Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
164 responses to “Pennsylvania counts and counts….”
first
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Wake up, slackers.
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Only way to stop this is to sic HHR’s in-house lawyer on them. A chance to show them he’s the a-hole he claims to be.
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29,334 ahead
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https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov
It is supposed to be updated regularly.
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I work across the street from City Hall. I will go over and yell, “Knock it off.”
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You need to add “OR ELSE”
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According to this about 10k provisionals were counted in Philadelphia, and Casey is winning them 5.5 x 1. The good news is the 3 deadenders are getting about 8% of the provisionals, much higher than their overall vote.
IF that is half of the provisionals in Philly then Casey will only net about 6500 more votes.
https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/general/countyresultsvm?officeId=2&districtId=1&countyName=PHILADELPHIA&electionid=105&electiontype=G&IsActive=1&districtName=
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jasonyupanqui47
November 13, 2024 at 9:29 am
Statewide so far Casey won the provisionals 17k to 10k, far from the “76%” the Casey campaign says Fetterman got.
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29,309 ahead
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Silverhack discovers that Rs were nicer to him than Dems…
And there was an asymmetry. Republicans are generally happy when you agree with them partway or half the time. Admittedly, the sorts of Republicans who encounter our work are not a representative sample, probably being on the moderate side — though you can find plenty of Trump supporters in the Silver Bulletin comments section.
Democrats, however — and here, I’m not referring so much to Silver Bulletin subscribers but in the broader universe online — often get angry with you when you only halfway agree with them. And I really think this difference in personality profiles tells you a little something about why Trump won: Trump was happy to take on all comers, whereas with Democrats, disagreement on any hot-button topic (say, COVID school closures or Biden’s age) will have you cast out as a heretic. That’s not a good way to build a majority, and now Democrats no longer have one.
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BL- I was in Philly several years ago for some training. I was on the outskirts somewhere, little time to sightsee. My last evening there I decided to at least get a look at Independence Hall, snap a pic or two. My GPS had me going around in circles, it was getting dark and my vehicle started to overheat. Where I was didn’t seem to be the best area so I aborted my mission. I do recall being amazed and relieved at the density of law enforcement vehicles in the area. Seemed like it was 2-3 per block. This was 2010.
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Is this election denial?
A friend wants to know.
I’m pissed that she conceded.
@potus said we have to accept the results. No we don’t. Trump and his goons rigged this election so he can avoid jail and so he can implement Project 2025. No one can convince me otherwise.”
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Its worse than that jason, she conceded to “Hitler” the “fascist!”
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On social media the election deniers keep saying where did Biden’s 81 million votes go?
Someone wrote:
“Well, you can’t ask where they went before answering where they came from…”
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Jeff – You should come back. If you do, let me know.
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Joy Reid said Kamala ran a “flawless” campaign, and that it could not have been run any better.
Haha…flawless? How about the glaring flaw of picking a creepy clown for veep instead of Shapiro for a start?
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Secretary of Defense has “access to our nuclear weapon”? Who knew?
“Democratic Rep. Dan Goldman of New York told CNN’s Erin Burnett, “I’m shocked. And this is exactly what we worried about, and we warned about Donald Trump, which is that he is going to appoint unqualified loyalists to shape the government into his own personal fiefdom.” Goldman added, “I appreciate Mr. Hegseth’s service in our armed forces but being a serviceman, it does not make you qualified to lead the department of defense and to have access to our nuclear weapons.”
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Jeff – You should come back. If you do, let me know.”
Right, Bitter knows where Good Philadelphia is, he won’t steer you wrong.
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29,312 ahead
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Thanks, BL. If and when, I’ll give you a heads up.
