Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump ahead in NEW JERSEY

According to new coefficient poll:

NEW JERSEYCo-Efficient
Trump41
Biden40
Kennedy/Third Party7
Undecided13
U.S. Senate:
Kim39
Bashaw33
Menendez3
Undecided25
June 26-27; 810 LV

58 responses to “Trump ahead in NEW JERSEY”

  1. first

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  2. love the siren. Hhr is the new drudge

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  3. Deadenders and hoaxers are having a bad day.

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  4. I thought about three sirens, but then held back so Biden has room to grow.

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  5. Can’t believe that.

    When pigs fly…

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  6. ”I think the immunity decision is going to recognize a degree of immunity but not complete.”

    Most people think the immunity decision will be nuanced, with a narrowed application. Barrett’s more professorial approach, though, in processing her decisions, is troubling and seems to directly conflict with Clarence Thomas’s interpretation of the Constitution.

    Like

  7. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    seems to directly conflict with Clarence Thomas’s interpretation of the Constitution.”

    LOL

    Do you think she is really concerned with Clarence Thomas’s interpretation of the Constitution?

    Geezus.

    Her job is to interpret the Constitution, not Clarence Thomas’ view.

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  8. I don’t care about NJ.

    I killed myself last night.

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  9. If I was Trump, at the next debate I would have a 20 foot or whatever long sheet of paper that had the name of everyone in the U.S. who have been murdered, raped, assaulted, killed via automobile, etc. by an illegal alien in last 3 and 1/2 years. and I would hold that up during the debate and say these are the U.S. citizens who died, were maimed, raped, etc. because of your actions Joe Biden to open the border wide open and allow all the perpetrators to come here and dwell among us. Joe, these deaths, rapes, assaults etc. are on you.

    I would also hold up a long sheet of paper at least 30 feet long that had all the names of the 300,000 people in the U.S. who died in the last 3 years from fentanyl poisoning since Biden was sworn in. And tell Biden he bears some responsibility for their deaths due to his policies.

    I would also have and hold up a long list names of the 30,000 citizens of Mexico including elected officials who have been beheaded, otherwise murdered, tortured, etc. by Mexican drug cartels in the last 3 and 1/2 years and tell Biden he is partly responsible for these deaths and the destabilizing of Mexico due to his policies leading to the enrichment of drug cartels as they make more money from human trafficking illegal aliens into the U.S. than they make from trafficking drugs into the U.S.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. And, if I were Trump, I would add that I would suppose that at some point Biden will be taken to court and will have to defend himself in these deaths–if a president has no immunity.

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  11. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    It was a very narrow interpretation of a statute. Essentially, the individual took part in the protest that was intended to stop certification of the election. Trying to stop certifying the election was obstructing the process.”

    Yep.

    But there are all sorts of problems with that. Was there an invitation put out stating that was the purpose? Did people sign up to specifically deny certification on some petition? Who determines that was the purpose, or was the purpose just to protest a fraudulent election? Barring any evidence that proves the rally was specifically designed to stop certification and that the rioters were there specifically for that purpose, I don’t see how you apply this statute.

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  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Menendez will get more than 3%.

    Bet on it.

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  13. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Imagine MSNBC and CNN on election night if this happens.

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  14. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I is a genius.

    “President Joe Biden intends to continue on as the Democratic Party’s presumptive presidential nominee despite a highly criticized performance in his debate with former President Donald Trump.

    Although Democrats and mainstream media people have suggested the 81-year-old Biden could be replaced atop the party’s ticket after Thursday night’s debate effort, CNN reported the president has no intention of stepping aside.

    “NEW, as just reported on @CNN: Not only does @POTUS not plan to drop out, Biden remains committed to a second debate in September, an adviser tells me,”

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  15. You don’t like Justices who think and only care about political results? Got it.

    There are 9 interpretations of the Constitution on SCOTUS.

    Liked by 1 person

  16. I did not say I agreed with Barrett. I said I read her Dissent.

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  17. That’s the map I also made last night Jason. BTW how did you get it to post, I was not able to

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  18. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I is smarter than the average hedgehog

    Like

  19. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Ok, I will confess.

