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New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +15210225

2026 Senate Forecast

SCIAKSAKMIOHTXMEMNNH
Gap+6+3+2+2+2+1+1+2+3+5
Count46474849505152484746

Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….

DEMOCRATIC (DSA) Party Platform:

Strip Americans of all their hard-earned resources and retirement savings, forcing them to live hand-to-mouth, and then replace Americans by blowing all their money on illegals brought in from every cesspool country in the world; resulting in the USA becoming a Marxist third world country dominated by crime, injustice, and corruption.

Polls begin to close in 30 minutes

135 responses to “Polls begin to close in 30 minutes”

  1. First.

    Like

  2. From the tail end of the last thread;

    Mark Halperin said a while ago, that he could easily see every competitive Senate race but North Carolina going red given the high-quality private pulling over the last couple of days. He also noted that they could all easily go blue as well, but the only real caveat he had in the damn favor was the Atlas poll which it seems was taken only of “adults“ instead of likely voters.

    Like

  3. Prediction – If Paxton loses, Jan will blame everybody except Paxton.

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  4. Kentucky closes in 24 minutes. Watching KY-06.

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  5. okay the Baris surge in Florida is on for the 5 o’clock hour. Looking like the GOP will add on only another 35k votes instead of 48k.

    Like

  6. Thank you to everyone posting data. I plan to follow the results exclusively on HHR. On the TV, I will be watching “Justified”.

    Like

  7. Scratch that…GOP up 43,675 for the 5:00 hour.

    Like

  8. Jeff, I’ll be watching the Mandalorian with the kiddos. We’re late to the party but they love it. Much happier than election returns.

    Like

  9. I think mark hatterin has changed his positions each day.

    Like

  10. CNN and MSWhatever have the best maps. Too bad you have to listen to the lefties.

    Like

  11. In just 25 minutes the GOP edge in FL jumped from +8.5 to +8.6

    The shift from two years ago is down from Dem +2.6 to Dem 2.5

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  12. Was just listening to Abbott on Hannity. I don’t know if its just his personality he didn’t seem very enthused. Hannity kept saying he wanted a turnout of 3 million and Abbott twice said it would be about 2.5 million.

    I just didn’t get a real positive vibe but I never really heard him speak before, maybe he is just kind of reserved. He made a good case for why the Dem shouldn’t win, but earlier Byron Donalds sounded very positive.

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  13. Halperin says either he Rs or Ds could win?

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  14. Jolly was up to 42% on Polymarket earlier.

    Now down to 28%.

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  15. ME, TX, MI, OH, AK still in the 70 percent range for the dems on the betting sites.

    KS 65%

    IA 51%

    Odds R keep the senate up to 27% after being as low as 18% earlier.

    Like

  16. This is close and our side doesn’t do “exit poles”

    @OpenSourceZone

    ·

    23m

    Republicans vs Democrats on economy NBC Exit Poll Democrats: 41% (-2) Republicans: 37% (-

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  17. as the Atlas poll which it seems was taken only of “adults“ instead of likely voters”

    That might even include a lot of people who are not even eligible to vote.

    Hope springs eternal.

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  18. GOP nearing 700,000 vote cushion in FL

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  19. Jason,

    I think Gov Abbott has always been rather reserved in his speech pattern, he also is probably tired and just glad the campaign is finally over. Also, I’m pretty sure that he wins and so does Paxton, but by not as much as Abbott.

    Like

  20. what about the yute at 25%?

    hriswithans

    ·

    37m

    According to NBC News exit polling, the Great Latino Comeback for Democrats is apparently just 6 points on net (D-R). It was 33 points in 2018, 10 points in 2024, and now is 16 points. That’s D43 R27 I30. That is not what pre-election polling showed. Times/Siena National poll showed D+26 for Party ID and D+30 for Party Lean. (That poll was D+11 for the CGB all LVs). Times/Siena Composite Battleground polling was D+22 (TX IA KS MI AK OH ME).

    Like

  21. KY-06 just jumped up for the Dem on Kalshi. Now at 68%.

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  22. IN numbers so far no looking good so far

    Like

  23. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Tina, I’m not a fan of exit poles either.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  24. Big momentum for (D) on polymarket senate races. Boo.

    Like

  25. Ford is beating Spartz right now in Indiana. Ford is leading with 63%. It says 29% reported!!!!

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  26. If Indiana is correct, GOP is in for a very bad night.

