- Friday – Alaska house poll
- Thursday Thread with no new Polls
- Paxton it is in Texas
- Primary Run-off Day in Texas
- Memorial day
 | GOP | DEM |
| Republican +1 | 218 | 217 |
Primary Run-off Day in Texas
123 responses to “Primary Run-off Day in Texas”
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First. I am sure the Dems spent the weekend finalizing the Paxton ads.
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If the Dems were running a serious candidate in Texas I would be deeply worried about Paxton and all his flaws.
But they decided to run Talarico instead, a guy who is not exactly a great fit for Texas…wants to stop everyone from eating beef, and wants to grab everybody’s guns. A guy who preaches that Jesus was woke and loved abortion, and on it goes. Talarico is a cheap dollar store holiday fruitcake.
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Bitterlaw
I like that WW 2 documentary did not pull any punches about how bad Stalin F’d up by killing most of the military leaders in the purge before the war or that he was a drunk p*ssy hiding out when the war started. All this was known but I wondered if they would try to diminish it.”
I watched the 2 hours. I thought it was well done.
Hanks seems just a narrator and not a commentator, nothing woke so far or reinventing history.
I agree there is nothing there to make Stalin look good, he got hoodwinked by Hitler and Moscow was saved by the mud, not him. He gets credit for the transfer of the 400 k troops from the Far East but had the Germans been able to launch the operation 4 weeks earlier and implemented their original plan both Leningrad and Moscow would have fallen.
But in my view the Russians would have eventually pushed the Germans back anyway because since they were willing to sacrifice 8 million soldiers what is 4 or 5 million more.
Hitler could have had all of Poland, Alsace, Austria, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, most of Yugoslavia, a piece of Ukraine and a sphere of influence much greater than that had he stopped the war and negotiated a settlement.
Had he done that, Germany and the US would be the superpowers today.
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DW – But you know that every Republican Senate candidate will have to ask questions about Paxton.
“As a Republican candidate for Senate in [state], will you have any issues serving with a wife abusing man who drinks the blood of children and kicks puppies if you and Paxton are both elected?”
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Well, the media is always going to ask those kind of gotcha questions. I was for Cornyn as the safer bet. But it is what it is. I am just saying that we dodged a bullet given the Dems thought they would avoid trouble by avoiding Jasmine Crockett, but instead they got the brand with extra fruit in the fruitcake.
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Tehran only wants to collect fees from ships transiting Hormuz, not tolls.
“Vessels crossing the Strait of Hormuz will need to pay fees for “navigational services,” Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said Monday.
Such payments for transiting the waterway were not tolls, he said at a press briefing.
“The services that are provided, navigational services, in addition to the measures necessary to protect the environment of the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf, and the Sea of Oman, require the collection of certain fees,” Baghaei said, adding that Tehran was “not seeking to collect tolls.”
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I was hoping against hope that Cornyn would pull it out.
But as DW says, you play the cards you are dealt.
Talarico would be a disaster. Paxton will probably only be an embarrassment.
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Cornyn is a multiple-term incumbent who spent a huge sum of money in a primary, only to get his arse kicked. This, of course, is everyone’s fault but Cornyn’s.
Chicon
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Cornyn’s milk toast brand of Republicanism wouldn’t be an obstacle if he could get to the GE since he would be the incumbent in a red state vs a Democratic fruitcake like Talarico. Problem he has is that in primaries it is the activists most likely to vote. They don’t like him. He’ll probably lose by eight to ten points.
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Seriously, what should be done concerning the growing plague of sovereign citizens whack jobs that cause problems with our police and court systems…saying they don’t recognize any government jurisdiction over them and are exempt from arrest and consequences of refusing to have a driving license and having car insurance?
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And speaking of people who come up with some scam to avoid paying taxes and finding ways to defraud the government… here is a situation involving my old flame from college who unceremoniously dumped me and were back with her old longterm hometown boyfriend…
They have kived for decades in KY. Both in late 70s. Husband is a top tax attorney.
A couple years ago they sold their home($650,000 real current value) to a property company that has existed on paper only for 30 years. The company has NEVER bought or sold a single property for its entire existence. The president of the company is the wife of the tax attorney (and my old girlfriend I had planned to marry…)
Purchase price was $960,000. WTF?
AND the layer and wife continue to reside there just as before…
My suspicion is that somehow this a tax dodge to get out of paying capital gains tax on the house they bought 30 years ago for $290,000.
