According to Remington Research Group. Please note that the numbers below are incomplete. They polled the full field including Kennedy, Stein, and West, but only released the numbers for Trump and Biden. They also polled the senate races, but would say only that AZ and WI were tied, Republicans ahead in MT and TX, while Democrats were ahead in MI, NV, OH, and PA.
| Trump | Biden | ||
 | AZ | 49 | 42 |
 | TX | 49 | 39 |
 | MI | 45 | 42 |
 | MT | 56 | 36 |
 | NV | 47 | 40 |
 | OH | 51 | 41 |
 | PA | 48 | 43 |
 | WI | 49 | 43 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
70 responses to “Trump ahead in 8 states”
First
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good morning all Going to have a recap of the uk elections shortly
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Shut up, bunu. — Phil
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Wisconsin appears to be the next state out of play (margin over 5).
Dementeds poor debate is still impacting him.
While than be obnoxious about it, trump has mainl focused on policy.
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It’s a catch 22 for demented.
quit the race because of dementia.
but still be a functional president?
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Biden has always been gone mentally. Now it is apparent he is gone electorally. — Phil
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And it starts.
Disney Heiress pulls funding (until they replace demented).
His funding must be drying up.
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If you’re sundowning or can’t handle “jet lag”, you shouldn’t be president at all.
Many Americans work night shifts and they don’t show up for work speaking gibberish.
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Excuses:
12 days of jet lag.
A cold.
He prepared too much.
Cn and n had him pasty white in appearance.
Trump mean.
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And the scary thing, demented used notes even though this was not allowed.
I also would bet that he got the debate questions in advance.
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How Van Jones got his big CNN Fake News money.
https://x.com/MaxBlumenthal/status/1806077083652657631
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Trump should stop talking about Biden and just let him implode. Trump should discuss his own policies. Both can be true
Of course, Trump can’t avoid talking about himself even when he Biden destroying himself should be the focus
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Biden Tells Black-Owned Philly Radio Station That He’s “Proud” to Be “The First Black Woman to Serve with a Black President” (AUDIO)
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https://www.zerohedge.com/political/incoherence-day-bidens-fourth-filled-flubs-ahead-primetime-interview-tonight
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Biden “I’m proud to be, as I said, the first vice president…the first black woman to serve with a black president.”
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The liberal WI supreme court approved absentee drop boxes. Looks like WI may be closer than expected if the Dems are able to stuff the drop boxes in Madison and Milwaukee.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/wisconsin-supreme-court-overturns-ruling-barred-ballot-drop-boxes-rcna160198
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Ok. Lets see if I got his IP ban right
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huh VictrC?
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Vic, he is rapid fire changing his IP. But we will win in the end. There are other means
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I will handle deletions and labeling.
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All ardent Trump supporters, who believe Republicans who don’t fully support their agenda 100% should be kicked out of the GOP need to read this. ITS IMPORTANT.
UK Election review:
The headlines will read about a historic landslide victory for Labour, and the liberal media will go on and on about the leftward surge in the UK…but as usual, they will be both lying and misleading the public.
First, Labour grossly underperformed at the polls. They were projected to win up to 44% of the vote, they will come in about 33.7%. Conservatives were projected at 20%, they will wind up at 23.8%, so less than 10%, when they were expecting it to be a 20%-24% gap. Reform came in at 14.3%, were projected at 11%. Labour will win 412 seats v the 444 seats projected.
Now the interesting part. Again, this seems like a massive landslide and movement left, which is how the leftist media will portray it…but as usual the devil is in the details. Labour has won 33.8% of the vote. Guess what, that is only a 1.6% gain over the last election. That’s right…they barely improved. No giant swing left. Liberal Democrats won 12.2%, v 11.5% last election. Again, hardly any gain.
So you’re wondering, how on earth did such a seismic shift happen if there was no leftward movement, well…its because the new, Reform UK party took in an astonishing 14.3% of the vote, oddly winning only 4 seats (versus Liberal Democrats on 12.2% but having 71 seats). When the conservative and Reform parties are combined, they reach 38%, which, in previous years, would have given the Conservatives a comfortable victory and control of Parliment.
