According to Rasmussen Reports polling–specifically data they pulled from their national sampling from 8/1-9/29. If I heard it right, it was 600 likely voters per state, or something close to that:
 | NEW JERSEY |
| Trump | 43 |
| Harris | 52 |
 | NEW YORK |
| Trump | 43 |
| Harris | 54 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
77 responses to “Trump down 9 in NJ and 11 in NY”
Frist
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Yes !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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This news from Rasmussen is more or less in line with other polling of New York, like Siena.
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Mark Mitchell talked about how its Kamala’s advertising in battleground states that keeps them close, but in deep blue states where there are no ads, her base of support has weakened considerably. Hence, part of the answer why Trump could be up in Rasmussen’s national polling while the battleground states are still close.
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CBS News Battleground-state estimates
Nevada – 🔵 Harris 50-47%
Michigan – 🔵 Harris 50-48%
Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris 49-48%
Pennsylvania – 🟡 Tie 49-49%
Arizona – 🟡 Tie 49-49%
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 49-48%
Georgia – 🔴 Trump 50-48%
Estimates updated on 9/30 | ±4%
https://cbsnews.com/news/2024-harris-trump-polling-michigan-wisconsin-arizona-nevada-north-carolina/
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General election poll – Indiana
🔴 Trump 55% (+16)
🔵 Harris 39%
Senate
🔴 Banks 49% (+14)
🔵 McCray 35%
Governor
🔴 Braun 44% (+3)
🔵 McCormick 41%
ARW #N/A – 600 LV – 9/25
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”Estimates?”
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Whistleblower
Zzzzzzz Let’s see if somebody actually goes in front of the cameras and says, “Walz….China payments….”
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Breaking News: The Union rejected the shippers offer so there will be a strike tonight.
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Trump adds Saginaw Michigan rally on Thursday.
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I’m not sure what type of supplies will be shortened folllowing this strike, but right after a humanitarian crisis doesn’t seem like the best time to have supply shortages.
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all I can say is WHAT A GAME. that was an all time classic
Mets losing game two. Not sure if I’d rather have them play the Padres or brewers
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I will stock up on bacon and scrapple tomorrow.
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After missing the playoffs the last two seasons, and facing a huge fan revolt following this season, the Cardinals Front Office held a news conference today to announce major changes. The only problem is, they announced that they are keeping in place the current President of baseball operations John Mozeliak, the current manager Oli Marmol, and announcing they will be decreasing the major league teams payroll for the next season. Its not going over well.
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Kamala says she had insomnia the day she picked Walz.
Flimsy excuse.
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Israel moves into southern Lebanon. The Lebanese Army has pulled back leaving Hezbollah to fend for themselves. The Israelis probably told the Lebanese Army something like “you don’t really want to see this”.
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Trump is doing much better than the last two elections, that it seems democrat fraud is the major election pothole to be worried about.
(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
Trump has more working class support than any GOP presidential candidate in a generation. He’s on track for the best performance among union voters in 40 years. He’s up 31 points among trade school grads. He’s doing 17 pts better among nonwhite non-college voters than in 2020.
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RIP, Pete Rose.
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And I did not support him going to the HOF. Still don’t.
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Trump is also doing better with Pro-Putin isolationists.
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Good Grief !!!!
They are all trying to lower expectations. Guaranteed the media will say this is the greatest debate performance of a lifetime, no matter what actually happens.
CLAIRE MCCASKILL: We need to lower expectations for Tim Walz at the VP debate with JD Vance. It will be a challenge for Walz to counter the points made by Vance while still being likeable
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Major Garrett CBS News Chief Washington correspondent said: “I talked to 20 voters, not one of them was undecided. The support for Trump is real and resilient.”
https://x.com/thethe1776/status/1840780183361749314?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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Anyone have any good Netflix recommendations?
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yes, The Guns of Navarone
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BREAKING: Trump’s fundraiser for Hurricane Helene victims has raised nearly $1 million, with major donations coming from UFC’s Dana White ($100,000), Bass Pro Shops ($100,000), Kelly Loeffler ($500,000), and more.
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Trump behaving like the president, because someone needs to
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DW, I’ve seen that one before. But thanks for the suggestion.
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I wouldn’t want to look a gift horse in the mouth, but if three donors alone coughed up 70% of the funds raised, Trump needs to step up his game and press his rich pals to give more.
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how about 30 Seconds over Tokyo?
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I always thought Pete Rose deserved the HOF, the gambling charge was asinine and had nothing to do with his level of play.
One of the great injustices in the history of sports and a tragedy it was not remedied before he died.
A lot of sanctimonious holier than thou a-holes who by personal vanity or jealousy denied one of the greatest players of all time the HOF should now be ashamed of themselves.
