The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Georgia: Quinnipiac Trump 49%, Harris 46 North Carolina: Quinnipiac Harris 50%, Trump 47% North Carolina Gov.- Quinnipiac Stein 54%, Robinson 42% Pennsylvania Senate – CBS News Casey 48%, McCormick 41% Michigan Senate – CBS News Slotkin 48%, Rogers 41% Wisconsin Senate – CBS News Baldwin 51%, Hovde 43%

Florida: Hill/Emerson Trump 50%, Harris 45% Texas: Hill/Emerson Trump 50%, Harris 46% Ohio: Hill/Emerson Trump 53%, Harris 43% California: Hill/Emerson Harris 60%, Trump 36% Texas: Univ of Texas Trump 49%, Harris 44 Texas: Univ of Texas Trump 49%, Harris 44%, Stein 2% Ohio Senate Hill/Emerson Brown 46%, Moreno 44% Florida Senate Hill/Emerson Scott 46%, Mucarsel-Powell 45% California Senate Hill/Emerson Schiff 55%, Garvey 33% Texas Senate Hill/Emerson Cruz 48%, Allred 44% (Cruz +4%) Texas Senate U Texas Cruz 44%, Allred 36% (Cruz +8%)

Arizona: CNN* Trump 49  Harris 44 Nevada: CNN* Harris 48  Trump 47 Pennsylvania: CNN* Trump 47  Harris 47 Michigan: Multi CNN Harris 48  Trump 43,  Kennedy 4 Wisconsin: Multi CNN Harris 50  Trump 44,  Kennedy 1 , Oliver 2 Georgia: Multi CNN Harris 48  Trump 47,  Kennedy 1 Arizona Senate CNN Gallego 47  Lake 44 Nevada Senate CNN Rosen 50  Brown 40 Pennsylvania Senate CNN Casey 46  McCormick 46 Wisconsin Senate CNN Baldwin 51 Hovde 45

Arizona: Trump 50, Harris 47 Georgia: Harris 49, Trump 48 Michigan: Harris 50, Trump 47 Nevada: Harris 49, Trump 48 North Carolina: Trump 49, Harris 48 Pennsylvania: Trump 48, Harris 48 TIE Wisconsin: Trump 49, Harris 48 Michigan Senate Slotkin 47, Rogers 41 Nevada Senate Rosen 50, Brown 40 Pennsylvania Senate Casey 48, McCormick 44 Wisconsin Senate Baldwin 49, Hovde 48 Arizona Senate Gallego 49, Lake 42

An obscure pollster will poll the field, often with a small sample size over a long period, hold the poll, wait, and then later if its strategic to release it, then release it as a stale poll, hoping most people will not notice the dates. It will falsely suggest the momentum has remained when it…

According to SoCal Strategies Aug. 26-27; 612 LV: NORTH CAROLINA Trump 50 Harris 46

According to a new poll by Fabrizio Ward (R) & Impact Research (D) taken for the AARP, 8/14-8/20 against 600 LV. Many have argued that by this point in the election Hogan would be trailing badly, that it was just too big a lift. But instead he is hanging around, still alive: MARYLAND SENATE Hogan…

Arizona poll done by Noble Predictive Insights, against 1,003 RVs from 8/12-8/16. PPP polls were done for a Dem PAC “Clean and prosperous America” on 8/21-8/22 against 1,562 RVs for both states combined: ARIZONA Trump 47 Harris 44 TEXAS Trump 49 Harris 44 U.S. Senate: Cruz 47 Allred 45 FLORIDA Trump 51 Harris 47 U.S.…

According to a new poll by SoCal Strategies taken Aug. 23 against 713 LVs: PENNSYLVANIA Trump 48 Harris 47 U.S. Senate: McCormick 41 Casey 47

According to new polls done by TIPP in Michigan (8/20-8/22; 741 LV), and POS (8/8-8/20; 500 LV) in Montana: MICHIGAN Trump 46 Harris 48 U.S. Senate: Rogers 39 Slotkin 49 MONTANA Sheehy 51 Tester 44

New VA poll by Quantus Polls and News Aug. 20-22; 629 RV. VIRGINIA Trump 46 Harris 49

HarrisX polled Utah on Aug. 2-9 against 800 RVs. The ActiVote polls have been coming in the last several days, so I finally figured I would post them here, but they are highly suspect, given they are online only, have samples of only 400 likely voters, and take about three weeks to complete the sampling.…

According to a new poll from Emerson taken against 965 RV on 8/20-8/22 with a MoE of 3.1: NEW MEXICO Trump 42 Harris 52 U.S. Senate: Heinrich 49 Domenici 37

According to a new poll by High Point University taken in an online-only survey “contracted through SurveyUSA using panels of respondents recruited and maintained by Lucid Holdings, LLC.” The data was collected Aug. 19-21 against 1,053 RVs. Their prior poll against Biden had Trump ahead only two points at the same time other pollsters had…

According to a new poll of Texas by the University of Houston taken 8/5-8/16 against 1,365 LVs, and a worthless ActiVote online survey of only 400 likely New York voters, taken 8/1-8/21: TEXAS Trump 50 Harris 45 Other 4 U.S. Senate: Cruz 47 Allred 45 NEW YORK Trump 42 Harris 58

According to a new University of New Hampshire poll. Below shows the change from their prior poll. This new poll was taken 8/15-8/19 against a very large sample of 2,048 Likely voters. This NH poll suggesting Trump would be helped if Kennedy dropped out. They also polled VT (8/15 – 8/19; 924 LV) and ME…

According to new polling from Rasmussen Reports. Link and other data to be filled in when its officially released. Montana: August 13-20, 835 Likely Voters, and a MoE of 3.0. Nevada: August 13-18, 980 Likely Voters, and a MoE of 3.0. Wisconsin: August 13-19, 1,099 Likely Voters, and a MoE of 3.0. MONTANA Trump 58…