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  27. Indiana numbers are from early voting in Indianapolis suburbs.

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  28. Betting market Kalshi just moved Mi, Kansas, Ohio, TX, Iowa, Alaska, Maine over to the R’s.

    Like

  29. Funny, janzam. You almost had me there.

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  30. Victoria Spartz now favored to win. Odds are switching as drops are coming in.

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  31. janzam,

    Later tonight, Kalshi will show just that….

    Like

  32. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Lots of FL coverage here. Any analysis on what the numbers actually mean? Is the 600,000 magic number key because R’s are expected to lose the I vote by 500,000 or so?

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  33. Joe, from what I read earlier this morning, the Rs wanted a cushion of 600,000 to feel good about the statewide vote just in case the polls showing the independents breaking 75-25 against them were correct. I personally don’t think independents will break that sharply, but anything is possible.

    Like

  34. Remember, the IN first results are from early vote.

    That had the MSM in a tizzy in 2024, didn’t pan out.

    Like

  35. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Thanks GF. a 75/25 split in I’s would be wild especially in FL.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  36. Eric Bolling reported the Kalshi movement in the states cited.

    Like

  37. But the scale of IN-5 early vote is 31% of the total vote and the Dems lead 63.6 to 36.4. I do not see how the GOP comes back from this. Hopefully this is localized to IN. I am fearful that it is not.

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  38. I doubt the dem wins in Indiana. But if it is even close then that’s a bad sign for GOP.

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  39. The IN secretary of state election is numbers so far is bad even factoring in for the fact they are all early vote.

    Like

  40. That Hamilton County District has been moving left over the last decade. If the Rs win the Election Day vote by only 15, they will scrape by a narrow win.

    Like

  41. But the scale of IN-5 early vote is 31% of the total vote and the Dems lead 63.6 to 36.4. I do not see how the GOP comes back from this.”

    Depends where that vote is coming from.

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  42. Votes are coming in from the urban areas.

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  43. Wealthy exurbs of Indianapolis.

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  44. just one other tidbit on the Fl numbers. Broward is the dem epicenter of the State. Today, Broward has had torrential downpours all day, continuing now. I’m talking sheets of rain and significant accumulation. I wonder if this had some effect in depressing dem turnout.

    Like

  45. KY-06 is 92% for the Dem on Kalshi.

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  46. Stop the count.

    Dixville Notch. Ayotte 6 Dem 1. Sununu 5 Dem 2

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  47. You mean Ayotte – Villanova Law 1993

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  48. Joy Behar tells Haley Stevens she should “keep her big mouth shut” and to “just be quiet.”

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  49. 655 pm comment is not mine

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  50. Joy Behar is a self-gasser just like Dana Nessel

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  51. New OH Governor?

    @VivekGRamaswamy) is a danger to my state, and I need, you know, the friendships and the role models for everything that comes next.”

    Like

  52. KY numbers also not looking good. Sort of confirms the IN trends

    Liked by 1 person

  53. Spartz is cooked. IN5

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  54. IN and KY results pretty much means its over in OH. Oh well.

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  55. According to Fox News exit polling, 74% of voters said the Iran war was either a crucial or major factor affecting their vote.

    Like

  56. Looks like Donalds not trailing Moody’s vote by much.

    I thought there would be a bigger difference.

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  57. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    Trump had a chance to define the Iran war. He did not. He became a captive of events.

    The ICE crackdown in Minnesota also got Dems motivated.

    Like

  58. Whatever the result, Trump now is free to bomb the crap out of Iran. I hope he does it sooner than later.

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  59. Jason

    -dementia don needs the keys taken away.

    Like

  60. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    MSNBC projects Ossoff will win. No surprise.

    MSNBC stats guy is still really good.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  61. Martin and Bradford Counties in FL are D+8 vs 2024 with >95% of votes reported

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  62. D+8 comparing Donalds vs Trump

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  63. Donalds is now ahead and most of the Panhandle hasn’t reported.

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  64. If there’s a blue wave, will Jason admit that Trump-hatred had anything to do with it?

    Asking for a friend.

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  65. I am calling it for Donalds and Moody, Broward and Miami Dade are way ahead of the count.

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  66. If there’s a blue wave, will Jason admit that Trump-hatred had anything to do with it?”

    Zzzzzz…

    But the answer is, of course, no.

