according to a new Siena College poll taken 7/28 – 8/1 against 1199 LV with a MoE of 4.0:
 | NEW YORK |
| Trump | 39 |
| Harris | 53 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 37 |
| Harris | 49 |
| Kennedy | 7 |
| Stein | 2 |
| West | 1 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
96 responses to “Harris up only 12 in New York”
Balz to the Walz!
LikeLiked by 1 person
The Walz pick did nothing for Kamala in the betting markets.
LikeLike
Trump just dodged his second bullet. Shapiro would have likely tipped the scales on PA, as the furor on the far left over a practicing Jew would have faded with time. Walz did nothing to help her ticket. MN was a reach anyway, if Trump got MN, he already had WI and MI.
LikeLike
I predicted it…
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
RFK pulling 3% in the last three nights of data. That’s his lowest ever, down from the teens.
LikeLike
i think he will gain votes with the bear in Central Park story.
I am thinking of voting for him myself.
LikeLike
“Harris up only 12 in New York”
New Yorkers might still be a little mad at Biden/Harris for almost accepting a plea deal with the 9/11 terrorist.
LikeLike
I don’t care if Kamala’s husband banged the nanny and forced her to get an abortion in a previous marriage
But this is more interesting.
LikeLiked by 2 people
I know. That’s exactly why I can’t vote for a former President whose followers literally committed treason at his behest because they felt entitled to have him in an office the American people denied him at the ballot box.
Of course if I own what Biden does because I’ll vote for him to keep Trump out of office you own the fact that Trump and MAGA are traitors. You already know what they did in 2020 and 2021. You also know it will happen again. No redemption for you. -Wes
Jason speculates what honorable Wes would have done. I will leave it to the HHR jury if Wes would have voted for Harris to stop Trump. Based on Wes’ statements about Trump being a dictator and traitor, I think Wes would have voted for Harris
LikeLike
If Trump can get 40% in NY it will help with a lot of congressional races.
LikeLike
Ok, that is your opinion.
My opinion is that wes would have viewed Kamala in an entirely different light than Biden, and compounded by the fact Walz has a DUI (a real no-no as far as wes was concerned).
LikeLike
Sure, its interesting, but its too complicated for low info voters to understand. The POTUS race is won on key images, sound bites, and slogans.
LikeLike
WWJD has turned into WWWD. What would Wes do.
LikeLiked by 1 person
I didn’t say wes would vote for Trump. I said that wes would not vote for a Marxist like Kamala and like 2016, would probably write in Daffy Duck.
LikeLiked by 1 person
The truth is we will never know.
My point is that Bitter’s claim that wes would “vote for ANY Democrat” is speculation.
But we have bigger fish to fry so we can move on
i only mentioned it earlier today because of the DUI, which always triggered wes.
LikeLike
Ed Morrissey’s take
Let’s try to do the pro-con analysis that Harris must have performed. First, the pros:
The cons:
LikeLiked by 1 person
Walz won MN 52-45 in 2022.
He only won 13 counties, so Morrissey is probably right he has little appeal outside the Twin Cities.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Leftist sports MSM triggered:
A new deal in KC: Chiefs are signing standout kicker Harrison Butker to a four-year, $25.6 million extension that includes $17.75 million guaranteed, per sources. The deal ties Butker to KC through the 2028 season. Butker represented and negotiated the deal himself.”
LikeLike
and slogans.”
So Balz to the Walz is a winner?
LikeLiked by 1 person
Harsh…. Twitchy headline:
BREAKING: Kamala Harris Chooses Socialist Drunk Driver Tim Walz Because She Was Too Scared to Pick a Jew”
LikeLiked by 2 people
This the same Walz who allowed rioters to burn down half of Minneapolis? LOL
LikeLiked by 1 person
I guess Trump had a bad night of polling by Rasmussen. Yesterday at this time, this was posted:
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
Aug 5
Trump just had his biggest nightly lead over Kamala Harris since July 22nd and has led every night since the 25th.
