Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

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Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
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The day after.

45 responses to “The day after.”

  1. Some thoughts….

    1. When Biden was elected, I said he would at some point be replaced in his first term for or not run for reelection for “health reasons.” At that point, I thought the health reasons would be a made up excuse. Now, the real decline is obvious.

    2. The conspiracy theories that Biden would be propped up by drugs, he would have the questions beforehand, and only be given easy questions were nonsense. I thought the moderators did a good job. There were times they even cut Biden off and he looked stunned.

    3. The predictions that the MSM would declare Biden the winner no matter what also failed. The CNN poll had Trump the winner by 67-33. Even MSNBC was stunned for the first hour until they resorted to Biden sucked but at least he is not a convicted felon.

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  2. 2. The conspiracy theories that Biden would be propped up by drugs, he would have the questions beforehand, and only be given easy questions were nonsense.

    Wrong, obviously.

    Biden was propped up by drugs and he definitely had the questions beforehand and the questions were OBVIOUSLY selected to provide Biden with softballs and to hit Trump on what many think are Trump’s weaker points (abortion, Jan 6., democracy, etc.).

    Biden is just far gone, he blew it in spite of every advantage. Trump didnt win a debate with Biden. He won the debate with the walking dead.

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  3. 4. Jill Biden knows her husband is not up to the job but she likes the perks of being First Lady and is not going to let him be pushed out without a fight.

    5. I wish Trump had not been evasive on questions he knew were coming. Here is what he could have easily said:

    Abortion – State issue. No Federal ban.

    January 6 – Violent protesters should be prosecuted. Non-violent protesters should be charged with trespass, fined, and released. But he fears losing Jan’s vote.

    Convictions – Political prosecution but confident on appeal.

    6. Possible Dem substitutesMichelle doesn’t want the job. Hillary does. Ice cream loving fake moderate Gov. Shapiro could win despite Jason saying a Jew can’t in today’s Dem party.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. 5. I wish Trump had not been evasive on questions he knew were coming. Here is what he could have easily said:

    Abortion – State issue. No Federal ban.

    January 6 – Violent protesters should be prosecuted. Non-violent protesters should be charged with trespass, fined, and released. But he fears losing Jan’s vote.

    Convictions – Political prosecution but confident on appeal.

    Did you watch the debate or are you on Biden’s drugs?

    Trump repeatedly made the point that abortion is now a state issue. Brought up Reagan, the push for decades to overturn Roe vs. Wade so it would be returned to the states. You simply misstated what Trump said on this or you fell asleep.

    He made the point the at violent protesters were different from the nonviolent Jan 6. protesters. He brought out Pelosi and the D.C. mayor’s refusal of help that day. Are you so tied to your own pre-conceived notions about Jan 6. or simply trying to gin up posts from Jan?

    Trump definitely talked about the injustice of the trials, convictions and how they are going to appeal.

    I guess your pre-debate admonition that if someone didnt watch the debate, then their opinions dont matter doesnt apply to those of you who had the tv on during the debate but chose the argue with family, read a book, or just stare at the screen with the cognitive focus that Biden exhibited last night.

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  5. BL, I agree that the moderators did a good job. That is evident from the harsh criticism they are getting from liberal media for not helping Biden enough.

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  6. We will just have to disagree.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. Anonymous – Sign your posts or GFY. I stand by my posts during and after the debate. Go back and read them. Walt and others had many of the same observations. In a stunning development, even Jan had criticisms of Trump.

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  8. Post by Anonymous Coward Avatar
    Post by Anonymous Coward

    Anonymous – Sign your posts or GFY. I stand by my posts during and after the debate. Go back and read them. Walt and others had many of the same observations. In a stunning development, even Jan had criticisms of Trump.

    I didnt say Trump was good or even won on the merits. I said he was debating the walking dead.

    Are you cognitively challenged, too?

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  9. As noted last night, Anderson Cooper made the point to Harris that the Democrats wanted this early debate and it was a disaster.

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  10. Zzzzzzzz – Sign your posts. Just put it at the bottom.

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  11. was out, and didn’t watch the debate. How did Biden’s stunt double do? Or did he call in sick, leaving them with no alternative than the real Biden?

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  12. Another Anonymous Coward Post Avatar
    Another Anonymous Coward Post

    was out, and didn’t watch the debate. How did Biden’s stunt double do? Or did he call in sick, leaving them with no alternative than the real Biden?

    It was the real Biden. Walking dead.

    His stunt double didnt show…he has shown up this am and is posting in Bitter’s place, however.

    Free Bitter!

