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Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

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Democrats +3216219

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Close battlegrounds but an Electoral College win for Trump

According to new polls from UK polling firm Redfield and Wilton, 8,229 RV taken 7/31-8/3:

PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 46%
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%

GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 46%
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
🟪 Other: 1%

ARIZONA
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟥 Trump: 43%
🟨 RFK Jr: 4%
🟪 Other: 1%

NEVADA
🟦 Harris: 40%
🟥 Trump: 40%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 1%

MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 42%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 2%

WISCONSIN
🟦 Harris: 43%
🟥 Trump: 43%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%

NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 44%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 4%
🟪 Other: 1%

FLORIDA
🟥 Trump: 47%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 1%

MINNESOTA
🟦 Harris: 46%
🟥 Trump: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%

NEW MEXICO
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟥 Trump: 37%
🟨 RFK Jr: 8%
🟪 Other: 1%

75 responses to “Close battlegrounds but an Electoral College win for Trump”

  1. First!

    Like

  2. Tim Waltz delayed deploying the National Guard letting Minneapolis burn during the BLM riots. Kamala Harris then bailed those rioters out of jail, cheering them on to do more of the same. These two are a match made in he*l.

    Like

  3. ras appears to be finding a return back to 5 points

    Like

  4. S&P up 2%

    But but “cRaSh”

    Like

  5. I question why people, like cerebro, who post sarcastically about how great a ticket Harris/Waltz is, while deriding the Trump/Vance team, join in what at least used to be a conservatively oriented blog.

    Like

  6. Janzam

    Are you trying to ban free speech?
    How conservative. The jokes write themselves really.

    I used to be a republican until the party was taken over by a conman and a thug

    Like

  7. For the same reason we used to raid liberal sites. It’s more fun to challenge people than type “I agree” over and over.

    Like

  8. Hi Bitter,

    How about we restart the debate about what actually happened at that courthouse in Appomattox?

    Like

  9. I’m not a liberal but it doesn’t matter to far right radicals and nutjobs.

    Like

  10. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    There are going to be some wonderful Walz quotes for Trump ads.

    https://x.com/odonnell_r/status/1820811639974690873?ref_src=twsrctfw|twcamptweetembed|twterm1820811639974690873|twgrd09da9724e3866eb885574df956fcb7f83d61079|twcons1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fhotair.com%2Fdavid-strom%2F2024%2F08%2F06%2Ftim-walz-and-kamala-harris-are-the-pro-rioter-ticket-n3792763

    Like

  11. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    “I’m not a liberal”

    But I vote for Marxists.

    LOL

    Like

  12. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    I used to troll Dkos.

    But I was a lot smarter than Dumbchuck, I never go outed.

    I was so left I attacked Hillary and Obama as establishment tools.

    The idiots there spent hours trying to convince me that Hillary and Obama were real leftists.

    Like

  13. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Driver’s licenses for illegals

    Tampons in boy’s bathrooms

    Child mutilation

    Let Minneapolis burn – pro-BLM

    Let the fun begin!

    Like

  14. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    “It’s amazing that despite America’s right, left, and center agreeing that Josh Shapiro was Harris’ best pick for VP, at the end of the day, Shapiro being Jewish disqualified him. It says so much about the state of today’s Democratic Party.”

    Like

  15. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    But Shapiro deserves to be screwed over.

    He revealed himself as an unprincipled hack willing to sell out his convictions at the drop of a hat.

    He comes out of this looking like crap.

    Lose-lose.

    Like

  16. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Et tu, WAPO?

    Washington Post columnist Megan McArdle reacted to the pick by saying Harris ‘reliably makes bad political decisions’

    Like

  17. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Liberal actor and comedian Michael Rapaport mocked Shapiro for walking back support for Israel and still getting passed over for Walz. 

    “Yo Josh Shapiro UNJEWED himself publicly & still didn’t get picked,” Rapaport wrote to caption a video criticizing the Pennsylvania governor.”

    Like

  18. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    “Unjewed” is great…

    Like

  19. Fake polls! Kamala is up at least 10 in Michigan.

    Like

  20. Liberal is too far right a term for Cerebro. He is backing hard core leftists now.

    Like

  21. Sure. Lee should have been hanged as a traitor outside the building.

    Like

  22. Let it be known that Bitter the amoral moralist is voting for a groper and a felon.

    I’ll not use the word “amoral scumbag” but you are what you are

    Like

  23. The real world is filled with difficult choices. I will never let a Democrat win without me voting against them. Unfortunately, Trump is a lifelong Dem but I have given my vote to RINOs before.

    Like

  24. That is absolute horseshit and you know it.

    Like

  25. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    CNN is trying hard to make Walz into a ‘moderate’

    Failing miserably.

    Like

  26. Ask all the Dems who received his campaign donations about his lifelong Dem status. Ask Planned Parenthood.

    Like

  27. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Et tu, The View/

    “The clip of Tim Walz saying “one person’s socialism is another person’s neighborliness” will be played on loop in swing states from now until Election Day.

    We’re ~90 days out! That’s radioactive with swing voters.— Alyssa Farah Griffin

    Like

  28. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    So wait..

    Dumbchuck is a ‘former Republican” who is offended over it being pointed out that Trump was a lifelong Dem who was funding Chuck Schumer as late as 2012?

    LOL

    Like

  29. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Ask Hillary who was in the front row of Trump’s wedding to Melania.

