Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
69 responses to “Weekend warmup. 81 degrees in Philadelphia? Not ready for that.”
It won’t be more than like 76 here.
GFY.
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Candidate for the Darwin Awards?
Doylestown, Pennsylvania:
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Bitter has a screw loose?
Who knew?
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I was waiting for that one. Well played.
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Polymarket odds on Canada election now show the Liberals 2-1 favorites.
Thanks Trump.
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Wisconsin SC race?
9-1 for the Dems
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Odds still favor the R in the FL special election.
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The Leftist sweet 16….
https://thefederalist.com/2025/03/25/leftist-march-madness-meet-the-bitter-16/
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Hillary writes op-ed in the NYT attacking Trump for being careless with classified information.
I guess the only thing more bizarre would be Bunu penning an op-ed here attacking anti-semitism.
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“Montecristo”
THAT IS WHAT MY GUESS WAS !
I said ‘Montenegro’.
Damn autocorrect.
******************
A wife was preparing to fry up dinner.
She tells her hubby to bring her the can of shortening, but he is not listening and involved in something else.
Says to her husband for the THIRD time.
“MONTE! Crisco!”
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Dammm…
GARCIA-NAVARRO: This isn’t, you know, Cowboys and Indians and calling for scalps. This is actually what most people would think was, if someone has behaved in a way that puts American lies at risk, they should be held accountable for it.
JENNINGS: You don’t have to make up hypotheticals, Lulu, about if this happened in a Democratic administration. Let me take you back in time. In a Democratic administration, the secretary of defense oversaw a disastrous military operation in which 13 servicemen died in Afghanistan. Then, to try to make up for it, they vaporized like seven children in a drone strike. Then, later, the secretary of defense went AWOL and didn’t even tell the commander-in-chief.
GARCIA-NAVARRO: This is a completely different thing that you’re talking about!
JENNINGS: You don’t have to come up with a hypothetical, Lulu, because the bar is apparently very high for dismissing a secretary of defense. “
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Prediction: Hegseth gone by Friday. Dunno re replacement. Cotton?”
Who made this prediction:
Bill Kristol
Michael Steele
Eric Ericsson
No cheating.
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my guess is Steele
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Administration complying with order to pay USAID contractors for work COMPLETED.
Tina hardest hit.
17, 2025, as made applicable through the Minute Order of March 24, 2025, and provide updates regarding their processing of payments to foreign assistance funding recipients for work completed prior to February 13, 2025.
processed since March 18, 2025 was 161, and the total number of such payments by Defendants to non-Plaintiffs processed since March 18, 2025 was 5,690. In sum, Defendants have therefore processed 5,851 payments between March 18 and March 26, which amounts to approximately 975 payments per business day, well above this Court’s metric.
314, and the total number of such payments which remain to be processed for non-Plaintiffs is 5,750. There are therefore over 6,000 payments remaining to be processed.
payments to Plaintiffs have presented particular challenges precluding faster processing: More time has been necessary to process the remaining payments to Plaintiffs than Defendants estimated in the March 19, 2025 status report because agency personnel are working with funding recipients to address transaction-specific details (such as duplicate invoice submissions, billing errors, and
the need to confirm that goods or services were delivered or rendered).
payments is as follows: Defendants expect to process the remaining payments to Plaintiffs by April 10, 2025, and the remaining payments by the last week of April 2025″
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Kristol
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Walt will like this…
RFK Jr. Tells WV Governor He Needs to Lose a Few Pounds: ‘You Look Like You Ate Governor Morrisey’
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Whoops, I thought he was talking about Senator Justice.
HE is the one who looks like he ate Governor Morrisey.
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”Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) is privately proposing articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, National Security Advisor Michael Waltz and CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Axios has learned.”
I can never get used to the vicious, unrelenting tactics rationalized and employed by the progressive left. How they embellish issues, lie and cheat is beyond the pale….and, seemingly get away with it among certain susceptible segments of the population.
https://www.axios.com/2025/03/27/hegseth-waltz-ratcliffe-impeachment-ilhan-omar
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Stuck in the house. Watching another series about women in real prison. Some valuable lessons.
1. Drugs F up your life.
2. If you are doing drugs as a mom, you suck as a parent.
3. Not many pretty women in prison.
4. Guards are really thorough in strip searches and you do not want to see these women naked.
The main sponsor of the show is St. Jude’s hospital. Seeing sick children is depressing but I hope for the best.
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Something odd with the release of the signal gate chat. Hegseths chats are not apparently time stamped?
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I put that in ? I didn’t read the chats from the Atlantic spy.
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Great VDH tariff piece Fla2025!
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Tina, it seems to me like signalgate is nothing more than an orchestrated hit piece to snuff out Hegseth, and anyone else in intelligence they can take out.
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Trump’s tariffs are going to help elect Leftists in Canada. They are a tax on American consumers and businesses. Keep applauding them.