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Begich is in excellent shape. 38,000 votes counted yesterday and Peltola only gained 583 votes. they estimate maybe 32,000 votes left. Begich is up 9,550, and he should gain at least 4,000 votes during the RCV reallocation based on the earlier analysis of counted votes by cinyc at RRH.
https://alaskabeacon.com/2024/11/12/nick-begich-nears-u-s-house-election-victory-as-more-alaska-ballots-are-counted/
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Hovde in Wisconsin is alleging likely vote fraud in Milwaukee. Hopefully there is some James O’Keefe undercover video???
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“By ERIC TUCKER Updated 9:48 AM EST, November 13, 2024
WASHINGTON (AP) — A man who worked for the U.S. government has been charged with leaking classified information assessing Israel’s earlier plans to attack Iran, according to court papers filed Wednesday.
The man, identified as Asif William Rahman, was arrested by the FBI this week in Cambodia and was due to make his first court appearance in Guam.”
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Can a flawful candidate run a flawless campaign?
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will he appear before it tips over?
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Just think of the bloodbath if Harris had NOT run a flawless campaign.
‘Probably would have lost ME, NJ, IL, VA, MN and NM at least.
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lol, that was my line, Vic. They better hurry.
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i saw that joy reid video. She makes Tucker Carlson seem like a centrist. Part of me wonders if it’s a schtick to enhance her reputation on the left, and solidify her job, or does she really believe the crazy crap that comes from her mouth.
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So heres a question to ponder today…How would other replacement candidates have fared?
Whitmer?
Newsome?
Butinbut?
Abrams?
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btw Bitter Columbia 76, Lehigh 75. I think that makes you happy right. You’re a Lafayette guy
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Trump to house gop. Figure something out, I may have to run in 2028.
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None would have won, all too beholden to the far left and would have had the same issues as Kamala.
A generic centrist Dem might have had a chance, but there really aren’t any. Shapiro might have faked it but too Jewish for the Dem base. The KY Governor might have faked it but not enough name recognition.
The magnitude of the win makes me think the Dems didn’t have anyone with a winning message.
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”Only way to stop this is to sic HHR’s in-house lawyer on them. A chance to show them he’s the a-hole he claims to be.”
I wouldn’t expect much out of Bitter if I were you. He represented me in my case against Lisa.
I got completed screwed. Word is he was providing her some Pro Boner work on the side.
Stinkin Bastard !!!!
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Vic – Any day Lehigh loses is a good day.
Lafayette Class of 1990.
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Wha’cha gonna do Chuck Schumer when Hulk-a-mania runs wild on you?
https://x.com/i/status/1856719698731184239
HULK HOGAN for US SENATE!
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I thought it was Kim who sued you. Nobody wanted the lisab case.
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Better
Same
Worse
Worse
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Biden about to welcome HITLER to the White House. What’s the matter with Biden, is he nuts!?
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I thought it was Kim who sued you. Nobody wanted the lisab case.
Yes, Kim.
See, I was so traumatized by that case, I can’t even remember her name.
I hope you are proud of yourself, Bitter !!!!!
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Wow, Scooter put the moves on Lisab too?
He is one forward A-hole.
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Timken was my pick when Vance ran….I hope she is the pick
https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-jd-vance-as-ohio-senator?tid=1731515550640
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Polymarket back up to 98% for McCormick….so little faith in the steal…
https://polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-us-senate-election-winner?tid=1731515615359
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DOOCY ON WHITE HOUSE MEETING: Trump is notorious for talking too much. Biden is notorious for saying nothing.
·
9,197 Views
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No signed Maga hat for Biden.
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RICK SCOTT lost on the first ballot for Senate Majority leader. Too bad.
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That is too bad. We will get Mitch II.
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Sen. Thune gets it.
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Mitch II
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Breaking: After EIGHT long days of counting, Arizona has reached 95% reported, the threshold most states reached after 4 hours of counting.
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Lisa Murkowski must be thrilled.
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the bufoon.
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Bufoone
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Thune has attained a special status now that Tina has named him. Well done, Tina.
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Thune will be fine, if he supports Trump.
