According to same American Pulse Research & Polling poll that also showed Sheehy up 6 points. Aug. 10-12, 538 RV:
 | MONTANA |
| Trump | 52 |
| Harris | 38 |
| Other | 8 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
31 responses to “Trump up 14 points in Montana”
“Donald Trump is doing better among the average union member, not teachers’ unions and not the unions for government, but everybody else, the trades, people work with their hands. He’s doing better among them than any Republican has done in decades,” Luntz asserted, leaving the typically anti-Trump panelists momentarily speechless.
Frank Lunce
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I have spoken to some trades people. And they are supporting trump. I mean specially construction workers in a local union
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/this-explains-all-fake-news-attacks-70-audience/
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Monmouth was close to what I predicted, Trump 43, Harris 48. 900 RVs.
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what was their last poll with Sleep Joe
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Trump +1 over Joe was their last one, prior to Joe’s debate debacle.
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I saw in the other thread you said cook came out with some crazy polls, what were they.
The Florida one is insane…and…if you can have that kind of disparity (Biden voters +13%) and still not get a lead, that has to tell you something.
Worst part is, that when real polls come out, they are going to make it look like she’s fading
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In the election of 2020, we had the “Great Disappearance” where Biden, who could only garner a crowd of dozens at campaign rallies, decided to run from his basement.
Prior to that we had The successful presidential campaigns of James A. Garfield in 1880, Benjamin Harrison in 1888, and William McKinley in 1896 are perhaps the best-known front porch campaigns.
So the Dems gave us the “Great Disappearance” in 2020 and now in 2024 is giving us the “Great Deception” of Kamelia Kamala where she does no press conferences, issues no policy statements, and ducks debates, and steals Trump positions like “secure the border”, “drill baby drill,” and “no tax on tips.”
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Under Trump administration the average middle class family income grew by somewhere between $5,000-$6,000. Under Biden it has shrunk by several thousand dollars during his 4 years in office.
“Great Disappearance” to “Great Deception”.
“Great Disappearance” worked.
Will “Great Deception?”
_____________________________
Or maybe instead of “Great Deception” Kamelia Kamala’s campaign should be called the “Great Pretender”?
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The Monmouth poll is also showing the difference being that Trump is bleeding white voters compared with 2020. They have Harris doing about 12 points better with college-educated whites than Biden did in 2020. If Trump is bleeding white votes and is going to barely win that demographic this year, then these polls are all correct.
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Jeff G, what do you mean by “these polls?”
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Walt was suspicious of Teddy Roosevelt but voted for McKinley anyway.
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test
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I would very very highly doubt Trump is bleeding white support, especially to California Liberal Kamala Harris.
I can see to middle class (lol) Joe…but not to an elitist who has lost when she tried to run for President iwth less than 5% of the vote, and would have lost again this year if the Dems had allowed a vote
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DW, I was too general in that comment. I mean more specifically today’s Monmouth poll, the Siena Rust Belt polls from the weekend, and last week’s NPR poll. They all show Trump barely winning the white vote.
On the other hand, the Data for Progress swing state poll from yesterday that showed a 49-49 tie in those states, had Trump winning the white vote 57-40. The glaring data point in that poll was Harris leading 67-30 with Hispanics. Polls have consistently shown Trump doing better with Hispanics than 2020, when he won about 38% of their vote.
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You passed. No posts are caught in the filter.
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Walt still feels bad he didn’t tell William Harrison to wear a warmer coat to his inauguration speech.
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The left wants to paint the impression that Rasmussen is all alone. But of course that is not true with the CNBC Poll showing Trump ahead nationally 48-46. Also J.L. Partners with Trump up 43 to 41.
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The glaring data point in that poll was Harris leading 67-30 with Hispanics”
Of course, it depends where these Hispanics are.
If Harris is getting 75% of the Hispanic vote in CA, IL and NY, for example, it could mean she is getting less than 67% in the swing states.
Of the 36 million Hispanics elegible to vote, over 10 million are in CA and NY, about 30%.
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Bitter, Harris is running a lot of ads in the Southcentral PA market too, I would say about 50/50 with Trump.
McCormick is probably 65-35 vs. Casey, definitely running more ads.
Dave Sunday is running a lot of ads, so far have not seen one for the Dem.
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However, the Rs have a much better “grassroots” effort going on, at least in York Co. They have had booths at all the fairs and shows, there are Trump 2024 signs all around, and I have gotten a lot of emails (the party still thinks I am a Republican) asking for volunteers for door to door and other campaigns. I have also received an EV ballot request and know everyone in the area has gotten one.
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Jason, that data point is from the Data for Progress poll of six swing states – AZ, GA, NV, MI, WI, and PA.
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Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
“”When we ask the question, which party do you trust more on the issue of the economy, the Republicans win by upper single digits. Inflation: they win by double digits. The border: they win by double digits.”
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Here’s the fun bit: The hackers, or at least someone working with the hackers, are in Iran.
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Evidently the hack is keeping all the gas pumps in Iran from working.
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Babylon Bee:
“Tim Walz says one man’s Gulag is another man’s vacation resort”
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Another headline:
“Local man’s 401k being unburdened by what has been”
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The MSMLSD crack(head) journalists are reporting all the pertinent facts and info about the election.
–Trump is wearing ill fitted suits.
–JD Vance once dressed in drag (with photo)
–Trump now hates that he picked Vance for VP
–Trump livid that Kamelia Kamala is drawing big crowds
–Trump is OLD, slurring his words, rambling. [just like they continually hit on Biden for…no wait.]
–Kamelia Kamala leads in all 57 states and several foreign countries in South America, Africa, Middle East and Asia
–Liz Cheney says Kamala will win
Nicki Haley predicted Kamala would win.
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MAN, AM I EVER GLAD THE MEDIA FOCUSES ON THE ISSUES!
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A+ POLL: KAMALA UP 5
MOMOUTH
“Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. Interviews were conducted in English, and included 145 live landline telephone interviews, 280 live cell phone interviews, and 376 online surveys via a cell phone text invitation.”
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Monmouth was one of the worst in 2020:
AZ: Trump 47, Biden 49 – Off by 2 in favor of Biden
FL: Trump 46, Biden 50 – Off by 7 in favor of Biden
GA: Trump 45, Biden 50 – Off by 5 in favor of Biden
IA: Trump 48, Biden 47 – Off by 7 in favor of Biden
NC: Trump 48, Biden 49 – Off by 2 in favor of Biden
PA: Trump 45, Biden 50 – Off by 4 in favor of Biden
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New Thread
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