Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Border Czar Harris with narrow leads in Oregon and New Hampshire

OREGONHoffman Research
Trump40
Harris45
Kennedy7
Stein1
7/24-7/26; 700 V
NEW HAMPSHIREEmerson
Trump41
Harris48
Kennedy6
Stein1

Also some new polling by PPP (D) for a far left org:

ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 49%
🟦 Harris: 47%

PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 48%
🟦 Harris: 47%

GEORGIA
🟦 Harris: 48%
🟥 Trump: 47%

ppppolls for Progress Action Fund (Dem) 7/29-7/30; 907 V

27 responses to “Border Czar Harris with narrow leads in Oregon and New Hampshire”

  1. Vic, it’s getting embarrassing….

    Chicon

    Liked by 1 person

  2. hey I was ready at 9 am. Not my fault!!

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  3. is this a drat pole? Thought we ignored partisan poles?

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  4. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Tina’s definition of “partisan poll””

    Any poll that does not show Trump way ahead.

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  5. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Btw, jason is traveling to parts unknown. I am his cousin Jovial who is llama sitting.

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  6. Tina, Yes, its a drat poll, No, we don’t ignore, I post all polls, but yes, in the aggregator partisan polls get less of a share of the average. Same for outliers like yesterday’s absurd Michigan poll from Bloomberg. Also affecting the share is the sample size/MoE.

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  7. Thanks dw. I tossed ppp poles done for the leftist group

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  8. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Silverhack tells the Dems not to drink too much Kamala Kool-aid

    “Even after Democrats dramatically moved to re-top their presidential ticket and got an apparent jolt of momentum, famed election analyst and statistical guru Nate Silver still deems former President Donald Trump the favorite.

    His election forecast model gives Trump a 61.3% chance of prevailing in the Electoral College, while Vice President Kamala Harris is at 38.1%.

    Silver previously pegged Trump with a 65.7% chance of victory over President Biden during his model rollout last month.”

    Like

  9. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    “Hamas announces with sorrow to the Palestinian people and the Arab nation that leader Ismail Haniyeh, head of Hamas’ political bureau, was killed in an Israeli attack on his location in Tehran, after attending the ceremony of the new Iranian president.”

    Amazing that the Israelis have the capability of a drone attack at a private residence in the middle of Tehran, most likely launched from inside Iran itself, but was caught with its pants down on Oct 7.

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  10. jason, most people in the west are completely ignorant of how things work in the middle east and all the dynamics of the various countries there. The most basic oversight is the fact that Muslim on Muslim violence is so bad that there are huge refugee camps setup with hundreds of thousands of women and children, and even young men, and they are cared for by the UN. They are there in those camps, not because of Israel, but because of the violence within Islam.

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  11. Welcome.

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  12. ActiVote out with national poll showing Trump +2 with or without RFK

    And its D+5, and Female +6

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  13. Post what you want. However, does anybody besides Tina and Jan go to Gateway Pundit?

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  14. Bitter, I will occasionally click on a Gateway link by Tina. I generally take a story by them that I don’t see elsewhere with a big barge of salt.

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    Liked by 1 person

  15. DW, I’m pretty sure most Presidential elections have more female voters, but what’s the typical spread? Is female +6 big?

    Chicon

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  16. jovial400699520c Avatar
    jovial400699520c

    Bitter, I will occasionally click on a Gateway link by Tina.

    I guess that is how it survives. Suckers and idiots love conspiracy theories.

    Proves the maxim “nobody ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people”

    Every click on these garbage sites enriches the purveyors of unmitigated crap.

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  17. I never heard of it before Tina started posting links.

    Again. Post what you want unless you are Bunu.

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  18. Headline: 14 American Cities Have “Target” Of Banning Meat, Dairy, And Private Vehicles By 2030

    Walt, please check on this with Cash Cow for her opinion.

    Liked by 1 person

  19. On the other hand, calling people suckers and idiots for clicking on a link is a far better way to grow a brand! This stuff writes itself!! Lol.

    Chicon

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  20. One line of thinking about Dems that was predictably way off…Some on social media were saying that Dems would be outraged that their Dem primary vote was cast aside and they were given no voice on who the Dem nominee would be.

    That’s a Republican thought process, not Democrat. They DON’T CARE about their primary vote and would by far rather have the elites give them the candidate. These people look to the government and their party bosses as their god, father, and husband. Why would they care about voting and picking a candidate?

    Liked by 2 people

  21. DW – which explains why they want the government to control every aspect of life, except trannys grooming kids, child genital mutilation and unfettered abortion

    engles and Marx couldn’t have envisioned just how much like sheep the left would become and follow whatever the government dictates. Lenin would be proud of the democrat party

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