Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
117 responses to “Friday-Saturday. GFY, Tina.”
Citizen Free Press
@CitizenFreePres
LANCASTER PENNSYLVANIA UPDATE Voter registration fraud discovered in several PA counties. Sounds like what happened in Michigan a few years ago. Democrat grassroots organization pays for registrations
BTW – first
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Congratulations on your first first.
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Thank you Bitter.
Watching World Series…dodgers just got the first run of the game.
.
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Putin just sent Janzam a congratulatory message and a bottle of vodka.
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I hear Putin refers to his HHR cheerleader sycophants as My Babushkas.
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Yankees now ahead, 2-1, because of a home run.
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I am watching What we do in the shadows. A comedy series about vampires living in Staten Island. It’s good.
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Stanton is having an amazing postseason.
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Hate Hate Hate. I would literally rather have pepper spray shot on to my genitals than have teh yankees win
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These people have no shame, and no education. They do not eve know the definition of what a fascist is.
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9th inning score tied. If not for fan interference Yankees would have scored another run.
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Close game has gone into overtime.
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Janz, they call that extra innings in baseball. But we get what you mean.
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I will say this for the Yankees; once they get a runnner on, those MFers are fast! Multiple consecutive steals this game.
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Yeah…no problem with doing mail in ballots…. (NOT)
https://apnews.com/article/colorado-ballots-stolen-fraudulently-voted-5f4296fe3f6900c8a173f83181287413
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Fat F–k Scumbag trying to hedge his bets. What a despicable excuse for a human being.
“Chris Christie no longer confident VP Harris will win election: ‘She’s had a bad 10 days’
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Close game has gone into overtime”
Give her a break. She normally watches Russia State TV, this is new to her.
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Update from Nevada via Jon Ralston….
https://x.com/RalstonReports/status/1849948070123012570
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Grand Salami to send the evil empire to defeat. SOOOOOOO sweet. So incredibly sweet
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The historically great baseball team in New York loses game 1.
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Now THAT’s how you win a game! Come from behind on your last out with bases loaded and knock a GS out!
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An absolutely historic, memorable ending, much like Kirk Gibson’s home run, with a grand slam at the bottom of the 10th…..Dodgers were amazing!
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The piece of crap satan worshiping Neanderthals’ brain size Cretan fan following team lost.
Fixed it
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Thanks for the “extra innings” clarification, scooter. Not a sports fan, as you can tell, but really enjoyed the game!
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Crowd still jazzed and not leaving the stadium. 1st walk off grand slam in history.
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Cant tell you how much I hate having to root for the Dodgers…but, when the opponent is a fascist organization, you have to (Sorry…just keeping with the theme Kamala is scaring, I mean sharing with, America)
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speaking of scare tactics. Do hollywood celebs really think they are qualified to tell us how to vote. Oh yea, the fate of America is hanging, and if Trump and Republicans win, there will be lists, and camps, and the military will be executing people. They know that because Kamala told them so.
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“In a year that has been so improbable, the impossible has happened…”
You kinda get the feeling that Vin Scully just called this game for his heavenly baseball fans in heaven….
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Vin Scully was great. Announcers want to be him.
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Last licks. That’s why regular season games are so important.
On to Game 2.
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The Mets played last night?
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Tipp and Emerson have national poles out. Both show ties.
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That was a great baseball game last night. Not a fan of either team, but great game nonetheless.
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TIPP and Emerson should be trump up at RCP by .01
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Looks like R +29000 ballot lead in Nevada.
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Stephen King cancelled his WAPO subscription.
Comment:
“Bezos is crying over Stephen’s $50/yr right now”
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Rcp national average is now trump 0.1.
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What are your thoughts on the Dems changing their voting habits and swamping the Reps on ED voting? That appears to be what most of the Lefties are Coping for.
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VIRGINIA poll
🔵 Harris: 49% (+6)
🔴 Trump: 43%
Washington Post | 10/19-23 | N=1,004LV
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Why the Yankees lost.
“There’s a woman wearing what *appears* to be a red MAGA hat right behind home plate at Dodgers Stadium. It’s annoying and distracting.”
