Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump up 2 in PA

According to a new poll from North Star Opinion Research, with 25% of responses taken before the news of Biden’s withdrawal. No numbers were provided with RFK or other candidates. 7/20-7/23; 600 LV

PENNSYLVANIA North Star Opinion Research
Trump47
Harris45
U.S. Senate:
McCormick41
Casey49

52 responses to “Trump up 2 in PA”

  1. jasonyupanqui Avatar

    “Some of these protestors hold up signs proclaiming ‘gays for Gaza’ — they might as well hold up signs saying ‘chickens for KFC,’” Netanyahu quipped.

    Liked by 3 people

  2. I guess those holding those signs want to be thrown off the roof of a 3-story building.

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  3. tercero

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  4. For those keeping score at home, this is the first PA poll from the North Star Opinion Research. No comparison against Biden numbers.

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  5. https://www.thefire.org/news/statement-kids-online-safety-act-gives-government-dangerous-powers-over-americans-expression

    -FIRE has a good reputation when it comes to these things. Speaker Johnson should not even allow it to come up for a vote.

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  6. “LBJ was a good man”

    -Pretty sure even Lady Bird wanted to peck his eyes out at times.

    And pretty sure that isn’t “CG”. I’d smell that Hamas-apologist from a mile away.

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  7. According to pundits the real election cycle has started, and more pollsters are going to be participating now than before this Biden transition point to Harris

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  8. The KOSA Act seems like legislation that has a friendly name, but will only be another tool to censor and/or suppress free speech.

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  9. jasonyupanqui Avatar

    NYC’s sense of smell is pretty good.

    I guess the brain is the problem.

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  10. we will be flooded with polls. Most of those exclaiming she is the second coming and surging through Labor Day when reality sets in

    Shapiro doesn’t help her in AZ. NV NE-2 or Michigan.

    those are the path to victory for Trump. Three out of those four

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  11. at :22, for jason

    Good one!

    Liked by 1 person

  12. “Ballots are being mailed to migrant centers. You know what that means.”

    -Any link for this? Hoping it is wrong, but since jason and Bitterlaw skipped over it without commenting, it seems like there may be something there.

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  13. betting market change from yesterday:

    Polymarket

    • Presidential Election Winner (shift from July 23)

    🟥 Donald Trump: 63% (+2)
    🟦 Kamala Harris: 33% (-4)

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  14. You expect me to keep up with all of Jan and Tina’s conspiracies and unsupported claims? That is a heavy burden.

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  15. NYCmike —-> “Any link for this?”

    Info gleaned from an interview with Rosemary Jenks, co-founder & Policy Director of the Immigration Accountability Project

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  16. “Gleaned” means no link.

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  17. ““Gleaned” means no link.”

    -Yeah, I’m not much into gleaning these days…..although it is a useful tool at times…

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  18. When I ”listen” to an interview, while I’m working, I glean info that is “linkless” You can take it or leave it Bitter and NYC

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  19. All good, jan. I’m on the lookout for other sources, as it sounds plausible enough.

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  20. “Trump up 2 in PA”

    ssq want to know what Trump is up to in PA?

    Up to what??

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  21. NYC – I know you missed the last year of HHR but don’t pretend that Trump and Vance are not isolationists. That is is a primary reason Jan and Tina support them.

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  22. Bitter, your opinion or assessment of others is not absolute.

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  23. is Trump truly an isolationist, or just an opportunist. The Abraham accords are a big deal, and remember he pushed for military aid to ukraine

    he said he was going to quit NATO, but he didn’t or wouldn’t.
    out allies in southern Europe, Central Europe the Middle East and especially Africa like him a lot, and he angages with them.

    if there were a war he thinks getting involved in would make him more popular, he’d send troops

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  24. Why did Vance skip Netanyahu’s speech?

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  25. Bitterlaw,

    Trump was President from Jan 2017-Jan 2021

    Which “strategic interests” did he relinquish?

    Did Russia/any other country expand during that time?

    (To 2nd question I would answer “China”, in building their artificial islands and sending out their fishing fleets into other countries areas, but not sure what we should do about that. Would need a concerted effort from many countries to stop them, but Biden did away with any work Trump had done in that area. Biden’s reasons for that were “because Trump”, which made “CG” and Robbie nod their heads in agreement, and made Bitterlaw repeat “Trump is an isolationist”.)

    Bitterlaw, show your work. You say he is an isolationist – where is your evidence of that?

    Like

  26. “Why did Vance skip Netanyahu’s speech?”

    -Not sure. First I have heard of this.

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  27. not trying to defend Vance, but he’s mega pro-Israel and pro Netanyahu

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  28. Bitterlaw trying to deflect from answering some pretty easy questions about Trumps time as President.

