- Polls begin to close in 30 minutes
- The Poll that Matters
- Monday Morning before Election Day
- Sunday Thread
- ELECTION PREDICTIONS
New Book:
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrat +15 | 210 | 225 |
Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….
DEMOCRATIC (DSA) Party Platform:
Strip Americans of all their hard-earned resources and retirement savings, forcing them to live hand-to-mouth, and then replace Americans by blowing all their money on illegals brought in from every cesspool country in the world; resulting in the USA becoming a Marxist third world country dominated by crime, injustice, and corruption.
Polls begin to close in 30 minutes
77 responses to “Polls begin to close in 30 minutes”
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First.
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From the tail end of the last thread;
Mark Halperin said a while ago, that he could easily see every competitive Senate race but North Carolina going red given the high-quality private pulling over the last couple of days. He also noted that they could all easily go blue as well, but the only real caveat he had in the damn favor was the Atlas poll which it seems was taken only of “adults“ instead of likely voters.
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Prediction – If Paxton loses, Jan will blame everybody except Paxton.
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Kentucky closes in 24 minutes. Watching KY-06.
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okay the Baris surge in Florida is on for the 5 o’clock hour. Looking like the GOP will add on only another 35k votes instead of 48k.
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Thank you to everyone posting data. I plan to follow the results exclusively on HHR. On the TV, I will be watching “Justified”.
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Scratch that…GOP up 43,675 for the 5:00 hour.
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Jeff, I’ll be watching the Mandalorian with the kiddos. We’re late to the party but they love it. Much happier than election returns.
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I think mark hatterin has changed his positions each day.
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CNN and MSWhatever have the best maps. Too bad you have to listen to the lefties.
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In just 25 minutes the GOP edge in FL jumped from +8.5 to +8.6
The shift from two years ago is down from Dem +2.6 to Dem 2.5
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R+682,975
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Was just listening to Abbott on Hannity. I don’t know if its just his personality he didn’t seem very enthused. Hannity kept saying he wanted a turnout of 3 million and Abbott twice said it would be about 2.5 million.
I just didn’t get a real positive vibe but I never really heard him speak before, maybe he is just kind of reserved. He made a good case for why the Dem shouldn’t win, but earlier Byron Donalds sounded very positive.
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Halperin says either he Rs or Ds could win?
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ME, TX, MI, OH, AK still in the 70 percent range for the dems on the betting sites.
KS 65%
IA 51%
Odds R keep the senate up to 27% after being as low as 18% earlier.
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This is close and our side doesn’t do “exit poles”
@OpenSourceZone
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23m
Republicans vs Democrats on economy NBC Exit Poll Democrats: 41% (-2) Republicans: 37% (-
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as the Atlas poll which it seems was taken only of “adults“ instead of likely voters”
That might even include a lot of people who are not even eligible to vote.
Hope springs eternal.
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GOP nearing 700,000 vote cushion in FL
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Jason,
I think Gov Abbott has always been rather reserved in his speech pattern, he also is probably tired and just glad the campaign is finally over. Also, I’m pretty sure that he wins and so does Paxton, but by not as much as Abbott.
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what about the yute at 25%?
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According to NBC News exit polling, the Great Latino Comeback for Democrats is apparently just 6 points on net (D-R). It was 33 points in 2018, 10 points in 2024, and now is 16 points. That’s D43 R27 I30. That is not what pre-election polling showed. Times/Siena National poll showed D+26 for Party ID and D+30 for Party Lean. (That poll was D+11 for the CGB all LVs). Times/Siena Composite Battleground polling was D+22 (TX IA KS MI AK OH ME).
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KY-06 just jumped up for the Dem on Kalshi. Now at 68%.
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IN numbers so far no looking good so far
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Big momentum for (D) on polymarket senate races. Boo.
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Ford is beating Spartz right now in Indiana. Ford is leading with 63%. It says 29% reported!!!!
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If Indiana is correct, GOP is in for a very bad night.
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Indiana numbers are from early voting in Indianapolis suburbs.
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Betting market Kalshi just moved Mi, Kansas, Ohio, TX, Iowa, Alaska, Maine over to the R’s.
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Funny, janzam. You almost had me there.