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VIRGINIA poll
Harris: 49% (+6) Trump: 43%”
Give Trump 2/3 of the undecided and you have a 52-48 race within the MOE.
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Coming from the Washington Post, that’s not a bad poll for Trump in VA. Harris under 50. Its close.
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BREAKING: Top European Union officials are preparing for a Donald Trump victory, according to 12 EU diplomats.
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Local Israeli news outlet Channel 12 reported that in a direct attack on Iran, Israel sent 140 Air Force planes to the skies for the assault that has reportedly targeted military facilities containing missile exports, drones, ballistic missile transmitters and Iran’s air defense systems.”
Israel must really think Iranian air defenses suck if they are willing to fly manned planes over Iran.
It’s over 1000 miles from Israel to Tehran.
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They need to hit the mullahs oil infrastructure. Flatten it.
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The grifting ends. The eu know it,
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The Virginia poll by Washington Post has internals that show the 2020 voters were
Biden 58
Trump 42
The actual gap was Biden 54, Trump 44
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Everyone is upset that beyondunce did not sing. She was billed to do that. Lots of negative headlines from that event.
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And there is likely good news in that poll based on geographic region, but the caution of course is the small sample sizes:
D.C. Suburbs: Trump 33, Harris 62
N. VA. exurbs: Trump 44, Harris 43
Central/West VA: Trump 56, Harris 40
Richmond/East VA: Trump 44, Harris 49
Tidewater: Trump 37, Harris 53
Trump’s rally near Roanoke will help him do better in Central/West VA. And he can do much better than 56/40
I also don’t buy those Tidewater numbers at all. Virginia Beach and Chesapeake are likely to go to Trump very narrowly, and their combined population is nearly that of Newport News, Hampton, Norfolk, and Portsmouth combined.
And the congressional district dead last in early voting happens to include the cities of Newport News, Hampton, Norfolk, and Portsmouth.
I am telling you, Trump has a VERY REAL shot at Virginia.
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The Madison Square Garden rally is becoming the event of the campaign season to attend. Apparently, way too many requests to fulfill by VIPers than are available. Also, the guest speaker list is long and filled with dynamic speakers.
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What are your thoughts on the Dems changing their voting habits and swamping the Reps on ED voting?”
We have have to be prepared for the fact the ED gap will be smaller because more Rs are voting early and fewer Dems are VBM.
But if you buy the argument that many of the Dem VBM in 2020 were low propensity voters who only voted because they could do it by mail or have their ballot harvested and many won’t bother to show up on ED, then the net result will favor Rs.
But I don’t get too excited over “gains in EV for Rs” because of the big effort to make that happen
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“also, the guest speaker list is long and filled with dynamic speakers.”
Who knew there were that many Nazis.
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I just watched the HR at the end of the game. Pretty cool even if you don’t follow baseball.
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LOL
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19 pt spread at Predicit
If it gets down to 2-1 I might put a $800 bet in on Kamala. If she loses, I will be happy, worth the $800. If she wins, I would have $1600 to spend on booze and an new gun.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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I told the York SPCA they would soon be getting $100 from Radnor, PA.
I am told dogs are excited.
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bitter – thankfully I was not referring to the Mets…you know, the team that played six more games this year than the Phils…at their expense
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Its now R+3 in ballots returned in Miami-Dade.
The GOP lead just keeps growing, despite Dem predictions that they were going to show up by the end of the week.
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Zzzzzzzz Unlike Putina, European leaders do not want Putin’s military setting up bases hundreds of miles further west.
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I know. I will never understand people choosing the Mets over the greatest team in MLB history.
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Early voting in NV Swing from D+4.5 to R+5.5. I have tried to find 2020 week 1 stats, but nothing pops up. Ralston’s blog posts from 2020 do not have complete voting numbers.
NV mail+early thru week1
Rep 40.3%
Dem 34.8%
Other 25.0%
NV 2020 mail+early complete
Rep 34.8%
Dem 39.3%
Other 26.0%
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Bitter, its because I have always had a commitment to the national league. Pitchers should hit, no DH, etc. Of course that is now gone sadly.
Imagine a world of baseball that would have prevented Bartolo Colon from hitting his first and only homer at age 42.