Chicon
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Trump now past 75.6 million votes…leading harris in the national popular vote by 2.1, 50.2 to 48.1.
Would be great if this margin holds, but a lot of CA and west coast still to count.
And it would be awesome if TRUMP could do something BILL CLINTON never did, which is get 50% of the vote nationally.
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McCormick 29,337 ahead
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Clinton did run against Perot twice which held down his total
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Yes and its always been a debate who the Perot voter would have voted for, or not voted had Perot not run.
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Zzzzzzzz
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No third party candidate takes from only one side. Clinton would have easily cleared 50% against Dole without Perot. This article claims he would have gotten 53% against HW Bush in 92.
https://split-ticket.org/2023/04/01/examining-ross-perots-impact-on-the-1992-presidential-election/
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Agreed. He nearly got there against Dole+Perot, and certainly would have had Perot not run. But its still true that he never got 50%.
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and another drop:
29,107 ahead
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Silver lining the Thune choice: Message sent that Trump is not going to have free rein. If the electorate were to perceive that, we might see the pendulum swing the other way in mid-terms.
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I think Thune will be fine. To be honest, it’s probably the best thing for Trump long term, having Thune over Scott. First of all, wasn’t it Scott who unilaterally released his “plan” which I think cost us seats in 2022.
Second, by having Thune there, rather than Scott, it provides a check and balance for Trump. Some of his more outlandish things may not get through with Thune.
More importantly, the Senate is a collegial body, designed to be a body that is built around consensus and working together. it is not meant to be a rubber stamp. There is a reason the framers made the election of Senators for six years. They are “thinkers” not “reactors”…
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Counting was supposed to end yesterday. Right now, it would be an automatic recount.
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I was ok with Thune or Cornyn, looks like Cornyn only lost by 5 votes on the second round.
Those that call Thune a RINO are astounding hypocrites, Thune has been an actual Republican AND conservative for about 30 years more than Trump.
Thune understands the Senate and won’t let it turn into a circus, which I think is what would have happened with Rick Scott.
And it is good that there is a message here than Trump is not going to have free reign, Thune is neither a protectionist nor an isolationist.
Musk has been perfect so far in this election cycle, but he ended that good run yesterday with his “Thune is the choice of the Democrats” BS. As the R caucus proved, Thune is actually the choice of elected Republicans.
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they look friendly together.
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That is too bad. We will get Mitch II.”
Fine with me.
Mitch McConnell has been a great leader for Rs in the Senate for decades, if Thune can emulate him we can be very thankful.
McConnell spent decades outfoxing the Dems as both Majority and Minority leader. He is responsible for a huge amount of wins for conservatives over the years.
And thanks to him, we don’t have Merrick Garland on SCOTUS and have a 3 seat conservative majority, the value of which cannot be even close to being quantified.
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People are remarking on how big the fire is in the fireplace.
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!
Maybe, Biden got the signed Maga hat after all?
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House R number odds on Polymarket
220 24%
221 43%
222 28%
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I hope its 222
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LOL
https://x.com/JoeyMannarinoUS/status/1856738777802162211
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Tina hates all Republicans. She would have turned on any Majority Leader if they dared to say good morning to a Democrat.
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With Tina you are only one statement and one vote from becoming a RINO traitor.
No one is safe.
Well, only the Mother of all RINOS is safe, he gets a permanent pass….maybe.
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Mitch darn near got Larry Hogan over the finish line.
#genius
Chicon
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Jason,
Those odds are close to saying Begich is a lock and Duarte and Steel are 50-50 and the rest are Dem locks. that would work out to
220 25%
221 50%
222 25%
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I believe CA-45 will hold on and we will get to 222. I also think the 800 vote lead in Iowa will hold up
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Quemala “smuggled” $500,000 to Al un sharpton s “non profit.”
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Would that be 223?
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Breaking – Tulsi to be head of the DNI.
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IA-1 margin is 0.20%. Plus there is no automatic recount there, so the Dem will have to pay.
