Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
94 responses to “Post-Election Thread. Let the hyperbole begin!”
So hundreds of thousands in WI voted for Voter ID AND the communist who opposes it.
Go figure.
Basically Dane and Milwaukee reverted to the norm.
Dane
Crawford 234k 81%
Schimel 52k 18%
Milwaukee
Crawford 227k 75%
Schimel 77k 25%
You can’t overcome those margins.
Trump got 24% in Dane and 30% in Milwaukee.
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Voter ID only lost in 2 counties.
Dane and Milwaukee, and even so only by 3 points in Milwaukee.
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BTW,
I am not in favor of Musk giving voters $20 each if they go vote. in WI.”
He didn’t give $20 each for voting.
He was giving $20 if you could get someone to vote in WI.
“Easiest money you ever made!” Musk wrote on X. “You don’t even need to be from Wisconsin, you just need to get people in the state to hold a picture of @TeamSchimel can be on a phone/device or paper) in one hand and go thumbs up with the other hand. Every time you do that you get $20 and they get $20. The goal is to build awareness about the election tomorrow, so this offer applies to today and tomorrow.
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Maverick was the better pilot. Sorry, Iceman.
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According to Politico, winning by 14 pts is a “nail-biter”
“And the special election in Florida’s 6th District, a nail-biter for many national GOP operatives given that state Sen. Randy Fine was outraised by progressive challenger Josh Weil 10-to-1, did end up as a Republican win.”
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Trump got 1.7 million votes in WI in 2024.
Schimel got 1.05 million votes in 2025.
Meanwhile Kamala got 1.66 million votes in 2024.
Crawford fto 1.28 million votes in 2025.
You can do the math.
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Dems came back to vote for the commie.
Rs didn’t come back to vote for Schimel.
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Schimel should have changed his last name to Trump. It would have brought MAGA out.
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CNN has a new standard…
Tapper:
“He is going to win, we’re projecting a win for him [Patronis]. But Dana, it’s not a 35 point win.”
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Very sad to hear about Kilmer, Bitter. Way too young. Here’s some good news to balance it out –
Despite the ongoing strength in jobless claims data, fears are growing in the soft data that Friday’s payrolls print might be a game-changer. Today, we get a glimpse of what’s possible as, following last month’s ‘weak’ report, ADP’s Employment shows the US economy added 155k jobs in March (more than the 120k expected and almost double the 77k added in February)…
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I am 57. The older I get, 65 seems young. Walt felt the same way about turning 1 billion.
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Fl from thatt data, zero hedge asks “is Trumps plan working?”
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/recession-narrative-bust-adp-employment-report-shows-jobs-resurgent-march
Service jobs rebounded.
Manufacturing jobs the highest since 10/22.
Wage inflation cooled.
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Bitter, some will say Too Gun, Tombstone, or the Doors were Val Kilmer’s best work. For me, I put Top Secret at the top of the list. We need more zany, non-woke comedy like that. He really seemed to have fun in that flick.
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It was ok. It is interesting when you see a star in an early role and think, their career survived that? Go watch Jennifer Aniston in Leprechaun or Nicholas Cage in Valley Girl.
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Jason wrote – So hundreds of thousands in WI voted for Voter ID AND the communist who opposes it.
Go figure.
Basically Dane and Milwaukee reverted to the norm.
Dane
Crawford 234k 81%
Schimel 52k 18%
Milwaukee
Crawford 227k 75%
Schimel 77k 25%
You can’t overcome those margins.
Trump got 24% in Dane and 30% in Milwaukee.
———-
what’s even more intriguing is the fact that about 100,000 more people voted for the commie judge than voted for voter id. I would think that if you were a rabid lefty coming out for the commie judge, you’d also vote against voter id like a good Democrat following the party’s wishes. Instead, they just left that voter id line blank? Strange
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we’ll just have to agree to disagree on that bitter. Sweet little Jennifer was fabulous in the original leprechaun and Cage nailed that punk vibe in Valley girl. As a young soul in the early 80s, I loved that flick. Johnny are you queer , featured in the movie, was a killer underground song back in the day. Great memories.