I guess they use their invesent money to buy the house from themselves for an inflated value. The “reality company” (whose only officer is mother wife) gets the $950,000 from lawyer husband and gives it back to husband (and herself) to buy the house. They then take the capital gain part and buy more property or pay off mortgages on their children’s homes and probably give under the table favorable terms for children to repay them monthly. Then, in a few years when the lawyer and his wife both die, the kids sell the family home in KY for $750,000 and have no tax liability since it was sold at a loss…(less that the $960,000 it was bought for).
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I further suspect that they pay monthly “rent” to the property/reality “company” owned by the WIFE which in essence is merely a paper game where they are paying monthly money to themselves.
When the “fake business” sells the very nice home at some eventual point, it will sell at less than $960,000 so there will be no tax liability on the sale.
Can anyone come up with any other possibilities as to this strange financial arrangement?
(don’t ask me how I stumbled across what I shared above. All I will say is that the real estate transactions are public record.)
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Does Cronyn fall today?
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Cornyn is a multiple-term incumbent who spent a huge sum of money in a primary”
And of course the Cultist leaves out the 800-lb gorilla.
Why did Cornyn have to spend so much money?
This, of course, is everyone’s fault except Paston’s.
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That all makes sense, except for one detail.
There is no capital gains tax on profits of your primary residence up to $500k for a married couple so why go through all that work?
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Cornyn, unfortunately, is toast.
But he is going to get a lot of votes from people who don’t like Paxton.
He would certainly get my vote if I still lived in TX.
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Very early in pir marriage, my wife and I scrimped and saved and deposited $100 a month in both of our sons “college” savings accounts.
Both these savings accounts grew to be substantial amounts. When it came time to purchase a new car for wife or I, we would not borrow theoney from a band or fina.ce the car through the car dealer.
We would borrow the money needed from our boys’ “college” accounts and we would keep records and pay theoney back into the college accounts including 5 % interest. Do the same thing when we wanted to add a major addition and do other renovations on our home.
Plus I did the actual construction, along with hiring a couple teachers friends to help.
We always borrowed from our own accounts and “got” a MUCH better interest rate…which we were paying back to ourselves…
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jason,
I have no idea why they would form the scam business to buy the home from themselves at an unrealistically inflated price, only to continue to live there just like they always did….
I figure there is some tax scam involved since he is a top tax attorney for a BIG and well repsected legal firm (as well as also having his own practice…)
Maybe it has something to do with his retirement ir other investment income…not sure if he is fully retired or not from Bowles Rice…
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(1) Right Angle News Network on X: “Spencer Pratt has launched a campaign where filthy Los Angeles streets are power washed using a stencil reading “imagine if the streets were this clean.” Imagine letting the streets get so dirty under your leadership that your opponent can use them as a billboard. https://t.co/yU0A56xCsd” / X
Pratt powerwashes his campaign message into the filthy streets of LA.
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The original deal was the house bought 30 years earlier for $290,000 and market valued at $650,000 was going to be sold to the fake company for $900,000
Then a week or so later, the selling/purchase price “agreed to” jumped to $960,000….
Why would the two parties of the buyer and seller (BOTH THE DE PEOPLE) jump the purchase price another $60,000????
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I thought maybe it had to with going into a retirement/assissed living thing, but they continue to live there like they always have.
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But even at $960,000, if you consider they probably made improvements they could add to the $290,000 cost, they would probably not pay any capital gains.
But I don’t doubt there is something fishy about the overvaluation, but fishy does not always mean illegal.
If he is a big time lawyer like you say, he might be an expert in gaming the system.
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So for the long term care thing they would want to “hide” the assets so they can qualify. But you would not want to overvalue your home for that.
Maybe they are doing a reverse mortgage, in which case the more equity you have in the home the better.
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George Floyd, fallen hero.
Who knew?
Today, we remember George Floyd, who was murdered by a former Minneapolis police officer six years ago. That moment changed our city forever.”
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Walt has been doing good housing deals since he traded two almost dry caves for one above the flood plain.
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UCLA leads the 64 team baseball tournament set to begin with regional games Friday as the #1 seed. The were in the Men’s College World Series last year and won it all in 2013. UCLA has had many players go on to the majors such as Jackie Robinson, Gerrit Cole, Chase Utley, Todd Zeile, Troy Glaus, Chris Chambliss, Eric Karros, and of course manager Dave Roberts of the Dodgers.
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When Ugg complained, Walt invented “caveat emptor”.
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Wife and I paid off her college federal loan so much each month
We rented for 6 years in a 12 room farmhouse (original part built in late 1700s/early 1800s) for $125 per month. Deal was owned would buy materials and I would do the work for improvements (inside and outside).