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  13. https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/28/opinions/review-biden-trump-presidential-debate/index.html

    She will still vote for Biden but thinks he looked terrible. I noted she mentions multiple friends getting abortions. Must be a fun group of women.

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  14. Why not take credit for your posts?

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  15. There is no way to stop “Anonymous” posts from Bunu and other cowards besides deleting them. I won’t do that because some posters like Tina, Phil and Jason have appeared under the “Anonymous” handle unintentionally. However, everybody can sign their posts in the text.

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  16. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    My criticisms of Trump are different from Bitter’s.

    I didn’t watch the debate but I have watched “highlights”.

    Trump’s stupid isolationism came through with his asinine “WWIII” comments.

    Biden was absolutely right when he said the risk of WWIII is much greater if you let the Russians win in Ukraine than if you stop them now.

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  17. Different Anonymous here, but has been explained, if posts gets “signed”, another person will then “sign” an anonymous post the same way to make the first person look like they were saying things they never would have said..

    You have said you have no way to stop that. No way to ban anyone who wants to misrepresent someone else

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  18. Biden was absolutely right when he said the risk of WWIII is much greater if you let the Russians win in Ukraine than if you stop them now.

    Risk of WWIII is much greater leaving Joe Brandon in charge of the nuclear bomb button.

    There, fixed it for you.

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  19. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Ice cream loving fake moderate Gov. Shapiro could win despite Jason saying a Jew can’t in today’s Dem party.”

    Zzzzz…

    I never said he couldn’t win the election.

    What I said is he can’t get nominated in the Dem party as a practicing Jew who stated Hamas needs to be wiped out and that attacking zionism is anti-semitism.

    .

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  20. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Let people post as anonymous if they want.

    Who cares.

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  21. No new polls other than who won the debate polls.

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  22. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Betting markets firming up for Biden staying in as I expect. After toying with under 50% Biden is up to 63% this morning and Newsome is tanking.

    The Dems have no plan B and they know it.

    Kamala is up to 15% because people know she is not going to bow out for Newsome or anyone else.

    https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

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  23. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!
    DW Avatar

    DW

    June 28, 2024 at 9:21 am

    No new polls other than who won the debate polls.”

    Do you have any of those?

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  24. The Bongino headline:

    Dazed and Confused: Biden Humiliated in First Presidential Debate

    I don’t agree. To be humiliated one has to know what’s going on and how one is being perceived. Biden says he did great. Bongino has never worked with dementia patients before.

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  25. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I already talked to a Biden supporter this morning, someone I work with. She was “disappointed” in Biden but he had a cold so that explains why he did not do well. She is still voting for him because Trump “lied in the debate”. I asked her for alternatives, she said she likes Bernie but they “would not let him” be the nominee. She thinks Newsome is “slimy”. She doesn’t think Kamala can beat Trump.

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  26. @JLPartnersPolls
    Post-Debate poll among 805 independent voters: Who won the debate?

    🟥 Donald Trump: 68%
    🟦 Joe Biden: 32%

    Like

  27. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden: “it is hard to debate a liar”

    He isn’t going anywhere.

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  28. CNN POLL: Who won the debate?

    First debate, 2020
    🟦 Joe Biden: 60% (+32)
    🟥 Donald Trump: 28%

    First debate, 2024
    🟥 Donald Trump: 67% (+34)
    🟦 Joe Biden: 33%

    Like

  29. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    If Biden was smart he would wait until October.

    If it is obvious he is going to lose. He could resign and Kamala could pardon him and Hunter.

    I assume that if she is on the ticket she would automatically be the nominee?

    How would that work? After all, voting would have begun and you could not change the ballots.

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  30. Jill loves the power. If Joe bows out, it won’t be at her urging.

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  31. Sean Davis

    @seanmdav

    BREAKING: In a major blow to the unelected administrative state, the Supreme Court has overruled the Chevron doctrine, which required courts to defer to the legal interpretations of unelected bureaucrats. “Chevron is overruled.”

    Like

  32. Apparently social media is ablaze with talk of Biden being forced out for a replacement.

    Democrats are hoist on their own petard of DEI. They would have to go with Kamala or risk backlash from the far left. Even so, Kamala might not lose as badly as Biden. But right now, Dems are in one of the Donner Party wagons. Can’t make it alive to California (Biden), but cannot turn back to rejoin the wagons headed for Oregon (Kamala).

    But in the end, they would have to run that risk of getting rid of Kamala, and go with one of their empty suit senators, and hope they can convince enough voters that its better than Trump.

    But its also possible that Jill Biden will refuse to release Joe’s delegates. But can the delegates themselves defect?

