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The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.


  • It’s still the weekend. I guess that is something positive.November 7, 2026
  • 2028 Republican NominationPredictionNovember 6, 2026
  • Despite the election results, it’s still Friday!November 6, 2026
  • While DW is on hiatus in a secret location…Go.November 5, 2026
  • Welcome to The Iron BroomNovember 4, 2026
The Hedgehog Report is a safe place for Jewish participants. No antisemitism will be tolerated.

New Book:

  • 2024 Election Polling Grades
  • 2024 Polling Aggregator
  • Walt’s List of Scams

  • Plethora of Pennsylvania Polls

    RMG Research, Susquehanna, Muhlenberg College, all with ties and Monmouth with a 3 point Harris lead: Trump Harris RMG Research 49 49 Susquehanna 46 46 Muhlenberg 48 48 Monmouth 45 48

    September 25, 2024
  • Moreno with lead in Ohio

    According to RMG Research poll of 757 LVs taken 9/18-9/20: OHIO Trump 54 Harris 43 U.S. Senate: Moreno 48 Brown 46 Also new polling of PA from Muhlenberg College, 450 LV | 9/16-19: PENNSYLVANIA Trump 48 Harris 48 U.S. Senate McCormick 43 Casey 48 One more in Texas from ActiVote: TEXAS Trump 54 Harris 46

    September 25, 2024
  • New thread? Sure.

    September 24, 2024
  • More polls: NM, CT, DE, and RI

    SurveyUSA polled 619 LVs in New Mexico on Sept. 12-18: NEW MEXICO Trump 42 Harris 50 MassINC Polling Group polled 800 LVs in Rhode Island on Sept. 12-18: RHODE ISLAND Trump 43 Harris 56 MassINC Polling Group polled 800 LVs in Connecticut on Sept. 12-18: CONNECTICUT Trump 37 Harris 53 Slingshot Strategies polled 500 RVs…

    September 24, 2024
  • Several Morning polls to start the day

    Rasmussen polled GA and PA Sept. 19-22 GEORGIA Trump 50 Harris 47 PENNSYVLANIA Trump 48 Harris 48 U.S. Senate: McCormick 45 Casey 45 Elon University polled North Carolina Sept 9-13, a very dated poll, but here it is: NORTH CAROLINA Trump 45 Harris 46 USA Today/Suffolk polled Michigan MICHIGAN Trump 45.4 Harris 47.6 U.S. Senate:…

    September 24, 2024
  • Some non-battleground state polling

    RMG Research polled 491 Likely voters in Montana from Sept. 12 to 19; the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation polled from Sept. 13 to 18 against 1,200 likely voters in Texas; and MassINC Polling Group polled 800 likely voters in Massachusetts from Sept. 12 tp 18: MONTANA Trump 59 Harris 38 TEXAS Trump 50 Harris 44…

    September 23, 2024
  • Overall shift toward Trump in latest Redfield & Wilton battleground state poll

    The new round of Redfield and Wilton polls were taken 9/16-9/19 against 9,794 total likely voters:   Trump Harris Oth AZ 47 (+2) 47 (+2) 3 FL 50 (=) 45 (+1) 1 GA 48 (-1) 46 (-1) 3 MI 45 (=) 46 (-2) 1 MN 44 (=) 50 (-1) 1 NV 45 (-1) 45…

    September 23, 2024
  • Trump Surging in Sun Belt

    According to new polls from NY Times/Siena taken 9/17 – 9/21 against 682 LV in NC and GA; and 713 in AZ: Trump Harris AZ 50 45 GA 49 45 NC 49 47 And there is also a new Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy poll of Minnesota taken Sept. 16-18 against 800 LVs showing Trump down…

    September 23, 2024
  • Moreno takes lead in OH senate race

    According to a new ActiVote poll of 400 LVs taken 8/16-9/22: OHIO – U.S. Senate Moreno 51.1 Brown 48.9

    September 22, 2024
  • Harris up 4 points in Pennsylvania

    According to a new poll by MassINC Polling Group conducted Sept. 12-18 against800 LV: PENNSYLVANIA Trump 46 Harris 50 Stein 1 Oliver 0 U.S. Senate: McCormick 42 Casey 49

    September 21, 2024
  • Friday into Saturday….

    September 20, 2024
  • Virtual tie in Virginia

    According to new polling by University of Mary Washington taken Sept. 3-9 against 756 LV: VIRGINIA Trump 46 Harris 48 Full ballot: Trump 46 Harris 47 RFK 2 Other 2 U.S. Senate: Cao 43 Kaine 49

    September 20, 2024
  • Trump closer in VA and MN than MICHIGAN

    According to Morning Consult polling taken Sept. 9-18 against likely voters: Trump Harris AZ 47 48 GA 49 48 MI 44 52 NC 47 49 NV 47 51 PA 47 49 WI 44 50 MN 43 50 VA 44 51 FL 50 47 OH 52 43 TX 50 46 CO 42 53 MD 33 61

    September 20, 2024
  • New thread. Same fight.

    September 19, 2024
  • Huge Dump of New Battleground State polling!