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  29. https://pjmedia.com/liveblog/2024/07/24/live-updates-hamas-supporters-overrun-dc-n9

    -Meanwhile, the idea that an invasion has occurred……is that also a “conspiracy”?

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  30. He skipped the speech to cater to the Jans and Tina’s.

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  31. He wants to weaken NATO. He will not support Ukraine and his 24 hour solution to the war proves he has no grasp of the issues there.

    Jan and Tina don’t worship him for his international attentions.

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  32. Putin built up a huge invasion force during Trump’s term and Trump said nothing.

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  33. Bitter says…”Putin built up a huge invasion force during Trump’s term and Trump said nothing.”

    That’s what you’ve got?!? C’mon man….

    Chicon

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  34. So, is the ledge crowded tonight?

    Chicon

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  35. jasonyupanqui Avatar

    is Trump truly an isolationist, or just an opportunist”

    Both.

    But if you want to pick ONE thing Trump has been completely consistent on in the last 40 years, despite his many flip flops and reinventions, it is economic isolationism and a undying devotion to the failed AFL-CIO agenda of tariffs and trade wars.

    The Abraham Accords were a great accomplishment, but it speaks more to the “art of the deal” than anything else.

    Now I think Trump is entirely right, the odds of Putin invading Ukraine while he was President were zero to none. Never would have happened. But that does not make him less of an isolationist. He drew a red line for Putin and one for Rocket Man because he understand the value of negotiating through strength, not weakness.

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  36. This is one of the few times I’ll disagree with Bitter; the invasion was launched at the end of February, 2022. Putin did not spend five and a half years marshaling resources. Indeed, the speed with which the Russian forces were stalled demonstrated that they did not come in with an overwhelming advantage. The forces allayed for Barbarossa were assembled in a matter of months, and that was MUCH bigger than what Putin cobbled together.

    Still doesn’t change the fact that the war is Putin’s fault and he deserves ignominious defeat and exile to Siberia at best or a cold cell in the basement of Lubyanka (from which he could see Siberia anyhow).

    Ceeam sodas for all. If those aren’t good enough, then a round of GFYs!

    Like

  37. jasonyupanqui Avatar

    Putin built up a huge invasion force during Trump’s term and Trump said nothing.”

    Zzzz…..

    There was no “invasion force”. That was built up during the months preceding the invasion while Biden watched.

    Besides, “huge invasion force” was never Putin’s plan. His plan was to decapitate the Ukrainian leadership and install a puppet regime with a quick strike on Kiev. That strike was based on taking over an airfield near the capital, landing thousands of troops, and occupying the main government buildings.

    The “huge invasion force” was plan B, and that mostly failed too.

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  38. jasonyupanqui Avatar

    This is one of the few times I’ll disagree with Bitter; the invasion was launched at the end of February, 2022. Putin did not spend five and a half years marshaling resources.”

    Of course not.

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  39. Hundreds of thousands of Russians dead. Thousands of armored vehicles destroyed. But just a tiny invasion force to HHR.

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  40. Putin didn’t mass forces on Ukraine’s border until March/April of 2021, well after Trump left the presidency. One less bit*h about 45 Bitter.

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  41. Why not join Walt and not vote for Trump Bitter. You dislike him so much that you’re resorting to making stuff up!

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  42. Facts matter, unless it is to take a dirty shot at Trump.

    Chicon

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  43. jasonyupanqui Avatar

    Hundreds of thousands of Russians dead. Thousands of armored vehicles destroyed. But just a tiny invasion force to HHR.”

    Nah, no moving of goal posts. Yes, the Russian moved a lot of troops into Ukraine AFTER there offensive on Kiev failed.

    You said the invasion force was put together during Trump’s administration.

    That is blatantly false. The build up of forces on the border happened during Biden’s term for several months before the invasion.

    Like

  44. jasonyupanqui Avatar

    Yeah, that WAS a cheap shot.

    The fact is Putin did not invade during Trump’s term and did so because Biden showed a lot of weakness.

    Bitter can try to reinvent History if he wants, but facts are facts.

    Trump is an isolationist, his views on NATO are asinine, his understanding of geopolitics is superficial.

    All that is true, but the ‘Trump allowed Putin to mount a huge invasion force” is unmitigated garbage.

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  45. Here you go, Bitter, some research. Putin didn’t begin massing troops until the isolationist was out of office.

    Apparently, Putin did not view Trump as an isolationist.

    Just in case facts matter.

    Chicon

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  46. Putin did not invade Bermuda, either. I guess Trump is responsible for that, too.

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