New Book:

2026 House Forecast

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Republican +1218217

2026 Senate Forecast

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Count48495051525347464544

Close in Alaska

Alaska Senate

🟦 Mary Peltola: 50.6%
🟥 Dan Sullivan: 49.4%

Alaska Survey Research (2024 C grade for being off 5 points toward Harris)
August 20-23, 2026
N=1,495 LV’s, MOE +/-3.0%

US Senate Kansas 2026

🟦Adam Hamilton 44%
🟥Roger Marshall 43% (incumbent)
🟨David Graham 5%

GSG-D poll | 8/12-8/16 LV

TX-35

🟦Johnny Garcia 44%
🟥Carlos De La Cruz 45%

Normington, Petts & Associates poll (D) | 8/27-8/31 LV

31 responses to “Close in Alaska”

  1. I am sorry this happened to janzam and Tina.

    OSLO, Norway (AP) — Norwegian authorities seized a Russian vessel in the Arctic archipelago of Svalbard on Wednesday at the request of Ukraine’s Naftogaz as part of a global effort to enforce a $4.22 billion arbitration award.

    Naftogaz is trying to recover the multibillion-dollar arbitration award stemming from Russia’s 2014 illegal annexation of Crimea and its seizure of Ukrainian energy assets, including gas fields and pipelines.

    In 2023, an arbitration tribunal in The Hague ordered Russia to pay the $4.22 billion to the Ukrainian state-owned energy company for unlawfully seizing its assets in Crimea.”

    Btw, Putin called seizure of the ship an “act of terrorism”.

    Like

  2. Thanks for the Paxton Rally summary last night, Harry.

    Depressing to know that besides being baggage ridden and unpopular, Paxton is also a boring speaker and even worse, serves bad tacos (a no-no in Texas).

    However, hope springs eternal with your last sentence.

    “Hopefully, Paxton can inspire enough people to vote for him, or at least not vote for Talarico.”

    Like

  3. janzam and Tina might be posting light today, they are going to busy protesting at the Norwegian consulate with their “SAVE THE SHIP” posters.

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  4. I read here that Hormuzzle was closed.

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  5. Oil via ship through Hormuzzle is dated. It’s now via pipeline. But the freepassers fell for Iran is winning and hi muzzle is closed.

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  6. I checked out the website of the KS libertarian who supposedly is at 5% (won’t happen).

    He has some really hot issues he is concerned about. Might be a contender.

    3) Make our strong national defense smarter by abolishing use of the pseudo-scientific polygraph for security clearances.

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  7. But the freepassers fell for Iran is winning and hi muzzle is closed.”

    What did the tooth fairy and the Easter bunny do?

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  8. LOL…Close hmmm

    It’s going to be a woke commie Dem blowout in November. Trump is over his head with Iran just as he was with Covid. Hopefully the GOP will keep the Senate.Trump is a much better cultural warrior than governing executive.

    A DeSantis presidency would have been so much better.

    Until we have chain of custody in mail in ballots, proof of ID and only citizens voting we are done as a functioning republic anyway.

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  9. I hope Paxton wins. I can’t believe I am reduced to hoping for a Republican to win in Texas. Texas?!?

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  10. I wouldn’t worry too much about what JeffP says.

    How is his theory that the Norwegians and the CIA blew up the Russian pipeline evolving.

    And his theory that Trump would never survive all those very credible indictments against him and that DeSantis was a lock for the nomination?

    Poor bastard has the worst case of TDS in history, it is terminal.

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  11. Tina is going to be unhinged today due to the seizure of the Russian vessel.

    I will take that into account.

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  12. I hope Paxton wins. I can’t believe I am reduced to hoping for a Republican to win in Texas.”

    Candidate quality matters, even in Texas.

    Paxton has provided a bunch of loaded guns to Talarico and said “shoot me”.

    Talarico may be a weirdo commie creep, but he is smart enough to take Paxton up on it.

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  13. Like

  14. Anyone besides me profoundly inspired on the platform of the KS libertarian to end polygraphs for security clearances?

    Could be a game changer, Marshall should be worried.