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Instead, they just left that voter id line blank? Strange”
Not really. Even in Milwaukee the voter ID only lost by 3 points, so even a lot of Dems voted for it.
So it makes sense another group of them would be ambivalent and leave it blank.
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Another bad result in WI was the school commissioner race.
The woman who won is anti-school choice, she won 53-47 unfortunately.
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But Jas, the Dem party was actively promoting a No on voter id. Why would so many lefties ignore that?
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I think his best role was in The Doors.
I was never a big fan, but I am impressed he banged Cher, Cindy Crawford, Darryl Hannah and Angelina Jolie.
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But Jas, the Dem party was actively promoting a No on voter id. Why would so many lefties ignore that?”
Because its not a winning argument even among Dems.
According to Pew 2024 69% of Dems support voter ID vs. 95% of Rs.
“Majorities in both parties continue to back requiring all voters to show government-issued photo ID to vote.
Same with men in women’s sports. The leadership supports it, but rank and file Dems don’t.
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If that’s the case, Jason, then the GOp should make it a top priority to put every one of those 80/20 issues on the ballot in every election.
As for Val Kilmer’s widely documented sexual activities, it was rumored that his throat cancer was caused by HPV from oral sex and not drinking or smoking. My money is on Cher giving to him, what a skank.
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@EricLDaugh
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In doing an immediate autopsy report on the WI race, a Republican strategist claimed the old law-and-order play book takes a back seat to cultural issues in attracting voters’ votes. Title 9, school choice, voter ID are ones more voters can identify with, and should be amplified more in attempts to get out the vote. He also downplayed the effect of throwing money into races, and suggested that as jurists are no longer politically neutral maybe a judge’s party, R or D, should be included in election literature.
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FLA 2025 post on Val Kilmer can be classified as “too much information”
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If that’s the case, Jason, then the GOp should make it a top priority to put every one of those 80/20 issues on the ballot in every election”
Not sure.
I think the SC election drove the turnout, not the voter ID.
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In a perfect world, instead of announcing more self defeating stupid tariffs and more stupid trade wars that will just increase prices to consumers and damage US relations with allies and trading partners, Trump would announce the US is in favor of free trade, free markets, and free enterprise.
Since Trump believes in none of those things, it won’t happen.
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“Go watch…Nicholas Cage in Valley Girl.”
There are countless “films” from which his career should have nose dived and never recovered. He must have needed the money badly to take every script under the sun.
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Bitter,
“TNT”
BOOM!!
*************
last night I asked about your knee. Should have said leg. Sorry.
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The rod goes through my knee. You covered everything. Cream Soda.
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Elon Musk reveals DOGE’s new target — members of Congress who got ‘strangely wealthy’”
Zzzzzzz…
None of his business, overreach.
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Bitter – sorry to hear about your knee. That stinks. I hope and pray the surgery goes well
Nicolas Cage was not in Valley Girl or Fast Times at Ridgemont High…Nicolas Coppola was (his real name – he changed it because he wanted to “make it on his own”).
Hi everyone, back from the abyss.
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Question: if everyone resigns from the Freedom Caucus (which doesn’t believe in freedom) would it still exist?
Anna Paulina Luna resigns from House Freedom Caucus, says ‘mutual respect’ was ‘shattered’
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, R-Fla., is resigning from the House Freedom Caucus, she announced in a letter to fellow conservatives on Monday.
It’s the latest escalation in her fight against House GOP leaders and a small group of members on the right flank of their conference over the issue of proxy voting. Luna has teamed up with Democrats and several other Republicans on a mechanism aimed at forcing consideration of legislation that allows new parents in the House to vote remotely for 12 weeks around their baby’s birth.”