If this holds up…,
——-
I guess it didn’t hold up. Or maybe it was so good he didn’t want to give it away until Thursday.
LikeLike
Did they “Walz” on Titanic?
LikeLike
Harsh:
“The last time Harris and Walz teamed up was when he allowed rioters to burn down half of Minneapolis and then she raised money to bail them out.”
LikeLiked by 1 person
Harsh II:
BREAKING: Kamala Harris Chooses Socialist Drunk Driver Tim Walz Because She Was Too Scared to Pick a Jew”
LikeLike
McCormick has a new ad.
Just him talking to the camera:
“Bob Casey is a liar. I never received any money from fentanyl sales. Casey is the one that defended open borders and the fentanyl killing people on PA is on him”
Good ad.
LikeLike
I wonder what Shapiro is feeling today.
Is he thinking “I was suckered into selling out my convictions”?
Nah, he will be on stage at the rally cheering for Kamala.
All for the cause.
LikeLike
OK VP pick done, but the real suspense starts now. What will Tina’s nickname for Walz be?
Big Joe
LikeLiked by 1 person
Harsh III:
@RonColeman
Poor
@JoshShapiroPA
. Stitched his foreskin back on for nothing”
LikeLike
Hey Big Joe, thanks for the answer on my question about Kamala.
I get your frustration, the polarization we are seeing in politics is pretty depressing.
LikeLike
“No Border Walz” might be a good start.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Dw, I commented on rasmusessne take He said that as of 7/31, trump was up 3-4 in line with Harris. We shall see if this continued, but it sounded like it did through august.
LikeLike
How bad is mass immigration in Ireland?
Historical Moment As Catholics And Protestants March Together In Belfast to Protest Mass Immigration
LikeLiked by 2 people
Hopeful Headline the night of the Nov. election
“Trump Mauls ‘Knees’ and Walz”
LikeLike
“Pick Walz? Kamala Stalls”
**************
BTW, Cash cow heard that the reason Kamala chose Walz was that Kamal’s husband really, really, really favored Walz because he and Mrs. Walz have a VERY hot nanny.
LikeLike
It’s all good, Jason. It’s a feature of a society that is approaching 250 years. There are studies that show that empires / societies / dynasties typically last 200-300 years before resetting. Perhaps we are at that point.
Nothing happening here is unusual. Division / suspicion go back to the first civilizations and even earlier. I have no doubt that our early early ancestors were disagreeing with each other about how to bring rain and what their strategy should be for hunting mammoth.
I’d still rather live here and in this time than anywhere else.
Big Joe
LikeLike
I called Walz when no one here thought she would ever pick him
Infact Jason the schizo called me out for it LOL
LikeLike
Remember I also said Kamala would win but her momentum has dropped off a little bit
LikeLike
Seriously, outside of MN, I bet 99% of people have never heard of Walz or can tell you one thing about him.
“Tabula rasa”.
The MSM will make him out to be 2nd coming of Christ Kamala’s disciple St. Peter.
LikeLike
Schizo Jason is a loser who has no idea how politics actually works. Scream scream scream like a child
LikeLike
“…Nothing happening here is unusual. Division / suspicion go back to the first civilizations and even earlier. I have no doubt that our early early ancestors were disagreeing with each other about how to bring rain and what their strategy should be for hunting mammoth.”
***********
Jeez, Big Joe,
If you want to know about those times and what went on,
you just need to ask ME! 🙂
LikeLiked by 2 people
Oh where’s the market crash today Jason? Manchild!
LikeLike
If Republicans can’t win against two far leftist like Harris/Walz. This country is finished. Maybe, pack up the family and head to Argentina. At least they have a real leader.
Kamala Harris has selected Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her VP choice.
Who is Tim Walz? Let’s take a quick look:
Kamala’s “PERFECT” running mate.
LikeLiked by 1 person
I need to do more yardwork today.
It is now sufficiently hot enough for me to start.
Chao.
