going down….

    Like

  89. I don’t think you quite understand just how badly Trump undermined his standing with voters on 1-6-21. The Republicans cannot claim to be the party of the Constitution and the law and overlook the lawlessness of that day. I’m not the only GOP-leaning voter who’s decided Trump is unacceptable because of that event. It was a very serious situation where a bunch of entitled people stormed on the seat of our government, threatened a sitting Vice-President by name, and erected a noose–all in the name of a sore loser who clearly incited them with his antics since losing and his speech immediately beforehand. It was banana republic-style politics, and I refuse to overlook it simply because Trump is a nominal Republican.

    I don’t look at voting for Biden as a burden if I have to vote for him against Trump next year. I regard it as a necessary evil because Trump has proved the acquisition of power means more to him than the Constitution of the United States. I actively want Trump to lose precisely because he engaged in the same activities Latin American dictators engaged in in the 20th Century to acquire or hold onto power.

    – Wes

    Ok, HHR Jury. Based on that pure Trump hatred, I say Wes would vote for Harris. Jason says Wes would not vote for Harris even though he originally planned to vote for Biden.

    What say you?

    Like

  90. “wes was a non-interventionist.”

    -Vance would have swayed him??? LOL!

    Like

  91. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    I agree with Tampon Tim.

    NEW: Governor Tim Walz refers to Kamala Harris’ early career as a “young prostitutor.”

    “Because this started, and I love this story. As a young prostitutor, Kamala Harris talked about going in that courtroom for the first time.”

    Scooterboy

    Like

  92. Nothing in that posts remotely suggests wes would vote for a Marxist like Kamala. He always somewhat defended Biden as more moderate than he really was. He did the same about Bill Clinton and even Al Gore.

    But Kamala would have been a bridge too far. He would have passed on both of them.

    Like

  93. “He thought you were an idiot who vomited all over HHR.”

    -Heh!

    But, I do think jason is correct about Wes NOT voting for Kamala. He would do like 2016, in my opinion. God Bless Him.

    Like

  94. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Yikes !!!!!

    Polish MEP Grzegorz Braun commented on Antony Blinken’s visit to Poland today:

    “Blinken, go home as soon as possible. Get lost! We don’t want you here. We don’t want Polish people paying and dying for your wars.”

    Scooterboy

    Like

  95. took care of it Paul. Thanks for recognizing

    Like

  96. He thought you were an idiot who vomited all over HHR.”

    LOL

    We had our moments. But we also agreed on some important issues.

    Like

  97. For example, we both agreed NYC was Chuck Schumer’s little bitch.

    Like

  98. LOL!

    “Schumer’s little b*tch” will (*WO)MAN UP and vote for Trump, and hope that Republicans take over Senate to put Chucky back in the minority.

    (*WO) – looking at you, Tina and Janz!

    Like

  99. There might be too many to delete them all. 🙂

    Liked by 1 person

  100. In fact wes convinced to vote for Daffy Duck in 2016. I only didn’t do it because it seemed like a lot of work.

    Like

  101. I wouldn’t mind GWB as president. I think I’d prefer Romney who might be a little more mentally sharp.

    Like

  102. Senate to put Chucky back in the minority.”

    Damm, nothing is sacred anymore. Chucky will be SO disappointed.

    Are you sure you can’t find a deadender support to help him out? For old times sake?

    Like

  103. Maybe Laura Bush could run things while GWB paints pictures.

    Like

  104. But, I do think jason is correct about Wes NOT voting for Kamala.”

    I think NYC just agreed with me to damage MY reputation.

    But yeah, wes would have been here daily ridiculing Kamala, a Marxist woman who says a lot of dumb things would have made a great target for him.

    Like

  105. WWWD?

    What would Wes do?

    hard to say. He would have been shocked by the extent of the lawfare. At first he would have defended it because he hated Trump, but when they started doing it to others, it would have gone too far. Wes hated injustice

    Like

  106. New thread loaded for 9:30 pm.

    Like

  107. Wes made Liz Cheney sound like a MAGA supporter when he ripped Trump. But Jason thinks voting for Harris would be too much for Wes. Zzzzzz

    Like

  108. Maybe mute 43 can rub the Wookiee uh Michael.

    Like

  109. Wes hated injustice but defended slavery.

    Fixed it.

    Like

  110. whomever you are you rtest worked

    Like

  111. trumploses?

    Troll alert.

    Like

  112. interesting that you were actually able to get that email address…

    Like

  113. How long until Quemala steals the no tax on OT?

    Like

  114. Wes hated injustice but defended slavery.”

    More or less.

    He refused to admit the Civil War was about slavery, to be fair he didn’t defend the institution per se.

    He gave the South a free pass on the war “for economic reasons”.

    I never agreed with him, but “defending slavery” might be a little harsh.

    Like

  115. I stand by what I posted.

    Like

  116. and with that we move on to another topic. Wes isn’t here to tell us what he would have done, sadly (very sadly). So it’s all speculation at this point.

    Like

  117. The affidavit guy says it was signed and notarized BEFORE the debate. Still hard to understand why the whistleblower would go to him, unless they have some connection.

    Like