This moron has now kept the House from voting on other matter for a whole week, because she has a baby and doesn’t want to show up for work.
Mike Johnson:
“A handful of Republicans just joined every House Democrat to take down a rule. This means we can’t take any further action on President Trump’s agenda this week: No SAVE Act No vote to address rogue judges attacking Trump No votes to repeal Biden regulations.”
This is the same idiot who declared there is a NBC video showing Oswald next to JFK’s car so he could not be the shooter.
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Hey Vic, welcome back.
You didn’t miss much.
The Cultists still love Putin and hate Reagan.
Nothing changed.
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Ana Paula Luna is an arrogant self entitled narcissist who thinks her baby is more important than the country and her constituents.
She can afford child care for her baby, while millions of working class people who cannot successfully deal with this issue, but instead chooses to grandstand and interrupt the workings of the House for her own benefit.
Screw her.
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“Elon Musk reveals DOGE’s new target — members of Congress who got ‘strangely wealthy’”
Zzzzzzz…
None of his business, overreach”
Jason doing his Rand Paul government overreach imitation….
Chicon
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Isn’t child care “free” for members of Congress?
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Bl any update on your leg from the fall down the step? I dont remember any updates since. Perhaps I missed it?
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This sucks. Musk is stepping down from DOGE-
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14564071/Elon-Musk-steps-doge-trump-tesla.html
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Fla, the Deep State is a tough opponent.
Chicon
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Musk was set to go next month anyway
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Has judge bozo personally returned the “Maryland Father” (illegal alien)
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Yeah, but for him to go early in light of all the lefty pressure/terrorism is terrible. He is a patriot that should be given a medal for what he’s doing, not the firebombing of his company by lunatics and the leftist media scorn.
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Babylon bee for the win –
A film legend was memorialized today as the nation’s men announced plans to honor Val Kilmer by quoting Tombstone all day long, just like they always do.
With the news of Kilmer’s death breaking late last night, American men collectively banded together to pay tribute to the late performer by doing the same thing they do every other day — communicating almost exclusively through Tombstone quotes.
“Skin that smoke wagon and see what happens,” said mourning Kilmer fan Michael Garrison. “Yeah, we’re all really heartbroken about the loss of Val. We wanted to do something special to pay our respects. We decided the best thing to do wasquote Tombstone all day long, just like we do every day. You’re a daisy if ya do!”
Other Kilmer fans agreed with the sentiment. “I’ve got two guns… one for each of ya,” said Mark Talbot. “It’s a shame to hear about Val Kilmer passing away. He gave the world the greatest gift he could possibly give — his performance as Doc Holliday in Tombstone. It’s our responsibility… our duty… to honor him by doing the same thing we do every day of our lives. Thank you, Val. Rest well, sir. We are all… your huckleberry.”
At publishing time, the nation’s wives issued a collective press release asking their husbands to stop responding to every question with “Say when.”
https://babylonbee.com/news/nations-men-honor-val-kilmer-by-quoting-tombstone-all-day-like-usual
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Not for 6 weeks. Dads get the joke.
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Fla2025-
From “Real Genius”
Dr. Dodd….”Why is that toy on your head?”
Chris Knight (Val Kilmer)….”Because if I wear it any else, it chafes”.
RIP Val Kilmer.
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Tina- I see the surgeon tomorrow. Hopefully, no problem. I did research it and apparently being able to feel a screw below the skin is not abnormal. Thank you for asking.
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Thanks, Bl. Take care
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https://revolver.news/2025/04/the-fugly-truth-3000-faces-dont-lie-the-left-looks-ugly-and-miserable/
”It’s no secret the Left is miserable. You can see it in their faces, literally, hear it in their rage, and feel it in every joyless comment they make online. For them, politics isn’t just a topic—it’s their entire personality. God, family, humor, hobbies? Nah. Their whole identity is wrapped around being angry, offended, and endlessly activated.