With only $125/mo. rent, we socked away a lot in savings and investments each month for us, and later for our boys. Except for her first car, we never bought a car and had car pauments. Paid cash.
First house we bought (3 bedroom split level) was for under $50,000 and payments were only $329/ month. At that time, our salaries as teachers was about $6,500 each. We were able to pay the house off early.
I do not see how young couples make it these days…
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The to do list from wife is rather short today. So I think I have time to go get my hair cut…
Later taters…
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i hate typing if phone and also hate auto correct. Bastards.
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Damm, Walt hasn’t had a day off like this since Cleopatra said he could go fishing on the Nile for a few hours.
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President Trump just dropped a bomb: A key Biden DOJ official warned the Mar-a-Lago raid was likely ILLEGAL Trump all along had authority to declassify those documents: The Merrick Garland ally “raised legal ‘concerns’ about the FBI’s raid on Mar-Lago, warning that then-former President Donald Trump may have actually declassified the records seized by agents, a newly-unearthed email obtained by Just the News shows.” They BROKE THE LAW and should be indicted!
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Paxton vs Cornyn is a David vs Goliath political battle. Paxton got virtually no funding from DC republicans, while Cornyn had all the cash he wanted to run his campaign. Most of that money went to trashing his opponent and not explaining his policies or his accomplishments over his 24 years in Congress. I hope Paxton wins by double digits today!
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Walt asked God if he could take the 7th day off and thereby invented the Sabbath.
Mrs. Walt is not bound by that request.
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You know what they say.
God created the stars, and Earth and the Moon and light and the seas and land and animals in six days and then rested.
Then God created man. Maybe he rested.
Then he created woman, and nobody has rested ever since.
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Most of that money went to trashing his opponent”
And man, was there a lot to trash about….
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At this point, since Cornyn unfortunately can’t win, it would be best if Paxton did win by double digits.
If he doesn’t, it weakens him for the GE and it allows the Dems to say Trump’s endorsement didn’t really matter.
Paxton is a bad candidate. Because of that he is destined to have a competitive race against an weirdo fruitcake nutjob in Texas no less.
Let’s hope even the deadenders can’t deliver this seat to the Dems.
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As far as I know there is no evidence Trump declassified these documents.
“He could (or should) have” is not a good argument legally.
Of course, nothing changes the fact this was a dispute between Trump and the Archives, the documents were known and acknowledged and not “stolen”, and the raid was completely unjustified and for show and propaganda and an excuse to further weaponize the justice system against Trump.
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Polymarket 75% odds Paxton wins by double digits.
Polymarket 82% odds Karen Bass wins LA mayoral election. Geezus.
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Paxton is a bad candidate.
Paxton is an aggressive, effective candidate who has shown a survival resilience in lieu of all the attacks from establishment republicans like Cornyn. He has the support of a grass roots activated to change the representation of someone who has done relatively little for Texas during his 3 terms in office.
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“Polymarket 82% odds Karen Bass wins LA mayoral election. Geezus.”
I believe that is 82% chance that she comes in first in the primary, not the GE (though I sadly do expect her to win if she and Pratt advance to November). Latest poll had her at 25%, Pratt still stuck at 22%, and the Raman nutjob at 18%.
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He has the support of a grass roots activated
Are those same dedicated grass roots activists who sit out elections when Trump is not running for President?
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“Paxton got virtually no funding from DC republicans”
Why would he? The incumbent was running for re-election.
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Polymarket 82% odds Karen Bass wins LA mayoral election.
I hope not! Nonetheless, the vote is being chopped up with Bass and Raman sharing the far left vote, while Platt (a Republican) and Adam Miller (a democrat) are fighting for the more moderate vote. Platt has had some nationally recognized ads catching the sentiment of voters in a creative, unconventional way. However, like Paxton, he has a past weighing him down, and muddying the sensible ideas he is putting out there. Miller is a rich, pleasant, entrepreneur type, who still has the underpinnings of a progressive democrat hiding in some of his speeches.
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Paxton is an aggressive, effective candidate who has not proven he can be elected Senator yet.
Fixed it.
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Are those same dedicated grass roots activists who sit out elections when Trump is not running for President?
No. They are activists who support Paxton for the work he has done as AG, and now want him to be their Senator over the do-nothing Cornyn.
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Jan – Did you name a pet fish after Paxton yet?
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Ah, you just won’t let an old time jab go, will you Bitter?
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I wonder if the Cult realizes that if Paxton is elected to the Senate he immediately becomes a member of the Establishment. Trump is in his 6th year as President so he is also a member of the Establishment.
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Nope. No redemption for you, me or anybody, Jan.