(and Cash Cow says “Chow”)
LikeLike
Irony Meter explodes as Jason is depressed about polarization but does not want Trump to compromise or reach out beyond his base.
LikeLike
Walz is an attack dog who is relatable.
LikeLike
My fear is that:
–the polls will show Kamala falling to Biden levels
–the D sting pullers will Biden (dump and jetson) Kamala due to a severe psychological condition of incessant laughing, elevate Walz to top position
–Pick little know Dave Disseldorff as VP
–and the Walz and Disseldorff ticket defeats Trump in Nov.
LikeLike
Walz signs bill requiring schools to stock menstrual products in boys’ bathrooms
https://www.americanexperiment.org/2024-will-kick-off-with-menstrual-product-requirement-in-boy-and-girl-school-bathrooms/
LikeLike
LOL Walt, I can only imagine the conspiracy theories from your good ole days in the Stone Age.
The pro mammoth hunting vs anti mammoth hunting.
Fish eaters vs fruit eaters vs meat eaters
You must have some great stories to tell ! 😀
Big Joe
LikeLiked by 3 people
Unfortunately, Walt had not invented writing yet when those stories happened.
LikeLiked by 3 people
Walz is definitely an UNKNOWN …Marist poll asked his favorability and the results:
Favorable 17%
Unfavorable 13%
Not exactly close to 100% response…
LikeLike
Shitpiro must be livid. A pa rally and he is not the veep nominees
LikeLike
In 2020, Kamala Harris’ running mate Gov. @Tim_Walz locked Minnesotans in their houses.He then set up a hotline via phone and email so that people could snitch on their neighbors who weren’t complying with his draconian lock down.
https://x.com/greg_price11/status/1820653756523925561
LikeLike
Walz vs Vance in a debate would be like a father scolding a child for all the wrong decisions he’s taken in life. It would be beyond hilarious
LikeLike
You cried for Biden
You’re crying for Shapiro
Why do you have a habit of crying more than the bereaved.
Walz nailed it. You guys are weird people !
LikeLike
Irony Meter explodes as Jason is depressed about polarization but does not want Trump to compromise or reach out beyond his base.”
Wow, Bitter is really living in an alternate universe.
Nobody here has advocated more for a big tent R party than I have. Nobody here has been more critical of deadender politics than I have.
I don’t want Trump to compromise and reach out beyond his base? LOL.
LikeLike
Team Trump is already out with a brutal ad against Kamala VP Tim Walz.
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1820822086954185095
LikeLiked by 1 person
So, Trump has a better chance now to win PA.
If Harris loses, we could be looking at a DeSantis v. Shapiro race in 2028. Not sure if Vance would be a favorite in the 2028 GOP primary but he would have Trump’s base behind him.
LikeLike
The Dem ticket is the most extreme in history. Kamala the Marxist and Walz is an avowed socialist on record as saying “socialism is neighborliness”.
Unfortunately instead of having a contrasting ticket that emphasizes the exact opposite of what the Marxists ticket supports, such as conservative principles limited government, free enterprise, free markets, and personal responsibility, Rs have a ticket with no conservatives on it, a crony capitalist big spender and an isolationist.
LikeLike
Democrats are weird. They wrongly believe a surgeon can make a little boy into a little girl, when all they can do is sterilize and leave the boy with a lifetime of complications.
The little boy has never ONCE experienced ejaculation and yet Democrats believe that the boy knows for sure he would rather experience the feeling of what its like to be a girl, even though the surgery just destroys the nerves in the genitals meaning he won’t ever feel much of anything.
That is weird, and its evil.
LikeLiked by 2 people
Walz vs Vance in a debate would be like a father scolding a child for all the wrong decisions he’s taken in life.”
LOL
Walz is 60 and looks 70. Has the charisma of a turnip. He only repeats socialist platitudes.
I think Vance would win easily in a fair debate. Getting a fair debate will be the problem.