    When he won I also did not pretend Trump love did it either.

    Like

  67. If there is a blue wave, it will be about gas and food prices, the war and the normal loss for the incumbent party.

    If Trump hatred decided elections, Trump wouldn’t have arguably won 3 in a row, or at least 2/3.

    And its funny Bitter thinks Trump hatred decides elections, when he has said many times here that when Trump is on the ballot Rs win.

    Like

  68. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    Trump picked a bunch of lousy candidates again. And, he drove off winners again.

    Like

  69. If GOP loses S Carolina… disgusting.

    Liked by 1 person

  70. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    Could happen in SC. Bad candidate. Bad environment.

    Like

  71. Looks like Luna the nutjob squeaks by in FL after trailing all night.

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  72. So Jason is going down with The Cult. None of the voters have ever even heard of Trump. Got it.

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  73. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Yeah J-Hole, looks like the wave is happening and its larger than I thought. I think Trump takes his frustrations out on Iran.

    Big Joe, A-Hole.

    Like

  74. Moody wins

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  75. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    The Denton County numbers look bad.

    Election Night Reporting

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  76. (Per sba)

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  77. And its funny Bitter thinks Trump hatred decides elections, when he has said many times here that when Trump is on the ballot Rs win and when Trump is not on the ballot Rs don’t win.

    Fixed it to what I have actually said.

    Like

  78. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    Paxton might cause Abbott to lose.

    Like

  79. Dems win 2 Florida seats from Republicans. These were redrawn to make it easier for Republicans to win. Stupid plan by the GOP.

    Like

  80. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Graham at 29 cents on Kalshi for anyone wanting to take a shot.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

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  81. They were the incumbents, bl.

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  82. And another redistricted seat goes to the Dem in Florida.

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  83. And its funny Bitter thinks Trump hatred decides elections, when he has said many times here that when Trump is on the ballot Rs win and when Trump is not on the ballot Rs don’t win.

    Fixed it to what I have actually said.”

    So hard to justify Trump hatred if when he is on the ballot he wins.

    Like

  84. Jolly-Donalds on a knife’s edge in Florida.

    Like

  85. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Abbott at 20 cents on Kalshi. Dayum.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  86. DecisionDeskHQ

    ·

    2m

    Decision Desk HQ projects Byron Donalds wins the FL Governor General Election #DecisionMade: 8:28 PM EST

    Like

  87. At least GOP holds Florida Senate seat.

    Like

  88. Unimpressive win by Donalds.

    As I said earlier, FL results DO matter, just like they did in 2024.

    Like

  89. Uthmeier won FL AG.

    Like

  90. Big Joe – Jason thinks voters have never heard of Trump.

    Like

  91. Moody did better as I had thought originally. But still she is only up by 3, will probably win by 4.

    Like

  92. Donalds is running 1.6% margin behind Moody

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  93. Crazy that it took a presidential-level election day turnout in FL to win

    Like

  94. Spartz is going to lose in Indiana

    Like

  95. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Big Joe – Jason thinks voters have never heard of Trump.

    BL-

    Many Democrats are very thankful for Trump tonight. Mid-terms always suck for the incumbent president, but tonight is an absolute embarrassment for Trump.

    Obama, Biden, Bush have all been here, but this seems much worse.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  96. More election day votes were cast today than on election day in 2024

    Like

  97. Big Joe – Jason thinks voters have never heard of Trump.”

    Zzzz…

    What I said is “Trump hatred” is fictional as far as deciding elections.

    Like

  98. So not much left to hope for.

    Collins in ME and Rogers in MI are two.

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  99. I would have bet the llama Dems would not win SC.

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  100. The only good news is that Josh Shapiro will never be nominated for President or VP because the anti-Semites won’t allow it.

    The bad news is that all the other Dems are just as bad.

    Like

  101. A commie like Nixon winning 48% in FL IS a tsunami.

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  102. You never know, Jason. Let’s count the votes and see. Meanwhile, Engling is creeping up to Birch Evans Bayh IV in the SoS race in Indiana. 3.1% behind with over 50% to count.

    Like

  103. I agree with Bitter that the gerrymandering Trump encouraged was stupid.

    But I have always said here that watering down safe districts is dangerous during a wave election, you lose your cushion and you give up previously safe seats.