I still cannot accept the DH, pitch clock and ghost runners…but I am not in charge of these decisions.
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have you seen the latest proposed rule changes. One being starting pitchers must go six innings unless they give up four or more runs
choosing to like the Yankees is like choosing to vote for Dems. Selling your soul to the devil
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is that a joke Vic? starting pitchers must go six innings? What absurd idea is that trying to resolve?
A more entertaining rule that would increase the scoring of runs is there are nine position players and nine innings. Make the rule each position player has to switch to the mound and pitch one inning.
What if the starting pitcher develops a problem in the fourth inning? He has to then risk a worse injury ending his career because he has to pitch two more? And if they allow for an injury exception, now we have to endure medical reviews by doctor-umpires to see if the pitcher qualifies to exit early.
This might be enough to drive me out of the sport altogether.
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Trump takes the lead at RCP.
Has that ever happened in any election with Trump running? I can’t remember him ever having a lead.
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Reports are quemala is dashing back to Dane, Wisconsin.
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There are a lot of “Hitlers” in the R party.
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“have you seen the latest proposed rule changes. One being starting pitchers must go six innings unless they give up four or more runs”
Ridiculous.
Its not likely, but You could potentially have a starting pitcher throw 120 pitches in 5 innings and still not give up 4 runs. What are you supposed to do, leave him out there and blow his arm up? Pitchers these days regularly reach the 100 pitch mark at five or six innings these days.
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Interesting take on where the EV stands with some states as compared to 2020 from a website call “FloppingAces”
Notable….
“metro urban areas of Atlanta are well below 2020”
“R’s in Arizona have a 7% lead including Maricopa county…at this point in 2020 the D’s had a 10% lead”
“Democrat money has been pulled out of Nevada suggesting a concession of the Silver State”
To sum it all up there is no way on God’s green earth that Harris will match or get anywhere close to the 81 plus million votes that Biden got in 2020
Take your time and read it-good stuff.
https://floppingaces.net/most-wanted/commanding-the-narrative-how-trump-seized-the-ballot-and-the-message/
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Funny…
https://x.com/Brink_Thinker/status/1849865486747697385
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From all accounts the Trump/Joe Rogan podcast was positive…
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4954999-donald-trump-joe-rogan-podcast-takeaways/
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Updated predictions as of this morning…
The Hill
Trump 52%-48%
https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/president/
538
Trump 53%-47%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
The Economist
Trump 54%-46%
https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president
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The criticism is that he said “dictators are smart” and that “SCOTUS stays in place for 50 years” but if that is all they can attack him in a 3 hour interview I guess it went pretty well.
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Kamala chances 47% or 48% doesn’t seem positive to me.
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GOP ballots returned has reached 45% in Florida. The traditional counties that used to be talked about on election night, Duval, R+3.7, Hillsborough, R+2.0, Miami-Dade, R+3.2, Pinellas, R+3.0.
The dem hack in Florida said that by the end of the week, the Dems would re-take the lead. They have a lot of work to do TODAY, to stop the GOP lead that has grown to 10.64, and then reverse it by tonight to a D lead of 0.1. Good luck with that.
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Breaking:
world famous pilot Amelia Earhart who vanished from the world 86 years ago has appeared to accuse Donald Trump of groping her after 86 years of silence.
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A more positive assessment.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/10/25/donald_trump_class_traitor_par_excellence_151841.html
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https://www.zerohedge.com/political/kamala-booed-after-beyonce-bait-n-switch
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Tina, at least she has an excuse for the silence.
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”To be clear, there would be exceptions for extenuating circumstances: Injury … pitchers who give up 10 runs … pitchers who can’t escape a 40-pitch inning … pitchers who throw 100 pitches before they get through six … etc. Those circumstances could be negotiated later.”
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This will trigger the DKos crowd
“And now [Elon] Musk is joining him,” Fetterman said. “I mean, to a lot of people, that’s Tony Stark. That’s the world’s richest guy. And he’s obviously, and undeniably, a brilliant guy, and he’s saying, Hey, that’s my guy for president. That’s going to really matter.”
Fetterman said he was “alarmed” when Musk began showing up on the campaign trail for Trump and said he’s a “bigger star than Trump” in “some sense.”