LikeLiked by 2 people
Zzzzzzzzz You ripped me for saying Trump should go on leftist shows. You condemned reaching out.
LikeLike
“The case for Harris picking Tim Walz is that his demeanor & appearance reassures independents that he’s a normie moderate while his record reassures the base that he’s an uncompromising Far Left zealot, & the national press can conceal the latter from the former.”
LikeLike
The more I think about it, the more its obvious that picking Walz is an epic fail. Sometimes we wallow so much in the mistakes made on our side, that we somehow come to believe the left never makes any mistakes. But this was a huge mistake on the part of Harris. She should have told the radical anti-semitic wing of her party to grow up by picking Shapiro. They would have fussed and fumed for a while, but in the end, they would have voted for Harris anyway, and PA would be lost to Trump, and maybe with it, the election.
Instead, she pandered to the anti-semites, and picked a radical with a glass jaw, making this a far far far left ticket.
LikeLike
Minnesotans love Walz but txphil is crying about it all the way from Texas whewwww
LikeLike
Zzzzzzzzz You ripped me for saying Trump should go on leftist shows. You condemned reaching out.”
I think the argument was about whether Trump should be “nice” or not. Whether he should give up “mean tweets” or not. The answer is no, he should be the guy who got him to where he is.
But sure, I think Trump should go on the View. I think he should campaign in inner cities, I think campaigning in Philly and the Bronx and in NJ were great ideas. I think he needs to appeal to blacks and Hispanics and other minorities.
I am the one here who advocates for a R party that represents working class people of all classes, races and locations.
I have been talking about expanding the R base beyond its traditional suburban/rural coalition for years.
LikeLike
Lol how’s that basement looking Jason
LikeLike
The debate will be at Lafayette College in Easton, PA.
– Bitterlaw, Lafayette 1990
LikeLike
The S&P is up 1.3% on the day and on course to reverse the Orangeman’s manufactured “cRaSh”
LikeLike
Minnesotans love Walz”
Not quite. His approval rating is lower than Shapiro’s and he only got 52% of the vote in 2022.
He might be loved in the Twin Cities.
In the vast majority of the state, he is as popular as fire ants at a picnic.
LikeLike
Lol how’s that basement looking Jason”
You would know. How is the babysitting going?
LikeLike
I have never talked about mean tweets. And I respect the definition of never.
LikeLike
Trump’s team was ready to go with the ads exposing the far left radical Walz. I am sure they had a pile of Shapiro ads ready to go as well.
LikeLike
The S&P is up 1.3% on the day”
Zzzzz…..
The market is up 300 points, was down 1000+ yesterday.
Great “recovery” there, dumchuck.
It is probably up a little because the market thinks Walz sucks.
LikeLiked by 1 person
I have never talked about mean tweets.”
zzzzz… I think you used the expression “pissing people off”.
Just replace it.
LikeLike
Heh, betting markets are really “impressed” with Walz.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
LikeLike
Crying about Walz? LMAO Tell me, did this loon really sign legislation putting tampons in boy’s restrooms? Ought to play well with blue collar workers. I fully endorse this pick. Hey, at least he’s not a Jew. Right?
LikeLike
CNN is trying hard..
Walz a “centrist” and cooks casseroles. CBS’s Robert
@CostaReports
: He seems “like kind of a centrist Midwesterner in persona…”
What the Dems don’t understand is that they actually succeeded in making Trump THE CENTRIST in this race.
Hard to do, but they did it.
LikeLike
Is there a reason why you never see Walz and this man in the same room?
https://youtu.be/lWGg2JphrQM
LikeLike
JD Vance is now an albatross. Uninspiring. A grown adult with baby fat on his face. Looks like a curated mommas boy it’s actually ridiculous.
Goes after single cat ladies (of course rethugs can’t help themselves). Trump is going to throw away the easiest layup election of all time.