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  104. I was right about south carolina

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  105. The last Paul was not me

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  106. Another lesson. Maybe running an ad by a candidate’s mom who stayed with the husband who abused that candidate was a bad strategy.

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  107. Talarico winning the Dallas suburbs big time. I think Paxton is toast.

    Maybe now Janzam will admit he was a bad candidate.

    Nahhh…

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  108. Actually so far Ramaswamy is running ahead of Husted.

    I disagree with Bitter, the ad was fair game.

    As Trump said, if his mother said something bad about him the Dems would certainly use it.

    Like

  109. I think even Cornyn would have lost tonight.

    Like

  110. I was right about south carolina”

    Yep

    And you might be right about 7 seats.

    Like

  111. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Guys,

    The real risk with gerrymandering is that safe districts become 55-45 type districts, and they can flip in a wave election, turning the gerrymander into a dummymander. And that is what’s happening.

    This is an epic fail tonight for the GOP. I didn’t think it was possible due to the tribalism, but Dems overcame that.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  112. Sayed running 5% behind the Gov race. Probably not enough

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  113. I disagree with Bitter, the ad was fair game.

    And it did not help. Stupid move.

    Like

  114. Super Intelligence? It’s called Transgender Intelligence now.

    Like

  115. Hello again. It’s been awhile. I’ve been busy with work and my oldest has been very ill for th pat few months but, after 23 years on HHR I never thought I’d see a night like this. It’s over. Once these dems get entrenched and all the tax increases and entitlements flow, it’s going to be a generation or maybe never again that any conservative, much less a republican wins

    Gen Z starts voting en masse in 2028 (oldest Gen Z turns 31) and they LOVE socialism and hate AmericA.

    It sucks

    Like

  116. Ticket splitting was huge in SC, the R candidate is ahead for governor.

    Like

  117. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar

    Vic,

    Prayers for your, son. I hope everything will be ok.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Liked by 1 person

  118. Vic – I am sorry to hear about your son. I hope things turn better quickly.

    It’s never over. I was here on election night when GWB won. Somebody posted that the Democrats were finished as a national party. Obviously not.

    Liked by 1 person

  119. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    Is it too late for Darlene Graham to declare that she is not a witch?

    Like

  120. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    How long do you have to post before someone steals your handle?

    Like

  121. Many Democrats are very thankful for Trump tonight.

    Big Joe – Don’t tell Jason.

    Like

  122. I am working on deleting Bunu’s trash.

    Like

  123. DDHQ calls the House majority for the Dems.

    Like

  124. Husted has caught up somewhat.

    Like

  125. At this point if Abbott doesn’t come back. (Forget paxson. He’s gone) Texas becomes a sanctuary state and no republican will ever win the presidency again

    Sad part s the bush wing down here is pulling for talarico and ipso facto Hinojosa to pay back trump for being mean. And it’s working. MAGA voters are staying home because they were trump voters. And that. My friends is the. Country.

    Not sure who these people are going to find to pay taxes when companies pull out of Texas and the USA

    Like

  126. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    In my experience, it is not MAGA voters staying home. It is normie life-long Republicans who refused to vote for Paxton.

    Like

  127. Hope your son gets well soon Vic.

    I agree with you.

    I repeat it here all the time.

    The educational system in this country has turned out too many socialists and the scale finally tipped.

    This is not about Trump. It’s ideological.

    Like

  128. On C-Span2- The Young Turks

    On C-Span3 – Conservative podcasters.

    Like

  129. Abbott is only running 2% ahead of Paxton.

    Like

  130. I had a simple litmus test for this election. Do they take AIPAC money? if yes then I looked at the opponent to see if he took AIPAC money.

    The voted for the one who didn’t accept it.

    Like

  131. I had a simple litmus test for this election. Do they take AIPAC money? if yes then I looked at the opponent to see if he took AIPAC money.

    Then I voted for the candidate who didn’t accept the AIPAC money.

    Like

  132. This is all on trump. He should have never started Iran. Middle East wars suck. He saw how it destroyed mute 43 (along with bush’s worst economy in 50 years. Midterms are brutal

    Like

  133. He should have spent the time ending the Ukrainian grift war with muh Russia. Diesel prices rose to the highest because of sniffy and pooty. Gasoline is bad but not as high as 2022.

    Like

  134. Tina,

    it’s likely that War criminal Trump rejected Christ like his daughter Ivanka. I believe he converted.

    Like

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