    He wasn’t a “racist” then because he was a big Dem donor.

    Like

  30. Chuckles, we’re all very impressed that you can spell so many four-letter words. Can you go poopie on the potty all by yourself, too?

    Like

  31. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    I think he is still wearing training pants but he will get there.

    Like

  32. Tim Waltz is said to be Obama’s VP choice. It always seems to go back to Obama as Biden/Harris’s boss behind the curtain.

    Waltz also touts his military service in the National Guard. However, after signing a 6 year contract he opted out (did not retire as he said he did), before the expiration of that contract, when his group was going to be deployed to the ME, and was demoted in rank. Retired service members have come forward saying Waltz has “embellished” his service record, imitating a stolen valor type of fiction. People are digging through his discharge papers in order to get more details about him leaving the service.

    Like

  33. Nicholas Fondacaro

    @NickFondacaro

    Van Jones admits that Kamala picking Walz was her “caving in to some of these darker parts in the party” in terms of appeasing “anti-Jewish bigots” that have “gotten marbled into this party.”

    Like

  34. Shitpiro claims he decided not to be in the running on Sunday

    poliico

    Like

  35. Quemala and Doltz are also known as the Burn and Bail ticket.

    Liked by 1 person

  36. The markets love Walz.

    Like

  37. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Shitpiro claims he decided not to be in the running on Sunday”

    LOL

    Sure he did.

    Like

  38. You tell me. I raised kids a long time ago and don’t remember anymore. Loser

    Like

  39. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    The markets love Walz.”

    They love the pick because they think it helps Trump.

    Like

  40. Nice comeback, Potsy.

    Like

  41. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    I think we should give Dumbchuck the “Fastest Ideological Conversion in HHR History Award”.

    He went from “ex-Republican’ to DKos ‘rethug’ terminology to supporting the entire Dem Marxist agenda in what, about 10 days.

    Definitely in the running for stupidest troll ever.

    Liked by 1 person

  42. Tim Waltz = Tampon Tim

    Like

  43. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Usually the problem for “ex-Republicans” like me is that the party has strayed from conservative principles.

    In Dumbchuck’s case, it is because the party did not become Marxist like the Dems.

    Like

  44. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    “Tampon Tim”

    Heh, that will stick.

    Like

  45. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    “I raised kids a long time ago”

    Awwww…..you had baby goats?

    Adorable.

    Like

  46. Shitpiro is a liar. He is trying to save face with Politico.

    Like

  47. Politico: Pennsylvania Gov. JOSH SHAPIRO’S team felt that his own interview with
    Harris did not go as well as it could have. There was “not a great feeling” coming out of it, according to a person in touch with Shapiro’s advisers. A person familiar with the selection process told our colleagues that, after their meeting on Sunday, Shapiro called Harris’ team and made clear that he was “struggling with the decision to leave his current job as governor, in order to seek the vice
    presidency.”

    Like

  48. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Wow, so Shapiro now makes Walz look like “sloppy seconds”?

    What a heck of a guy!

    Like

  49. Making jokes about kids? Not cool.

    Like

  50. Tina with the bad spin job to distract from Shady Vance

    Like

  51. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    You have a picture of you and the baby goats?

    Please share.

    Like

  52. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Heh, Tina quotes Politico verbatim and Dumbchuck says “bad spin”.

    Like

  53. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    I have raised baby llamas so we have something in common.

    Not much.

    Like

  54. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Latest Harris-Walz slogan… catchy.

    https://x.com/dgoldwas/status/1820819123229618180/photo/1

    Like

  55. You’re scum.

    Like

  56. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    The little troll turd calls others “scum” from Daddy’s basement.

    You can’t make this sh-t up.

    Like

  57. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Did they really vet this guy/

    ‘Minnesota First Lady says she left the windows open during the 2020 BLM riots to smell the burning tires and soak in the moment Her daughter was also caught leaking National Guard plans to rioters so they could avoid arrest’

    Liked by 1 person

  58. Crockchuck. It’s from Politico. Take it up with them.

    Like

  59. I can’t believe the rotten stuff being rolled out about Waltz’s past. He does not belong anywhere near public office let along the VP position. Cerebrochuck’s brain needs to be examined if he thinks Waltz is a good man – a better man than the men on the Republican ticket.

    Like

  60. Cut a fat check to the Harris campaign because they picked my guy Walz!

    Like

  61. https://x.com/Breaking911/status/1820899624934158748

    “Tim Walz’s wife says convicted criminals should get “as many chances as they need.”

    “[That] doesn’t really please those ‘law and order’ people.””

    Liked by 1 person

  62. Hmmm almost like th criminal justice system should do what it is intended to do—rehabilitate

    But if Trump a convicted criminal is running for president, shouldn’t the average American?

    Rethug logic is quite twisted

    Like

  63. Tina, I can’t wait to see Walz destroy shady Vance in the debate

    Like

  64. I can banter but I won’t engage people who think kids are within limit of political discussion.

    You’re a sick f*** Jason and this is the end of my engagement with you on this space

    But you’re free to yap like the schizo loser you are

    Like

  65. That was my last comment to you ever on here.

    Like

  66. Could you expand that from jason to all of us?

    Liked by 1 person

  67. LOL. You can tell Dems know they are in trouble by the level, and frequency of their posts. As you can imagine, they are panicked over the Socialist/Socialist ticket.

    Liked by 1 person

  68. I don’t know who tf you are

    Like