I called Walz I’m calling it again
Kamala Harris will be the next president because rethugs just can’t help themselves
Extremism f@cks
LikeLike
Babylon Bee:
“Tim Walz vows to make America as great as Minneapolis”
LikeLike
the exposed troll must be very proud to be part of a party that tricks little boys into getting their package cut off so they will never reproduce.
LikeLike
You people are just insanely weird.
LikeLike
Yep.
Vance: We All Know Why Harris Didn’t Pick Shapiro
LikeLike
Dumbchuck must approve of having tampons in boy’s bathrooms….geezus.
LikeLike
I favor this kind of outreach by Trump, not being “nice”.
“Somali voters in Minnesota are coming forward to support former President Donald Trump and vote for conservative candidates in November.
Salman Fiqy, a small business owner who recently ran in the Republican primary for a seat in the Minnesota House, joined Liz Collin Reports to explain why.
He was recently pictured right behind President Trump at a rally in St. Cloud. Minnesota has the largest Somali population in the United States with about 90,000 residents.
“This is a long conclusion that we arrived to. Due to many issues, the reason why we supported … soon to be President Donald Trump is due to some issues … some of the issues are education issues, economic issues, safety, and many other issues,” Fiqy said.
Fiqy said the reaction by so many people to seeing him seated behind Trump has been positive.”
LikeLike
Walz got that overwhelming 52% of the vote in Minnesota in 2022. So yeah, he brings a lot to the ticket!
LikeLike
If Harris wanted a milquetoast veep who did no harm, and wasn’t going to do anything to change the electoral math, Mark Warner in Virginia was available.
LikeLike
I love the smell of rethug panic !
LikeLike
Hi Folks,
My first thought when I heard it is Walz was……..’we’re going to win this thing after all’.
Harris/Walz will be easy to define as hard left socialists in a country that is largely still center-right. I’ve already seen Trump/Vance ads hitting Walz hard on is left wing record. Trump’s team won the coin flip and chose to take the ball first and go on offense. Smart move on their part.
LikeLike
the exposed troll isn’t a good reader either, we are all rejoicing that Harris was so stupid as to pander to the anti-semites in her party that she avoided the veep pick that locked PA into her column. Instead she picked an old fat white guy who has a glass jaw due to a long laundry list of far left loony quotes.
In short, she could have moved the electoral college math TODAY and didn’t because she didn’t possess the leadership skills to boldly pick Shapiro.
LikeLike
DW,
Our G-650 is on charter this week. The Board determined that we needed to generate some additional revenue.
LikeLike
Thanks Marv, grounded by yardwork anyway
LikeLike
really good thread everyone. Even got the resident DailyKos plant riled up. You can tell when the infantile leftists gets upset, he starts hurling the “rethug” insults as if he were on the echo chamber that is the socialist/communist Kos site.
I think that Shapiro as a jew was too much for the Dems. They couldn’t upset their hamas, Iran loving Obama that much to push someone who was unashamedly (until the past two weeks) jewish on the ticket.
The sad part is that they will continue to claim that conservatives are the racists, when its pretty plain to see who are the true ones.
LikeLike
Even the Eeyores at RRH elections are nearly giddy with excitement that Harris picked Glass Jaw Walz instead of Shapiro.
LikeLike
🇺🇲 2024 GE: @RedfieldWilton
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 46%
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 46%
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
🟪 Other: 1%
ARIZONA
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟥 Trump: 43%
🟨 RFK Jr: 4%
🟪 Other: 1%
NEVADA
🟦 Harris: 40%
🟥 Trump: 40%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 1%
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 42%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 2%
WISCONSIN
🟦 Harris: 43%
🟥 Trump: 43%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 44%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 4%
🟪 Other: 1%
FLORIDA
🟥 Trump: 47%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 1%
MINNESOTA
🟦 Harris: 46%
🟥 Trump: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
NEW MEXICO
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟥 Trump: 37%
🟨 RFK Jr: 8%
🟪 Other: 1%
#110 (1.8/3.0) | N=8,229 | 7/31-8/3
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/
LikeLike
NT
LikeLike