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The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
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Pete Rose has the record for most MLB hits (4256) and is not in the HOF. He also played in the most games and had the most at bats. He led the league in hits seven times and won three batting titles
Maybe someone can explain how gambling on baseball, whether true or not, had anything to do with that kind of record.
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jasonnyupanqui47,
Brilliantly put. I could do it more perfect. Well done son.
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Last picture of Pete Rose, yesterday, with some other baseball greats.
https://www.tmz.com/2024/09/30/pete-rose-dead/
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Babylon Bee
U.S. — A source close to the Harris campaign reveals Tim Walz is “very excited” for this week’s Vice Presidential Debate after learning he might get spanked by JD Vance.
“I was nervous at first because Vance seems to know what he’s talking about,” Kamala Harris’ running mate said, “but I didn’t realize it was that kind of a debate.”
“I can barely contain my excitement!”
Walz, a known tampon aficionado, claims to be “an actual heterosexual married to a woman,” dispelling rumors that he is a gay man. However, his newfound eagerness for a spanking by Vance appears to contradict previous statements that he “loves the womens.”
“I’m not a gay,” Walz said on the campaign trail. “Why do people keep asking me that?”
News of Walz’s excitement has reportedly reached JD Vance, who sources claim is now no longer looking forward to the debateAt publishing time, Tim Walz asked his wife not to come to the debate. “We’re just doing guy stuff, you wouldn’t be interested,” he said.”
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
Trump will continue barnstorming the battlegrounds this week. TUESDAY: Waunakee, Wisconsin THURSDAY: Saginaw, Michigan FRIDAY: Fayetteville, North Carolina Schedule may expand… and this comes after a packed week over the last 7 days. Trump was in GA today.
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https://dailycaller.com/2024/09/30/eric-adams-joe-biden-doj-donald-trump-new-york-turkey-indictment/
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Quemala spent 5 min at FEMA hq today giving her speech.
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This is unfair to Kamala.
She is so busy running the country she has no time to campaign.
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jasonnyupanqui47,
Brilliantly put. I could do it more perfect.”
It’s nice to be recognized.
And that is for baseball, which I hardly ever watch.
Imagine the impact I have on subjects I really master.
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Although I hope John meant he “couldn’t” do it more perfect.
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Pete Rose dies 61 years and 1 day after Stan Musial gets his final hit (1963) – a ground ball past a rookie, Pete Rose.
Forward to 18 years later (1981), Rose breaks Stan’s 17-year-old National League career hits record…
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Tim Walz entering campaign events. Lol
https://x.com/stevensongs/status/1840862700030869953?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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Yikes !!!!
“I will cripple you”
Harold Daggett, Leader of ILA
https://x.com/indygerl/status/1840790393291682260?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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Alaska Survey Research
September 27-29, 2024
N=1,182 Likely voters
MOE = +/- 2.9%
Probability selected online panel
US President
Donald Trump 52%
Kamala Harris 43%
Robert Kennedy Jr 6%
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Did all you Bastards go to bed early again tonight?
Pathetic !!!!
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So, Louie the Longshoreman wants to play dirty. Fine, unlike many folks, I don’t need him or his retail goods from China. My job is recession proof, and I can buy food from nearby farms if need be. My car can run off waste veggie oil, too, and the house is solar powered. Enjoy your strike.
That said, who does this benefit in November? That’s all I care about right now.
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Game, set, match In the Montana debate tonight.
Tim Sheely- “ Jon Tester knows all about backroom meetings, he has been taking them for 20 years. He has been the #1 recipient of Lobbyist cash in the whole Country. So if you want to talk about backroom meetings, while I was fighting in Afghanistan, he was eating Lobbyists steak in DC”
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With only 36 days until Election Day, seven key Senate races saw major new investments today: WISen:🔴 +$16.4m🔵 +$323k MISen:🔴 +$15.5m TXSen:🔵 +$6.3m MDSen:🔵 +$3.9m🔴 +$107k NESen:⚪ +$2.6m FLSen:🔵 +$1.9m🔴 +$529k OHSen:🔵 +$1.9m
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GF, I think it depends on how long it drags out. But when people are already balking at the price of groceries, gasoline, electric bills, housing, etc……. If we get a supply shortage weeks before the election, I would assume they would take out their anger on the people who are currently in charge. I could be wrong though.
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The party of “democracy”
“Clinton argued that the press needs a “consistent narrative” about the danger that Trump poses to the country in the coming weeks”
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CNN JUST ADMITTED PRESIDENT TRUMP IS BEING TREATED AS THE PRESIDENT BY HURRICANE VICTIMS”He’s being treated not just as a former President, but almost as though he’s a sitting President.”
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Wow I can not believe that union “leader” (who won’t suffer one bit because his fat salary is covered) just threatened to cripple America because a 50% wage increase isn’t enough, he’s demanding a 77% wage increase.