    I just copied and pasted the link and it worked.

    Liked by 1 person

  20. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    That’s the map I also made last night Jason. BTW how did you get it to post, I was not able to’

    The difference is this was already made, I guess. i didn’t make it. It’s actually the current projection.

    Like

  21. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Alexander S. Vindman

    What did Trump do during his four years to end the Russia-Ukraine war? Nothing. Trump is full of shit.’

    Maybe because he left office in Jan 2021 and the Russians invaded in Feb 2022?

    That would be my guess.

    Liked by 1 person

  22. Vindman is a scum and disgrace. Plain and simple.

    Liked by 1 person

  23. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Lupita is getting old. I don’t her to worry so I kept the earthquake news from her.

    Like

  24. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I guess what we all knew was confirmed…

    “He goes through six days of preparation at Camp David,” Burnett observed. “And they know the rules.”

    “It was more than a week,” Chris Wallace pointed out.

    “Okay, so more than a week.” she continued. “They know the rules. He practices with the mics. He knows every one of these questions is coming, and yet he couldn’t fill the time.”

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  25. Clarence Thomas is the elder jurist on the court. Many conservatives actually refer to the current Supreme Court as the “Clarence Thomas Court.” For a junior jurist to actively oppose his opinions, in a way that openly seeps out to the public, is uncommon. It is also becoming more frequent Barrett joins the 3 liberal women when rulings are delivered. Such a phenomenon, of a once considered conservative jurist evolving into a liberal one, is more common than visa versa.

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  26. She is Souterette 1.0

    Souter 2.0 is ruling better.

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  27. Barrett is not evolving into a Liberal Justice. It is not the Thomas court. Barrett rules with the Conservative wing over 90+% of the time.
    I don’t want a SC that is a mirror image of each other.

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  28. Glenn Youngkin gave a rousing speech @ the rally. He must have positively invoked Trump’s name 50 times – more than any speaker I’ve ever heard do. This was such a 180 from when he was running for the governorship, and Trump held rallies for him which he never attended. In fact the deliberate distancing he did between himself and DJT was like an overt shunning of the man. Now, he is his BFF, seemingly auditioning for the coveted VP position.

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  29. refresh the page and notice NJ has landed a spot in the Polling Aggregator.

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  30. ”But in the recesses of Barrett’s jurisprudence, she has sometimes set herself apart from the conservative wing and become slightly unpredictable. Liberal justices, likely hoping she might inch left over time, have pitched their arguments toward her, just as they sometimes do with two conservatives who’ve straddled the middle: Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Brett Kavanaugh.”

    https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/04/politics/amy-coney-barrett-supreme-court-trump-analysis/index.html

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  31. Zzzzzzzzzz Jan and Tina are critical of the liberal Justices who only decide cases for political reasons BUT want conservative Justices who only decide cases for political reasons.

    Neither of them has ever read a SCOTUS Opinion but obtained their law degrees from Twitter.

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  32. I knew what the questions would be. Who didn’t?

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  33. As mentioned before the Murthy vs Missouri Decision has cast Barrett an unpredictable conservative, and hence questioning how she may rule in the future.

    ”The Biden industrial censorship complex had a major victory this week handed to them by Justice Amy Coney Barrett, a Trump appointee who has betrayed both the First Amendment and the supporters of the President who nominated her in upholding the Biden administration’s ongoing suppression of free speech. Justice Barrett wrote the Murthy v. Missouri decision, which allowed the Biden Administration to continue censoring conservative publications online through coercive demands to social media companies.

    The vast system used by the federal government to coerce social media companies to comply is without precedent in history. Justice Alito, in dissent, called Murthy one of “the most important free speech cases to reach this Court in years.”

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  34. “In fact the deliberate distancing he did between himself and DJT was like an overt shunning of the man. ”

    And that was THE correct decision at the time; Glenn needed to win first in a state that was very Trump skeptical.