“Endorsements, they’re really not meaningful often, but this one is, I think,” Fetterman said. “That has me concerned.”
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world famous pilot Amelia Earhart”
What about Helen of Troy and Cleopatra?
Just don’t tell the Dems Walt could serve as a witness.
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Something for Putinistas Tina and Janzam to celebrate!
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/26/europe/ukraine-dnipro-hospital-russia-strike-intl/index.html
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”To be clear, there would be exceptions for extenuating circumstances: Injury … pitchers who give up 10 runs … pitchers who can’t escape a 40-pitch inning … pitchers who throw 100 pitches before they get through six … etc. Those circumstances could be negotiated later.”
In other words, an umpiring circus!
Umpire-Doctors on the field to evaluate whether its a real injury and if its bad enough to pull the pitcher. And what happens when the first three innings are all 39 pitches, rather than 40. Who keeps track of all this? The ump on the field or some ump in a booth?
A much much simpler proposal: Let the team’s manager and pitching coach decide when the pitcher has had enough, and when to pull him. Would be much easier. Oh yeah, that’s the existing rule.
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DW. found out those are suggestions by the so called “baseball experts” like little Jeff Passan and other ESPN writers who have never picked up a baseball, much less played the game.
Sadly though, Tony Clark, MLBPA Union chief is also pushing, saying, it would actually ensure less injuries because now pitchers won’t be throwing at 102mph in the first and second inning because they know they only need to go four innings…and now, repertoire would matter (actually not a bad thing, seeing pitchers actually pitch a game rather than throw so its either a strikeout of homer).
“The league has discussed a limit to the size of pitching staffs and the double-hook DH, according to sources familiar with the discussion. There is some belief around the game, however, that one idea could be a panacea: requiring starting pitchers to go at least six innings every time they take the mound.”
“”You would have to push command over stuff,” Arizona Diamondbacks GM Mike Hazen said. “Pushing [pitching to] contact would be the biggest thing to prepare guys to throw six innings on a consistent basis.
“There would have to be some pullback on velocity, though that’s a tough thing, because that’s where you get outs.”
To make up for no longer being able to rely on max velocity to overwhelm hitters, the hope is that pitchers would then focus on the finer points of the craft to outmaneuver batters.
“It’s different pitch mixes, different attack plans, different looks,” Chicago Cubs GM Carter Hawkins said. “It might weed out the guy that isn’t as efficient.”
While executives were more than willing to dive into a hypothetical of how this rule would play out, they aren’t sure if pitchers can “go backward” from the current state of pitching, as one assistant GM put it.
“The genie is out of the bottle when it comes to max velocity. I’m not sure it can go back in, no matter the rules.
Some execs mentioned specific smaller changes they would be interested in exploring before something so drastic. Hazen pointed to a five-batter minimum for relievers that could organically force managers to leave starters in the game longer, as well as give more recovery time to relievers who might pitch longer in each game but not as often…”
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@Peoples_Pundit
There are a few problems with this “Harris would need to win indies by X margin” argument RE: Nevada.
1. Recent polls overall (MC exception) don’t show her winning indies. AARP: Trump +7 (H2H,) Trump +9 (Full Ballot) Atlas: Trump +5 InsiderAdv: Trump +1 Rasmussen: Trump +4 WSJ: Trump +Ridiculous Margin
2. Enthusiasm impacts the turnout of indy leaners, and “who” votes makes the margin.
So, unless partisan DEMs get more enthusiastic and turn out, indies who lean DEM might not vote at rates comparable to indies who lean REP.
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THE JOY!
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We don’t really want Trump closing the gap in CA very much because that has implications on the value of the national polls.
In other words the more votes Kamala “wastes” in CA, the more likely a tied or +1 advantage in national poles means she will lose the blue wall.
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Vic, the problem is pitchers not being diligent in training, conditioning and mechanics. Nolan Ryan used to blow them away with velocity for 9 innings.
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The Marxists at the New Republic think Harris is too centrist and beholden to the Never Trumpers.
They think if she loses the Dems should give up on Centrism AND Never Trumpers.
Hilarious.
