According to Bowling Green State University poll
Senate
Jon Husted (inc): 50%
Sherrod Brown: 47%
Other: 3%
——
Governor
Vivek Ramaswamy: 48%
Amy Acton: 47%
Other: 5%
——
Generic Ballot
GOP: 48%
DEM: 43%
——
BGSU/YouGov | 4/7-14 | 1,000 RV


Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
![]() | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
According to Bowling Green State University poll
Senate
Jon Husted (inc): 50%
Sherrod Brown: 47%
Other: 3%
——
Governor
Vivek Ramaswamy: 48%
Amy Acton: 47%
Other: 5%
——
Generic Ballot
GOP: 48%
DEM: 43%
——
BGSU/YouGov | 4/7-14 | 1,000 RV

Polymarket has the Yes vote at 86%.
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The 86% at Polymarket is about what I would expect given all we have are a couple of polls showing Yes up a few points. But how many in those polls fully understood the implications of Yes/No given the Democrats wrote the question? I think its going to be close, and the Span-burglar job approval is probably a better gauge of the referendum. Its going to come down to turnout. Independents should be on the GOP side regardless the party they vote for in November, because they will want choices in November.
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Betty Yee has suspended her campaign for CA governor, not wanting to run the risk of being Swalwelled.
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This podcast is long, but I encourage everyone to watch it. A professor from Dallas interviews three co-authors of a new book dealing with logic and sound reasoning. They are coming from a Christian world-view perspective, but what they say is applicable to the logic used in everyday life, and they even get a little into politics. The logical fallacies they speak to illustrate part of why our society is in such a mess.
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Last minute talks to begin with Iran. Expect Iranians to offer promise of an agreement in order to extend the ceasefire….and as usual it’s the same old empty promise. Delay, Delay, Delay. String us along to avoid getting hit. It’s the same old BS. Same playbook as always. It never changes. Extend the ceasefire for an empty promise of progress. Rinse and repeat.
If Trump extends the ceasefire he’s playing right into their hands. Unfortunately, that’s exactly what I expect to happen. I hope I’m wrong, but I’ve just seen this movie too many times before.
Reuters/IPSOS has never been friendly to Republicans as far back as I can recall. But here is their new generic ballot:
Reuters/Ipsos
Democrats 41
Republicans 38
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If we had a real Senate Leader, Tillis would be kicked off the committee. But, as you know, Thune works against Trump a lot
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Dickliss is being an a hole about the confirmation hearings for the new fed chairperson nomination. All because dickliss wants no investigation of the current fed chairperson
swamp protects swamp.
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SPAM-BURGLAR!!!!
LOL!
VA Dems “big rig job” will be decided today.
And then redecided by the VA supreme court, and then the SCOTUS.
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Tillis has been useless his entire second term in the Senate. It’s his kind of Republican that makes the party rank in file distrust the party. Romney is gone so I guess Tillis felt it left an opening to be the new MSM’s favorite Republican. He stepped right in. He and Murkowski competing to be the left’s favorite useful idiot. I still give the edge to Murkowski who only stays in office because of ranked choice voting in Alaska. Collins I give some slack to since she is from a blue state and voted to confirm Kavanaugh who made it by one vote (Murkowski voted no of course). McConnell? He is just a useless dick – a no on the Save America Act BTW. No voter ID necessary, right Mitch?
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One Virginia Beach precinct had very light voting over the early lunch hour. It is a district that is 60/40 Dem.
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If forced to make a prediction, I would expect that No will be ahead for much of the evening, and then with 99% of the vote already in across northern Virginia, suddenly 9000 Yes votes will drop out of nowhere, and put yes over the top 50.2 to 49.8.
I have seen this movie before and it always ends the same way. I am still shocked that didn’t happen in 2021 when Youngkin came out on top. The only thing I can figure is that the guy with a car trunk stuffed with McAwful ballots either drove the wrong car to the precinct counting place or had a flat tire on the way.
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Most at HHR would love a system where 435 Republicans would be elected to the House. They are just angry Dems are working hard on electing 435 Dems to the House.
Discuss
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