Meanwhile, conservatives are out here doing something radical: living life. Smiling. Starting families. Touching grass. Being normal.
And now, a new study validates these differences and says the quiet part out loud: the Right is not only much happier—we’re way better looking, too.
An article published in “Nature” analyzed over 3,300 photos to explore the connection between facial features and political views. The results weren’t too flattering for our angry, homely friends on the Left. Turns out, science isn’t their friend after all.”
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Karoline Leavitt
@PressSec
·
Follow
This “scoop” is garbage.
Elon Musk and President Trump have both *publicly* stated that Elon will depart from public service as a special government employee when his incredible work at DOGE is complete.
**************
Chicon
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Excellent news…..
Laurence Spiewak, CEO of Suerte Tequila, told NBC News that the company will not raise its prices because of the tariffs because “Tequila margins are stronger than ever.”
Chicon
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Chicon, Mexico also backed down from their previously announced “retaliatory on the retaliatory” tariff threat today. –
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/mexico-will-not-enter-tariff-tit-for-tat-with-us-president-says-2025-04-02/
However, Chicon, you do know that your tequila story is fake news. I heard it here that tariffs always result in equivalent price increases to consumers. It has nothing to do with margins, demand elasticity, etc. Stop spreading fake news.
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Fla, I indeed have read that tariffs cause inflation and have no benefits.
Along those lines…..
“A 2024 study on the effects of President Trump’s tariffs in his first term found that they ‘strengthened the U.S. economy’ and ‘led to significant reshoring’ in industries like manufacturing and steel production. A 2023 report by the U.S. International Trade Commission — which analyzed the effects of President Trump’s Section 232 and 301 tariffs on more than $300 billion of U.S. imports — found the tariffs reduced imports from China, effectively stimulated more U.S. production of the affected goods, and had very minor effects on downstream prices.”
“According to the Economic Policy Institute, the tariffs implemented by President Trump during his first term “clearly show[ed] no correlation with inflation” and had only a fleeting effect on overall prices.”
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2025/04/02/white-house-posts-flashback-trump-has-been-talking-about-this-forever-n2654913
Chicon
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Yes. That study comports with all of the data I’ve seen , some of which I’ve previously posted here. However, as Jason correctly points out, the Trump 2.0 retaliatory tariffs are of significantly greater breadth and depth than from the first term. . You know what they say in finance – Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
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From Wikipedia:
Is the Economic Policy Institute conservative or liberal?
Affiliated with the labor movement, the EPI is usually described as presenting a left-leaning and pro-union viewpoint on public policy issues. Since 2021, EPI has been led by economist Heidi Shierholz, the former chief economist of the Department of Labor.
Founders: Robert Reich, Robert Kuttner, Ray Marshall, Lester Thurow, Barry Bluestone, Jeff Faux
President: Heidi Shierholz
A man is judged by the company he keeps – nice company you are hanging with Chicon!
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EPI – Barack Obama’s go-to-guys for 1) estimating the wonders of a $15 miminum wage; 2) projecting the reduction in health care spending from the Affordable Care Act; 3) too many other idiotic analyses to mention.
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So Mexico backed down and the Ontario guy mentioned he would back down?
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yes tina. Doug Ford went from talking about imposing more tariffs on the US to announcing today that he was willing to drop all tariffs, which is exactly what we want to hear –
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Bill doesn’t like EPI. Fair enough.
How about the U.S. International Trade Commission?
Chicon
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It would be nice if Canada dropped all tariffs (or had the same rates as ours), and Mexico.
Be also nice to steal away the Toyota plant from Mexico that built the Tacoma and Corollas. Lots of quality issues with the Tacoma now.
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cc Free passers
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So what if EPI’s objective analysis of trade deficits intersects with the trade policies Trump is attempting to implement! Are people criticizing tariffs not listening to the new investments flowing into the country? Are they not aware of how other countries are beginning to revise their own tariffs ( like mentioned above by Tina & Fla2025), in lieu of Trump following thru with actualizing a reciprocal tariff type of relationship with other countries? Why not at least give a new way of approaching our trade policies a chance before dissing them?
