Overall, there have been far fewer polls in 2025, and this explains the gaps you see in the lines of Sears and Spanberger. But more recently, polls are showing up in greater number and Sears is exactly where Youngkin was at this stage.
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Virginia Governor – 2021 compared to 2025
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
66 responses to “Virginia Governor – 2021 compared to 2025”
First
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October 14, 2025 at 9:06 am
Contrary to janzam’s lies yesterday, Trump DID invite Netanhayu to go to Egypt with him.
“Trump tried to continue the diplomatic celebrations by tempting Netanyahu to accompany him to his glitzy summit in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, to discuss Gaza’s future with a gathering of world figures, including the chairman of the Palestinian Authority Mahmoud Abbas.
The Israeli leader initially accepted the invite, only to backtrack two hours later. The official reason given was the proximity to a Jewish holiday. But behind closed doors, officials said Netanyahu didn’t want to risk being photographed with Abbas, whom he has attacked and tried to weaken for years.”
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Sears won a statewide election herself, presumably if everyone who voted for her votes for her again she would win.
Spanberger has made a lot of mistakes, but none as big as McCauliffe suggesting parents don’t have a role in their children’s education.
But there is still time…
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I thought it was funny when janzam suggested Trump would not invite Netanhayu because otherwise the “leader of Iraq” wouldn’t come.
That is not like Trump at all, he would have said “f-ck him, he can come or not, I am bringing Netanhayu”
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And after a somewhat puzzling back-and-forth, Netanyahu declined to travel with Trump to Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, to attend the deal’s official investiture, despite a last-minute, behind-the-scenes attempt by the US president to get him there.“
janzam the serial liar hardest hit.
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Democrats have a violence problem. Latest headline: Chuck Schumer Calls for Americans to “Forcefully Rise Up” Over Letitia James Indictment
Given this is a legal matter that normally would be settled peacefully in a court of law, Schumer instead wants it resolved by the masses using FORCE.
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That area has the most reversals as well as the most foreign, Marxist judges.
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Yeah baby!
bugas sphere
https://www.facebook.com/share/v/17H6RvFuro/
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Oh, BTSW, I saw on Facebook videos where the U.S. Navy blew out various Venezuelan was planes from the sky. Also destroyed several Venezuelan military ships
OF COURSE IT WAS ALL FAKE. Did not really happen.
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Oh, BTW….
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Some info about Cash Cow…
https://www.facebook.com/share/r/16nMHEuP1A/
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another moment from the game last night…the last Brewers batter, bases loaded, two outs, they were down one run. All the guy had to do was stand there in the batter’s box and hold still, and he would have been plunked on the leg to tie the game. Instead human instinct took over and he jumped out of the way of the pitch way inside. Then he struck out and the ballgame was over.
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Facebook says that
–the Charlie Kirk shooting was a fake. Never happened. All was done through a hologram.
–Donald Trump is actually a time traveler
–I am sure they will soon have a video up proving that the Middle East peace treaty was also just a hologram.
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Contrary to janzam’s lies yesterday, Trump DID invite Netanhayu to go to Egypt with him
Yes, for diplomatic reasons Trump did invite Netanyahu to the summit. However, Iraq didn’t want him there. And Turkey’s president said he would turn his jet around should Netanyahu be at this meeting. Turkey has a key role in the 20 Point plan and so their presence was essential. Also, observers in Israel noticed that Trump and Netanyahu had an uncomfortable time together when they rode in “the Beast” together. While in the public eye they both save face. But their personal time together has not been as cordial as before.
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So janzam is doubling down on her lies about her made up “frosty and distant” BS?
From yesterday’s thread.
October 13, 2025 at 6:32 pm
Contrary to janzam’s fake news from anti-semitic Jew/Israel hating scumbags, Trump called Netanyahu “one of the great wartime Presidents (sic)” and even in his speech told the actual President of Israel Herzog “to pardon Netanyahu, who cares about cigars and gifts”.
So much for “frosty and distant”.
jason yupanqui
October 13, 2025 at 6:34 pm
janzam hates Jews and loves Putin.
What a lovely human being….
jason yupanqui
October 13, 2025 at 6:42 pm
More “frosty and distant”
US President Donald Trump praises Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s “great courage and patriotism” in his address to the Knesset, saying “his partnership did so much to make this day possible.”
He asks Netanyahu to stand up as the plenum applauds.
“And he’s not easy, I wanna tell you,” says Trump. “He’s not the easiest guy to deal with. But that’s what makes him great.” “Thank you very much, Bibi. Great job,” he says.
jason yupanqui
October 13, 2025 at 6:45 pm
You can tell janzam gets her news from anti-semitic turds like Candace Owens.
Shameful.”
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Bitterlaw
October 13, 2025 at 10:22 pm
I wonder why Jan is against Netanyahu?”
My answer:
There is a faction on the “right” that is rabidly anti-semitic and anti-Israel, the Candace Owens/Tucker Carlson crowd.