    The Hill/Emerson: (9/15-9/18; 800 to1000 LV per state) Trump Harris AZ 49 48 GA 50 47 MI 47 49 NC 48 49 NV 48 48 PA 48 47 WI 49 48 Marist: (9/12-9/17, 1100 – 1500 LVs per state)   Trump Harris MI 47 52 PA 49 49 WI 49 50 Washington Post: (9/12…

    September 19, 2024
  • Harris up 9 in Maine, Trump up 7 in ME-02

    According to Pan Atlantic Research, 9/5-9/15; 812 LV; MoE ±3.5 MAINE Trump 41 Harris 50 CD-01 Harris 58 Trump 32 CD-02 Harris 42 Trump 49

    September 18, 2024
  • Tight race in Wisconsin

    According to new polling done for AARP by Fabrizio Ward (R) & Impact Research (D). The poll was taken 9/11-9/14 against 600 LVs with a margin of error of ±4%: WISCONSIN Trump 48 Harris 49 U.S. Senate: Hovde 47 Baldwin 50 Same margin found in the newly release Quinnipiac polling: WISCONSIN Trump 48 Harris 49…

    September 18, 2024
  • Trump up 3 in Georgia

    According to a new Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll taken 9/9 – 9/15 against 1000 LVs: GEORGIA Trump 47 Harris 44 Also, not sure what to make of this Gallup poll on candidate favorability: Gallup poll: Favorability Ratings (shift from August) Donald TrumpFavorable: 46% (+5)Unfavorable: 53% (-2) Kamala HarrisFavorable: 44% (-3)Unfavorable: 54% (+5)——Among independentsTrump: 44-53 (net: -9)Harris:…

    September 18, 2024
  • Clean slate.

    September 17, 2024
  • Hogan in trouble and several non-battleground state polls from Emerson

    Emerson polls taken 9/12-9/13 against likely voters: MARYLAND Trump 33 Harris 65 U.S. Senate: Hogan 42 Alsobrooks 49 INDIANA Trump 58 Harris 41 MISSOURI Trump 55 Harris 43 Also a poll of MO from Change Research (D): MISSOURI Trump 50 Harris 41

    September 17, 2024
  • Two polls from PA and Trump with edge in GA

    According to USA Today/Suffolk, InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar Group The PA polls were Suffolk (500 LVs, 9/11-15) ; and Insider Advantage (800 LVs, 9/14-15). Trafalgar’s GA poll was taken 9/11-13 against 1,098 LVs. PENNSYLVANIA Suffolk: Trump 46 Harris 49 U.S. Senate: McCormick 43 Casey 47 Insider Advantage: Trump 50 Harris 48 U.S. Senate: McCormick 44 Casey…

    September 17, 2024
  • Night shift

    September 16, 2024
  • Harris up 10 in New Mexico, Trump up only 4 in Iowa

    According to a poll by Research and Polling for @ABQJournal taken Sept. 6-13 against 532 LVs. In Iowa, the Des Moines Register was taken 9/8-11 against 656 LVs NEW MEXICO Trump 39 Harris 49 IOWA Trump 47 Harris 44 RFK 6 Oliver 1 Also Trafalgar out with a poll showing Harris up 2 in Nevada:…

    September 16, 2024
  • Sunday Night

    September 15, 2024
  • Trump with edge in Arizona, Harris with edge in Wisconsin

    According to new polls by Trafalgar Group (Arizona: Sept. 11-12; 1,088 LV) and Insider Advantage (Wisconsin: Sept. 11-12; 800 LV) WISCONSIN Trump 47 Harris 49 ARIZONA Trump 47.1 Harris 45.5 U.S. Senate: Lake 43 Gallego 47.2

    September 14, 2024
  • Saturday Night.

    September 14, 2024
  • Two NC polls give Trump an edge

    Trafalgar Group ( Sept. 11-12; 1,094 LV) and AmGreatness/TIPP (9/11 – 9/13; 973 LV) NORTH CAROLINA Trafalgar: Trump 48 Harris 46 TIPP: Trump 49 Harris 46

    September 14, 2024
  • Any chance weekend polls?

    September 14, 2024
  • Trump up only 5 in Alaska and Harris up 8 in New Hampshire

    According to new polling from the Alaska Survey Research and Saint Anselm College Survey Center. Keep in mind that Alaska Survey Research’s final 2020 poll was Trump 50, Biden 46. This new poll was taken Sept. 11-12 against 1,254 LVs. The New Hampshire poll was taken Sept. 11-12 against 2,241 LVs. This pollster was spot…

    September 13, 2024
  • Tie in Michigan

    According to a new poll by Mitchell Research taken after the debate, 9/10, 600 LV. This same pollster’s final survey in 2020 had Trump 45, Biden 52, off 4 points in favor of Biden. MICHIGAN Trump 48 Harris 48 Also Quantus is out with a new poll of North Carolina taken Sept. 11-12 against 815…

    September 13, 2024
  • Harris with narrow lead in Minnesota

    According to a new poll by Embold Research, taken Sept. 4-8 against a large sample of 1,616 LVs: MINNESOTA Trump 45 Harris 49

    September 13, 2024
  • Just have to get through Friday to the weekend.

    September 13, 2024
  • In honor of Scooterboy’s return, GFY.

    Because I am indifferent towards living since I failed my niece, please note that in any future elections, I would never vote for a Democrat over the Republican nominee.

    September 12, 2024
  • Trump up 1 in Michigan

    According to a new poll from Insider Advantage taken 9/11-9/12 against 800 LVs: MICHIGAN Trump 49 Harris 48 Other 1

    September 12, 2024
  • DW?

    September 12, 2024
  • The return of DW Eve?

    September 11, 2024
  • Remember 9/11/01. Keep killing terrorists.

    September 11, 2024
  • Post-Debate Thread.

    I don’t believe what Harris said but she did not crumble. Too much time talking about plans without actual plans. I believe most of what Trump said but he was goaded into being angry. Too much time talking about cats.

    September 10, 2024
  • Ready. Set. Debate!

    September 10, 2024
  • Debate Day!

    September 10, 2024
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The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

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