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Victoria Spartz now favored to win. Odds are switching as drops are coming in.
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Lots of FL coverage here. Any analysis on what the numbers actually mean? Is the 600,000 magic number key because R’s are expected to lose the I vote by 500,000 or so?
Big Joe, A-Hole
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Joe, from what I read earlier this morning, the Rs wanted a cushion of 600,000 to feel good about the statewide vote just in case the polls showing the independents breaking 75-25 against them were correct. I personally don’t think independents will break that sharply, but anything is possible.
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Remember, the IN first results are from early vote.
That had the MSM in a tizzy in 2024, didn’t pan out.
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Eric Bolling reported the Kalshi movement in the states cited.
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But the scale of IN-5 early vote is 31% of the total vote and the Dems lead 63.6 to 36.4. I do not see how the GOP comes back from this. Hopefully this is localized to IN. I am fearful that it is not.
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I doubt the dem wins in Indiana. But if it is even close then that’s a bad sign for GOP.
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The IN secretary of state election is numbers so far is bad even factoring in for the fact they are all early vote.
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That Hamilton County District has been moving left over the last decade. If the Rs win the Election Day vote by only 15, they will scrape by a narrow win.
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But the scale of IN-5 early vote is 31% of the total vote and the Dems lead 63.6 to 36.4. I do not see how the GOP comes back from this.”
Depends where that vote is coming from.
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Votes are coming in from the urban areas.
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Wealthy exurbs of Indianapolis.
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just one other tidbit on the Fl numbers. Broward is the dem epicenter of the State. Today, Broward has had torrential downpours all day, continuing now. I’m talking sheets of rain and significant accumulation. I wonder if this had some effect in depressing dem turnout.
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KY-06 is 92% for the Dem on Kalshi.
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You mean Ayotte – Villanova Law 1993
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Joy Behar tells Haley Stevens she should “keep her big mouth shut” and to “just be quiet.”
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655 pm comment is not mine
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Joy Behar is a self-gasser just like Dana Nessel
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New OH Governor?
@VivekGRamaswamy) is a danger to my state, and I need, you know, the friendships and the role models for everything that comes next.”
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Spartz is cooked. IN5
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IN and KY results pretty much means its over in OH. Oh well.
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According to Fox News exit polling, 74% of voters said the Iran war was either a crucial or major factor affecting their vote.
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Looks like Donalds not trailing Moody’s vote by much.
I thought there would be a bigger difference.
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Trump had a chance to define the Iran war. He did not. He became a captive of events.
The ICE crackdown in Minnesota also got Dems motivated.
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Whatever the result, Trump now is free to bomb the crap out of Iran. I hope he does it sooner than later.
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MSNBC projects Ossoff will win. No surprise.
MSNBC stats guy is still really good.
Big Joe, A-Hole
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Martin and Bradford Counties in FL are D+8 vs 2024 with >95% of votes reported
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D+8 comparing Donalds vs Trump
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Donalds is now ahead and most of the Panhandle hasn’t reported.
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If there’s a blue wave, will Jason admit that Trump-hatred had anything to do with it?
Asking for a friend.
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I am calling it for Donalds and Moody, Broward and Miami Dade are way ahead of the count.
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If there’s a blue wave, will Jason admit that Trump-hatred had anything to do with it?”
Zzzzzz…
But the answer is, of course, no.
When he won I also did not pretend Trump love did it either.
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If there is a blue wave, it will be about gas and food prices, the war and the normal loss for the incumbent party.
If Trump hatred decided elections, Trump wouldn’t have arguably won 3 in a row, or at least 2/3.
And its funny Bitter thinks Trump hatred decides elections, when he has said many times here that when Trump is on the ballot Rs win.
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Trump picked a bunch of lousy candidates again. And, he drove off winners again.
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Could happen in SC. Bad candidate. Bad environment.
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Looks like Luna the nutjob squeaks by in FL after trailing all night.
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So Jason is going down with The Cult. None of the voters have ever even heard of Trump. Got it.
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Yeah J-Hole, looks like the wave is happening and its larger than I thought. I think Trump takes his frustrations out on Iran.
Big Joe, A-Hole.
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Moody wins
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(Per sba)
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