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  33. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Babylon Bee:

    Fox News Calls the Debate for Joe Biden

    “We are completely confident in our decision to call the debate for Biden,” said Chief Political Anchor Bret Baier as he waited for the debate to begin. “While some might protest this move as an attempt to influence the debate results for Biden, we at Fox News are committed to accuracy, fairness, and following what the numbers say. This may not be the outcome that Trump supporters wanted, but it was the right choice to make.”

    While the Trump campaign has released a statement labeling the network as “FAKE NEWS,” the White House assured Americans that they can trust Fox News on this, but only this one time.

    At publishing time, Fox News had also declared Biden the winner of the September 10 presidential debate and called the state of Arizona for him again:

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  34. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden is not being replaced unless he dies or has a serious medical event.

    You read it first here. As I have said since this speculation began a year ago, the reason is the Dems don’t have an alternative. It is Biden or bust. There is no “empty suit” senator once you give the “empty suit” a name.

    The betting markets are realizing that and Biden is back as a strong favorite for the nomination, the Newsome boomlet tanked since last night (went from 30% to 18%, still too high in my view).

    Biden just stopped at a Waffle House and said he did very well at the debate. He is not stepping down.

    https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

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  35. What would be best for the COUNTRY is if Trump and the Dem power brokers get together and strike a deal.

    A. The Dems remove Biden as 2024 candidate.

    B. Trump agrees to withdraw from the 2024 race for POTUS. To get him to agree to this, the Dems agree to cancel all the lawfare court cases against Trump, overturn his bogus convictions

    C. the Dems and Repubs then each choose a new candidate to run for POTUS in 2024.

    BUT THAT WILL NOT HAPPEN.

    **********************************

    Only way Biden steps aside is if you convince Dr. Jill and his woefully inept amateur handlers who prop him up in the window while THEY are the ones actually “running” ([into the ground] the country. NOT GONNA HAPPEN.

    ____________________________________________________________

    The Dems plan A is just like 2020. “Vote for Biden because he is not Trump.” Sadly, I think the Dems realize there is no plan B. They are stuck with Biden, who is dragged down by his 95% failure rating of everything about his administration.

    Sadly, the Rs are also stuck with Trump.

    Armies often plan to fight the next war based on how they successfully fought the last war.

    Dem strategy for 2024 is just like 2020:

    –division politics where the Ds specifically target certain groups (Blacks, women, naive and sexually confused young) to get them to vote for Biden (legalize weed, forgive student loans, more money for child care, raise minimum wage, silly talk of ‘livable wage’ for every worker, reparations for all Blacks talk, etc., pro LBGTQ-EIEIO agenda and woke-y stuff, free abortions for all any time they want them, go after the rich and tax them more)

    After Trump beat Hillary in 2016, the D strategy was to:

    1. –thwart and stymie Trump at every turn within the federal government bureaucracy
    2. –focus on winning Senate and House seats to thwart Trump’s agenda
    3. –use lawsuits and court system to thwart Trump agenda (building gas pipelines, southern border issues, etc.)
    4. –CREATE TURMOIL in the streets by having your paid thugs attack statues and federal buildings in 100 cities.
    5. –organize a strong Dem GOTV effort in key states
    6. –run against Trump as an unfit person and unfit to be president
    7. –get a D elected in 2020 who will do 1000 executive orders to UNDO everything Trump did.

    Repeat in 2024.

    Will it work in 2024 now that people can SEE the results of Biden’s almost 4 years as president.

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  36. Considering that CNN, MSNBC, and Fox all trashed Biden’s performance last night, this is a rare miss at humor from the Bee.

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  37. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Also Biden probably views another term as insurance he will never be indicted and he can pardon Hunter and the rest of his family.

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  38. Fisher case in as well, exonerating a number of the J6 defendants, saying the obstruction of Justice charge was BS.

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  39. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Considering that CNN, MSNBC, and Fox all trashed Biden’s performance last night, this is a rare miss at humor from the Bee.”

    Not really.

    The humor was that they called it BEFORE the debate.

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  40. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Also SCOTUS ruled you can try to keep people from crapping on sidewalks and living in city parks.

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  41. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Nice fantasy Walt.

    Get rid of Biden and Trump, elect DeSantis.

    If we could only dream….

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  42. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    This is Walt’s best political idea since he advised Cleopatra to make an alliance with Julius Caesar.

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  43. retllaw, I understand how much YOU find Trump unworthy of the presidency. However, YOUR feelings are not shared by many others. In fact some of today’s rulings are very positive for righting the misinterpretation of a statute wrongly jailing people (Fisher), and reducing the powers of unelected bureaucrats (Chevon) – brought about by the justices Trump installed during his first term.

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