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I guess we can keep on going where we’ve been going —-> layered with waste and fraud in our government expenditures, having a debt to GDP ratio so lopsided that no government has pulled out of, having unfair trade tariffs/taxes with most other countries leaving us with trade deficits and others with surpluses, having unsustainable SS and Medicare …..that’s where some here seem to accept, in lieu of possibly ticking off our neighboring countries.
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1,099 Views
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Who pays the tariffs, Jan? Not Canada. Not Mexico. Not any other country.
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bitter wrote – who pays the tariffs, Jan
———
According to Costco and Walmart, the Chinese exporters and suppliers will be eating the tariffs (see below article link). The Chinese tariffs went into effect on Feb 4 and since then we’ve had multiple inflation reports (CPI, PPI) and all show declining inflation, just like in President Trumps first term after he imposed tariffs. Let’s revisit this in a year and see if Trumps plan to impose reciprocal tariffs has caused our prices to increase or if it was an effective negotiating tool to get our allies to reduce their exorbitant tariffs on US goods. You know, like the 258% tariffs imposed by Canada on our agricultural exports. I know, I know. Your main concern is a liberal getting elected in Canada and not helping our farmers, like a good globalist RINO, LOL!
https://qz.com/costco-chinese-suppliers-trump-tariffs-walmart-retail-1851770987
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You really are stupid enough to think American interests end at the shoreline. Tell me how you are any different than the Chinese and other nations that support tariffs. Did you join the AFL-CIO or just adopt their trade policies?
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Trump is literally a RINO but the Cult won’t admit it.
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Nah, I’m just not as dumb as a Philly lawyer who thinks he knows more than Dr. Victor David Hansen and cares more about who is PM of Canada than our American farmers
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Maybe Zelenskyy knew something….
https://redstate.com/wardclark/2025/03/29/blowup-in-russia-limo-in-putins-personal-fleet-explodes-burns-n2187269
Chicon
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Is the U.S. better off with a conservative or liberal Canadian government? This should be good.
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Is the us better off with 258% tariffs on agricultural products? This should be good
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Hansen is an expert on classics and military history. Not economics or trade policy. I will defer to him to on the Pelloponnian War. Not trade and tariffs.
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and what are your expertise on economics and trade policy. Sorry, I’ll take Hansen over a Philly lawyer any day
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It’s interesting that the anti-tariff case focuses solely on prices paid on goods imported to the US. I’d be glad to read something that at least acknowledges the economic benefit of the several trillion dollars being invested in the US (and the jobs that result).
Chicon
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FLA, janzam, and Chicon,
I guess you really are just as stupid as Bitter says. ANY tariff:
1 raises the price paid by consumers for the good being imported
2 allows domestic producers to increase production, making them more profits
3 reduces the quantity of goods brought into the US – this only hurt overseas manufacturers if they are unable to sell their products anywhere in the world.
The cost to consumers (1) is always greater than the benefit to US firms (2). Therefore the tariff is a money losing endeavor for the US. Period. Enc of stury.
Victor Davis Hanson may know a few things about history, but he is an idiot when it comes to economics.
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Raising tariffs in an attempt to ‘punish’ foreign countries is laughably stupid – it is like shooting yourself in the foot and then saying to your trading partners “See how much that hurts? If you don’t stop these imports I will shoot myself in the other foot.”
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Regime change time.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/03/zelensky-defies-us-emboldened-euro-globalists-ukrainian-leader/
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The grifter has defaulted on repaying the loans and is now against the mineral deal for the millionth time.
He must have gotten a new batch of drugs
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Bills , what’s with calling people names for expressing an opinion you disagree with? You’re better than that. Trump imposed tariffs his first term and inflation decreased on average his whole term. Chinese tariffs went into effect 2 months ago, major retailers are squeezing Chinese suppliers to eat the cost and inflation for those goods hasn’t increased yet. Eventually, reciprocal tariffs, like the ones being threatened by President Trump, may cause prices to go up or it may be a tool for the President to get countries to lower their tariffs on American exports before he withdraws them. Let’s see how it plays out. That’s all people are saying. No need to get infantile with the name calling.
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Regime change time.
Putina gets to choose Ukraine’s leaders? I thought she deferred to Putin on that.
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Fla – What it is about a tariff (raising the price of imported goods) that causes you to think it will cause inflation to fall? How does raising prices lower the cost of goods?
The answer – it doesn’t.
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Look at the components of the CPI – the market basket of goods whose prices are measured to gauge inflation. Which of those items do you think relates to Chinese imports?
The cost of housing? (40 % of the total CPI market basket); Food and beverages? (15%); Transportation? (17%)
Do you really think that raising the cost of the crap we buy from China makes prices in any of these categories go down?
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I don’t mean to be totally offensive, but it is hard to remain civil when people regurgitate the same nonsense week after week, month after month.
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BIllW,
did inflation rise or fall after President Trump imposed tariffs in his first term?
Did the prices of the products effected by those products materially increase afterwards during Trumps first term?