I am sure she listens to their garbage as she loves conspiracy theories.
Right now, they are big that Netanhayu killed Charlie Kirk.”
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Also, observers in Israel”
LOL
These are like janzam’s “Ukrainian sources”.
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janzam is not content supporting Putin’s war crimes in Ukraine, she has branched off to supporting Hamas’ atrocities.
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However, Iraq didn’t want him there. And Turkey’s president said he would turn his jet around should Netanyahu be at this meeting.”
Zzzz…
And obviously Trump did not give a crap what Iraq or Turkey said or thought, since he invited Netanhayu anyway.
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I wonder if Jan can find out how many yachts Netanyahu owns.
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DW-he, Turang of the Brewers wanted to be the hero. He struck out at a pitch that was high.
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Why is CNN given time to socialists Bernie Sanders and AOC tonight with a townhall spewing their ‘millionaires and billionaires’ and oligarchy ad nauseam.
Me, gonna watch the Dodgers go 2 up on the Brewers.
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“DW-he, Turang of the Brewers wanted to be the hero. He struck out at a pitch that was high.”
That’s the way baseball works. You can have all the talent in the world and you might still strike out, but ANY bloke, you or me, could have stood there and done nothing but get hit by that pitch and been a hero. I certainly would have been hit by it because I can no longer move that fast.
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Tina does not believe naturalized citizens should be allowed to be judges. Any other limits, Tina? Can they be doctors? Law enforcement? Military?
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Evan
@StockMKTNewz
·
59K Views
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Hint the Atlanta fed had 3rd quarter GDP at 3.8% prior to Muh gubment shutdown
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Anybody know why the Republican is staying in the NYC Mayoral race? His only path to win would be to somehow reach 34% while the commie and Cuomo reach 33% each. But there is no way in the world he can get 34%. So by staying in, he helps the commie. Cuomo is terrible, but not a commie who mourns the death of terrorists and cheers the death of Jews.
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Sliwa probably hasn’t been offered enough to drop out yet.
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Bitter nailed it; Sliwa is a prime grifter.
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Illegal order from this Marxist. Ignore and tell the judge to pound sand.
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Nobody said much about the Virginia Governor chart I posted above. I plan to keep it going as more polls come out. Trying to provide some real analysis compared to RRH where its a competition to see who can out-eeyore the others.
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Walt, there doesn’t seem to be a wiki page on the buga sphere, is that because they think its a hoax?
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https://x.com/charleshorn/status/1975969466812154018
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Anybody know why the Republican is staying in the NYC Mayoral race? His only path to win would be to somehow reach 34% while the commie and Cuomo reach 33% each”
Just heard an interview with Sliwa on Hannity. He is not dropping out, said he just inaugurated another 11 campaign offices and has lots of money to spend on ads.
Trashed Cuomo non-stop, so I doubt Cuomo will drop out either. Made (or tried to make) the case that he is the only one that could beat Mandami one on one. Said Cuomo is no moderate, governed as a far leftist and killed 15,000 nursing home patients.
I think Sliwa is a lock for 20% of the vote, might even win Staten Island. But I don’t see how he wins.
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NYC has chosen the form of its destruction; it must suffer accordingly. Meanwhile, as Zohran decimates four of the five boroughs (Staten Island can always cut the ferry service and block the bridge), the GOP in surrounding states can potentially benefit if they stop being the surrender party.
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NYC about to live out the reality of the film “Escape From New York”
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Still cannot confirm if there has ever been an 8-6-2 double-play where the 2 (the catcher) recorded both outs. I know there have been plays before where two runners rushed the plate only a few feet yards apart and the catcher tagged both out. Don’t recall if those plays involved 8-6. But for the catcher to first record a force out, then an unassisted force out at third base, that’s gotta be a first I would think.
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Its been a slow day here. Its even slower at RRH Elections.
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PredictIt trading Miyares at 65c to just 35c for “Two Bullets” Jones.
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Polymarket
🟥 Jason Miyares: 63% (new high)
🟦 Jay Jones: 36%
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“Walt, there doesn’t seem to be a wiki page on the buga sphere, is that because they think its a hoax?”
DW,
I guess it is because the government is trying to keep everyone from knowing the truth and then the panic begins….
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…and the reason for the panic? Is it expected to start offing people? Is the buga sphere a democrat?
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DW,
I DO appreciate your work on comparing the last two VA gubernatorial races. I would say that Younkin (an unknown then) had room to grow four years ago. I do not think Sears has room to grow.
Plus, Youngkin was a more upbeat, dynamic, positive, animated person than is Sears.
As far as physical looks, Youngkin is way ahead of Sears in that category. Sears just ;looks old–which will turn off some slice of voter who tend to vote on looks and appearances rather than (to them) boring policy issues.