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  35. Jan interpreting Judicial opinions based on somebody else’s interpretation is as valid as me discussing nursing procedures based on watching reruns of Grey’s Anatomy.

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  36. GF – Jan is in a cult. Anything but 100% loyalty to Trump must be denounced as treachery.

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  37. “And that was THE correct decision at the time; Glenn needed to win first in a state that was very Trump skeptical.”

    It probably was politically correct at the time. I still found it kind of incongruent to be overly supportive at the rally – something noticed by rally commentators as well. IMO, the gushy way he spoke about Trump seemed inauthentic, considering his history of aloofness.

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  38. Post-Debate Poll: Survey USA

    🟥 Trump: 45%
    🟦 Biden: 43%
    🟪 Other: 6%
    ⬜ Undecided: 7%

    538: #14 | 6/28 | 2,315 LV | D38/R37
    https://surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=92c0a94c-3531-4584-a468-f8145c8aa811

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  39. “Anything but 100% loyalty to Trump must be denounced as treachery.”

    50% would be fine.

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  40. wow..

    POST-DEBATE POLL: Leger | NY Post

    Pre-debate (n=878 LV, June 22-24)

    🟦 Biden: 43%
    🟥 Trump: 41%
    🟪 Other: 11%
    ⬜ Undecided: 4%
    ——
    POST-DEBATE (n=874 LV, June 27-28)

    🟥 Trump: 45%
    🟦 Biden: 38%
    🟪 Other: 8%
    ⬜ Undecided: 8%
    ——
    Who do you think won the debate?

    🟥 Trump: 49%
    🟦 Biden: 17%
    ⬜ Neither: 28%

    (n=755 respondents who watched the debate)
    ——
    Leger rank by 538: #79 (2.0/3.0)
    https://leger360.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Leger-X-New-York-Post-Post-Presidential-Debate-Poll.pdf

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  41. somehow Silverhack is slow on the updates to his page. Took forever for him to get New Jersey up, and nothing on the SUSA poll or this Leger poll.

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  42. watching network tv whike in a waiting room. It’s wall to wall talk about replacing Biden. Seems the left has gotten the clue and are desperate. They were appealing to Jill to pull him

    stay tuned

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  43. So I guess no VEEP announcement at the Virginia rally today

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  44. John Ocasio-Rodham Nolte

    @NolteNC

    “He’s sharp as a tack behind closed doors” is 2024’s “If you like your health insurance you can keep your health insurance.”

    ·

    4,065 Views

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  45. latest attempt to justify Biden – “debate was an unfair setup and the moderators should have fact checked Trump”

    I truly believe there’s a 50/50 chance he gets replaced

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  46. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Many conservatives actually refer to the current Supreme Court as the “Clarence Thomas Court.”

    Zzzzzzz…..

    I know a lot of conservatives who are complete morons.

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  47. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I truly believe there’s a 50/50 chance he gets replaced”

    Place you bet.

    He is up to 73% at Predictit, was at 50% last night.

    You could make almost 4-1 if they replace him.

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  48. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I think it is more like 10%.

    Jill Biden is out there yelling at the crowd in NC, telling them what a great job Biden did.

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  49. Most conservative I talk to think Alito is the best Justice. Thomas is a st day vote but not known for his opinions.

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  50. Nominating Youngkin would win or lose make him the favorite in 2028.

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  51. Anyone he picks should be an early favorite for 2028.

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  52. @BarackObama

    Bad debate nights happen. Trust me, I know. But this election is still a choice between someone who has fought for ordinary folks his entire life and someone who only cares about himself. Between someone who tells the truth; who knows right from wrong and will give it to the American people straight — and someone who lies through his teeth for his own benefit. Last night didn’t change that, and it’s why so much is at stake in November. joebiden.com

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  53. New thread at 10:00. This one is getting long.

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  54. “Reminder that both moderators, Jake Tapper and Dana Bash, are fanatically Zionist neocons who manufactured consent for genocide and lust for war between the West and Russia.”

    -Max Blumenthal

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