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  15. Stupid to even have foreign ownership.

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  16. https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2095492316916056268

    My last post pertains to two fioreugn companies having ownership.

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  17. Stupid to even have foreign ownership.

    Of what?

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  18. Catch 22 in Texas. Paxton is loaded with baggage weighing him down in the GE. Cornyn doesn’t have the baggage but is viewed as a squish by the base in Texas and because of that Baris said he was a loser in the GE. Base wouldn’t turn out for him. Ridiculous that Texas is in play with a woke, communist nut on the other side of the ballot.

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  19. Like

  20. Hormuzzle closed is like the weapons to sniffy are free.

    Like

  21. I’m waiting for Trump to give Israel the thumbs up to kill the scum running Iran into the ground. The Israelis are quite good at targeting individuals in high places whether it be an ayatollah, Hamas leaders or Iranian scientists. Masad is very efficient. They have shown that over and over and over. Who knows. Maybe Trump already has given the go signal..

    The two month pause Trump gave Iran was an obvious mistake with the ridiculous MOU. He was played. However, the economic squeeze he’s now putting on Iran is brilliant and the right course. Strangle their economy. At least The MOU fiasco finally convinced Trump to not play their game any longer. Unfortunately, that road takes time and it will bleed into the November elections. At this point it can’t be helped. I very much like the strategy of hitting an Iranian tanker for every commercial ship they attack in the strait. That is where they are storing their oil. They are truly running out of storage capacity. They would have already reached that point had we not lifted the blockade for seven weeks. That said, he’s doing what needs to be done to facilitate extreme economic pain which will eventually pay off I believe in the collapse of the regime. That collapse is the ONLY way to solve the Iranian problem. It’s clear they can’t be trusted even if they signed an agreement. We tried that.

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  22. NEW HAMPSHIRE – Senate

    🟥 Sununu: 37%
    🟦 Pappas: 36%

    Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
    8/27-8/30 |600 LV

    Like

  23. ”RIP, Gloria Steinem.”

    I hate to say it, but good riddance, she permanently damaged a lot of women. Christian Bale will be relieved, though, she was an awful stepmother.

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  24. Hormuzzle closed (not said at HHR) is like the weapons to sniffy (no evidence of drug use by Zelensky) are free (Weapons slated for destruction but sent to Ukraine instead).

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  25. You can rearrange the letters of both “William Lawrence” and “James Talirico” and i both cases spell

    “NUTTY AS A FRUIT CAKE”

    Liked by 1 person

  26. I had a repairman come by yesterday to fix my dryer. Got to talk to him a bit. Turned out he was from the Ukraine, and we had a very interesting conversation. His family is still in the Ukraine and living right in the war zone. Putin is an absolute war criminal…..and idiots like Tucker are delusional.

    Liked by 1 person

  27. Gloria Steinem….

    …immortalized by that classic rock song

    G-L-O-R-I-A

    Like

  28. https://nypost.com/2026/09/03/us-news/15-colleges-now-cost-100k-per-year-and-almost-none-of-them-are-worth-it/

    Retired Poster Hellbelly’s son attended #15 Haverford.

    Haverford is a very small school a few miles from my house. I think it is or was affiliated with Quakers.

    Like

  29. A poll that misses 27% of the electorate is BS.

    However I will take BS with Sununu ahead.

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  30. I left my HEART in San Francisco…

    Georgia on my MIND…

    Got my TOES in the water, ASS in the sand…

    Cold SHOILDER in Chicago

    EYES of a New York Woman (BJ Thomas)…

    HANDS over Mississippi ((Ted Nugent)

    BACK to Chicago ((Styx)

    BACK in the USA

    Ocean Eyes(Billie Eilish)

    Like

  31. I agree jason, normally Fabrizio would do better than putting out a poll with so many undecided…but this was a full ballot poll, and they had these as well:

    Lopez 1%
    Harris 1%
    Day 1%

    But that doesn’t explain what everyone else thinks.

    Even so, that is TWO New Hampshire polls in a row with Sununu in the lead.

    Like

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