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No, DDHQ called IA-1 days ago
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Most of the Scott vote went to Cornyn.
Whatever that means.
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Actually I am fine that Scott lost. I don’t think he is the right guy for that job.
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Only 27,985 ahead. So much for counting being done yesterday.
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27,953
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And now Trump is ahead in PA only 1.8. Two days ago it was 2.1.
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And the Philly number keeps saying only 93% complete. For the Senate race only. The POTUS race it says 95%
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John Thomas, Leila Hazou and Marty Selker have an astounding 180k votes between them.
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If McCormick wins, we owe this woman and her platform eternal gratitude
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Matt Gaetz for Attorney General.
That’s gonna make some heads explode.
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ugh. He shouldn’t be a dog catcher, but at least he’s out of the house, which is a good thing.
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I just read that. What are his qualifications for being AG other than be a self-centered egotistical self righteous douche?
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Horrible pick. I hope enough Rs vote against him and he is not confirmed. He is a complete moron.
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I will be writing McCormick a letter to not confirm him.
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“And thanks to him, we don’t have Merrick Garland on SCOTUS and have a 3 seat conservative majority, the value of which cannot be even close to being quantified.”
-Ok, we can agree on this.
Of course, there is verifiable evidence that Mitch did his job here!
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The Gaetz nomination will be an all out war. I’d be surprised if he makes it through.
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30% of McCormick’s lead from a few days ago is now gone.
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“Mitch McConnell has been a great leader for Rs in the Senate for decades, if Thune can emulate him we can be very thankful.”
-Seriously? A leader?
How?
Newt Gingrich was a leader back in the early 90’s……and then let his ego get in the way, along with many House members wanting to get “their share” of the always-growing pie.
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I hope all the deep red counties in PA are shaking every tree to find curable ballots for McCormick. They are going to need them.
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“McConnell spent decades outfoxing the Dems as both Majority and Minority leader. He is responsible for a huge amount of wins for conservatives over the years.”
-Have you taken a look at the size of the federal budget, deficit, along with the quality of governance coming out of Washington D.C.?
If this is “outfoxing the Dems” then God help us if we ever get someone “less of a leader” than Mitch.
Dear Lord, please send some sanity to the middle of PA where llamas congregate.
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Gaetz hated by both sides of aisle, along with the mainstream liberal press in Washington D.C……….the place where deficits are upwards of $35 trillion and counting……..but Gaetz is the problem.
I’d say that Trump should get his people in, just like I will work with ThuneTheBufoone
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Source in room where House Republicans are waiting to start leadership elections tells me there were AUDIBLE GASPS when Rep. MATT GAETZ was announced as President-elect Trump’s pick for Attorney General.
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The hardliners who wanted Scott will go along and work with Thune. I get it.
Let’s see if Trump gets Gaetz in, and if the Thune/Mitch-types support him in that decision.
Always seems to be 1-way with the Establishment-types….
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Matt Gaetz is a controversial choice for such an important administrative slot of AG. I know most of you don’t like him. His pluses are he comes from a red, Republican governed state and has been loyal to the president through the highs and lows. I don’t think he’s a “moron,” like many of you called Vance at the get go. However, he is brash, more than willing to create chaos in order to drive a goal home. IMO, the DOJ does need to be thinned out and restructured. But, Goetz might go too far.
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Gets Gaetz out of the House where he didn’t always act in the best interests of the party or the nation, in my opinion.
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Gummi on X
Took me a second but I got it…sorry it took so long
This is a throw away nomination…he’s not meant to be confirmed
He’s there to draw all the ire of the media and traditional conservatives so that candidates like Hegseth get through
The Senate always rejects at least one nominee
It’s a point of institutional pride
Trump just trolled them by giving them an exploding whoopie cushion of a nominee
There is zero chance that Matt Gaetz will be AG
There’s no way
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And Trump’s evil robot hand signed all spending bills from 2017 to January 20, 2021.