BUT…Those backing the Reform party demanded fidelity to their agenda, or the split, and the result, in a country with first across the line voting, was a devastating defeat for conservatives, a loss of control of Parliament, and five years of the liberal media saying the UK has lurched left, when, in fact, is has absolutely not done so.
So, instead of winning seats, the Conservatives (right of center) parties canabilized each other and allowed Labour…and get this, the GREENS!!!! to take seats in the Parliment that they would have normally won (Greens nearly tripled their vote total and have 7 seats.)
BTW, the “movement left” was even less so in England, as most of the gains for Labour were in Scotland where they wiped out the Scottish National Party. In England the Labour party actually LOST GROUND to center right parties in overall voting.
This is what would happen in the US if the ardent Trump followers had their way, and we kicked out the “Haley’s” et al, who are considered not loyal enough.
Lesson Learned: WE NEED A BIG TENT TO WIN!!!!! Don’t kick out the people that agree with you 85%+ of the time just because they don’t agree with you 100% of the time
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LOL. lets see how many actually read all of that. I should have been more concise, but I think we all needed all the information
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Haley should be kicked out of the GOP
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You could do what Dave did, ban certain words.
Like the links he posts, you can ban the word stream that comprises the link. He won’t be able to post the link. He will have to cut and paste.
While you are at it you could ban the words stream gatewaypundit.com and zerohedge.com
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Yeah, amazing you can win that big of a majority with only a third of the vote. Reform + conservative had more votes.
Good point, Vic.
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Spain vs. Germany at noon.
Big game.
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UKIP got the UK out of the toxic EU already, and Nigel won a seat this election .
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jason, I am on it…the final solution for bunu and his antisemitism.
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I read it.
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I tried banning certain words at the beginning. It did not slow the invasion. I can try again.
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Bitter, you have to put one word per line…check it out to see what I have been doing there.
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I also tried limiting the number and length of links but it was catching too many legitimate posts.
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jason, I am on it…the final solution for bunu and his antisemitism”
Great.
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Thanks for the summary, Vic.
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“They also polled the senate races, but would say only that AZ and WI were tied.”
That explains why Tammy Baldwin wants to avoid Biden like the plague. She’s been consistently ahead 6-8 points until now.
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I believe that if Biden stays in the race, he will pull down a number of marginal house and Senate candidates. And…with that said, I believe Kamala will do the same. Where, in all the swing states, does she conceivably do better than Biden. Remember, wasn’t she polling less than 5% when she dropped out of the Dem primary in ’20?
She won’t play in GA…if Abrams can’t win, neither can she. AZ….not a chance considering her border stance. NV…same.
Maybe, just maybe WI because they seem to like leftists more than other states, maybe VA because of govt employees. I will say it again though. Trump only needs GA, AZ, VA and NE-2 and he wins.
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If you look at the updated battleground states grid, you will see that PA is now marked as outside of the margin of error. Meaning Trump’s floor is solid 268 with NV sitting at +6.4, and Trump is over 270 with PA at +4.3
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I’m not buying Trump is +6 in Wisconsin.
Chicon
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Reform wins its fifth and final seat, went to several recounts, but they won it by 98 votes.
The Tories deserved this wipeout. They turned themselves into Labour-lite, opening up the borders to a massive invasion despite tons of broken promises to reduce the flow. Britain needed a party on the right – any party at the rate they were going – and foreign policy between Labour and the Cons will show few, if any, differences. Yes, there will be media chatter and Twitter and all that, but none of it really matters. If the Tories regroup under a better leader, and make peace with Farage instead of kicking him and his supporters around, they could very well win the next election as Labour has its hand full with an empty treasury, economic woes, and the usual bevy of NHS problems that seem to dominate every election over there. Jeremy Hunt have a great speech and would be a welcome improvement capable of uniting the two factions. Sad as I was to see Mogg lose, having most of the Tory leadership tossed is a good thing so that the party can start fresh.
And seeing Truss lose (came in 3rd!) was hilarious; she started the party down this road, and got her comeuppance. That seat is an auto flip next election given how low the Labour vote was there. On that note, while nationally the Labour vote increased by only 1.6%, they took an 18 point lead in Scotland, so it will be interesting to see if they actually improved much overall in England itself (they certainly did in some swingy seats, but I’m interested in the England-only count).