“But like it or not, if Harris bottles this race at the end, it’s going to end up serving as a kind of referendum on a centrist style of Democratic politics that simply cannot, in 2024, afford to fail on its own terms. And should it fail, it will take the Never Trump Republicans down with it. So perhaps here in the final act, it’s time for a parting of the ways. The Never Trump set should perhaps do the thing they should have done a better job at when Trump first emerged: tend to their knitting. Let them get their souls to the polls and quietly convince any remaining persuadable voters to disembark the Trump train. And let Harris be what she needs to be: a person who typically champions the kinds of things Never Trump Republicans hate, running against a guy who isn’t really all that different from the politicians they have historically supported.”
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Dems keep promising they will show up in Florida, but the GOP lead just keeps growing. Closing in on 11 points
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Good riddance to leftists, NeverTrumpers and NeoCons. Not a dime’s worth of difference between them, its all just different packaging.
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Pravda would be proud…
“Analyst: There are warning signs for Harris in the early vote.
Stephanopoulos: “And Rick, Generals John Kelly and Mark Milley have called Donald Trump a fascist, and Kamala Harris agrees. Do we have some polling on that?”
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marla maples
@itsmarlamaples
This is my daughter’s father and they are spreading such horrific lies about him & they keep getting worse. Our daughter Tiffany grew up learning not only to pray as a Christian but also in Hebrew & Aramaic (Christs language) Please vote for those who give their heart and risk their lives for all Americans.
@realDonaldTrump
@RobertKennedyJr
#voteTrump
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“Kamala Harris agrees”
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Ah yes, but Mr. False Equivalency will be here in 3, 2, 1 to whine that Marla Maples was forced to say that in order to get spouse support.
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Good riddance to leftists, NeverTrumpers and NeoCons. Not a dime’s worth of difference between them, its all just different packaging”
Translation: anyone who doesn’t agree with my little insular head in sand world is “the same”.
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I wonder what Albert Minimus Idioticus is doing here anyway.
Didn’t he say that there wouldn’t be any new HHR and if there was, it wouldn’t last 6 months?
What happened?
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I grew up in Ridgewood, NJ. I was graduated from high school in 1986. I never knew a Mets fan growing up. But when I came home for Thanksgiving from college, I saw a lot of new Mets hats and sweatshirts. That is when I knew a Mets fan was never to be trusted.
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This is the second time that quemala lied about beyonadunce performing. First time, was at the dnc.
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A little tidbit in the baseball game last night.
The Home Run hit by Freeman last night was hit at exactly 8:37 p.m. Eatern time. Supposedly the same exact time as the Kirk Gibson Home run, over 36 years ago.
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I grew up in Ridgewood, NJ.”
Middle class?
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We visited the Vampire Museum of America. Seriously. It is in Bucks County, PA. A lot of Trump signs in the area.
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i grew up 5000 miles away in very different circumstances.
And yet here we are, two almost inseparable PA A-holes and except for a few differences like indoor plumbing and preference for Wahwah or Sheetz, we could almost be twins.
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Uh, I already acknowledged that Bitter did and continues to keep the place going, although at a smaller scale than before.
He can thank your continued belligerent, moronic self for that.
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We visited the Vampire Museum of America”
Damm, Bitter is really getting out, even a foray into Buck Co.
See, it is never too late.
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He can thank your continued belligerent, moronic self for that.”
That hurts.
I am the most welcoming A-hole here. I even want to get rid of the stupid registration system to attract more people.
GFY.
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I already acknowledged that Bitter did and continues to keep the place going”
Wow, amazing analysis and very observant of you.
Have you acknowledged the sun rose in the East today yet?
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I can see Bitter stopping at the Delaware/Bucks County line and apprehensibly looking over at his wife and saying:
“Ready? Here goes nothing” and slowly venturing forward into the unknown…
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Ma, that county line bait should work.
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it looked like Gibson hitting that home run. Blast from the past and at the same time?
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NT at 3:00 EDT
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”Supposedly the same exact time as the Kirk Gibson Home run, over 36 years ago.”
If true that is an amazing type of synchronization. However, how does one account for the difference in time zones – Gibson’s being the eastern time zone and Freeman’s being in the pacific time zone?
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