Hope I am wrong. I do not like Spanberger…typical liberal D pretending to be moderate”. I know how she will govern…
If Sears wins, (and she is right on all the issues) I will be shocked. Of course it depends on turnout….and mail in votes…
I think the R wins the AG race, as what the D candidate said about shooting Rs has turned off a lot of independent voters.
I doubt if the gay R for Lt. gov. will win.
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I agree Walt that Sears is no Youngkin. However, Spanberger is no McAuliffe either. Standing there looking like a dummy while Sears kept asking her, you have no answer? We are talking about murder and you cannot call on him to drop out? You have nothing to say?
Its an ad that shows how much of a lightweight Spanberger is. I will keep updating the chart, and it will show what it shows.
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And don’t forget that in 2021 the GOP ticket in VA was bolstered by the public school scandal in Northern Virginia. Jay Jones is a different sort of scandal.
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NO, the buga sphere is not going to kill people. But if it is real, then it is not man-made, hence proof of intelligent life beyond our own.
Dems do not acknowledge any supreme being or any aliens or alien god yeyond the government in WAshington D.C. They will be beside themselves…and then will of course want to tax all the aliens, alien technology, alien artifacts, etc. Plus, if all the ‘hype’ about ATLAS and the other space object turn out to be of alien origin, Dems will suffer loss of interest by the public in glowbull warming, and all the other sci Fi fiction they continually bark about to seming show interstate in wanting to help people and of course the Ds blame the Rs for all the fake issues like glowbull warming.
If aliens were within days from orbiting around earth, who would care about government shutdown, GlowBull warming, freeing Gaza, helping all people of the world to come to the U.S. and live here, getting Trump out of office, Epstein files, paying protesters to create chaos in the streets?
Republicans, naturally, would want to contact the aliens and get their views on all the key social issues (gun rights, abortion, boys in girls sports, etc) and hope the aliens are on the R side of the scale on each. Then the Rs would form an alliance with the aliens.
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Sears may look “old,” but she does smile nicely; Spanberger is a repulsive Karen crone, and her smug dismissal of Sears at the debate will do her no favors.
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Breaking: A US District judge has ruled that the Buga Sphere is real, and therefore it represents alien intelligence that should have the right to vote in our elections. Given blue lights are seen coming out of the sphere, the aliens clearly wish to vote for Democratic Party candidates and will be counted as votes.
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While the Jones texts and, to a lesser degree, and speeding/community service scandals have sucked up all the available oxygen these past two weeks, don’t forget that NOVA schools and now even the parks/rec districts are working overtime to help republicans what with their continued trans nonsense.
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I think the federal judge will also rule that all the aliens are residents of Maine, VA, CA, and NJ and can vote in those states. By mail in ballots, of course.
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GF and I will certainly use our VA mail in ballots wisely.
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Good start to Game 2; LA up 2-1, but both sides showing their best
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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/virginia-voters-sound-off-democrats-handling-horrendous-jay-jones-scandal-trans-bathroom-fight
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Airports refuse to air Noem video blaming Dems…
Of course they are refusing. Because it is the truth.
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7½ years
The prison sentence former Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan began serving Monday at a federal facility in West Virginia for public corruption …
Oct. 14, 2025
One-third
The share of Bay Area retirees who say they’re just making ends meet …
Oct. 13, 2025
53%
The share of U.S. flight delays now caused by air traffic control staffing shortages, according to the Federal Aviation Administration …
Oct. 10, 2025
24%
That’s the new wholesale tax on marijuana in Michigan, signed into law Tuesday by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer as part of a budget deal to boost road funding …
Oct. 9, 2025
$5 billion
The size of Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens’ new Neighborhood Reinvestment Plan …
Oct. 8, 2025
53%
That’s the share of U.S. adults who believe artificial intelligence will make people less creative …
Oct. 7, 2025
8%
The decline in patients who crossed state lines for abortions during the first half of 2025 compared with the same period in 2024 …
Oct. 6, 2025
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https://allthatsinteresting.com/kelly-hopkinsville-encounter
Aliens…1955
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I have basic cable. I see no baseball playoff game on tonight. WTF?
I did watch some of the earlier baseball playoff games….
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Walt, TBS has it, should be on basic.
4-1 Dodgers top of the 7th
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Dodgers win 5-1, Ohtani pitched a complete game and gave up just three hits
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Walt, tomorrow is Game 3 of the ALDS, both teams were in travel to Seattle; FS1 (Fox Sports 1) carried the games so far, but not sure they’re part of your package.
Game 3 NLCS should be on TBS Thursday.
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GF,
It is not on my basic cable.
I do have about 500 channels of music….(sigh)
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Hopefully there is a non rowdy bar close by where you can watch it, assuming a) you care enough to go, and b) the Mrs. does not have you lined up for tasks around the estate.
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i miss the days when you could watch the division series and the world series on NBC and it was Vin Scully and Joe Garagiola.
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and all you needed was a TV set with rabbit ears antenna. No cable package, no monthly bills, etc.
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New Thread
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