WTF
this election can’t happen fast enough.
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I am awake.
GFY.
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RFK Jr. addresses his plan for the MAHA movement if Trump loses:
“I’m expecting him to win.”
“I don’t have a plan B.”
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On one hand, I respect that Daggett guy, as he is fighting for the members of his union. That is his job,
On the other hand, I am very glad that I once crossed a picket line in NYC with my Uncle, who told the guys who were going to get in front of our truck “If I don’t make this delivery, my family won’t eat this week, so make sure you think about how much you can lose if you get in my way, because I have already told my wife to pack hers and the kids bags.”
Do I have that in me? Not so sure, at this time.
Both sides have, for a long time, realized that it is better to give a little to get a little…..we shall see how this works out.
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This guy is a pure egotistical douche. His people have been offered a 50% raise. take it and move on…don’t threaten America because you want to prove you’re a big shot. He’s lucky Reagan isn’t President. He and the rest of his union followers would be put on a very extended break. unpaid.
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btw if Trump were smart he wouldn’t say a word about this strike, Not one. Let all the blame fall upon Harris and this union asswipe. STAY OUT OF IT
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“This guy is a pure egotistical douche.”
-Agreed.
And also agree Trump should not say one word about it, Biden/Harris administration are the ones who should be facilitating the 2 sides getting together to hammer out a deal.
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“He and the rest of his union followers would be put on a very extended break. unpaid.”
-I would be careful what you wish for. They are probably well-prepared for a strike, they have been in the past.
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Kemi Badenoch – a “melting pot” is controversial, and this Laura Kuenssberg person is a typical leftist media piece of cr*p.
https://archive.is/baEPf
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Cheers, and enjoy 4 baseball games!
Goodnight!
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Damn she’s good. Puts the last Conservative PM to shame. I don’t know enough about her or her views, but she didn’t fall for this liberal pos “journalists” gotcha game. We need more of that here. She called her out and stood up to her. Good for her!!
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Washington Post
North Carolina 2024 Election Poll
Total
🔴Trump 50% (+2)
🔵Harris 48%
Men
🔴Trump 52% (+7)
🔵Harris 45%
Women
🔵Harris 50% (+2)
🔴Trump 48%
White
🔴Trump 60% (+22)
🔵Harris 38%
Black
🔵Harris 81% (+65)
🔴Trump 16%
Sept 25-29
1,001 likely voters
MoE: +/-3.5%
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Not a great poll for Trump in Pennsylvania
PENNSYLVANIA poll by Fabrizio Ward (R) & Impact Research (D) for AARP
🟦 Harris: 49% (+2)
🟥 Trump: 47%
🟪 Other: 2%
—
Senate
🟦 Casey (inc): 49% (+4)
🟥 McCormick: 45%
—— 140 (1.7/3.0) | 928 LV | 9/17-24 | ±3.5%
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NEW FLORIDA 2024 GE Trump: 51% (+8) Harris: 43% Other: 3% Not sure: 3%
@Rasmussen_Poll
aggregated responses | Aug. 15-Sept. 29 | N=1,243LV
·
2,765 Views
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National poll by Morning Consult
🟦 Harris: 51% [+1]
🟥 Trump: 46% [+1]
[+/- change vs 9/20-22]
——
Sept. 5 – 🔵 Harris +3
Sept. 11 – 🔵 Harris +5
Sept. 15 – 🔵 Harris +6
Sept. 22 – 🔵 Harris +5
Sept. 29 – 🔵 Harris +5
—— 116 (1.8/3.0) | 9/27-29 | 11,381 LV | ±1%
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The MSNBC poll of people who thought the VP debate was last night is out.
Walz won 62-28. 10% thought it was a tie.
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The Fabrizio poll is a bummer.
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Didn’t we play this game already with Trump-Biden? Biden was supposed to be declared the greatest debater since Lincoln. Even his media boosters couldn’t hide the result and helped push him out the door.
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Blow $$$ in Florida. Very ugly numbers for the Ds.
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I have not seen the Florida presidential #s from mason-Dixon, only this:
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Remember rcp placed the Florida senate seat as a toss up.
lol lol lol
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(All because ppp drat said it was a plus 1 race).
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i will get a new thread up in 30 minutes
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@julie_kelly2
Did last week represent a turning point in the fedsurrection? Fox News, which has largely ghosted J6 since Tucker left, finally covered the presence of FBI informants in the crowd. Speaker Johnson finally addressed it and wants a “classified briefing” on the matter. Other members of Congress want to know how many informants and what they did. Meanwhile, DOJ IG Michael Horowitz is sitting on a draft report waiting for Biden intel director and AG to review the report for “classified” material. Time for GOP to bang the drum every day demanding release of the DOJ IG report before Election Day.
·
4,782 Views
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