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Chicon, the USITC study is very fair and balanced, confirming that the tariffs reduced U.S. imports of targeted goods, particularly from China, and led to increased domestic production in many of the targeted industries. However, it also noted negative effects, such as slightly higher prices for exporters, importers, and/or consumers, as well as some production decreases in downstream industries reliant on those materials.
Similar results were also found in the NBER study from January 2024.
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This is what all the hubbub is about –
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Fla, it’s almost like inflation is affected by more than tariffs, and the economy is affected by more than inflation.
Chicon
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Spenser Morrison has said tariffs will eventually reduce our trade deficit, while at the same time open up foreign markets to receiving our goods and increasing the probability of trade surpluses.
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I guess I am a globalist, outsourcer and special interest.
I think Trump’s stupid tariffs and stupid trade wars are just another tax on American consumers and a self defeating way to screw over American producers and exporters that depend on foreign commerce.
“Investments flowing into the country”
Zzzzzz….
These trade wars are just a bone thrown to the fat cat union bosses who see protectionism as a way to keep producing obsolete over inflated poor quality products that don’t have to compete on the international market.
It is just a way of rewarding inefficiency, non-competitiveness, and obsolescence.
Tariffs and trade wars are a recipe for making the US a backwater where innovation technological advancement are sacrificed.
The US didn’t become the largest economy in the world by pretending it is an economic island.
Trump and the unions want a free lunch. It will be free now, pay a lot more later.
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Plus, the stories about this or that country folding in the face of Trump’s bullying them is not a “victory” anymore than anything else achieved by coercion and threats.
Countries may end of being coerced into “submission”, but the goodwill towards America and its products will be destroyed, and the consumers in those countries will eventually replace US products with those from our competitors. The investments American companies have made worldwide to promote their products will be wasted as the trader relationships are poisoned.
Trump may think someone “wins” trade wars. He is wrong.
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Elon Musk is not leaving per his tweet. Again, he will go next month when his 120 days is up. I guess trump could renew him, not sure how that works, if he can?
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Fla, the Deep State is a tough opponent.
Chicon”
So is the Chupacabra.
Probably more likely to exist than the Deep State.
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Cramer said not to buy stocks on 3/31. We have had at least two big market moves up.
Cramer with his stock market analysis and the free passers with their “foreign policy” analysis would make a good team. /s
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Affiliated with the labor movement, the EPI is usually described as presenting a left-leaning and pro-union viewpoint on public policy issues. Since 2021, EPI has been led by economist Heidi Shierholz, the former chief economist of the Department of Labor.
Founders: Robert Reich, Robert Kuttner, Ray Marshall, Lester Thurow, Barry Bluestone, Jeff Faux”
Not a surprise that these are the people Chicon thinks should dictate US trade policy.
There is really nothing less “conservative” than trade wars.
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Jason said…”These trade wars are just a bone thrown to the fat cat union bosses who see protectionism as a way to keep producing obsolete over inflated poor quality products that don’t have to compete on the international market.
It is just a way of rewarding inefficiency, non-competitiveness, and obsolescence.”
Translation – Jason wants cheap gym shoes, he doesn’t care if they’re made by slave labor.
Chicon
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I want more illegals, more gridters, more Covid vax, and tariffs imposed solely by other countries on the USA.
-free passer
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Said by nobody at HHR
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off topic, but I highly recommend the documentary “Val” about Val Kilmers life. It’s free on Amazon prime or a few other providers. Very sad but well done.
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Jason wants cheap gym shoes”
Translation: because Chicon can afford expensive gym shoes, he thinks they should be made in America, f–k the less fortunate that couldn’t afford them, let them run barefoot. All those people who shop (and work) at WM, Costco, Target? F–k’em.