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I am reluctantly falling into step with Phil and his frustration over Trump’s vacillation over Iran. It seems so obvious that Iran is playing for time, and has little seriousness in trying to cooperate with any “peace” plan.
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……not looking for any redemption from you Bitter. It just seems strange, if not tiresome, you find so much pleasure in bringing up old barbs that originally had no teeth or truth to them. 🤔
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Putin is jealous janzam put a Paxton poster next to his.
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He has the support of a grass roots”
Zzzzz…
So that is about 20% of the population.
What about the other 80%.
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“Putin is jealous janzam put a Paxton poster next to his.”
The big question is whether Bubu put up a Putin poster next to his Ron Paul collection, and if it has become equally soiled.
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Paxton is a heavily baggage ridden candidate with little appeal outside of his base.
Can he beat a certified nutjob fruitcake moron like Talarico?
Hopefully.
But the fact is a lot of money was wasted trying to beat a perfectly safe CONSERVATIVE Republican in order to roll the dice on a must have seat by nominating a candidate with heavy baggage and narrow appeal.
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Bunu must be having fun on the Gaza flotilla, he doesn’t write, doesn’t call….
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I believe that is 82% chance that she comes in first in the primary, not the GE”
Correct.
But her odds for winning the second round are almost as bad, 70%.
https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117
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Don’t tell Janzam, but Cornyn was already a conservative R senator when Trump was still funding Harry Reid, Chuck Schumer, Hillary Clinton, the Dem senate committee, and Planned Parenthood.
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Has Walt been leading us down the garden path when it comes to Stegosaurs?
“A Single Skull Just Rewrote What We Know About Stegosaurs”
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You said you named a fish after Trump (who you called Braveheart).
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https://x.com/EWess92/status/2059337074436702352
Trump wins an appeals court on grant terminations. Recourse is the us court of claims/tucker act. a dc has no jurisdiction,
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I am hopeful that Paxton loses in November.
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Who is the female Dem candidate who dumped a big pan of hot mashed potatoes on his head? Is she running for governor of California or Maine?
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Any of you ever go to Hawaii and visit Mount Wannahockalugie?
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Walt, you’re thinking of Katie Porter, SoCal’s offering to the Congressional Beauty pageant, where she lost a close race to DWS for Miss Congeniality.
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You said you named a fish after Trump (who you called Braveheart).
Nope, never happened. I remember baiting you with a joke, like I was going to do that….but, it was joke. Seriously, why would you believe such a thing!LikeLike
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A joke you waited several years to claim was a joke? Sure.
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paxton +20 so far….I am calling it
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I will always believe Janzam is a pathological liar.
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Cronyn is losing bigly
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Paxton +26 blowout
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i guess this is why Paxton turned to focus on the general election a week ago
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Poor John…. I mean, he didn’t do what his constituents wanted done, but is that really a good reason to lose one’s seat?
Yep, without a doubt.
Chicon
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Talarico is our only,hope.
-free passer
Said by nobody at HHR. I really feel sorry for you at this point, Tina.
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Paxton was out raises 9 to 1 by Cronyn
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Bitter I never felt a need to clear anything up that was so trivial. Posting anything lighthearted here is a mistake.
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Talarico tonight said he welcomed Cornyn supporters to his campaign. This guy really is nuts if he thinks people are that stupid.
No more eating beef, no more gun ownership and Jesus loves abortion…and he thinks Texas will want him.
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Paxton will do better against Talarico than Cornyn would have done.
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The Bushies may migrate to Talarico though
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Great idea to pour $90M+ into a primary supporting a guy who is now behind by 25 points, only to admit right after Cornyn conceded that there’s no way the guy who the Dems selected can win a state Trump won by 14%.
So, Mr. Thune, why did you blow so much money on this race? No other important uses for it? Lol.
Chicon
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Race was called for Paxton seconds after polls closed. What a humiliation for Cornyn after spending so much money to win the race!
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Paxton offered to back out of the race, giving it to Cornyn, if the Senate was able to pass the SAVE Act. It’s Thune’s folly that he didn’t accept the offer.
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Paxton will do better against Talarico than Cornyn would have done.
Zzzzzzzz MAGA only wanted to defeat Cornyn. They will stay home now because Trump is not running for President. It’s who they are.
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We all said that Cronyn was in trouble during the initial contest when it was a three person race – except the free passers.
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MAGA seems inordinately enthusiastic for a midterm cycle. Almost every high profile race is ending in a rout for Trump’s preferred candidate. And the political situation hasn’t peaked yet.
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Paxton is lucky he will face a weirdo fruitcake moron who looks like a cross between Howdy Doody and Alfred E. Neuman.