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GF – They actually lost ground percentage wise in England. Their +1.6% gain was based solely on their performance in Scotland. The fact that Liberal Dems won 71 seats shows that there is room to grow on the right, people didn’t want to go full on Labour.
There needs to be a coalescence between Reform and Conservatives where BOTH sides give in some, and come together. The idea that Conservatives need to pass a Reform litmus test is absurd, and vice versa. Coming together will win them the next election as the next few years are going to be BRUTAL in the UK. Unfettered immigration (as here, trying to get votes).
Something else we shouldn’t overlook is the fact that there were seats that flipped from Labour to Sharia Law backing, pro-Gaza candidates. This should scare everyone in the country, because these types of candidates will continue to grow in size and power with the way immigration is currently allowed there.
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The con artists ans lying scum got caught.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/07/reporters-say-they-suppressed-bidens-decline-because-right/
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How does Fetterman really feel?
Fetterman has rallied to support the president following his poor performance at last week’s presidential debate. He called on fellow Democrats to “chill the f‑‑‑ out” amid the immediate postdebate fallout, and later said abandoning Biden was the “dumbest s‑‑‑ I’ve ever heard.
“I refuse to join the Democratic vultures on Biden’s shoulder …”
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Test
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jason, you might have had a post fail because we put dozens of keywords in the filter to stop bunu
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Fetterman has rallied to support the president following his poor performance at last week’s presidential debate. He called on fellow Democrats to “chill the f…. out” amid the immediate postdebate fallout, and later said abandoning Biden was the “dumbest s…. I’ve ever heard.
“I refuse to join the Democratic vultures on Biden’s shoulder”
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Yeah it won’t go through
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Not sure what the word is
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Fetterman has rallied to support the president following his poor performance at last week’s presidential debate. He called on fellow Democrats to “chill the fock out” amid the immediate post debate fallout, and later said abandoning Biden was the “d-mbest shoot I’ve ever heard.
“I refuse to join the Democratic vultures on Biden’s shoulder” after the”
Tried changing some to the words
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There is nothing controversial, it is a Fetterman quote.
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I remember Dave’s filter was really tough. There was some words that were innocuous but still triggered it. I hope we don’t have to get to that point, but Bunu is really a deranged nazi…
I don’t think we ever filter out opposing opinions (Paul, for instance), but man, he just goes too far.
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we basically wiped out about any word used that would describe about anything going on in the middle east.
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I just approved Jason’s posts.
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Of course, I was accused of censorship when the filter caught some words or links I did not ask it to. Meanwhile, DW is a hero. Nobody appreciates the work of an A-hole.
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BL, you’re one of the finest A-holes I’ve ever known. I appreciate your work.
I remember Dave started using restrictive filters to get rid of Dondero back in 2016.
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Big Mike shuts down rumors of it running.
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BL, you’re one of the finest A-holes I’ve ever known”
Can you define “known”?
Thanks
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Biden said he was staying in the race because the voters chose him. “I’m the nominee of the Democratic Party,” Biden said. “Despite that some folks don’t seem to care who you voted for.”
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Dems have a tough choice to make.
Keep trying to force him out, but if he doesn’t agree it will split the party.
Unite behind him and hope for the best.
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Despite that some folks don’t seem to care who you voted for.”
Sorry, Kamala, but they voted for me.
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Biden cannot be forced out, unless they use a pillow in the night.
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Bernie Sanders:
Bernie email 10 minutes ago:
“President Biden said today that he is staying in the race, and I take him at his word.”
So Biden has Fetterman and he has Bernie, FWIW.
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Now we know where Bunu was.
“Dem Rep.’s Office Inside Capitol Vandalized, Oct. 7 Display Destroyed by Pro-Hamas Mob on 4th of July”
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Dondero…there’s a flash from the past. Wasn’t he a local candidate down in TC who advocated evacuating his bowels on opponent’s yards and signs?
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Jason,
“Know”, Webster’s:
“to perceive directly : have direct cognition of”
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Among other things. He also tried to justify sex with underage prostitutes in foreign countries because it was not a crime there.
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New thread at 6:30.
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Bitter, you are doing an amazing job. You should be commended as much as possible, and that is not hyperbole. I am honestly so grateful you kept this going. It means a lot.
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I appreciate it. The posters kept it going. DW made it better. You have provided great analysis.
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N/T
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