I am surprised Chicon hasn’t advocated for Central Planning of all Production yet (maybe a 10 year plan like the USSR used to have) yet.
He will get there.
“slave labor”
Translation: Any product not made by protected, inefficient, obsolete US industries, whose fat cat union bosses contribute hundreds of millions to elect Democrats.
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Finally, some Rs willing to SEND A MESSAGE.
Tariffs are wrong for America.
WASHINGTON – Fifty-one senators, including four Republicans, voted on Wednesday to end President Donald Trump‘s tariff on Canadian goods in a bipartisan rebuke of the administration’s trade policy.”
Btw, is Rand Paul a RINO now? A friend wants to know. (of course, to me, he was always less than a RINO, and even less a conservative)
“Every business interest in my state says we don’t want tariffs,” Paul said. “Tariffs on Canada will threaten us with a recession. It’s a terrible, terrible idea.”
He added that the Republican Party has suffered politically every time it has supported tariffs. When Republicans in Congress and the White House passed the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act in the 1930s, he said, “they were decimated for 60 years. Republicans did not control the House and Senate for 60 years.”
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I will agree with Rand Paul again and then take 10 showers.
“Trade is a good thing. Trade is proportional to prosperity, and so tariffs are bad economically,” he said. “It’s a terrible idea to run a country by emergency where representatives to vote on raising or lowering taxes.”
Paul said tariffs “are bad for the country, bad for prosperity, bad for the economy.”
“Our Constitution was very specific that taxes — tariffs are a tax — taxes originate in the House, come to the Senate and then go the president,” he said. “They don’t just go to the president and no one else. What kind of system would it be if all of our taxes and laws were passed by one person?”
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Jason, your friend Mitch is joining the Maine/Alaska twins to form an alliance with the Dems against tariffs.
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I thought Ron Paul was your friend, Jan.
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Musk reposted a claim from the Conservative page ‘amuse’ on X (formerly Twitter) which stated that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) had found USIP contracts going to Afghanistan’s former chief of protocol, who had been a member of the Taliban, and to the Iraqi League for Youth.
Musk wrote on X: “They deleted a terabyte of financial data to cover their crimes, but they don’t understand technology, so we recovered it.”
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Ron Paul I’ve never paid attention to. His son Rand is someone who I occasionally agree with.
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I meant Rand. Sorry.
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Bitter, when do you think you can go back to work?
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Not sure, Jan. I have been working from home since the accident. Hearings and depositions are virtual since COVID. I would need to be able to take a train to the office so will have to be using a crutch or cane. However, I also have to also be able to get up steps to train. Probably a few weeks away.
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“Does NYC think every action by every President is constitutional or just every action by Trump?”
-Bitterlaw,
Short answer NO and NO.
You asked this question after I posted a comment which referenced the video of Senator Kennedy questioning someone about universal injunctions.
I would like to answer you more completely, but will first need to know if the information given in that video was correct or not.
Did you watch the video that was posted yesterday? Is Senator Kennedy correct that there is no statutory basis for the types of universal injunctions we have seen?
I figure you would be a pretty good person to confirm what he said, since you are a lawyer.
Thanks in advance.
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“Translation:”
-Forget about “slave labor” sneakers, buy a boat! The b*llsh*t is flowing!
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Doug Ford is saying they will take all tariffs off?
Isn’t ZERO tariffs the goal here? Wouldn’t that make for FREE TRADE?
Asking for a friend……
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I would also say – in the tariff “Liberation Day” press conference, Trump pushed in a big way his BigBeautifulBill! That is a YUGE item that must be passed this year!
Get to work, Congress!!
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I did not watch the video.
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Ok – then why comment on what I wrote?
Did you see those numbers about the universal injunctions?
Seems to me that there are some disparities that need a higher power(Supreme Court) to rectify, if what Senator Kennedy said was correct.
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Ok – then why comment on what I wrote?
I didn’t on this thread. All I said was I did not watch the video.
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TNT
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