Did we see price increases at Walmart and Costco , among other Chinese heavy. Importers after Trump imposed his tariffs 2 months ago and after they demanded the Chinese suppliers eat those tariffs?
Answer to all above, BillW in no. Will that continue again? Who knows but I’d like to see how this plays out and if the reciprocal tariffs are just a negotiating tool to cause the other countries to lower their tariffs
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Bill says…I guess you really are just as stupid as Bitter says. I guess it was just a matter of time…Lincoln Project types are angry people.
Bill’s the same guy who thought all the litigation around Trump’s agenda would wrap up in “days and weeks, not months and years”. Perhaps he know more about economics than law.
Chicon
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no offense taken billw. I just think people here tend to loose their civility when discussing issues and opposing viewpoints unlike if we did this in person.
I totally get your point, by the way and understand where your coming from.
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Bill sez….”I don’t mean to be totally offensive, but it is hard to remain civil when people regurgitate the same nonsense week after week, month after month.”
You don’t?
Of course you do. You’re no different.
Chicon
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Inflation will be reduced by
More endless wars
Supporting the grifter
Buying all things from the Ccp.
-Free passer
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Fla – In the first place, your data is incorrect. Inflation did not fall during the first Trump adminstration – the price level increased steadily throughout his term – until the Covid shutdown wrecked the economy.
Since your data is incorrect, your analysis cannot possibly be right.
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I’d be interested in seeing Bill’s response to this from earlier. Any economic policy has impact on more than one measure. Can you add this in?
“It’s interesting that the anti-tariff case focuses solely on prices paid on goods imported to the US. I’d be glad to read something that at least acknowledges the economic benefit of the several trillion dollars being invested in the US (and the jobs that result).”
Chicon
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The free passers may not be able to get Covid vax #20 after all.
MAHA: Dr. Peter Marks, the FDA’s chief vaccine regulator, acknowledged a massive spike in adverse event reports linked to the COVID-19 vaccines—yet the agency persisted in branding them “safe and effective.” RFK Jr. just dismissed him.
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sorry BIllw. The average inflation rate during President Trump’s first term was 1.9% each year, measured as the 12-month change ending each January., falling below below the annual fed fund target inflation rate. I should have been more specific for you. Moreover, the prices of the goods subject to his tariffs did not materially rise . This is a fact. Check it out. Also, it is a fact that the Chinese goods subject to the new tariffs 2 months ago have not increased and the major retailers are making the Chinese exporters eat those tariffs.
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https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2024/10/12/donald-trump-was-the-president-of-deflation-yes-actually-lower-prices/
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No evidence that trumpstariff (First term) causes prices to rise aka inflation.
No evidence that tariff threats caused Muh prices to rise in Jan or Feb.
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The free passers may not be able to get Covid vax #20 after all.
Name anybody at HHR who wants 20 COVID injections. We’ll wait.
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No evidence that tariff threats caused Muh prices to rise in Jan or Feb.
Threats don’t cause prices to rise. Tariffs cause prices to rise. Both can true.
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Tina, apparently tariffs are the only thing that will impact the economy. I wonder what will happen to inflation if the price of oil drops another ten bucks because of increased supply?
What will be the impact on inflation of a large reduction in government regulation?
What is the economic impact of thousands of jobs being added to the economy because companies move plants or offices to the US?
Is it good for national security for the US to makes steel? How about aluminum? Make drugs? Produce natural resources? What is the economic impact of having the ability to do those things?
I think someone who fancies himself an expert in economics should be able to address these issues to some degree.
Chicon
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The free passers ignore energy price reductions and they hate increasing domestic supply as well as increasing domestic production.
It’s a room full of Deadenders in love with their imported (Ccp) goods, foreign made cars, as well as endless wars and illegals.
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As chicon noted, cutting regulations is also an important component to inflation.
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Every car I have owned since 1985 has been a Buick, Ford or Jeep. Nobody has been tougher than I have regarding illegals. It is the Cult that retreats from the world.
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C’mon, Bitter, Trump’s engaging with the world to a greater degree than Biden, and far more than would an isolationist. I get you don’t like his approach to Ukraine and to tariffs, but that doesn’t mean he’s withdrawing.
Chicon
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Declaring trade wars against the world is not productive engagement with the world.
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BillW wrote – Fla – In the first place, your data is incorrect. Inflation did not fall during the first Trump adminstration – the price level increased steadily throughout his term – until the Covid shutdown wrecked the economy.
Since your data is incorrect, your analysis cannot possibly be right.
——————
BillW, I just had a quick chance to review the data further and I’m sorry to break it to you but you are incorrect and my data is right. Not only did the average inflation rate fall to 1.9% during his full first term, below the federal reserve target inflation rate of 2%, but the monthly inflation rate also decreased after President Trump imposed his tariffs during his first term as I said. For example, During his first term, President Trump imposed tariffs on Chinese goods on March 22, 2018. The US monthly CPI held steady at .04% in April and May 2018 (May was the first full month of pricing after they were imposed), then decreased below that .04% monthly rate as follows-
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NT
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