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Personally, I would not have picked him, but the President should get his picks, unless we see clear reasons why he should not get confirmed.
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Scooter, I was thinking the same thing. Gaetz takes the fire and the others more easily skate through.
For the folks here, who is a good pick for AG?
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“And Trump’s evil robot hand signed all spending bills from 2017 to January 20, 2021.”
-Always stated that was his biggest fault…….did you miss those posts, Bitterlaw.
Of course, the “really conservative, small-government Republicans” like Paul Ryan and Mitch wrote those spending bills and sent them to the President…….or is there a different method that Schoolhouse Rock didn’t do a show on?
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“For the folks here, who is a good pick for AG?”
-Guy from Missouri or Paxson from Texas would be my choices
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27,983 ahead
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A state AG is the best choice IMO. I don’t want more special elections in the House or Senate.
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on another subject, after running numbers I believe Trump will end up with about 77M votes and Kamalawannalaya will end up with about 75M votes.
A 2M vote win in the electoral college, for a Republican, and especially Trump, is something I never thought I would see.
And yes, had it been Biden, Trump would have been approaching or surpassed 400+ electoral votes
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“A 2M vote win in the electoral college, for a Republican, and especially Trump, is something I never thought I would see.”
-Yup, amazing!
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Picks dealing with military no higher than colonel, working out so far. NO GENERALS, unless had actual combat experience.
One pick I do not get – Noem at DHS.
I thought we were supposed to sick the dogs on the bad people, not kill the dogs……OK, it had to be said.
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Lol, an episode of The View just broke out on HHR.
Chicon
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A few more votes just trickled in for the Rep in IA-01. Lead now 802 votes
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hey, if that were the case, our viewership would go up. Ill be the good looking one on the panel…whose Whoopi?
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Are any of the women on the view hearing impaired? If so, I’ll be that one.
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Biden’s beotchs favorite Senator, Murkowski, says that gaetz is not a serious candidate.
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27,947 ahead
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I am torn on Gaetz. He is a boorish jerk. Sometimes it takes a boorish jerk. I guess we will see if he can make his case and get approved. If he made too many enemies needlessly, then he will get shot down and have only himself to blame. If he makes it, I will hope he does a good job. If he doesn’t make it, I won’t feel too sorry for him.
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Well, it appears he’ll get at least one vote.
JUST IN: Senator Markwayne Mullin indicates he is open to voting for Matt Gaetz as Attorney General.
The comment from Mullin comes after he has spoken out publically against Gaetz.
Tapper: Are you going to vote for Matt Gaetz?
Mullin: I completely trust President Trump’s decision-making on this…
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Merrick Garland has been a disastrous AG. There are some pretty prominent Republicans who voted for him, including the new Senate Majority Leader. Might difficult to explain a Yea vote for Garland and not one for Gaetz.
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27,750
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And its headed to a recount, where Dem judges will ensure Casey wins.
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So does anyone know if TODAY was supposed to be the last day to find new PA votes like it was supposed to be YESTERDAY?
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and another 1200 votes just evaporated in McCormick’s lead
26,531 ahead
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And CNN continues to show Philly only 93% reported in.
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And with that a full ONE-THIRD of McCormick’s lead just two days ago, has been evaporated, without Philly apparently admitting they are using up any of what they have left.
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I hope Thune won’t help get Gaetz approved.
I don’t see how he gets 50 votes even if Rs have 53.
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Biden’s beotchs favorite Senator, Murkowski, says that gaetz is not a serious candidate.”
I agree with Murkowski
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“And Trump’s evil robot hand signed all spending bills from 2017 to January 20, 2021.”
Hilarious.
But Chuck Schumer’s bitch NYC sold out his “conservative” principle because after all he will sell ANY of them if it is to shill for Trump.
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Personally, I would not have picked him, but the President should get his picks”
Actually, no, it is the job of the Senate to approve his picks or not, nothing says “he should get his picks”
And hopefully in this case they will do their job.