I think he probably would have lost to Beto or Alred.
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Zzzzzzzz MAGA only wanted to defeat Cornyn.”
Exactly.
They got what they wanted.
The GE is irrelevant to them.
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Tina, the signs were all there how much dissatisfaction Texans had with Cornyn. The “free passers,” though like to pose like know-it-all, and then become sour grapes when it doesn’t go their way.
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Zzzzz….
No sour grapes here. I preferred Cornyn and would have voted for him if I still lived in Texas. I prefer actual conservatives like Cornyn to pseudo-conservative populists like Paxton.
But as I said above, if Cornyn can’t prevail then it is good he loses by a significant margin because otherwise the MSM would portray it as Trump’s weakness and it might have gotten Dems to view the race as competitive.
I think the landslide win plus Cornyn’s endorsement is good news for Rs keeping the seat.
I know that is not important to the Cult, but there is a forest beyond the trees.
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Polymarket not impressed by Paxton’s win.
He holds a narrow 54% chance of winning.
https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-winner
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The grass roots are energized to hold both the House and Senate. So, winning the GE with people supporting Trump’s policies, like the SAVE Act, is a top priority.
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The estimate is that it will now cost Rs $250 million to elect Paxton, money that could be spent on other races.
“For more than a year, Republicans beseeched President Donald Trump’s advisers in the White House with a simple ask: if he couldn’t find his way to endorsing Sen. John Cornyn, could he at least keep his mouth shut?
Of course, he could not. Trump last week endorsed Cornyn’s primary opponent in Texas, state Attorney General Ken Paxton, and on Tuesday Paxton made it through his contentious, costly run-off and into the general election this November. Senate Republicans spent $90 million on defending their amiable colleague and sinking the scandal-soaked Paxton. They failed, and are now left with the jarring reality that they had hoped to avoid: $250 million. That’s the internal price tag being circulated among Republicans for the task of helping Paxton to hold the seat—all at the expense of chasing flipping Democratic seats in places like Georgia, Michigan, or New Hampshire.
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All Rs support the SAVE Act.
However, sane Rs will not torpedo the filibuster to get it passed.
You read it first here.
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The grass roots are energized to hold both the House and Senate”
zzzzz…
The problem is that in most swing races the grass roots don’t decide the election.
Now that the “grass roots” came out to defeat the “RINO”, I bet a lot of them don’t bother to vote for Paxton in the GE.
Their work is done.
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Also, let’s see what the Dems have been holding back regarding Paxton. The guy is a ticking bomb waiting to blow up at any time.
No guarantee new scandals won’t appear.
Of course, Talarico is in the same situation. He has said so many idiotic things it is hard to believe there is not more out there.
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A quarter of a billion to sve Paxton is hyperbole. Mark Halperin had Cunningham and Graves on 2-Way yesterday or today, and they covered all of Talarico’s weaknesses and how he will have trouble recovering from his own words, as well as Texas’ long history of electing morally imperfect people (plenty worse than the vile Paxton, whom I despise as a human being) who fit the zeitgeist. Dems would have been statistically better off nominating Jasmine Ratchet, she was a screwball but also a known quantity, and some folks down there likke a cuckoo straight shooter. Talarico is overfllwig with estrogen and veganism, he won’t make it to 50%+1.
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Paxton may have new stuff come out, but it’s hard to see wha could be worse than what already has come out. Talarico, however, still has a lot of vulnerabilities that can be exploited, much like like avalanche of stuff that is headed for Platner up in Maine.
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DW lies
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“All Rs support the SAVE Act.”
Not true. There are a few Republican Senators with the sense to realize how terribly shitty the SAVE act is.
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Save America Act will disenfranchise rural female Trump voters mostly. There are Republicans that understand that.
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That $250 million price tag is part of a loser’s fantasy.
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Prediction – Trump hatred is going to motivate Texas Dems to vote in numbers like a Presidential election. That is more voters than the Cult’s beloved MAGA so the Cult better hope the Republicans they hate also turn out.
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“His opponent, Alfred E. Neuman, may be the worst TEXAS candidate I have ever seen. A strong Open Borders advocate, he is WEAK ON CRIME, believes there are 6 genders, is insulting to Jesus Christ, will never support the Military, was a big Mask Wearer until recently, and is a Vegan who dislikes meat, not exactly a good way to be if your wanting to win an Election in Texas.”
Trump on Hhrs atalirici
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All Rs support the Save America Act.
Tell the good-e senators. Also the Maine chiclet and the fake r in Alaska don’t.
Another false claim here.
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New thread
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The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
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