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
REPORT: “Trump is taunting his critics with three highly controversial picks for three of the most important jobs in the land” – Axios Gaetz, Gabbard and Hegseth.
·
24.7K Views
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There are 82,000 votes left according to NBC.
IF they all counted AND Casey got 70% he would net 57400 and McCormick would net 24600.
Add that to his lead 26500 and he loses.
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Elon Musk to Adam Schiff:
The Hammer of Justice is coming !!!
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I believe McCormick will win. If he was going to be the 50th vote, they would fight harder and his lead would be gone already. This is just a show to make Dems think they are still fighting. McCormick has the lawyers and money to win this.
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Polymarket:
Will Gaetz be confirmed as AG
31% chance.
I think that is high.
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I am fine with Hegseth and Gabbard.
But Gaetz is a bridge too far.
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Looks like Philadelphia finally ran out of ballots.
https://x.com/tencor_7144/status/1856837474502545810
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Trump is always his worse enemy. He could have picked a dozen people who would have been less controversial than Gaetz and still gotten what he wanted out of the DOJ.
U.S. Senator John Fetterman
@SenFettermanPA
There have been serious, qualified individuals nominated to posts, like Rubio or Stefanik. Eric Schmitt would be a solid choice for AG. But Dem opinions on Gaetz aren’t that interesting. The good ones will come from my GOP colleagues to justify a vote for that jerkoff.
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“Actually, no, it is the job of the Senate to approve his picks or not, nothing says “he should get his picks””
-No disagreement there, the Senate has to consent to those picks, fine with me.
https://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_votes/vote1171/vote_117_1_00114.htm
20 Republicans voted for Garland, including Mitch, Murk, Cornyn and………..wait for it…………THUNE.
If those brave “leaders” could vote for Garland……..
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Even mild-mannered newsman John Solomon says if Gaetz can get thru the nominating process he will be a “transformational” AG. Lately when the MSM heads explode on something it seems like whatever it is, or what person they hate, is a good choice for the country.
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Oh, to have such great “leaders” who give consent to Bidens pick of Garland to be AG……..
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Collins is already a no. I am sure Murkoswki also. So just need 2 more to put this bad idea to rest. Maybe if enough Rs announce beforehand they won’t vote him Trump can pull this nomination and stop the bleeding.
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Was voting YEA for Garland one of those instances where Mitch “outfoxed” Chuckie?
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Apparently “irregularities” are showing up in the senate race in WI after a ballot dump in the wee hours of the morning. Eric Hovde (sp) is complaining about this. A similar situation happened in NV to Sam Brown.
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Great leader McConnell kept Garland from SCOTUS. There was really no good argument not to vote for him for AG, or do you think Biden would have picked someone “better”.
Besides, Garland is much more qualified than Gaetz, we just don’t like his politics, which is different.
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Was voting YEA for Garland one of those instances where Mitch “outfoxed” Chuckie?”
Yes.
There were probably some “Gaetzes” in the Dem party they could have nominated. In the end, Garland took too long to indict Trump and allowed Trump to delay the trials. He could have been a lot worse.
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People are saying Marc Elias is judge-shopping to deal with the senate race in PA.
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Thune should tell Biden NOW Gaetz doesn’t have the votes. Better now than drag this out for the same result later.
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Nothing will happen in WI or NV, the margin is too large to change. Not to say they couldn’t have been stolen, just that 20k votes is too high a margin.
Same reason Casey will lose in PA, too, no matter what judge Elia finds.
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Or conversely, Thune could do a head count. If he thinks Gaetz can get 50 votes, fine.
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NT at 8:00 pm
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Stoner tells court to drop appeal in box doc case.
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Is he dropping it or just holding it in “abeyance”?
That’s how I interpreted it.
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Janzam is an ugly bitch.
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Paul. Crossing the line. Meds
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